The model favours an away win, with a 52% chance for Spartans, 25% for a draw and 23% for a Clyde victory. The expected total is three goals, yet the most likely total number of goals is two, at 23%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.7% probability. Clyde, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages one goal scored and 1.43 conceded, while Spartans, on the road against a weaker side, average 2.33 scored and 2.0 conceded. The suggested picks are: Under 25.5 fouls87.3%, Over 1.581.1%, Under 5.5 cards80.6%, Under 23.5 fouls76.6%, Over 2.5 cards74.1%, and Under 11.5 corners71.3%. Both teams entered the match after a draw, each having finished 3-3 in their previous encounter.
Results analysis
The match saw the Spartans extend their recent run, coming off a 3-3 draw, while Clyde finished the night still on a draw. The model’s favourite, an Away win, proved correct as the Spartans edged Clyde 1-2. The prediction that the final score would be 1-2 was also right, confirming the model’s accuracy. The model had assigned a 52% probability to the away triumph, a 25% chance of a draw and 23% for a home win. Each of the suggested selections hit: Under 25.5 fouls at 87.3%, Over 1.5 at 81.1%, Under 5.5 cards at 80.6%, Under 23.5 fouls at 76.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 74.1% and Under 11.5 corners at 71.3%. The predictions delivered a clean sweep of outcomes.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Clyde win✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.63
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.62
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartans win✓ Hit
52.3%
Avg Implied 49.4% · @ 1.86
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Clyde
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.70
0.93
1.60
0.53
1.80
vs Stronger (28)
0.79
1.64
1.00
1.43
0.57
1.86
vs Similar (2)
0.00
2.50
0.00
4.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartans
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.30
1.50
1.17
2.00
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.75
1.25
2.00
1.67
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (6)
1.67
1.33
1.00
0.67
2.33
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.7%
@ 1.73+3.9%
Under 2.5
42.3%
@ 2.01-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.3%
Under 3.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.8%
No
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
1-2 ✓
9.8%
0-2
8.4%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
1-3
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
Clyde goals ↓
Spartans goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
8.1%
8.4%
5.2%
2.4%
1
4.7%
12%
9.8%
6.0%
2.8%
2
3.3%
6.2%
5.7%
3.5%
1.6%
3
1.3%
2.4%
2.2%
1.3%
0.6%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Spartans goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Clyde is 0.56 points worse than Spartans in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Clyde is 0.19 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Clyde is 0.42 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Clyde
For 3.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 8.3 · Total 19.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartans
For 5.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.1 · Against 9.2 · Total 17.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Clyde
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.9
9.9
3.7
3.9
3.5
21.0
20.8
21.2
vs Stronger (47)
9.8
9.8
9.7
3.8
3.9
3.7
21.0
20.8
21.2
vs Similar (3)
11.3
11.0
11.5
2.3
4.0
1.5
22.0
22.0
22.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
48%
44%
48%
56%
40%
46%
48%
44%
% under line
54%
52%
56%
52%
44%
60%
54%
52%
56%
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartans
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (10)
10.4
10.2
10.8
2.8
2.2
3.8
17.3
17.0
17.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
8.2
8.3
8.0
3.0
2.3
5.0
20.2
21.0
18.0
vs Weaker (6)
11.8
12.0
11.7
2.7
2.0
3.3
15.3
13.0
17.7
% over line
50%
50%
50%
40%
17%
75%
20%
17%
25%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
60%
83%
25%
80%
83%
75%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.9
Forfar
10.4
Spartans
10.4
Dumbarton
10.3
Stranraer
10.0
Clyde
9.9
Peterhead
9.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.3
East Fife
9.2
Elgin
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Dumbarton
4.6
Stenhousemuir
4.4
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.3
Peterhead
4.3
East Fife
4.1
Elgin
3.9
Stranraer
3.9
Clyde
3.7
Forfar
3.5
Spartans
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.1
Forfar
22.6
Peterhead
22.4
Elgin
22.3
Stranraer
21.5
East Fife
21.4
Stenhousemuir
21.1
Clyde
21.0
Dumbarton
20.4
Spartans
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.4%
Under 9.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
38.3%
Under 21.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Clyde
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.77
0.67
0.87
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (28)
0.50
0.75
0.71
0.79
0.29
0.71
vs Similar (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartans
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.40
0.17
0.33
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.25
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.50
0.00
0.33
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Clyde
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.93
0.27
0.73
0.27
1.13
vs Stronger (28)
0.29
0.89
0.29
0.64
0.29
1.14
vs Similar (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartans
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.90
1.33
0.83
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.50
1.00
1.67
1.33
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.83
1.00
0.33
1.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →