This highly anticipated match between Cordoba and Girona is finely balanced, with a recent-form storyline emerging as Girona comes off a draw against Leganes, while Cordoba is coming off a defeat to Burgos. The model suggests that Girona will win, with a 39% probability of an away win, closely followed by a 32% probability of a home win and 29% probability of a draw.
The expected total goals are 2.6, with the most likely total goals being 2. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 13.7%. Girona has a strong away form, scoring an average of 1.67 goals and conceding 1.67 goals against weaker opponents. In contrast, Cordoba's home form is less impressive, with a need to improve their scoring and defensive record.
The model's selections include Over 21.5 fouls (84.9%), Draw or Away (76.2%), Over 1.5 (75.0%), Over 3.5 cards (74.7%), Under 3.5 (73.0%), and Home or Away (72.9%). The probabilities of a home win, draw, and away win are 32%, 29%, and 39% respectively.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Cordoba snatched a 2-1 victory, overturning the model’s pre-match favourite of an away win that had a 40 % probability. The model’s call was wrong. Cordoba’s win extended their recent run, while Girona, coming off a defeat, failed to secure the predicted outcome. The model’s selection of an away win was missed, but all other suggested picks hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.3 % was correct, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8 % hit, Under 6.5 at 98.0 % hit, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.6 % hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.1 % hit, Under 5.5 at 94.4 % hit, Home under 1.5 HT goals at 92.8 % missed, and Over 19.5 fouls at 92.7 % hit. The final score of 2-1 confirmed a home win, defying the model’s expectations.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cordoba win✓ Hit
31.6%
Avg Implied 34.4% · @ 2.72
Edge
-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.00
888Sport
3.00
SBO
2.92
1xBet
2.71
Superbet
2.70
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.37
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.54
Pinnacle
3.54
Bet365
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Girona win✗ Miss
40.5%
Avg Implied 38.0% · @ 2.46
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.64
Betano
2.60
Superbet
2.57
1xBet
2.56
Bet365
2.55
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cordoba
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.60
1.27
1.40
1.47
1.80
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
2.33
-
-
2.00
2.33
vs Similar (27)
1.30
1.52
1.27
1.40
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Girona) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Girona
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.20
1.14
1.07
1.00
1.31
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.40
1.00
1.67
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.12
1.17
1.20
0.90
1.07
1.36
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Cordoba) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.7%
@ 1.22+0.2%
Under 1.5
23.3%
@ 3.99-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
4.39
Superbet
4.15
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.10
Betano
4.05
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.2%
@ 1.76-2.5%
Under 2.5
48.8%
@ 2.04+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.89
10Bet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.78
Unibet
1.77
Superbet
1.77
Under
1xBet
2.18
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
Pinnacle
2.13
Bet365
2.05
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.1%
@ 2.81-4.2%
Under 3.5
70.9%
@ 1.40+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.99
Unibet
2.90
888Sport
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Under
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.3%
@ 1.58-2.3%
No
43.7%
@ 2.23+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
888Sport
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
No
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.31
Betfair
2.30
BetVictor
2.25
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%@ 6.01+5.9%
1-2
8.8%@ 8.49+3.6%
0-1
8.4%@ 8.58+3.2%
0-0
7.8%@ 11.23+3.8%
2-1 ✓
7.7%@ 9.08+2.7%
1-0
7.1%@ 9.34+2.3%
0-2
7.0%@ 11.91+3.2%
2-2
5.6%@ 10.90+1.5%
Cordoba goals ↓
Girona goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.8%
8.4%
7.0%
3.4%
1.2%
1
7.1%
13%
8.8%
4.3%
1.6%
2
5.3%
7.7%
5.6%
2.7%
1.0%
3
2.2%
3.2%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cordoba goals (down), columns = Girona goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Girona
1.96
Almeria
1.72
Burgos
1.71
Mallorca
1.70
Las Palmas
1.68
Castellón
1.66
Eibar
1.60
Oviedo
1.58
Cordoba
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.45
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
Albacete
1.40
FC Andorra
1.38
Tenerife
1.34
Sabadell
1.16
Granada CF
1.14
Celta de Vigo II
1.14
Eldense
1.13
Real Sociedad II
1.12
Leganes
1.10
Valladolid
1.10
Cadiz
1.02
Cordoba is 0.51 points worse than Girona in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 1.96).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girona
1.87
Almeria
1.87
Castellón
1.66
Mallorca
1.62
Oviedo
1.51
FC Andorra
1.48
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Cordoba
1.36
Albacete
1.33
Las Palmas
1.32
Tenerife
1.28
Eibar
1.24
Real Sociedad II
1.24
AD Ceuta FC
1.21
Granada CF
1.19
Burgos
1.14
Sabadell
1.10
Celta de Vigo II
1.09
Eldense
1.08
Valladolid
