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Clyde vs Stranraer Result & Analysis

Date: 01/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 3-1
Clyde
Clyde
Vs
45%
27%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Clyde a 45% win probability against Stranraer in the Scotland: League Two on 2026-08-01, with 27% for the draw and 28% for Stranraer. The model estimates around 2.8 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (25%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (12.9%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (78%).

Results analysis

Clyde finished 3-1 against Stranraer (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 45% home win, 27% draw and 28% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (78%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Clyde win✓ Hit
44.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stranraer win✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L31W20W20W31W05L20W11D11D34LA·ELG28/03H·STI04/04A·EDI11/04H·DUM18/04H·ANN25/04A·EAS02/05H·SPA05/05A·SPA09/05H·HAM12/05A·HAM15/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.201.870.871.331.53
vs Stronger (24)1.671.291.911.001.461.54
vs Similar (6)1.330.831.750.500.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L21W12L31W01L11D21W01L11D10WA·DUM10/03H·EAS14/03A·CLY21/03H·CLY24/03A·ANN28/03H·DUM04/04A·SPA11/04H·FOR18/04H·STI25/04A·ELG02/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.201.331.201.531.20
vs Stronger (20)1.501.201.101.201.901.20
vs Similar (10)1.301.201.801.200.801.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.7%
Under 2.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.5%
Under 3.5
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.8%
No
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
Clyde goals ↓
Stranraer goals →
01234
07.4%6.3%4.5%1.8%0.5%
18.6%13%7.1%2.8%0.9%
27.7%9.3%5.6%2.2%0.7%
34.1%4.9%2.9%1.2%0.4%
41.6%1.9%1.2%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Stranraer goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Spartans
1.78
Clyde
1.56
Forfar
1.39
Kelty Hearts
1.36
Stranraer
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Annan Athletic
1.14
Dumbarton
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.08
Stirling
1.06
Clyde is 0.25 points better than Stranraer in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.31).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Spartans
1.67
Clyde
1.61
Kelty Hearts
1.47
Forfar
1.42
Elgin
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.31
Dumbarton
1.31
Stirling
1.28
Stranraer
1.28
Edinburgh City
1.25
Clyde is 0.33 goals better than Stranraer in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spartans
1.08
Clyde
1.14
Stranraer
1.28
Forfar
1.31
Kelty Hearts
1.47
Elgin
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Dumbarton
1.69
Stirling
1.75
Edinburgh City
2.00
Clyde is 0.14 goals better than Stranraer in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.28).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ClydeClyde

For 5.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

1505574315310594192534861011481513107714A·EASH·ANNH·DUMA·EDIH·STIA·ELGA·STRH·STRA·SPAA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8022111212222112144134233242384A·EASH·ANNH·DUMA·EDIH·STIA·ELGA·STRH·STRA·SPAA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 10.0 · Total 20.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

22012713561081381310101111148813101019181621212022222120A·EASH·ANNH·DUMA·EDIH·STIA·ELGA·STRH·STRA·SPAA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StranraerStranraer

For 7.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 10.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

16013351768166915273103541661391210710139H·STIH·FORA·SPAH·DUMA·ANNH·CLYA·CLYH·EASA·DUMA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7013254123311123322324752623645H·STIH·FORA·SPAH·DUMA·ANNH·CLYA·CLYH·EASA·DUMA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

36010121191366121312111181415215718822201918252222361226H·STIH·FORA·SPAH·DUMA·ANNH·CLYA·CLYH·EASA·DUMA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.59.44.03.84.221.822.920.8
vs Stronger (41)10.211.29.33.93.84.121.523.119.9
vs Similar (9)8.47.09.64.13.84.423.022.023.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line43%55%33%62%50%73%48%59%38%
% under line57%45%67%38%50%27%52%41%62%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.010.94.14.34.022.222.821.5
vs Stronger (34)10.39.611.24.24.44.022.923.821.7
vs Similar (16)10.610.810.43.93.93.920.820.621.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line59%58%61%58%62%54%51%54%48%
% under line41%42%39%42%38%46%49%46%52%
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
11.0
Dumbarton
10.5
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.7
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.1
Forfar
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
5.1
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.5%
Under 9.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.4%
Under 3.5
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
50.0%
Under 21.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸ”Ē 6. Odd / Even

ðŸĨ… 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 8. Handicap

ðŸ”Ĩ 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Clyde vs Stranraer · H/A from CLY
DateH/AGameScore
24/03/26AStranraer Vs CLY3-1
21/03/26HCLY Vs Stranraer2-1
08/11/25HCLY Vs Stranraer0-0
23/08/25AStranraer Vs CLY1-1
29/03/25AStranraer Vs CLY1-2
08/02/25HCLY Vs Stranraer2-0
28/12/24AStranraer Vs CLY1-1
10/08/24HCLY Vs Stranraer1-0

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26AHamilton Academical Vs CLY4-3
12/05/26HCLY Vs Hamilton Academical1-1
09/05/26ASpartans Vs CLY1-1
05/05/26HCLY Vs Spartans2-0
02/05/26AEast Kilbride Vs CLY5-0
25/04/26HCLY Vs Annan Athletic3-1
18/04/26HCLY Vs Dumbarton2-0
11/04/26AEdinburgh City Vs CLY0-2
04/04/26HCLY Vs Stirling3-1
28/03/26AElgin Vs CLY2-0

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26AElgin Vs STR0-1
25/04/26HSTR Vs Stirling1-1
18/04/26HSTR Vs Forfar0-1
11/04/26ASpartans Vs STR1-2
04/04/26HSTR Vs Dumbarton1-1
28/03/26AAnnan Athletic Vs STR1-0
24/03/26HSTR Vs Clyde3-1
21/03/26AClyde Vs STR2-1
14/03/26HSTR Vs East Kilbride2-1
10/03/26ADumbarton Vs STR2-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL1.54
HomeWWWWD1.83
AwayLWLDL1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%31%
AVG goals2.882.832.92
Over 1.5 %86%83%88%
Over 2.5 %52%58%46%
Over 3.5 %32%38%27%
Scored1.681.831.54
Conceded1.201.001.38
BTTS66%71%62%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners9.8910.459.38
Cards4.304.094.50
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDW1.26
HomeWWDLD1.23
AwayLLLWW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%31%38%
AVG goals2.442.272.62
Over 1.5 %74%73%75%
Over 2.5 %50%42%58%
Over 3.5 %22%15%29%
Scored1.201.151.25
Conceded1.241.121.38
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet22%19%25%
Corners10.419.9610.91
Cards4.204.274.13

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ElginElgin37
67%
2.3
102+8
4.0
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.30.7
-
2ForfarForfar37
67%
2.3
51+4
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.3
-
3ClydeClyde36
67%
2.0
53+2
2.7
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.0
-
4SpartansSpartans34
33%
1.3
65+1
3.7
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
5Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City34
33%
1.3
57-2
4.0
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.3
-
6Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic33
33%
1.0
46-2
3.3
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
7StirlingStirling33
33%
1.0
46-2
3.3
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
8StranraerStranraer33
33%
1.0
24-2
2.0
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
9Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts33
33%
1.0
47-3
3.7
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.32.3
-
10DumbartonDumbarton33
33%
1.0
15-4
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.7
-
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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