Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with a 44% chance for Cliftonville, 29% for Coleraine and 27% for a draw. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderately high-scoring encounter, yet the most likely total is 2, a 25% probability. The single scoreline the model sees as most probable is 1-1, with a 12.8% chance. Coleraine, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.64 conceded, while Cliftonville on the road averages 2.1 scored and 1.5 conceded against comparable teams. The model’s only suggested pick is Over 1.5 goals, with a 78.8% probability. In short, expect a balanced match that edges toward a 1-1 draw, but Cliftonville’s stronger away form gives them the edge, and the likelihood of more than one and a half goals is high.

The match ended 2-2, a draw that left the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick for an away win, disappointed. The model had assigned a 44% probability to Cliftonville taking the game, but the result was a stalemate, so the call was wrong. The model’s other selection, Over 1.5 goals, hit its mark, with a 78.8% chance and the game delivering four goals. Coleraine, riding a two-game winning run, and Cliftonville, after two straight defeats, both struggled to break the deadlock. The final score of 2-2 matched the most likely 1-1 or 1-2 outcomes, but the draw was the ultimate surprise.