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Colwyn Bay vs Airbus UK Result & Analysis

Date: 21/08/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 1-0
Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay
Vs
41%
27%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Airbus UK
Airbus UK
Wales: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

This Wales Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Airbus UK is finely balanced, with Colwyn Bay coming off a draw against Ammanford AFC, while Airbus UK suffered a 0-2 defeat to Cardiff MET. Colwyn Bay's home form has seen them score an average of 1.45 goals, conceding 1.18, against weaker opponents, whereas Airbus UK's away form has seen them score 2.82 goals, conceding 1.18, against stronger opponents.

Colwyn Bay are the favourites to win, with a 41% chance of a home win, closely followed by a 32% chance of an Airbus UK away win and a 27% chance of a draw. The model's selection is a home win, and the expected total goals is 2.9. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12.8% probability.

Colwyn Bay's home scoring and conceding statistics suggest they may struggle to break down Airbus UK's defence. The model's selection includes Over 1.5, with a 79% probability, and Airbus UK's away scoring form indicates they may score a few goals. Colwyn Bay has a 41% chance of winning, a 27% chance of drawing, and a 32% chance of losing.

Results analysis

Colwyn Bay’s recent win over Airbus UK extended their good run at home, and the Pythia model’s prediction of a home win was spot on, with a 41 % probability. The match finished 1-0, confirming the favoured outcome. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.1 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6 %, Under 6.5 at 97.3 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.3 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 93.1 %, Under 5.5 at 93.0 %, and Home under 1.5 HT goals at 89.8 %. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s result was reported exactly as recorded.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colwyn Bay win✓ Hit
40.6%
Avg Implied 59.9% · @ 1.50
Edge
-19.3%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.53
888Sport
1.53
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 22.4% · @ 4.03
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.40
Pinnacle
4.28
Unibet
4.10
10Bet
4.10
Superbet
4.10
Airbus UK win✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied 17.7% · @ 5.09
Edge
+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.53
Betfair
5.50
Dafabet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.35
10Bet
5.20

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Colwyn BayColwyn Bay

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L31W20W00D02L11D00D20W22D03LA·CAE27/02H·BAR14/03A·THE20/03A·PEN28/03H·CAE03/04A·GAP18/04H·PEN25/04H·TRE31/07A·AMM07/08A·CAE15/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.271.861.361.191.19
vs Stronger (3)0.671.000.002.001.000.50
vs Similar (25)1.561.322.001.421.151.23
vs Weaker (2)2.001.002.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Airbus UK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airbus UKAirbus UK

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-821W50W80W23L30W30W31W10W02L20WA·CAE07/03A·BRI10/03H·MOL13/03A·DEN20/03H·GUI28/03A·HOL03/04H·LLA18/04A·HAV01/08H·CAR07/08H·AMM14/08← FAW ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.870.833.140.572.621.06
vs Stronger (27)2.780.893.000.672.601.07
vs Similar (3)3.670.334.000.003.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Colwyn Bay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.0%
@ 1.19+2.3%
Under 1.5
21.0%
@ 3.94-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.20
888Sport
1.18
Under
888Sport
4.50
10Bet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.4%
@ 1.66-1.2%
Under 2.5
45.6%
@ 2.08+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Pinnacle
1.70
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Under
888Sport
2.25
Unibet
2.23
10Bet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.11
1xBet
2.07
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.1%
@ 2.62-2.8%
Under 3.5
67.9%
@ 1.40+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.77
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.67
1xBet
2.66
Under
Unibet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
888Sport
1.44
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.8%
@ 1.74+6.3%
No
41.2%
@ 1.93-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.80
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.78
No
Unibet
2.06
888Sport
2.05
1xBet
1.96
Betfair
1.95
10Bet
1.95

