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Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC Result & Analysis

Date: 14/03/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Coleraine FC
Coleraine FC
Vs
50%
26%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cliftonville FC
Cliftonville FC
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Coleraine FC are tipped to lift the trophy at home, with a 50% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 24% chance of Cliftonville winning. The model expects 2.9 goals in total, with a 25% probability that the match will end with exactly two goals. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 12.4% chance. Coleraine’s home form shows they average 2.44 goals scored and concede just one against teams of similar strength, while Cliftonville’s away record against comparable opponents yields 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals carries a 78.9% probability, with no edge noted. The final score last time was 1-0 in favour of the home side.

Results analysis

Coleraine FC continued a solid run, extending their two-game winning streak with a 1-0 triumph over Cliftonville FC, the match ending in a home win as the model predicted. The pre-match favourite was a home win, assigned a 50% probability, and the model’s call proved correct. The only other selection was Over 1.5 goals, given a 78.9% chance, which unfortunately missed. The final score of 1-0 matched the most likely 1-0 outcome, though the model had highlighted a 2-1 possibility. Coleraine’s recent form of WWDWL and Cliftonville’s LLWWL underscore the day’s tough selections, yet the model’s prediction held.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Coleraine FC win✓ Hit
49.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC win✗ Miss
24.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L31W03L51W20W20W21W11D10W13LA·BAL26/12H·LIN30/12A·LAR02/01H·CRU17/01H·GLE23/01A·BAN31/01H·POR10/02A·CAR14/02H·BAL20/02A·DUN28/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.002.500.861.501.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.901.052.441.001.501.08
vs Weaker (9)2.110.892.600.601.501.25
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Cliftonville FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D14L12L31W23L52W04L20W20W10WA·BAL13/01H·CAR17/01A·GLE31/01H·BAN10/02A·DUN13/02H·CRU21/02H·GLE24/02H·LIN01/03A·POR04/03A·CRU10/03
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.401.751.441.361.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.321.271.331.171.301.40
vs Weaker (8)2.251.753.002.251.501.25
Clean sheet %30% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Coleraine FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.3%
Under 2.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.8%
No
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-0 ✓
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
Coleraine FC goals ↓
Cliftonville FC goals →
01234
06.9%5.4%3.7%1.4%0.4%
18.8%12%6.4%2.4%0.7%
28.5%9.7%5.5%2.1%0.6%
34.8%5.5%3.1%1.2%0.3%
42.1%2.4%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Coleraine FC goals (down), columns = Cliftonville FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larne
2.18
Coleraine FC
2.11
Glentoran
2.03
Linfield
1.77
Annagh United
1.50
Carrick Rangers
1.36
Cliftonville FC
1.36
Dungannon Swifts
1.27
Portadown
1.16
Ballymena United
1.03
Bangor
1.03
Crusaders FC
0.97
Glenavon FC
0.74
Coleraine FC is 0.75 points better than Cliftonville FC in terms of average points per game (2.11 vs 1.36).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coleraine FC
2.18
Annagh United
2.00
Glentoran
1.92
Larne
1.92
Carrick Rangers
1.67
Linfield
1.64
Cliftonville FC
1.44
Crusaders FC
1.30
Ballymena United
1.21
Dungannon Swifts
1.17
Portadown
1.16
Bangor
1.08
Glenavon FC
0.97
Coleraine FC is 0.75 goals better than Cliftonville FC in terms of goals scored per game (2.18 vs 1.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Larne
0.68
Linfield
0.87
Coleraine FC
0.97
Glentoran
1.00
Ballymena United
1.53
Carrick Rangers
1.56
Cliftonville FC
1.56
Bangor
1.71
Portadown
1.74
Glenavon FC
1.82
Dungannon Swifts
2.00
Annagh United
2.00
Crusaders FC
2.12
Coleraine FC is 0.59 goals better than Cliftonville FC in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D01L10W20W01L11D10W03LA·BAL26/12H·LIN30/12A·LAR02/01H·CRU17/01H·GLE23/01A·BAN31/01H·POR10/02A·CAR14/02H·BAL20/02A·DUN28/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.530.790.570.690.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.670.570.780.670.580.50
vs Weaker (9)0.890.440.800.401.000.50
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Cliftonville FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D13L11D10W11D21W00D00D10W00DA·BAL13/01H·CAR17/01A·GLE31/01H·BAN10/02A·DUN13/02H·CRU21/02H·GLE24/02H·LIN01/03A·POR04/03A·CRU10/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.560.690.640.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.410.550.330.420.500.70
vs Weaker (8)1.121.001.251.501.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Coleraine FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Coleraine FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L31W03L50W10W00D20W00D00D10WA·BAL26/12H·LIN30/12A·LAR02/01H·CRU17/01H·GLE23/01A·BAN31/01H·POR10/02A·CAR14/02H·BAL20/02A·DUN28/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.471.710.290.810.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.240.481.670.330.920.58
vs Weaker (9)1.220.441.800.200.500.75
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Cliftonville FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L01L21W12L31W04L20W10W10WA·BAL13/01H·CAR17/01A·GLE31/01H·BAN10/02A·DUN13/02H·CRU21/02H·GLE24/02H·LIN01/03A·POR04/03A·CRU10/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.731.190.750.710.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.910.731.000.750.800.70
vs Weaker (8)1.120.751.750.750.500.75
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Coleraine FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Coleraine FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
BAN (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
GF (13)
€1m
Coleraine FC and Cliftonville FC have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
BAN (4)
€0m
GF (3)
€0m
Coleraine FC and Cliftonville FC have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
BAN (5)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
GF (1)
€0m
Coleraine FC and Cliftonville FC have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
BAN (11)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
GF (9)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
Coleraine FC and Cliftonville FC have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
CF wins
4
Draws
4
CF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC · H/A from CF
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/25ACliftonville FC Vs CF1-0
16/08/25ACliftonville FC Vs CF0-0
11/05/25HCF Vs Cliftonville FC0-2
18/03/25HCF Vs Cliftonville FC2-2
04/02/25HCF Vs Cliftonville FC0-0
22/10/24ACliftonville FC Vs CF2-1
06/04/24HCF Vs Cliftonville FC2-2
10/02/24ACliftonville FC Vs CF4-1

