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Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC Result & Analysis

Date: 02/03/2024
Time: 12:30
Final 0-0
Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay
Vs
34%
27%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Haverfordwest County AFC
Haverfordwest County AFC
Wales: Premier League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Colwyn Bay win✗ Miss
33.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Haverfordwest County AFC win✗ Miss
39.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Colwyn BayColwyn Bay

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W23L24L23L12L01L23L12L10W04LH·PEN25/11H·GAP29/11A·NEW02/12H·BAL26/12A·CAE31/12A·ABE05/01H·PON13/01H·PEN03/02A·ABE09/02A·PON24/02
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.971.472.071.071.87
vs Stronger (2)0.503.500.001.001.006.00
vs Similar (19)1.261.741.442.001.101.50
vs Weaker (9)1.442.111.802.401.001.75
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Haverfordwest County AFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D10W01L20W11D23L01L11D11DA·GAP19/11H·CAR28/11A·CAE16/12H·THE23/12H·BAR26/12A·ABE30/12H·BAL13/01A·ABE02/02H·PON09/02A·BAR23/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.331.501.140.881.50
vs Stronger (4)0.501.750.500.500.503.00
vs Similar (26)1.271.271.671.250.931.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Colwyn Bay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.0%
Under 2.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.6%
Under 3.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.3%
No
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.3%
0-0 ✓
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
Colwyn Bay goals ↓
Haverfordwest County AFC goals →
01234
06.8%7.3%6.3%3.2%1.2%
16.6%13%8.7%4.4%1.6%
25.3%8.0%6.0%3.0%1.1%
32.5%3.7%2.8%1.4%0.5%
40.8%1.3%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Colwyn Bay goals (down), columns = Haverfordwest County AFC goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
The New Saints
2.88
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1.84
Bala Town
1.59
Penybont
1.53
Caernarfon Town
1.38
Haverfordwest County AFC
1.34
Newtown AFC
1.33
Cardiff MET
1.18
Barry Town
1.00
Pontypridd Town
0.97
Aberystwyth Town
0.84
Colwyn Bay
0.78
Colwyn Bay is 0.56 points worse than Haverfordwest County AFC in terms of average points per game (0.78 vs 1.34).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
The New Saints
3.66
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.19
Caernarfon Town
1.68
Penybont
1.53
Newtown AFC
1.48
Haverfordwest County AFC
1.22
Bala Town
1.19
Barry Town
1.12
Colwyn Bay
1.06
Cardiff MET
1.06
Aberystwyth Town
0.84
Pontypridd Town
0.72
Colwyn Bay is 0.16 goals worse than Haverfordwest County AFC in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.22).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.56
Bala Town
0.97
Penybont
1.18
Haverfordwest County AFC
1.25
Pontypridd Town
1.28
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1.34
Newtown AFC
1.55
Barry Town
1.69
Aberystwyth Town
1.78
Cardiff MET
1.97
Colwyn Bay
2.06
Caernarfon Town
2.09
Colwyn Bay is 0.81 goals worse than Haverfordwest County AFC in terms of goals conceded per game (2.06 vs 1.25).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Colwyn BayColwyn Bay

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D21W02L00D00D01L01L00D02LH·PEN25/11H·GAP29/11A·NEW02/12H·BAL26/12A·CAE31/12A·ABE05/01H·PON13/01H·PEN03/02A·ABE09/02A·PON24/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.600.930.530.67
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.420.680.440.670.400.70
vs Weaker (9)0.891.111.001.600.750.50
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Haverfordwest County AFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D00D00D00D11D10W01L11D00DA·GAP19/11H·CAR28/11A·CAE16/12H·THE23/12H·BAR26/12A·ABE30/12H·BAL13/01A·ABE02/02H·PON09/02A·BAR23/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.640.430.310.75
vs Stronger (4)0.000.250.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (26)0.540.650.750.500.360.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Colwyn Bay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Colwyn Bay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haverfordwest County AFC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haverfordwest County AFC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haverfordwest County AFC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Colwyn BayColwyn Bay

