Concordia are favoured to win, with a 44% chance of taking the match at home, a 26% chance of a draw and a 30% chance of CS Afumati triumphing away. The model expects an average of 3.1 goals, but the most likely total is 2 goals, occurring 23% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.7% probability. Concordia, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, average 1.5 goals scored and 1.17 conceded, while CS Afumati, on the road, average 1.64 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6%, Under 7.5 at 98.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.4% with a 5% edge, Under 6.5 at 96.0% with a 4% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.6%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.6% with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 91.7% with a 4% edge, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 90.5% with a 2% edge. Concordia have won four of their last five matches, coming off a 3-1 win over Metaloglobus, while CS Afumati also come off a win, 2-1 against Unirea Slobozia.
Concordia| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.67 | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.73 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 2.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.46 | 1.17 | 1.45 | 1.27 | 1.46 | 1.08 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 2.75 | 1.25 | 2.67 | 1.67 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-8pp vs league) | |||||
CS Afumati| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.37 | 1.30 | 1.06 | 1.31 | 1.71 | 1.29 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 1.71 | 1.43 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.26 | 1.26 | 0.92 | 1.42 | 1.64 | 1.09 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
| CS Afumati goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 12% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
Concordia| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.63 | 0.60 | 0.73 | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.54 | 0.62 | 0.45 | 0.73 | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 1.25 | 0.50 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+15pp vs league) | |||||
CS Afumati| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.50 | 0.57 | 0.38 | 0.50 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.57 | 0.43 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.48 | 0.61 | 0.42 | 0.58 | 0.55 | 0.64 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
Concordia| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.07 | 0.57 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.13 | 0.47 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 2.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.92 | 0.54 | 1.00 | 0.55 | 0.85 | 0.54 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 1.50 | 0.75 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
CS Afumati| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 0.73 | 0.69 | 0.81 | 1.07 | 0.64 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 1.14 | 1.00 | 1.25 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.78 | 0.65 | 0.50 | 0.83 | 1.09 | 0.45 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 | 98.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 HT goals | 98.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 2H goals | 97.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.3% |
| Under 6.5 | 96.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.4% |
| Home under 2.5 HT goals | 94.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.6% |
| Away under 3.5 goals | 94.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 2H goals | 92.7% | 1.04 | 1.06 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +3.8% |
| Under 5.5 | 90.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.2% |
| Home under 3.5 goals | 90.3% | 1.06 | 1.08 | 1.06 | 1.04 | - | - | +2.2% |
| Away under 1.5 HT goals | 89.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +0.9% |
| Away under 1.5 2H goals | 87.4% | 1.06 | 1.09 | 1.03 | - | - | - | +0.3% |
| Home +2 handicap | 86.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 2.5 HT goals | 84.5% | 1.07 | 1.09 | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | -1.9% |
| Away under 2.5 goals | 83.4% | 1.04 | 1.05 | 1.03 | - | - | - | -6.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 82.9% | 1.26 | 1.30 | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | +10.6% |
| Home over 0.5 goals | 82.2% | 1.15 | 1.18 | 1.15 | 1.14 | 1.13 | - | +1.7% |
| Over 0.5 2H goals | 82.1% | 1.23 | 1.24 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +6.9% |
| Under 4.5 | 79.4% | 1.09 | 1.12 | 1.08 | 1.07 | - | - | -5.4% |
| Home under 1.5 HT goals | 77.8% | 1.15 | 1.16 | 1.13 | - | - | - | -3.2% |
| Under 2.5 2H goals | 76.7% | 1.18 | 1.20 | 1.16 | - | - | - | -1.4% |
| Away +2 handicap | 75.9% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.32 | - | - | +9.1% |
| Away over 0.5 goals | 75.3% | 1.54 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.53 | 1.52 | +15.8% |
| Home under 2.5 goals | 75.0% | 1.23 | 1.27 | 1.24 | 1.22 | 1.20 | - | +0.4% |
| Home under 1.5 2H goals | 74.9% | 1.27 | 1.29 | 1.26 | - | - | - | +2.4% |
| Home or Away | 74.5% | 1.24 | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.23 | 1.22 | 1.22 | +0.0% |
| Over 0.5 HT goals | 74.0% | 1.38 | 1.44 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.33 | - | +7.2% |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 27/09/25 | A | 1-2 | |
| 26/04/25 | H | 4-0 | |
| 03/08/24 | H | 2-4 |
Concordia| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/26 | A | 2-5 | |
| 29/08/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 22/08/26 | H | 1-5 | |
| 19/08/26 | H | 5-1 | |
| 15/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 12/08/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 08/08/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 01/08/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-0 |
CS Afumati| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 23/08/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 19/08/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 15/08/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 12/08/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 1-3 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 2.6 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | - |
| 2 | Slatina | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | - |
| 3 | Concordia | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | - |
| 4 | CSM Reşiţa | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Chindia Targoviste | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Popești-Leordeni | 5 | 9 | 40% | 1.8 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 3.2 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Gloria Bistriţa | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 2.2 | 60% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | FC Bacau | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.8 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 11 | Metaloglobus | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | - |
| 12 | Metalul Buzău | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 13 | CS Afumati | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 14 | Bihor Oradea | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 2.0 | 80% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 15 | Ştefăneşti | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 17 | ASA Targu Mures | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2.2 | 80% | 40% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 18 | Dumbrăviţa | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.0 | 60% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 19 | CS Dinamo București | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1.4 | 60% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 21 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3.2 | 100% | 100% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 22 | Unirea Slobozia | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2.4 | 80% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 23 | AFC Hermannstadt | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |