Clyde’s home form shows a modest 1.08 goals per game but they concede 1.67 against stronger opposition, while Spartans, playing away against weaker foes, average 1.44 scored and 1.33 conceded. The model favours an away win, with a 55% chance, a draw at 25% and a home win at 20%. The expected total is 2.8 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 with a 12.1% probability. The model’s picks include Under 5.5 cards at 83.6%, Under 25.5 fouls at 82.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 80.2% (miss), Over 1.5 at 77.5% (miss), Over 2.5 cards at 70.8%, Under 10.5 corners at 70.4% (miss) and Under 23.5 fouls at 70.0% (miss). The match is expected to be tight, with the Spartans likely to edge out a win.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Spartans, failed to deliver, as the game finished 0-0, a draw that surprised the model’s prediction of an away win. The model had given the away side a 55% chance of victory, but the result was a stalemate. The model’s other selections largely held up: Under 5.5 cards hit at 83.6%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 82.6%, and Over 2.5 cards hit at 70.8%. However, Under 11.5 corners missed at 80.2%, Over 1.5 missed at 77.5%, Under 10.5 corners missed at 70.4%, and Under 23.5 fouls missed at 70.0%. The final score of 0-0 matched the most likely outcome of 1-1, though the actual result was a draw.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Clyde win✗ Miss
19.6%
Avg Implied 41.3% · @ 2.22
Edge
-21.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.4%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.40
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartans win✗ Miss
55.0%
Avg Implied 31.7% · @ 2.90
Edge
+23.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Clyde
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.73
1.13
1.73
1.53
1.73
vs Stronger (24)
1.33
1.62
1.08
1.67
1.58
1.58
vs Similar (6)
1.33
2.17
1.33
2.00
1.33
2.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartans
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.55
1.31
1.40
1.60
1.71
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.83
1.25
1.57
1.86
2.20
0.40
vs Weaker (17)
1.35
1.35
1.25
1.38
1.44
1.33
Clean sheet %
31% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.4%
@ 1.78-0.2%
Under 2.5
47.6%
@ 1.97+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
0-1
10.1%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-0 ✓
7.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
Clyde goals ↓
Spartans goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
10%
10.0%
5.9%
2.6%
1
5.1%
12%
9.8%
5.9%
2.6%
2
3.0%
5.4%
4.8%
2.9%
1.3%
3
1.0%
1.8%
1.6%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Spartans goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Clyde is 0.56 points worse than Spartans in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Clyde is 0.19 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Clyde is 0.42 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Clyde
For 5.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartans
For 5.1 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.3 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Clyde
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.8
9.8
3.3
3.5
3.2
20.0
19.2
20.8
vs Stronger (44)
9.7
9.7
9.6
3.1
3.3
2.9
19.9
19.2
20.6
vs Similar (6)
10.8
10.3
11.3
5.0
4.7
5.3
20.5
19.0
22.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
52%
48%
44%
56%
32%
42%
40%
44%
% under line
50%
48%
52%
56%
44%
68%
58%
60%
56%
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartans
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (29)
9.4
9.9
8.9
3.3
3.2
3.5
20.6
20.2
21.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
8.2
9.3
6.6
3.8
4.0
3.4
23.0
22.0
24.4
vs Weaker (17)
10.2
10.4
10.1
3.1
2.5
3.6
18.9
18.6
19.1
% over line
41%
47%
36%
48%
33%
64%
45%
47%
43%
% under line
59%
53%
64%
52%
67%
36%
55%
53%
57%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.9
Stenhousemuir
10.4
Forfar
10.1
Stranraer
10.1
Clyde
9.8
East Fife
9.8
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.5
Spartans
9.4
Peterhead
8.9
Elgin
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.7
Dumbarton
4.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.1
Stenhousemuir
4.0
East Fife
3.9
Elgin
3.6
Stranraer
3.6
Forfar
3.4
Spartans
3.3
Clyde
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.3
Forfar
23.8
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.7
Elgin
23.3
Stenhousemuir
21.5
East Fife
21.4
Dumbarton
20.9
Spartans
20.6
Stranraer
20.3
Clyde
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
41.4%
Under 9.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.8%
Under 3.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
46.0%
Under 21.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Clyde
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
0.67
0.80
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (24)
0.67
0.79
0.58
0.75
0.75
0.83
vs Similar (6)
0.83
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartans
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.66
0.48
0.53
0.60
0.79
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.33
0.57
0.43
0.80
0.20
vs Weaker (17)
0.65
0.59
0.50
0.75
0.78
0.44
Clean sheet %
59% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Clyde
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.93
0.47
0.93
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (24)
0.67
0.83
0.50
0.92
0.83
0.75
vs Similar (6)
0.50
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.67
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartans
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.83
0.87
1.00
0.93
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.17
0.92
1.00
1.43
1.40
0.20
vs Weaker (17)
0.71
0.76
0.75
0.62
0.67
0.89
Clean sheet %
45% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →