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Clyde vs Spartans Result & Analysis

Date: 04/11/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Clyde
Clyde
Vs
23%
25%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spartans
Spartans
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with a 52% chance for Spartans, 25% for a draw and 23% for a Clyde victory. The expected total is three goals, yet the most likely total number of goals is two, at 23%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.7% probability. Clyde, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages one goal scored and 1.43 conceded, while Spartans, on the road against a weaker side, average 2.33 scored and 2.0 conceded. The suggested picks are: Under 25.5 fouls 87.3%, Over 1.5 81.1%, Under 5.5 cards 80.6%, Under 23.5 fouls 76.6%, Over 2.5 cards 74.1%, and Under 11.5 corners 71.3%. Both teams entered the match after a draw, each having finished 3-3 in their previous encounter.

Results analysis

The match saw the Spartans extend their recent run, coming off a 3-3 draw, while Clyde finished the night still on a draw. The model’s favourite, an Away win, proved correct as the Spartans edged Clyde 1-2. The prediction that the final score would be 1-2 was also right, confirming the model’s accuracy. The model had assigned a 52% probability to the away triumph, a 25% chance of a draw and 23% for a home win. Each of the suggested selections hit: Under 25.5 fouls at 87.3%, Over 1.5 at 81.1%, Under 5.5 cards at 80.6%, Under 23.5 fouls at 76.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 74.1% and Under 11.5 corners at 71.3%. The predictions delivered a clean sweep of outcomes.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Clyde win✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.63
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.62
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartans win✓ Hit
52.3%
Avg Implied 49.4% · @ 1.86
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D02L12L01L00D02L21W22D04L23LA·SPA05/08H·BON12/08H·PET19/08A·STR26/08H·FOR02/09A·EAS16/09H·ELG23/09A·STE30/09H·DUM07/10A·BON21/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.700.931.600.531.80
vs Stronger (28)0.791.641.001.430.571.86
vs Similar (2)0.002.500.004.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D21W10W01L22D22D22D43W20WH·CLY05/08A·DUM12/08H·ELG19/08A·PET26/08H·STE02/09A·FOR16/09H·EAS23/09H·BON30/09A·STR07/10H·DUM21/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.301.501.172.001.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.751.252.001.671.000.00
vs Weaker (6)1.671.331.000.672.332.00
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.7%
@ 1.73+3.9%
Under 2.5
42.3%
@ 2.01-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.3%
Under 3.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.8%
No
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
1-2 ✓
9.8%
0-2
8.4%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
1-3
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
Clyde goals ↓
Spartans goals →
01234
06.0%8.1%8.4%5.2%2.4%
14.7%12%9.8%6.0%2.8%
23.3%6.2%5.7%3.5%1.6%
31.3%2.4%2.2%1.3%0.6%
40.4%0.7%0.6%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Spartans goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Clyde is 0.56 points worse than Spartans in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.61).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Clyde is 0.19 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.47).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Clyde is 0.42 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.19).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ClydeClyde

For 3.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.7

🚩 Corners

1107265457243237214526911994510398A·BONH·DUMA·STEH·ELGA·EASH·FORA·STRH·PETH·BONA·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

6021224222222211322113464442522A·BONH·DUMA·STEH·ELGA·EASH·FORA·STRH·PETH·BONA·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 8.3 · Total 19.3

⚠️ Fouls

270147111112778171014129111346107321221915272620171610A·BONH·DUMA·STEH·ELGA·EASH·FORA·STRH·PETH·BONA·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SpartansSpartans

For 5.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

15041141164524510353537462151510791388118H·DUMA·STRH·BONH·EASA·FORH·STEA·PETH·ELGA·DUMH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

50111212223111431112134525042H·DUMA·STRH·BONH·EASA·FORH·STEA·PETH·ELGA·DUMH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.1 · Against 9.2 · Total 17.3

