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Çorum FK vs Erzurumspor FK Result & Analysis

Date: 02/05/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
Çorum FK
Çorum FK
Vs
34%
31%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Erzurumspor FK
Erzurumspor FK
Turkey: 1. Lig
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Çorum FK a 34% win probability against Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey: 1. Lig on 2026-05-02, with 31% for the draw and 35% for Erzurumspor FK. The model estimates around 2.3 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.5%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (79%).

Results analysis

Çorum FK finished 1-1 against Erzurumspor FK (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 34% home win, 31% draw and 35% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (79%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Çorum FK win✗ Miss
33.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK win✗ Miss
35.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Çorum FKÇorum FK

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W31W21W21W20W01L11D11D31W40WA·MAN02/03H·HAT07/03A·BOL12/03H·ESE16/03A·IĞD22/03H·BAN03/04H·BOD07/04A·PEN11/04H·SIV19/04A·SAK26/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.072.000.791.441.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.802.001.501.000.332.67
vs Weaker (25)1.880.882.080.751.691.00
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-830W81W13L30W20W21W10W20W11D11DA·VAN28/02H·MAN07/03A·ÜMR11/03H·HAT15/03A·ESE22/03H·IĞD04/04A·İST09/04H·BOL13/04A·BOD19/04H·BAN26/04
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.230.632.930.471.530.80
vs Stronger (2)1.500.001.500.00--
vs Similar (19)2.000.792.620.881.550.73
vs Weaker (9)2.890.444.000.001.501.00
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Çorum FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.9%
Under 1.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.2%
Under 2.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.7%
Under 3.5
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.7%
No
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.5%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
Çorum FK goals ↓
Erzurumspor FK goals →
01234
011%10%6.8%2.7%0.8%
19.9%15%7.8%3.1%0.9%
26.4%7.6%4.5%1.8%0.5%
32.5%2.9%1.7%0.7%0.2%
40.7%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Çorum FK goals (down), columns = Erzurumspor FK goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Erzurumspor FK
2.13
Amed
1.95
Çorum FK
1.90
Esenler Erokspor
1.90
Bodrum FK
1.71
Pendikspor
1.62
Bandırmaspor
1.58
Keçiörengücü
1.54
Manisa F.K.
1.45
İstanbulspor
1.37
Sarıyer
1.37
Sivasspor
1.35
Iğdır FK
1.32
Vanspor FK
1.29
Boluspor
1.26
Ümraniyespor
1.21
Serik Spor
1.03
Sakaryaspor
0.92
Hatayspor
0.37
Adana Demirspor
0.16
Çorum FK is 0.23 points worse than Erzurumspor FK in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 2.13).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Erzurumspor FK
2.16
Amed
2.13
Esenler Erokspor
2.08
Keçiörengücü
1.87
Bodrum FK
1.80
Boluspor
1.61
Çorum FK
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.50
İstanbulspor
1.50
Pendikspor
1.49
Vanspor FK
1.37
Iğdır FK
1.37
Ümraniyespor
1.24
Bandırmaspor
1.24
Sakaryaspor
1.22
Sivasspor
1.19
Serik Spor
1.16
Sarıyer
1.16
Hatayspor
0.87
Adana Demirspor
0.58
Çorum FK is 0.56 goals worse than Erzurumspor FK in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 2.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Erzurumspor FK
0.71
Bandırmaspor
0.89
Pendikspor
0.90
Esenler Erokspor
0.95
Çorum FK
0.95
Bodrum FK
0.98
Amed
1.11
Keçiörengücü
1.13
Sarıyer
1.16
Sivasspor
1.16
Vanspor FK
1.24
Ümraniyespor
1.34
Iğdır FK
1.42
İstanbulspor
1.45
Manisa F.K.
1.47
Boluspor
1.50
Sakaryaspor
1.86
Serik Spor
1.97
Hatayspor
2.68
Adana Demirspor
4.45
Çorum FK is 0.24 goals worse than Erzurumspor FK in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 0.71).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Çorum FK
59%
Esenler Erokspor
58%
Boluspor
57%
Iğdır FK
56%
Erzurumspor FK
56%
Vanspor FK
55%
Amed
53%
Pendikspor
52%
Sivasspor
50%
Bodrum FK
49%
İstanbulspor
48%
Sarıyer
48%
Keçiörengücü
48%
Ümraniyespor
47%
Sakaryaspor
47%
Hatayspor
46%
Manisa F.K.
46%
Bandırmaspor
45%
Serik Spor
41%
Adana Demirspor
38%
Çorum FK is 3.6 percentage points better than Erzurumspor FK in terms of average possession (59% vs 56%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Çorum FKÇorum FK