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26ADungannon Swifts Vs CF3-1
20/02/26HCF Vs Ballymena United1-0
14/02/26ACarrick Rangers Vs CF1-1
10/02/26HCF Vs Portadown2-1
31/01/26ABangor Vs CF0-2
23/01/26HCF Vs Glenavon FC2-0
17/01/26HCF Vs Crusaders FC5-1
02/01/26ALarne Vs CF3-0
30/12/25HCF Vs Linfield3-1
26/12/25ABallymena United Vs CF2-0

Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/26ACrusaders FC Vs CF0-1
04/03/26APortadown Vs CF0-2
01/03/26HCF Vs Linfield2-0
24/02/26HCF Vs Glentoran0-4
21/02/26HCF Vs Crusaders FC5-2
13/02/26ADungannon Swifts Vs CF3-2
10/02/26HCF Vs Bangor3-1
31/01/26AGlenavon FC Vs CF2-1
17/01/26HCF Vs Carrick Rangers1-4
13/01/26ABallymena United Vs CF2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Coleraine FC
Coleraine FC
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.84
HomeWWWWW2.08
AwayLLWDL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%65%46%
AVG goals2.642.772.50
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %26%31%21%
Scored1.641.851.42
Conceded1.000.921.08
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet38%42%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Cliftonville FC
Cliftonville FC
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.62
HomeLWWLW1.88
AwayDLLWW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%56%36%
AVG goals2.943.122.76
Over 1.5 %82%88%76%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %40%40%40%
Scored1.701.961.44
Conceded1.241.161.32
BTTS52%44%60%
Clean Sheet36%44%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LarneLarne3883
66%
2.2
7326+47
2.6
79%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.90.7
-
2Coleraine FCColeraine FC3880
66%
2.1
8337+46
3.2
87%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.21.0
-
3GlentoranGlentoran3877
61%
2.0
7338+35
2.9
79%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.0
-
4LinfieldLinfield3969
51%
1.8
6434+30
2.5
72%
49%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.60.9
-
5Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers3953
38%
1.4
6561+4
3.2
82%
62%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.71.6
-
6Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC3953
38%
1.4
5661-5
3.0
77%
59%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.6
-
7Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts4152
41%
1.3
4882-34
3.2
83%
59%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0111.22.0
-
8PortadownPortadown3844
34%
1.2
4466-22
2.9
82%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.7
-
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena United3839
26%
1.0
4658-12
2.7
89%
47%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.5
-
10BangorBangor3839
26%
1.0
4165-24
2.8
79%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.7
-
11Crusaders FCCrusaders FC4039
28%
1.0
5285-33
3.4
85%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.32.1
-
12Glenavon FCGlenavon FC3828
21%
0.7
3769-32
2.8
79%
58%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.8
-
13Annagh UnitedAnnagh United23
50%
1.5
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

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