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Coleraine FC vs Dungannon Swifts Result & Analysis

Date: 05/04/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 3-2
Coleraine FC
Coleraine FC
Vs
35%
29%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Coleraine FC win✓ Hit
35.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts win✗ Miss
36.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W12L20W20W10W11D22D10W12LH·CLI04/02A·CAR08/02H·GLE14/02A·LIN22/02H·POR01/03A·GLE08/03A·LAR15/03H·CLI18/03H·POR22/03A·GLE01/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.271.501.211.501.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.431.301.331.171.551.45
vs Weaker (7)1.711.142.501.501.401.00
Clean sheet %30% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L11D01L31W10W03L20W11D03L11DH·GLE17/01H·COL25/01A·GLE08/02H·CAR15/02A·LAR22/02H·BAL08/03A·CLI12/03A·POR15/03H·LIN24/03H·LAR01/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.201.311.381.501.00
vs Stronger (9)0.671.000.401.201.000.75
vs Similar (21)1.711.291.731.451.701.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Coleraine FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.5%
Under 1.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.4%
Under 2.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.5%
Under 3.5
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
1-0
8.0%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
Coleraine FC goals ↓
Dungannon Swifts goals →
01234
08.3%8.2%6.3%2.8%0.9%
18.0%14%8.3%3.7%1.2%
26.1%8.1%5.4%2.4%0.8%
32.7%3.6%2.4%1.1%0.4%
40.9%1.2%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Coleraine FC goals (down), columns = Dungannon Swifts goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Linfield
2.24
Larne
1.66
Cliftonville FC
1.60
Glentoran
1.56
Dungannon Swifts
1.50
Portadown
1.47
Coleraine FC
1.45
Crusaders FC
1.38
Ballymena United
1.24
Glenavon FC
1.21
Carrick Rangers
0.95
Loughgall
0.58
Annagh United
0.00
Coleraine FC is 0.05 points worse than Dungannon Swifts in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Linfield
1.82
Cliftonville FC
1.55
Annagh United
1.50
Coleraine FC
1.40
Dungannon Swifts
1.34
Portadown
1.26
Glentoran
1.26
Ballymena United
1.24
Larne
1.21
Crusaders FC
1.21
Glenavon FC
1.11
Carrick Rangers
1.00
Loughgall
0.95
Coleraine FC is 0.06 goals better than Dungannon Swifts in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.34).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Linfield
0.74
Larne
0.87
Glentoran
1.00
Cliftonville FC
1.02
Portadown
1.18
Glenavon FC
1.24
Dungannon Swifts
1.26
Coleraine FC
1.30
Crusaders FC
1.38
Ballymena United
1.42
Carrick Rangers
1.55
Loughgall
2.24
Annagh United
4.00
Coleraine FC is 0.04 goals worse than Dungannon Swifts in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D01L10W10W00D00D00D00D01LH·CLI04/02A·CAR08/02H·GLE14/02A·LIN22/02H·POR01/03A·GLE08/03A·LAR15/03H·CLI18/03H·POR22/03A·GLE01/04
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.360.790.560.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.480.610.330.670.640.55
vs Weaker (7)0.430.710.501.500.400.40
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W00D30W10W01L00D00D02L11DH·GLE17/01H·COL25/01A·GLE08/02H·CAR15/02A·LAR22/02H·BAL08/03A·CLI12/03A·POR15/03H·LIN24/03H·LAR01/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.330.810.560.640.07
vs Stronger (9)0.440.330.400.600.500.00
vs Similar (21)0.860.331.000.550.700.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %80% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Coleraine FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Coleraine FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W11D10W10W10W11D22D10W11DH·CLI04/02A·CAR08/02H·GLE14/02A·LIN22/02H·POR01/03A·GLE08/03A·LAR15/03H·CLI18/03H·POR22/03A·GLE01/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.631.140.430.940.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.960.701.000.500.910.91
vs Weaker (7)1.290.432.000.001.000.60
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L01L01L00D02L20W11D01L00DH·GLE17/01H·COL25/01A·GLE08/02H·CAR15/02A·LAR22/02H·BAL08/03A·CLI12/03A·POR15/03H·LIN24/03H·LAR01/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.870.500.810.860.93
vs Stronger (9)0.220.670.000.600.500.75
vs Similar (21)0.860.950.730.911.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Coleraine FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Coleraine FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
GF (13)
€1m
LOU (3)
€0m
Coleraine FC and Dungannon Swifts have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
GF (3)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
Coleraine FC and Dungannon Swifts have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
GF (1)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
Coleraine FC and Dungannon Swifts have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
GF (9)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
LOU (2)
€0m
Coleraine FC and Dungannon Swifts have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
CF wins
4
Draws
1
DS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Coleraine FC vs Dungannon Swifts · H/A from CF
DateH/AGameScore
25/01/25ADungannon Swifts Vs CF1-1
02/11/24HCF Vs Dungannon Swifts4-1
10/08/24ADungannon Swifts Vs CF1-1
23/03/24HCF Vs Dungannon Swifts1-1
16/12/23HCF Vs Dungannon Swifts2-3
25/08/23ADungannon Swifts Vs CF2-2
28/01/23ADungannon Swifts Vs CF0-3
03/12/22HCF Vs Dungannon Swifts2-0

