This opponent (FeralpiSalo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FeralpiSalo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.69
2.00
0.83
2.00
0.57
2.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
2.22
0.83
2.00
0.00
2.67
vs Similar (4)
1.00
1.50
-
-
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-28pp vs league)
This opponent (Como) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.7%
@ 1.99+5.2%
Under 2.5
47.3%
@ 1.80-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.5%
Under 3.5
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.9%
No
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.7%
1-0
11.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-1 ✓
9.6%
3-0
8.6%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
4.4%
Como goals ↓
FeralpiSalo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
3.7%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
1
12%
10%
3.6%
0.9%
0.2%
2
13%
9.6%
3.6%
0.9%
0.2%
3
8.6%
6.5%
2.5%
0.6%
0.1%
4
4.4%
3.3%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Como goals (down), columns = FeralpiSalo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
Como is 1.05 points better than FeralpiSalo in terms of average points per game (1.92 vs 0.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
Como is 0.37 goals better than FeralpiSalo in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.16).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
Como is 0.66 goals better than FeralpiSalo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
Como is 5.5 percentage points better than FeralpiSalo in terms of average possession (51% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Como
For 4.2 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.3 · Against 13.7 · Total 31.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FeralpiSalo
For 4.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 15.4 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Como
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.4
9.1
1.2
1.0
1.5
30.8
29.2
31.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
9.5
-
9.5
0.5
0.0
0.8
24.5
-
24.5
vs Weaker (42)
8.7
8.4
9.0
1.4
1.1
1.6
32.0
29.2
34.8
% over line
42%
20%
57%
20%
21%
19%
92%
80%
100%
% under line
58%
80%
43%
80%
79%
81%
8%
20%
0%
This opponent (FeralpiSalo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FeralpiSalo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
8.9
7.7
10.0
5.5
6.7
4.4
27.8
30.8
25.3
vs Stronger (9)
8.9
7.7
11.3
5.8
6.7
4.0
28.4
30.8
23.7
vs Similar (4)
9.0
-
9.0
4.8
-
4.8
26.5
-
26.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
17%
57%
77%
83%
71%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
62%
83%
43%
23%
17%
29%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Como) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.2
Parma
10.7
Pisa
10.6
Venezia
10.3
Ascoli
10.2
Como
10.1
Bari
10.0
Modena
9.9
Cremonese
9.8
Ternana
9.7
Palermo
9.6
Spezia
9.5
Reggiana
9.5
Lecco
9.4
Sampdoria
9.1
Cittadella
9.0
FeralpiSalo
8.9
Sudtirol
8.9
Cosenza
8.6
Catanzaro
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Pisa
6.0
Cittadella
6.0
Lecco
5.8
Ascoli
5.7
Cosenza
5.7
Parma
5.7
Modena
5.6
FeralpiSalo
5.5
Sudtirol
5.4
Cremonese
5.4
Spezia
5.4
Como
5.3
Reggiana
5.3
Sampdoria
5.2
Palermo
5.2
Ternana
5.0
Venezia
5.0
Bari
4.9
Brescia
4.9
Catanzaro
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cittadella
32.5
Pisa
31.5
Ascoli
31.3
Reggiana
31.1
Palermo
30.9
Como
30.1
Bari
29.4
Parma
28.6
Ternana
28.4
Cremonese
28.4
Sudtirol
28.4
Sampdoria
28.3
FeralpiSalo
27.8
Catanzaro
27.8
Lecco
27.5
Spezia
27.5
Modena
27.3
Cosenza
27.2
Brescia
27.0
Venezia
25.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.1%
Under 9.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.1%
Under 3.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
87.8%
Under 21.5
12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Como
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.50
0.64
0.56
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (26)
0.54
0.42
0.46
0.69
0.62
0.15
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FeralpiSalo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FeralpiSalo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.15
0.92
0.17
1.17
0.14
0.71
vs Stronger (9)
0.11
1.00
0.17
1.17
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.75
-
-
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
31% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Como) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Como over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Como over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Como over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Como
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
1.21
0.50
0.44
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (26)
0.81
0.50
1.23
0.54
0.38
0.46
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FeralpiSalo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FeralpiSalo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.54
1.08
0.67
0.83
0.43
1.29
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.22
0.67
0.83