For 6.8 · Against 3.1 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1505210245531325561361314471298151079148A·SAKH·SIVA·PENH·BODH·BANA·IĞDH·ESEA·BOLH·HATA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

1301411232132110314143352535113556A·SAKH·SIVA·PENH·BODH·BANA·IĞDH·ESEA·BOLH·HATA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 10.1 · Total 22.9

⚠️ Fouls

33012116101011811104161015620131213191223162119142621332531A·SAKH·SIVA·PENH·BODH·BANA·IĞDH·ESEA·BOLH·HATA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK

For 4.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

1204576231521119334835797847121271112H·BANA·BODH·BOLA·İSTH·IĞDA·ESEH·HATA·ÜMRH·MANA·VAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.9

🟨 Cards

5011413212312112222533531142H·BANA·BODA·İSTH·IĞDA·ESEH·HATA·ÜMRH·MANA·VANH·SER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.0 · Total 19.9

⚠️ Fouls

3009417139101113791298134886141513301924162121121429H·BANA·BODH·BOLA·İSTH·IĞDA·ESEH·HATA·ÜMRH·MANA·VAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Çorum FKÇorum FK

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.48.65.05.24.823.021.924.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (8)9.98.511.26.88.05.520.618.223.0
vs Weaker (42)8.89.68.14.74.74.723.422.624.1
% over line44%54%35%76%71%81%60%50%69%
% under line56%46%65%24%29%19%40%50%31%
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.58.78.34.94.75.124.222.425.9
vs Stronger (5)7.48.06.57.07.07.027.423.333.5
vs Similar (31)8.78.39.05.14.45.625.122.727.0
vs Weaker (14)8.59.77.33.94.33.421.221.321.1
% over line38%38%38%70%58%81%60%54%65%
% under line62%62%62%30%42%19%40%46%35%
This opponent (Çorum FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sivasspor
9.4
Bandırmaspor
9.3
Iğdır FK
9.2
Bodrum FK
9.1
Adana Demirspor
9.1
Amed
9.1
Ümraniyespor
9.0
Çorum FK
9.0
Serik Spor
8.9
Hatayspor
8.8
Manisa F.K.
8.7
Esenler Erokspor
8.7
Sakaryaspor
8.6
Pendikspor
8.6
Erzurumspor FK
8.5
İstanbulspor
8.4
Vanspor FK
8.4
Keçiörengücü
8.3
Boluspor
8.2
Sarıyer
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sakaryaspor
5.2
Çorum FK
5.2
Pendikspor
5.2
Vanspor FK
5.2
Sarıyer
5.2
Sivasspor
5.2
Erzurumspor FK
5.1
Boluspor
5.1
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Amed
5.0
Keçiörengücü
5.0
Hatayspor
4.9
Manisa F.K.
4.8
Bandırmaspor
4.7
Iğdır FK
4.7
İstanbulspor
4.6
Ümraniyespor
4.4
Serik Spor
4.4
Bodrum FK
4.1
Adana Demirspor
3.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Vanspor FK
28.3
Pendikspor
26.6
Boluspor
25.8
Sakaryaspor
25.4
Erzurumspor FK
24.2
Keçiörengücü
24.2
Bodrum FK
24.0
Ümraniyespor
23.7
Hatayspor
23.7
Bandırmaspor
23.6
Sivasspor
23.5
Sarıyer
23.4
Manisa F.K.
23.4
Serik Spor
23.4
İstanbulspor
23.3
Iğdır FK
23.2
Çorum FK
23.0
Esenler Erokspor
22.7
Amed
22.1
Adana Demirspor
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
44.2%
Under 9.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.0%
Under 3.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.6%
Under 21.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BF (35)
€18m
IF (38)
€14m
EF (29)
€13m
MF (27)
€12m
SIV (25)
€11m
AME (26)
€11m
İST (37)
€11m
ÇF (32)
€10m
SS (44)
€10m
VF (31)
€10m
EE (25)
€10m
PEN (23)
€9m
BAN (29)
€9m
HAT (38)
€8m
ÜMR (26)
€8m
BOL (28)
€8m
SAK (30)
€8m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
AD (30)
€3m
Çorum FK's squad is €3m less valuable than Erzurumspor FK's (€10m vs €13m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BF (14)
€9m
ÇF (13)
€6m
SIV (7)
€5m
VF (13)
€5m
SAK (12)
€5m
AME (8)
€4m
IF (14)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (12)
€4m
EE (9)
€4m
BAN (10)
€4m
EF (10)
€4m
HAT (15)
€4m
ÜMR (6)
€3m
SS (16)
€3m
PEN (7)
€3m
BOL (8)
€3m
SAR (7)
€2m
KEÇ (8)
€2m
AD (11)
€1m
Çorum FK's attack is €2m more valuable than Erzurumspor FK's (€6m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IF (9)
€4m
EF (5)
€4m
BF (8)
€3m
AME (7)
€3m
VF (6)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (6)
€2m
PEN (6)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
HAT (8)
€2m
BOL (8)
€2m
SS (10)
€2m
İST (8)
€2m
BAN (5)
€2m
SAK (6)
€2m
KEÇ (6)
€1m
ÇF (5)
€1m
EE (5)
€1m
SAR (4)
€1m
AD (5)
€0m
Çorum FK's midfield is €3m less valuable than Erzurumspor FK's (€1m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BF (13)
€6m
IF (15)
€5m
SS (18)
€5m
EF (14)
€5m
İST (17)
€5m
MF (10)
€5m
EE (11)
€5m
SIV (12)
€4m
AME (11)
€4m
BOL (12)
€3m
PEN (10)
€3m
ÇF (14)
€3m
ÜMR (13)
€3m
BAN (14)
€3m
HAT (15)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
VF (12)
€2m
SAK (12)
€2m
AD (14)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
Çorum FK's defence is €2m less valuable than Erzurumspor FK's (€3m vs €5m).

