Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC Result & Analysis

The clash between Coleraine FC and Cliftonville FC is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but leaving room for both sides to claim victory. The probabilities are 38% for a Coleraine win, 28% for a draw and 34% for a Cliftonville win, making the home side the slight favourite. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 with a 13.5% chance. Coleraine, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded, while Cliftonville, on the road, averages 0.88 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 76.1% and Under 3.5 goals at 71.7%. The recent form adds intrigue: Coleraine are on a two-game winning run after a 3-0 win over Portadown, whereas Cliftonville have just recovered from two straight defeats, their last game a 0-2 loss to Dungannon Swifts. All figures are presented as percentages, with no other outcome or selection given a win probability.

The upset came early, with Cliftonville FC snatching a 2-1 victory over Coleraine FC, ending the home side’s two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 38% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the away win. The model’s other selections performed well: Over 1.5, with a 76.1% chance, hit, and Under 3.5, at 71.7%, also hit. Coleraine’s recent form shows a 2-game winning run, while Cliftonville’s last five contain two straight defeats. The predicted most likely score of 1-1, at 13.5%, did not materialise, but the overall goal total of 2, at 26%, was close to the 2.7 expectation.