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%@ 7.28+6.7%
2-1
8.9%@ 7.19+2.7%
1-2
7.8%@ 15.29+4.9%
1-0 ✓
7.6%@ 6.93+1.2%
0-0
6.9%@ 12.00+3.2%
2-0
6.7%@ 7.10+0.4%
0-1
6.5%@ 14.13+3.4%
2-2
5.9%@ 14.96+3.0%
Colwyn Bay goals ↓
Airbus UK goals →
01234
06.9%6.5%5.1%2.3%0.8%
17.6%13%7.8%3.5%1.2%
26.7%8.9%5.9%2.6%0.9%
33.4%4.5%3.0%1.3%0.4%
41.3%1.7%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Colwyn Bay goals (down), columns = Airbus UK goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
Penybont
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Cardiff MET
2.00
Caernarfon Town
2.00
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Airbus UK
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Briton Ferry
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.33
Flint Town United
0.17
Trefelin
0.17
Holywell
0.00
Colwyn Bay is 0.17 points better than Airbus UK in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barry Town
2.83
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.83
The New Saints
2.67
Cardiff MET
2.67
Caernarfon Town
2.50
Llandudno
2.17
Airbus UK
1.83
Penybont
1.67
Holywell
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Flint Town United
1.00
Briton Ferry
0.83
Ammanford AFC
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Trefelin
0.33
Colwyn Bay is 0.50 goals worse than Airbus UK in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Penybont
0.83
Llandudno
1.17
Barry Town
1.17
Cardiff MET
1.17
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Airbus UK
1.50
Caernarfon Town
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Briton Ferry
1.67
Flint Town United
1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.33
Trefelin
2.83
Holywell
4.33
Colwyn Bay is 0.17 goals worse than Airbus UK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Colwyn Bay or Draw✓ Hit
67.8%
Avg Implied 82.2% · @ 1.11
Edge
-14.4%
41%
27%
32%
covers Colwyn Bay + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.14
888Sport
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Colwyn Bay or Airbus UK✓ Hit
72.8%
Avg Implied 78.5% · @ 1.17
Edge
-5.7%
41%
27%
32%
covers Colwyn Bay + Airbus UK
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Draw or Airbus UK✗ Miss
59.4%
Avg Implied 39.3% · @ 2.33
Edge
+20.0%
41%
27%
32%
covers Draw + Airbus UK
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.42
William Hil
2.40
Betfair
2.40
888Sport
2.40
10Bet
2.40

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Colwyn Bay over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.2%
@ 1.10-5.9%
Under
21.8%
@ 5.81+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
888Sport
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Under
888Sport
6.50
1xBet
6.30
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.30
Colwyn Bay over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.0%
@ 1.55-14.5%
Under
55.0%
@ 2.28+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.57
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.54
Under
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.32
888Sport
2.30
Unibet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.27
Colwyn Bay over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.7%
@ 2.71-14.3%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.40+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.84
Betano
2.80
1xBet
2.70
Superbet
2.67
888Sport
2.63
Under
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.41
888Sport
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.37
Colwyn Bay over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 5.35-10.5%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.13+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
888Sport
5.50
Betano
5.40
Bet365
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Airbus UK over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
73.7%
@ 1.52+13.0%
Under
26.3%
@ 2.34-13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Under
888Sport
2.45
Pinnacle
2.42
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.35
10Bet
2.35
Airbus UK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.6%
@ 3.46+11.9%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.26-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.74
Betano
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.45
888Sport
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Airbus UK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 8.96+4.7%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.04-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
10.00
Marathonbet
9.70
1xBet
9.50
Superbet
8.30
Betano
8.25
Under
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Airbus UK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 13.75-2.2%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.01+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Colwyn Bay, so a minus line means Colwyn Bay give that many goals of a start and Airbus UK receive them. At -1, Colwyn Bay must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Colwyn Bay win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Colwyn Bay)Actual: Airbus UK
Colwyn Bay -2
8.1%
@ 4.21-12.4%
Draw -2
12.5%
@ 4.25-7.8%
Airbus UK +2
79.4%
@ 1.46+20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.65
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
3.65
Draw
Marathonbet
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
3.60
Away
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.45
Unibet
1.43
Handicap -1 (Colwyn Bay)Actual: Draw
Colwyn Bay -1
20.6%
@ 2.35-16.4%
Draw -1
20.0%
@ 3.40-5.5%
Airbus UK +1
59.4%
@ 2.32+22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.41
10Bet
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.14
Draw
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Betfair
3.40
Unibet
3.00
Away
Betfair
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.31
Bet365
2.30
Unibet
2.20
Handicap +1 (Colwyn Bay)Actual: Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay +1
67.8%
@ 1.11-8.6%
Draw +1
17.4%
@ 5.83+2.9%
Airbus UK -1
14.8%
@ 9.45+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Bet365
12.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Handicap +2 (Colwyn Bay)Actual: Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay +2
85.2%
@ 1.03-6.4%
Draw +2
9.6%
@ 17.00+4.0%
Airbus UK -2
5.2%
@ 34.00+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
34.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Colwyn BayColwyn Bay