1.05
Leganes
1.02
Cadiz
0.98
Cordoba is 0.51 goals worse than Girona in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.87).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burgos
0.79
Girona
0.92
Eibar
0.95
Las Palmas
0.95
Mallorca
1.06
Oviedo
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Castellón
1.25
FC Andorra
1.29
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Albacete
1.31
Granada CF
1.33
Tenerife
1.35
Valladolid
1.36
Cordoba
1.45
Cadiz
1.45
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Almeria
1.48
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Sabadell
1.56
Celta de Vigo II
1.58
Eldense
1.59
Cordoba is 0.53 goals worse than Girona in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 0.92).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
61%
Cordoba
58%
Las Palmas
56%
Castellón
55%
Almeria
52%
Leganes
51%
AD Ceuta FC
51%
Granada CF
50%
Valladolid
50%
Eibar
49%
Burgos
46%
Cadiz
46%
Sporting Gijon
46%
Real Sociedad II
44%
Albacete
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cordoba
For 7.4 · Against 4.1 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 12.6 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Girona
For 5.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 15.5 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cordoba
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.2
11.2
5.4
5.3
5.5
29.5
28.5
30.5
vs Stronger (6)
9.3
7.7
11.0
5.5
5.0
6.0
28.7
29.0
28.3
vs Similar (44)
10.9
10.6
11.2
5.4
5.4
5.5
29.7
28.4
30.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
58%
64%
86%
88%
85%
90%
88%
92%
% under line
39%
42%
36%
14%
12%
15%
10%
12%
8%
This opponent (Girona) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Girona
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.9
9.8
4.2
4.7
3.6
25.3
25.1
25.5
vs Stronger (7)
11.0
8.2
14.7
2.7
2.5
3.0
19.7
20.8
18.3
vs Similar (40)
9.1
9.1
9.1
4.5
5.2
3.8
26.1
26.1
26.1
vs Weaker (3)
9.0
9.0
9.0
4.0
5.0
3.5
28.0
22.0
34.0
% over line
37%
32%
42%
52%
64%
40%
76%
76%
75%
% under line
63%
68%
58%
48%
36%
60%
24%
24%
25%
This opponent (Cordoba) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Albacete
10.9
Cordoba
10.8
Mallorca
10.2
Castellón
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Cadiz
9.6
Almeria
9.5
Leganes
9.5
Eldense
9.4
Girona
9.4
Eibar
9.4
Real Sociedad II
9.3
Granada CF
9.3
Oviedo
9.2
Tenerife
9.1
FC Andorra
9.1
Valladolid
9.0
AD Ceuta FC
8.8
Sabadell
8.8
Burgos
8.5
Las Palmas
8.4
Celta de Vigo II
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Celta de Vigo II
7.0
Castellón
6.0
Real Sociedad II
5.9
Cordoba
5.7
Burgos
5.7
Almeria
5.6
Granada CF
5.5
FC Andorra
5.5
Valladolid
5.4
Leganes
5.3
AD Ceuta FC
5.2
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Eibar
5.2
Cadiz
5.1
Tenerife
4.7
Eldense
4.6
Las Palmas
4.6
Albacete
4.6
Sabadell
4.6
Girona
4.4
Mallorca
4.3
Oviedo
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Celta de Vigo II
35.0
Cordoba
29.4
Real Sociedad II
28.9
Valladolid
28.5
Castellón
28.1
Sabadell
27.8
FC Andorra
27.7
AD Ceuta FC
27.7
Granada CF
27.3
Tenerife
27.1
Las Palmas
27.0
Burgos
26.6
Almeria
26.5
Leganes
26.4
Cadiz
25.8
Eibar
25.7
Girona
25.1
Oviedo
25.1
Eldense
24.8
Mallorca
24.3
Sporting Gijon
22.2
Albacete
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.6%
@ 1.97+6.3%
Under 9.5
46.4%
@ 1.76-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Under
Unibet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.82
1xBet
1.78
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.9%
Under 3.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.9%
Under 21.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cordoba or Draw✓ Hit
50.9%
Avg Implied 61.6% · @ 1.52
Edge
-10.7%
32%
28%
40%
covers Cordoba + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.62
888Sport
1.62
SBO
1.58
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Cordoba or Girona✓ Hit
73.0%
Avg Implied 72.5% · @ 1.29
Edge
+0.5%
32%
28%
40%
covers Cordoba + Girona
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Draw or Girona✗ Miss
76.2%
Avg Implied 66.0% · @ 1.42
Edge
+10.2%
32%
28%
40%
covers Draw + Girona
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cordoba over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.7%
@ 1.25-8.2%
Under
34.3%
@ 3.55+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Under
Pinnacle
3.98
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
BetVictor
3.70
Superbet
3.60
Cordoba over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
29.0%
@ 2.30-11.6%
Under
71.0%
@ 1.57+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.55
888Sport
2.50
Bet365
2.38
Pinnacle
2.34
Unibet
2.32
Under
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
BetVictor
1.60
Cordoba over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 5.19-8.6%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.14+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.00
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Cordoba over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 13.69-4.7%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.03+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
19.00
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Girona over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.3%
@ 1.22+4.4%
Under
19.7%
@ 3.85-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.24
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.05
888Sport
4.00
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.85