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/04/25AGlentoran Vs CF2-1
22/03/25HCF Vs Portadown1-0
18/03/25HCF Vs Cliftonville FC2-2
15/03/25ALarne Vs CF1-1
08/03/25AGlenavon FC Vs CF0-1
01/03/25HCF Vs Portadown2-0
22/02/25ALinfield Vs CF0-2
14/02/25HCF Vs Glentoran1-2
08/02/25ACarrick Rangers Vs CF0-1
04/02/25HCF Vs Cliftonville FC0-0

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/04/25HDS Vs Larne1-1
24/03/25HDS Vs Linfield0-3
15/03/25APortadown Vs DS1-1
12/03/25ACliftonville FC Vs DS0-2
08/03/25HDS Vs Ballymena United0-3
22/02/25ALarne Vs DS0-1
15/02/25HDS Vs Carrick Rangers3-1
08/02/25AGlentoran Vs DS1-0
25/01/25HDS Vs Coleraine FC1-1
17/01/25HDS Vs Glenavon FC2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Coleraine FC
Coleraine FC
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWL1.38
HomeDLWDW1.54
AwayWWWDL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%42%31%
AVG goals2.842.623.04
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored1.401.421.38
Conceded1.441.211.65
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet30%29%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLD1.60
HomeDWLLD1.70
AwayWLWWD1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%43%
AVG goals2.782.812.74
Over 1.5 %80%81%78%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %30%33%26%
Scored1.521.591.43
Conceded1.261.221.30
BTTS46%41%52%
Clean Sheet34%37%30%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LinfieldLinfield3885
71%
2.2
6928+41
2.6
71%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.80.7
-
2Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC4064
48%
1.6
6241+21
2.6
78%
45%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
3LarneLarne3863
45%
1.7
4633+13
2.1
66%
34%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.20.9
-
4GlentoranGlentoran3961
44%
1.6
4939+10
2.3
67%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.0
-
5Coleraine FCColeraine FC4058
40%
1.4
5652+4
2.7
80%
55%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.3
-
6Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts3857
45%
1.5
5148+3
2.6
71%
42%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0111.31.3
-
7PortadownPortadown3856
42%
1.5
4845+3
2.4
76%
42%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.2
-
8Crusaders FCCrusaders FC3954
41%
1.4
4754-7
2.6
67%
51%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.4
-
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena United3847
37%
1.2
4754-7
2.7
66%
47%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.4
-
10Glenavon FCGlenavon FC3846
32%
1.2
4247-5
2.3
71%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.2
-
11Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers4038
22%
0.9
4062-22
2.5
70%
55%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.6
-
12LoughgallLoughgall3822
13%
0.6
3685-49
3.2
82%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
13Annagh UnitedAnnagh United20
0%
0.0
38-5
5.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.54.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

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