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W20W00D00D11D00D20W20W01LA·CAE27/02H·BAR14/03A·THE20/03A·PEN28/03H·CAE03/04A·GAP18/04H·PEN25/04H·TRE31/07A·AMM07/08A·CAE15/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.431.070.500.750.38
vs Stronger (3)0.670.330.000.001.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.840.481.080.580.620.38
vs Weaker (2)2.000.002.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Airbus UK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airbus UKAirbus UK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W30W02L00D10W10W00D01L10WA·CAE07/03A·BRI10/03H·MOL13/03A·DEN20/03H·GUI28/03A·HOL03/04H·LLA18/04A·HAV01/08H·CAR07/08H·AMM14/08← FAW ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.401.140.211.000.56
vs Stronger (27)1.070.441.080.251.070.60
vs Similar (3)1.000.001.500.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Colwyn Bay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
65.8%
@ 1.29-4.9%
Under 0.5
34.2%
@ 3.11+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Under
10Bet
3.30
William Hil
3.30
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.18
1xBet
3.18
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.9%
@ 2.40-6.2%
Under 1.5
68.1%
@ 1.48+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.55
Pinnacle
2.52
1xBet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.47
Under
Unibet
1.53
10Bet
1.53
William Hil
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.8%
@ 5.46-5.9%
Under 2.5
89.2%
@ 1.09+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.95
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.07

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Colwyn Bay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
40.8%
@ 1.59-17.4%
Under
59.2%
@ 2.21+17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathonbet
1.57
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Under
1xBet
2.28
Pinnacle
2.26
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.19
Betano
2.12
Colwyn Bay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 3.85-13.7%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.21+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.10
Betano
3.85
1xBet
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.24
Betano
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
Colwyn Bay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 9.38-8.5%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.02+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Airbus UK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.7%
@ 2.65+5.9%
Under
59.3%
@ 1.41-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.81
Marathonbet
2.67
Betano
2.67
Superbet
2.62
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.46
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Airbus UK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.3%
@ 8.90+2.8%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.03-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Airbus UK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Colwyn BayColwyn Bay

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L21W00D00D02L00D00D00D02L02LA·CAE27/02H·BAR14/03A·THE20/03A·PEN28/03H·CAE03/04A·GAP18/04H·PEN25/04H·TRE31/07A·AMM07/08A·CAE15/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.790.860.440.81
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.720.840.920.830.540.85
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Airbus UK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airbus UKAirbus UK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W30W50W21W30W20W21W10W01L10WA·CAE07/03A·BRI10/03H·MOL13/03A·DEN20/03H·GUI28/03A·HOL03/04H·LLA18/04A·HAV01/08H·CAR07/08H·AMM14/08← FAW ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.432.000.361.620.50
vs Stronger (27)1.700.441.920.421.530.47
vs Similar (3)2.670.332.500.003.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Colwyn Bay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Colwyn Bay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airbus UK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airbus UK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airbus UK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.6%1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
---+8.5%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.3%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
--+5.0%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals95.3%1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
---+2.2%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.1%1.13
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
-+10.5%✓ Hit
Under 5.593.0%1.04
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
+4.1%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals89.8%1.21
1xBet
1.24
Betano
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
--+13.7%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals89.2%1.09
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.07
+5.9%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals86.7%1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.02
----2.8%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap85.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03
-----6.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals84.9%1.04
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-4.7%✓ Hit
Under 4.583.8%1.13
888Sport
1.18
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.12
+3.2%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals80.3%1.40
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.41
888Sport
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.37
+14.3%✓ Hit
Over 1.579.0%1.19
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.20
888Sport
1.18
+2.3%✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals78.2%1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
888Sport
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
-5.9%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals73.7%1.52
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
+13.0%✗ Miss
Home or Away72.8%1.17
William Hil
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
-5.7%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Colwyn Bay's squad is €1m more valuable than Airbus UK's (€1m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Colwyn Bay and Airbus UK have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
Colwyn Bay and Airbus UK have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Colwyn Bay and Airbus UK have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
CB wins
1
Draws
0
AU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Colwyn Bay vs Airbus UK · H/A from CB
DateH/AGameScore
08/02/25AAirbus UK Vs CB1-1
27/09/24HCB Vs Airbus UK6-3