Girona over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.3%
@ 2.14+4.7%
Under
51.7%
@ 1.66-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Betfair
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Unibet
2.17
BetVictor
2.15
Under
888Sport
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Girona over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.3%
@ 4.63+2.3%
Under
77.7%
@ 1.16-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
Unibet
4.70
Superbet
4.65
Betano
4.55
Under
888Sport
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Girona over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 10.71-0.6%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.04+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
888Sport
11.00
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
10.50
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Cordoba, so a minus line means Cordoba give that many goals of a start and Girona receive them. At -1, Cordoba must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cordoba win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cordoba)Actual: Girona
Cordoba -2
2.7%
@ 10.71-5.5%
Draw -2
6.6%
@ 6.86-6.3%
Girona +2
90.6%
@ 1.12+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.90
Marathonbet
5.05
Away
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Handicap -1 (Cordoba)Actual: Draw
Cordoba -1
9.4%
@ 5.35-7.3%
Draw -1
14.4%
@ 4.38-6.0%
Girona +1
76.2%
@ 1.42+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
6.00
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.30
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Draw
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Betfair
4.33
Unibet
4.10
Away
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.45
Unibet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Handicap +1 (Cordoba)Actual: Cordoba
Cordoba +1
50.9%
@ 1.51-8.2%
Draw +1
22.6%
@ 4.13+0.9%
Girona -1
26.6%
@ 4.62+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.25
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.95
Away
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Unibet
4.60
Handicap +2 (Cordoba)Actual: Cordoba
Cordoba +2
73.4%
@ 1.14-4.3%
Draw +2
15.4%
@ 6.62+2.0%
Girona -2
11.2%
@ 9.99+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Betfair
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
6.70
Unibet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
10.00
Superbet
9.60
Marathonbet
6.35
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cordoba
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.90
0.33
0.67
0.67
1.13
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
-
-
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (27)
0.44
0.85
0.33
0.67
0.58
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Girona) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Girona
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.37
0.50
0.43
0.38
0.31
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.60
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.33
0.60
0.40
0.43
0.29
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Cordoba) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.8%
@ 1.34-0.8%
Under 0.5
31.2%
@ 3.07+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Unibet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.22
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.20
Superbet
3.15
1xBet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
32.8%
@ 2.54-3.8%
Under 1.5
67.2%
@ 1.47+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.72
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.62
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.55
Under
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
BetVictor
1.47
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.5%
@ 6.01-2.0%
Under 2.5
86.5%
@ 1.10+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Superbet
6.10
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cordoba over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.2%
@ 2.00-9.1%
Under
62.8%
@ 1.73+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Under
Pinnacle
1.77
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
Cordoba over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
7.2%
@ 6.07-8.0%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.09+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.20
1xBet
6.20
Superbet
5.85
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Cordoba over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 18.83-3.9%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Girona over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
56.9%
@ 1.95+9.2%
Under
43.1%
@ 1.77-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.00
Unibet
1.94
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.90
Under
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Superbet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.77
Girona over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.7%
@ 5.74+0.6%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.10-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.90
Betano
5.80
Superbet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Girona over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 15.58-2.2%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.01+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cordoba
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.70
0.93
0.73
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.85
0.67
0.93
0.73
0.75
