Clyde are tipped to lift a home win, with a 43% chance of victory, 28% for a draw and 29% for a Spartans win. The match is expected to see 2.7 goals, averaging two goals in the most likely total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 13.3% chance. Clyde, playing at home against a stronger side, average 1.79 goals scored and 1.14 conceded, while Spartans, on the road to a weaker opponent, average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 84.3%, Under 11.5 corners at 80.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 76.5%, Over 19.5 fouls at 76.3%, Under 3.5 at 71.2%, Under 25.5 fouls at 70.7%, and Under 10.5 corners at 70.3%. All picks are presented with their exact probabilities. The preview highlights Clyde’s favoured outcome while noting the expected goal count and key statistical trends.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Clyde, failed to deliver as the match finished 1-3 in favour of Spartans, extending their away winning run. The model had picked a home win at 43% probability, but this call was wrong. The final score of 1-3 confirmed the away victory. The model’s selections were mixed: Over 2.5 cards at 84.3% missed, Under 11.5 corners at 80.1% missed, Over 1.5 at 76.5% hit, Over 19.5 fouls at 76.3% missed, Under 3.5 at 71.2% missed, Under 25.5 fouls at 70.7% hit, and Under 10.5 corners at 70.3% missed. The game saw a total of four goals, surpassing the expected 2.7 and the most likely score of 2-1.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Clyde win✗ Miss
42.8%
Avg Implied 40.1% · @ 2.24
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.31
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartans win✓ Hit
29.3%
Avg Implied 32.8% · @ 2.74
Edge
-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Clyde
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.50
1.80
1.07
1.27
1.93
vs Stronger (26)
1.54
1.58
1.79
1.14
1.25
2.08
vs Similar (4)
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.33
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartans
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.43
1.62
0.94
1.29
2.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.29
1.79
1.40
1.00
1.22
2.22
vs Weaker (16)
1.62
1.12
1.73
0.91
1.40
1.60
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.5%
Under 1.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.8%
@ 1.79-0.5%
Under 2.5
49.2%
@ 1.89+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.8%
Under 3.5
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
Clyde goals ↓
Spartans goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
6.8%
4.9%
2.0%
0.6%
1
8.8%
13%
7.3%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.5%
9.1%
5.5%
2.2%
0.7%
3
3.8%
4.5%
2.7%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.4%
1.7%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Spartans goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
East Kilbride
1.92
Spartans
1.78
Clyde
1.56
Forfar
1.39
Stranraer
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Annan Athletic
1.14
Dumbarton
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.08
Stirling
1.06
Clyde is 0.22 points worse than Spartans in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
East Kilbride
2.14
Spartans
1.67
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.42
Forfar
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.31
Dumbarton
1.31
Stirling
1.28
Stranraer
1.28
Edinburgh City
1.25
Clyde is 0.06 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartans
1.08
Clyde
1.14
Stranraer
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Forfar
1.31
Elgin
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Dumbarton
1.69
Stirling
1.75
Edinburgh City
2.00
Clyde is 0.06 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.08).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Clyde
For 6.6 · Against 4.5 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.4 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartans
For 2.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 10.3 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Clyde
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.4
9.9
3.6
3.8
3.5
23.0
23.6
22.3
vs Stronger (45)
9.6
9.5
9.8
3.6
3.9
3.3
23.5
24.0
23.0
vs Similar (5)
10.0
9.0
10.7
3.8
2.0
5.0
18.8
19.5
18.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
49%
48%
50%
50%
56%
44%
61%
67%
55%
% under line
51%
52%
50%
50%
44%
56%
39%
33%
45%
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartans
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.4
8.4
3.3
3.2
3.3
22.0
22.8
21.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
8.4
8.8
8.1
2.6
2.5
2.7
23.4
25.1
22.1
vs Weaker (24)
9.3
9.9
8.7
4.0
3.8
4.2
20.8
21.2
20.4
% over line
44%
47%
40%
52%
56%
48%
54%
58%
50%
% under line
56%
53%
60%
48%
44%
52%
46%
42%
50%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
East Kilbride
13.5
Dumbarton
10.8
Stirling
10.2
Annan Athletic
10.0
Clyde
9.9
Forfar
9.6
Elgin
9.3
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.1
Stranraer
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
7.5
Elgin
4.7
Edinburgh City
4.6
Forfar
4.6
Stirling
4.4
Clyde
4.2
Stranraer
4.0
Spartans
4.0
Annan Athletic
3.6
Dumbarton
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
31.0
Forfar
24.8
Elgin
23.9
Edinburgh City
23.9
Clyde
22.6
Spartans
22.3
Stirling
21.7
Stranraer
20.1
Annan Athletic
20.0
Dumbarton
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
41.6%
Under 9.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
68.4%
Under 3.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
61.2%
Under 21.5
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Clyde
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.73
0.53
0.40
1.00
vs Stronger (26)
0.58
0.81
0.79
0.57
0.33
1.08
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartans
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.44
0.56
0.71
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.71
0.20
0.60
0.78
0.78
vs Weaker (16)
0.56
0.56
0.55
0.55
0.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Clyde
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.73
1.07
0.53
0.87
0.93
vs Stronger (26)
0.96
0.77
1.00
0.57
0.92
1.00
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartans
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.80
1.19
0.38
0.57
1.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.71
1.07
1.20
0.40
0.44
1.44
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
0.56
1.18
0.36
0.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
East Kilbride
Forfar
Stranraer
Elgin
Annan Athletic
Dumbarton
Edinburgh City
Stirling