Colwyn BayColwyn Bay

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26ACaernarfon Town Vs CB3-0
07/08/26AAmmanford AFC Vs CB2-2
31/07/26HCB Vs Trefelin2-0
25/04/26HCB Vs Penybont0-0
18/04/26AGAP Connah S Quay FC Vs CB1-1
03/04/26HCB Vs Caernarfon Town0-2
28/03/26APenybont Vs CB0-0
20/03/26AThe New Saints Vs CB0-2
14/03/26HCB Vs Barry Town3-1
27/02/26ACaernarfon Town Vs CB3-0

Airbus UKAirbus UK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/26HAU Vs Ammanford AFC2-0
07/08/26HAU Vs Cardiff MET0-2
01/08/26AHaverfordwest County AFC Vs AU0-1
18/04/26HAU Vs Llandudno3-1
03/04/26AHolywell Vs AU0-3
28/03/26HAU Vs Guilsfield3-0
20/03/26ADenbigh Town Vs AU3-2
13/03/26HAU Vs Mold Alexandra8-0
10/03/26ABrickfield Rangers Vs AU0-5
07/03/26ACaersws Vs AU1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDL1.74
HomeWWLDW1.83
AwayWDDDL1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%52%48%
AVG goals2.603.042.22
Over 1.5 %70%78%63%
Over 2.5 %48%57%41%
Over 3.5 %30%43%19%
Scored1.561.871.30
Conceded1.041.170.93
BTTS44%52%37%
Clean Sheet38%35%41%
Corners---
Cards---
Airbus UK
Airbus UK
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW2.34
HomeWWWLW2.33
AwayWWLWW2.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %74%71%77%
AVG goals3.763.753.77
Over 1.5 %92%96%88%
Over 2.5 %72%71%73%
Over 3.5 %54%58%50%
Scored2.883.122.65
Conceded0.880.621.12
BTTS42%38%46%
Clean Sheet50%58%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Barry TownBarry Town618
100%
3.0
177+10
4.0
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.2
-
2The New SaintsThe New Saints616
83%
2.7
163+13
3.2
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.5
-
3GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.80.7
-
4Cardiff METCardiff MET612
67%
2.0
167+9
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.71.2
-
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town612
67%
2.0
159+6
4.0
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.51.5
-
6LlandudnoLlandudno612
67%
2.0
137+6
3.3
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
7PenybontPenybont612
50%
2.0
105+5
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.70.8
-
8Colwyn BayColwyn Bay610
50%
1.7
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
9Airbus UKAirbus UK69
50%
1.5
119+2
3.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach68
33%
1.3
88+0
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Briton FerryBriton Ferry67
33%
1.2
510-5
2.5
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
12Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC63
17%
0.5
212-10
2.3
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.32.0
-
13Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC62
0%
0.3
414-10
3.0
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
14Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United61
0%
0.2
611-5
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.8
-
15TrefelinTrefelin61
0%
0.2
217-15
3.2
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.8
-
16HolywellHolywell60
0%
0.0
926-17
5.8
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.54.3
-
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →

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