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Girona) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Girona
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.64
0.64
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.80
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.83
0.60
0.50
0.64
1.07
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cordoba) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cordoba over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cordoba over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cordoba over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.6%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
888Sport
1.02
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.4%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.04
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.8%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
+8.0%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
91.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
90.7%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
90.6%
1.12
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
-
+11.8%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.5%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.4%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
83.3%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
80.3%
1.22
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.24
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
77.7%
1.16
888Sport
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
-2.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.7%
1.22
10Bet
1.28
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
76.2%
1.42
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
+10.2%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
76.2%
1.42
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.45
Unibet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.36
+13.3%
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
73.4%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Betfair
1.11
-4.3%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.4%
1.35
1xBet
1.35
-
-
-
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.0%
1.29
888Sport
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
71.0%
1.57
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
BetVictor
1.60
+11.6%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
70.9%
1.40
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.41
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.2%
1.27
Unibet
1.33
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
-1.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cordoba
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Youssouf Diarra33%
Diego Percan33%
Eder Garcia33%
Iker Álvarez0%
Rubén0%
Enol Rodríguez0%
Cristian Carracedo0%
Isma Ruiz0%
Juan Gutiérrez0%
Dani Tasende0%
Kevin Medina0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eder Garcia67%
Rubén33%
Enol Rodríguez33%
Juan Gutiérrez33%
Youssouf Diarra33%
Iker Álvarez0%
Cristian Carracedo0%
Isma Ruiz0%
Dani Tasende0%
Diego Percan0%
Kevin Medina0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cristian Carracedo33%
Eder Garcia33%
Iker Álvarez0%
Rubén0%
Enol Rodríguez0%
Isma Ruiz0%
Juan Gutiérrez0%
Youssouf Diarra0%
Dani Tasende0%
Diego Percan0%
Kevin Medina0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eder Garcia33%
Iker Álvarez0%
Rubén0%
Enol Rodríguez0%
Cristian Carracedo0%
Isma Ruiz0%
Juan Gutiérrez0%
Youssouf Diarra0%
Dani Tasende0%
Diego Percan0%
Kevin Medina0%
Girona
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yáser Asprilla67%
Abel Ruíz33%
Fran Beltrán33%
Izan González33%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Bryan Gil0%
Álex Moreno0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bryan Gil33%
Fran Beltrán33%
Álex Moreno33%
Abel Ruíz0%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
Yáser Asprilla0%
Izan González0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Abel Ruíz33%
Fran Beltrán33%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Bryan Gil0%
Álex Moreno0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
Yáser Asprilla0%
Izan González0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Gil67%
Álex Moreno33%
Abel Ruíz0%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Fran Beltrán0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
Yáser Asprilla0%
Izan González0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
SAB (28)
€8m
CDV (22)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
Cordoba's squad is €98m less valuable than Girona's (€16m vs €114m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€23m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
COR (9)
€4m
CDV (9)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
Cordoba's attack is €59m less valuable than Girona's (€4m vs €64m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
SAB (6)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
CDV (3)
€1m
Cordoba's midfield is €24m less valuable than Girona's (€4m vs €28m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
CDV (10)
€2m
Cordoba's defence is €15m less valuable than Girona's (€7m vs €22m).
Spain: Segunda División 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Granada CF
Castellón
Leganes
Sporting Gijon
Mallorca
Tenerife
Las Palmas
Eibar
Sabadell
Celta de Vigo II
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
Oviedo
FC Andorra
Almeria
Cadiz
Valladolid
Eldense
Albacete
AD Ceuta FC