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Çorum FK vs Erzurumspor FK · H/A from ÇF
DateH/AGameScore
28/12/25AErzurumspor FK Vs ÇF1-0
09/04/25AErzurumspor FK Vs ÇF1-1
30/11/24HÇF Vs Erzurumspor FK0-1
28/04/24AErzurumspor FK Vs ÇF2-1
10/12/23HÇF Vs Erzurumspor FK4-1

Çorum FKÇorum FK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26ASakaryaspor Vs ÇF0-4
19/04/26HÇF Vs Sivasspor3-1
11/04/26APendikspor Vs ÇF1-1
07/04/26HÇF Vs Bodrum FK1-1
03/04/26HÇF Vs Bandırmaspor0-1
22/03/26AIğdır FK Vs ÇF0-2
16/03/26HÇF Vs Esenler Erokspor2-1
12/03/26ABoluspor Vs ÇF1-2
07/03/26HÇF Vs Hatayspor3-1
02/03/26AManisa F.K. Vs ÇF0-1

Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26HEF Vs Bandırmaspor1-1
19/04/26ABodrum FK Vs EF1-1
13/04/26HEF Vs Boluspor2-0
09/04/26Aİstanbulspor Vs EF0-1
04/04/26HEF Vs Iğdır FK2-1
22/03/26AEsenler Erokspor Vs EF0-2
15/03/26HEF Vs Hatayspor3-0
11/03/26AÜmraniyespor Vs EF3-1
07/03/26HEF Vs Manisa F.K.8-1
28/02/26AVanspor FK Vs EF0-3