⚠️ Fouls

26088913151181081167810118573716222618191318191210H·DUMA·STRH·BONH·EASA·FORH·STEA·PETH·ELGA·DUMH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.99.93.73.93.521.020.821.2
vs Stronger (47)9.89.89.73.83.93.721.020.821.2
vs Similar (3)11.311.011.52.34.01.522.022.022.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line46%48%44%48%56%40%46%48%44%
% under line54%52%56%52%44%60%54%52%56%
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (10)10.410.210.82.82.23.817.317.017.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (4)8.28.38.03.02.35.020.221.018.0
vs Weaker (6)11.812.011.72.72.03.315.313.017.7
% over line50%50%50%40%17%75%20%17%25%
% under line50%50%50%60%83%25%80%83%75%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.9
Forfar
10.4
Spartans
10.4
Dumbarton
10.3
Stranraer
10.0
Clyde
9.9
Peterhead
9.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.3
East Fife
9.2
Elgin
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dumbarton
4.6
Stenhousemuir
4.4
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.3
Peterhead
4.3
East Fife
4.1
Elgin
3.9
Stranraer
3.9
Clyde
3.7
Forfar
3.5
Spartans
2.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.1
Forfar
22.6
Peterhead
22.4
Elgin
22.3
Stranraer
21.5
East Fife
21.4
Stenhousemuir
21.1
Clyde
21.0
Dumbarton
20.4
Spartans
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.4%
Under 9.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
38.3%
Under 21.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L12L00D00D01L20W01L02L21WA·SPA05/08H·BON12/08H·PET19/08A·STR26/08H·FOR02/09A·EAS16/09H·ELG23/09A·STE30/09H·DUM07/10A·BON21/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.670.870.270.67
vs Stronger (28)0.500.750.710.790.290.71
vs Similar (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D00D00D21W10W01L21W00DH·CLY05/08A·DUM12/08H·ELG19/08A·PET26/08H·STE02/09A·FOR16/09H·EAS23/09H·BON30/09A·STR07/10H·DUM21/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.400.170.331.000.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.250.250.330.330.000.00
vs Weaker (6)0.670.500.000.331.330.67
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D01L00D01L01L21W02L02LA·SPA05/08H·BON12/08H·PET19/08A·STR26/08H·FOR02/09A·EAS16/09H·ELG23/09A·STE30/09H·DUM07/10A·BON21/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.930.270.730.271.13
vs Stronger (28)0.290.890.290.640.291.14
vs Similar (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D21W10W01L01L12L21W22D20WH·CLY05/08A·DUM12/08H·ELG19/08A·PET26/08H·STE02/09A·FOR16/09H·EAS23/09H·BON30/09A·STR07/10H·DUM21/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.901.330.831.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.501.001.671.331.000.00
vs Weaker (6)1.000.831.000.331.001.33
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls87.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards80.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls76.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
CLY wins
1
Draws
0
SPA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Clyde vs Spartans · H/A from CLY
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/23ASpartans Vs CLY1-1

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs CLY3-2
07/10/23HCLY Vs Dumbarton0-4
30/09/23AStenhousemuir Vs CLY2-2
23/09/23HCLY Vs Elgin2-1
16/09/23AEast Fife Vs CLY2-0
02/09/23HCLY Vs Forfar0-0
26/08/23AStranraer Vs CLY1-0
19/08/23HCLY Vs Peterhead1-2
12/08/23HCLY Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-2
05/08/23ASpartans Vs CLY1-1

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/23HSPA Vs Dumbarton2-0
07/10/23AStranraer Vs SPA3-4
30/09/23HSPA Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-2
23/09/23HSPA Vs East Fife2-2
16/09/23AForfar Vs SPA2-2
02/09/23HSPA Vs Stenhousemuir0-1
26/08/23APeterhead Vs SPA0-1
19/08/23HSPA Vs Elgin2-1
12/08/23ADumbarton Vs SPA1-1
05/08/23HSPA Vs Clyde1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLL0.66
HomeLLDWL1.00
AwayDLLDL0.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%24%4%
AVG goals2.823.002.64
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored0.921.120.72
Conceded1.901.881.92
BTTS54%60%48%
Clean Sheet10%16%4%
Corners9.889.889.88
Cards3.703.883.52
Spartans
Spartans
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWW1.70
HomeWLDDW1.50
AwayDWDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%33%50%
AVG goals3.002.673.50
Over 1.5 %80%83%75%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %40%33%50%
Scored1.701.502.00
Conceded1.301.171.50
BTTS70%67%75%
Clean Sheet20%17%25%
Corners10.4010.1710.75
Cards2.802.173.75

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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