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L03L21W12L01L22D11D10W02LH·PEN25/11H·GAP29/11A·NEW02/12H·BAL26/12A·CAE31/12A·ABE05/01H·PON13/01H·PEN03/02A·ABE09/02A·PON24/02
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.170.871.130.531.20
vs Stronger (2)0.003.000.001.000.005.00
vs Similar (19)0.841.051.001.330.700.80
vs Weaker (9)0.561.000.800.800.251.25
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Haverfordwest County AFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W01L20W00D13L00D00D11DA·GAP19/11H·CAR28/11A·CAE16/12H·THE23/12H·BAR26/12A·ABE30/12H·BAL13/01A·ABE02/02H·PON09/02A·BAR23/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.860.710.560.75
vs Stronger (4)0.501.500.500.500.502.50
vs Similar (26)0.730.620.920.750.570.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Colwyn Bay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Colwyn Bay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haverfordwest County AFC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haverfordwest County AFC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haverfordwest County AFC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
AT (2)
€0m
Colwyn Bay and Haverfordwest County AFC have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
BT (4)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
Colwyn Bay and Haverfordwest County AFC have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
Colwyn Bay and Haverfordwest County AFC have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
BT (6)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
Colwyn Bay and Haverfordwest County AFC have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
CB wins
0
Draws
2
HCA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC · H/A from CB
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/23AHaverfordwest County AFC Vs CB5-0
02/09/23HCB Vs Haverfordwest County AFC1-2

Colwyn BayColwyn Bay

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/24APontypridd Town Vs CB4-0
09/02/24AAberystwyth Town Vs CB0-1
03/02/24HCB Vs Penybont1-2
13/01/24HCB Vs Pontypridd Town2-3
05/01/24AAberystwyth Town Vs CB1-0
31/12/23ACaernarfon Town Vs CB2-1
26/12/23HCB Vs Bala Town2-3
02/12/23ANewtown AFC Vs CB4-2
29/11/23HCB Vs GAP Connah S Quay FC2-3
25/11/23HCB Vs Penybont2-1

Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/02/24ABarry Town Vs HCA1-1
09/02/24HHCA Vs Pontypridd Town1-1
02/02/24AAberystwyth Town Vs HCA1-0
13/01/24HHCA Vs Bala Town2-3
30/12/23AAberystwyth Town Vs HCA1-1
26/12/23HHCA Vs Barry Town2-0
23/12/23HHCA Vs The New Saints0-1
16/12/23ACaernarfon Town Vs HCA0-1
28/11/23HHCA Vs Cardiff MET1-1
19/11/23AGAP Connah S Quay FC Vs HCA1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.74
HomeWLLLL1.64
AwayLLLWL1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%52%60%
AVG goals3.783.923.64
Over 1.5 %88%92%84%
Over 2.5 %74%80%68%
Over 3.5 %52%60%44%
Scored2.262.402.12
Conceded1.521.521.52
BTTS58%64%52%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Haverfordwest County AFC
Haverfordwest County AFC
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD1.42
HomeDLWLD1.87
AwayWWDLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%52%26%
AVG goals2.642.832.48
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %44%52%37%
Over 3.5 %28%39%19%
Scored1.361.781.00
Conceded1.281.041.48
BTTS56%57%56%
Clean Sheet24%35%15%
Corners11.6713.508.00
Cards4.675.503.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1The New SaintsThe New Saints3292
94%
2.9
11718+99
4.2
81%
72%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1113.70.6
-
2GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC3259
56%
1.8
7043+27
3.5
84%
72%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.3
-
3PenybontPenybont3452
44%
1.5
5240+12
2.7
71%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.2
-
4Bala TownBala Town3251
41%
1.6
3831+7
2.2
59%
31%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.0
-
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town3447
38%
1.4
5771-14
3.8
91%
74%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.72.1
-
6Newtown AFCNewtown AFC3344
39%
1.3
4951-2
3.0
79%
61%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
-
7Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC3243
34%
1.3
3940-1
2.5
75%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.2
-
8Cardiff METCardiff MET3339
30%
1.2
3565-30
3.0
79%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.0
-
9Barry TownBarry Town3232
22%
1.0
3654-18
2.8
75%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
10Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town3231
25%
1.0
2341-18
2.0
56%
38%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town3227
22%
0.8
2757-30
2.6
69%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
12Colwyn BayColwyn Bay3225
22%
0.8
3466-32
3.1
72%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.1
-
Wales: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →

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