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Çorum FK
Çorum FK
Turkey: 1. Lig
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWW1.72
HomeWWLDW2.12
AwayWWWDW1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals2.762.882.65
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %34%38%31%
Scored1.581.881.31
Conceded1.181.001.35
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet22%29%15%
Corners8.989.428.58
Cards5.235.255.21
Erzurumspor FK
Erzurumspor FK
Turkey: 1. Lig
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD2.00
HomeWWWWD2.08
AwayWLWWD1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%58%58%
AVG goals2.723.212.27
Over 1.5 %84%92%77%
Over 2.5 %44%46%42%
Over 3.5 %22%33%12%
Scored1.942.421.50
Conceded0.780.790.77
BTTS44%50%38%
Clean Sheet48%50%46%
Corners8.508.678.35
Cards5.125.145.12

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK3881
61%
2.1
8227+55
2.9
92%
45%
24%
8.4
37%
4.5
67%
22.6
50%
13
4452.20.7
56%
2Çorum FKÇorum FK4280
57%
1.9
6740+27
2.5
74%
45%
31%
9.5
55%
5.0
78%
23.0
60%
10
6131.61.0
59%
3Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor3974
54%
1.9
8137+44
3.0
82%
54%
38%
8.6
33%
5.0
79%
23.2
64%
10
4152.10.9
58%
4AmedAmed3874
55%
1.9
8142+39
3.2
87%
58%
32%
9.2
34%
4.8
67%
22.1
50%
11
4342.11.1
53%
5Bodrum FKBodrum FK4170
49%
1.7
7440+34
2.8
76%
46%
34%
8.7
37%
4.1
59%
24.3
71%
18
9361.81.0
49%
6PendiksporPendikspor3963
41%
1.6
5835+23
2.4
79%
33%
18%
8.3
36%
5.4
76%
27.2
90%
9
3231.50.9
52%
7KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü3960
41%
1.5
7344+29
3.0
72%
59%
38%
8.1
31%
4.6
68%
23.5
74%
6
2131.91.1
48%
8BandırmasporBandırmaspor3860
42%
1.6
4734+13
2.1
68%
34%
16%
9.3
47%
4.5
61%
22.1
55%
9
4231.20.9
45%
9Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.3855
42%
1.4
5756+1
3.0
76%
55%
34%
8.8
39%
5.1
76%
23.4
61%
12
4351.51.5
46%
10İstanbulsporİstanbulspor3852
34%
1.4
5755+2
2.9
71%
58%
45%
8.4
42%
4.6
62%
22.7
58%
11
4251.51.4
48%
11SarıyerSarıyer3852
39%
1.4
4444+0
2.3
71%
53%
16%
8.0
32%
5.1
68%
23.3
58%
5
2121.21.2
48%
12SivassporSivasspor3750
35%
1.4
4443+1
2.4
65%
41%
22%
9.4
46%
4.8
69%
23.8
59%
11
5241.21.2
50%
13Iğdır FKIğdır FK3850
34%
1.3
5254-2
2.8
82%
53%
24%
8.9
45%
5.2
75%
22.8
58%
14
4451.41.4
56%
14Vanspor FKVanspor FK3849
34%
1.3
5247+5
2.6
68%
53%
29%
8.4
34%
5.2
74%
28.3
92%
10
5321.41.2
55%
15BolusporBoluspor3848
37%
1.3
6157+4
3.1
82%
53%
37%
8.4
39%
5.1
69%
26.3
71%
8
3231.61.5
57%
16ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor3846
34%
1.2
4751-4
2.6
68%
45%
29%
8.6
29%
4.4
57%
22.9
61%
8
3231.21.3
47%
17Serik SporSerik Spor3839
29%
1.0
4475-31
3.1
74%
63%
42%
8.9
39%
4.4
68%
23.4
55%
10
3251.22.0
41%
18SakaryasporSakaryaspor3734
22%
0.9
4569-24
3.1
89%
51%
38%
8.7
32%
5.5
75%
25.2
70%
8
5221.21.9
47%
19HataysporHatayspor3814
5%
0.4
33102-69
3.6
95%
76%
53%
8.2
32%
5.1
68%
24.7
68%
8
4230.92.7
46%
20Adana DemirsporAdana Demirspor386
3%
0.2
22169-147
5.0
97%
95%
79%
8.7
34%
3.2
38%
20.1
34%
3
1020.64.4
38%
Turkey: 1. Lig 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →

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