Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC Result & Analysis

Coleraine FC are tipped to win, with a 49% chance of triumph, a 27% chance of a draw and a 25% chance of a Cliftonville FC win. The match is expected to see 2.8 goals on average, but the most likely total is two goals, with a 25% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.6% chance. Coleraine’s home form shows they average 1.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded against similar opposition, while Cliftonville’s away record is 1.0 scored and 2.67 conceded versus comparable teams. The model’s selection is Over 1.5, with a 78.2% probability of hitting. The home win probability is 49%, the draw probability 27%, and the away win probability 25%. All figures are taken directly from the model’s output.

The surprise came early as the pre-match favourite, a home win for Coleraine FC, failed to materialise. The final score of 2-4 gave Cliftonville FC the away victory, extending their recent run of two straight defeats before the win. The model had picked a home win with a 49% probability, but that call was wrong. The only other selection was Over 1.5 goals, with a 78.2% chance, and it hit as the match produced six goals. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 was not achieved, and the model’s expected total of 2.8 goals fell short of the actual six. Overall, the prediction missed the decisive outcome but correctly identified the goal-rich nature of the game.