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.75
-
-
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Como) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Como over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Como over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Como over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Como
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrick Cutrone38%
Alessandro Gabrielloni24%
Simone Verdi24%
Alberto Cerri20%
Gabriel Strefezza20%
Lucas Da Cunha17%
Edoardo Goldaniga12%
Nicholas Ioannou12%
Federico Barba9%
Alessandro Bellemo8%
Matthias Braunöder8%
Oliver Abildgaard7%
Cas Odenthal3%
Jean-Pierre Nsame0%
Daniele Baselli0%
Ben Lhassine Kone0%
Adrian Šemper0%
Luca Vignali0%
Marco Curto0%
Moutir Chajia0%
Alessio Iovine0%
Tommaso Arrigoni0%
Álex Blanco0%
Marco Sala0%
Matteo Solini0%
Liam Kerrigan0%
Tommaso Cassandro0%
Tommaso Fumagalli0%
Samuel Ballet0%
Nicholas Gioacchini0%
Marlon Mustapha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ben Lhassine Kone43%
Samuel Ballet33%
Marlon Mustapha29%
Marco Curto28%
Edoardo Goldaniga25%
Tommaso Arrigoni25%
Tommaso Fumagalli20%
Lucas Da Cunha20%
Alessio Iovine19%
Oliver Abildgaard18%
Alessandro Bellemo17%
Tommaso Cassandro15%
Gabriel Strefezza13%
Cas Odenthal13%
Jean-Pierre Nsame12%
Patrick Cutrone12%
Daniele Baselli12%
Alessandro Gabrielloni11%
Moutir Chajia11%
Simone Verdi9%
Nicholas Ioannou8%
Matthias Braunöder8%
Marco Sala7%
Federico Barba6%
Adrian Šemper5%
Alberto Cerri0%
Luca Vignali0%
Álex Blanco0%
Matteo Solini0%
Liam Kerrigan0%
Nicholas Gioacchini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tommaso Arrigoni25%
Tommaso Fumagalli20%
Alessio Iovine19%
Lucas Da Cunha17%
Gabriel Strefezza13%
Jean-Pierre Nsame12%
Nicholas Ioannou12%
Patrick Cutrone9%
Marco Curto8%
Oliver Abildgaard7%
Ben Lhassine Kone7%
Simone Verdi6%
Alessandro Bellemo6%
Alessandro Gabrielloni5%
Daniele Baselli4%
Moutir Chajia4%
Alberto Cerri0%
Adrian Šemper0%
Federico Barba0%
Luca Vignali0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Álex Blanco0%
Marco Sala0%
Matteo Solini0%
Liam Kerrigan0%
Cas Odenthal0%
Matthias Braunöder0%
Tommaso Cassandro0%
Samuel Ballet0%
Nicholas Gioacchini0%
Marlon Mustapha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Cutrone53%
Álex Blanco40%
Gabriel Strefezza27%
Alessandro Gabrielloni16%
Jean-Pierre Nsame12%
Simone Verdi12%
Matthias Braunöder8%
Oliver Abildgaard7%
Ben Lhassine Kone7%
Alessandro Bellemo6%
Alessio Iovine4%
Lucas Da Cunha3%
Nicholas Ioannou0%
Daniele Baselli0%
Alberto Cerri0%
Adrian Šemper0%
Federico Barba0%
Luca Vignali0%
Marco Curto0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Moutir Chajia0%
Tommaso Arrigoni0%
Marco Sala0%
Matteo Solini0%
Liam Kerrigan0%
Cas Odenthal0%
Tommaso Cassandro0%
Tommaso Fumagalli0%
Samuel Ballet0%
Nicholas Gioacchini0%
Marlon Mustapha0%
FeralpiSalo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Edgaras Dubickas29%
Andrea La Mantia19%
Mattia Compagnon14%
Karlo Butić12%
Mattia Felici11%
Davide Balestrero10%
Christos Kourfalidis10%
Mattia Zennaro10%
Mattia Tonetto10%
Marco Sau9%
Alessandro Pietrelli7%
Federico Bergonzi6%
Davide Di Molfetta4%
Bruno Martella3%
Vittorio Parigini0%
Luca Ceppitelli0%
Gaetano Letizia0%
Luca Fiordilino0%
Semuel Pizzignacco0%
Denis Hergheligiu0%
Luca Giudici0%
Federico Carraro0%
Loris Bacchetti0%
Gabriele Ferrarini0%
Dimo Krastev0%
Christopher Attys0%
Giacomo Manzari0%
Alessandro Pilati0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Davide Balestrero38%
Luca Ceppitelli37%
Christopher Attys33%
Luca Fiordilino24%
Vittorio Parigini23%
Federico Carraro20%
Mattia Felici17%
Mattia Compagnon14%
Christos Kourfalidis14%
Mattia Zennaro13%
Federico Bergonzi12%
Andrea La Mantia11%
Semuel Pizzignacco11%
Bruno Martella10%
Giacomo Manzari10%
Alessandro Pilati10%
Karlo Butić9%
Loris Bacchetti9%
Davide Di Molfetta7%
Denis Hergheligiu6%
Mattia Tonetto5%
Gaetano Letizia4%
Marco Sau0%
Luca Giudici0%
Edgaras Dubickas0%
Gabriele Ferrarini0%
Dimo Krastev0%
Alessandro Pietrelli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gaetano Letizia22%
Giacomo Manzari20%
Davide Di Molfetta15%
Mattia Felici14%
Bruno Martella10%
Vittorio Parigini8%
Christos Kourfalidis7%
Luca Ceppitelli7%
Mattia Zennaro6%
Alessandro Pilati5%
Davide Balestrero3%
Federico Bergonzi3%
Marco Sau0%
Luca Fiordilino0%
Semuel Pizzignacco0%
Andrea La Mantia0%
Denis Hergheligiu0%
Luca Giudici0%
Federico Carraro0%
Edgaras Dubickas0%
Karlo Butić0%
Loris Bacchetti0%
Gabriele Ferrarini0%
Dimo Krastev0%
Christopher Attys0%
Mattia Compagnon0%
Mattia Tonetto0%
Alessandro Pietrelli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrea La Mantia16%
Karlo Butić12%
Mattia Compagnon10%
Alessandro Pietrelli7%
Davide Di Molfetta4%
Luca Ceppitelli3%
Luca Fiordilino3%
Mattia Felici3%
Marco Sau0%
Vittorio Parigini0%
Gaetano Letizia0%
Bruno Martella0%
Mattia Zennaro0%
Semuel Pizzignacco0%
Denis Hergheligiu0%
Luca Giudici0%
Federico Carraro0%
Edgaras Dubickas0%
Davide Balestrero0%
Loris Bacchetti0%
Gabriele Ferrarini0%
Dimo Krastev0%
Federico Bergonzi0%
Christopher Attys0%
Giacomo Manzari0%
Mattia Tonetto0%
Alessandro Pilati0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →