PythiaFootballBETA
Çorum FK are tipped to win, with a 48 % chance of triumph, 26 % for a draw and 25 % for Keçiörengücü. The model expects 2.9 goals on average, but the most likely total is 2 goals, a 25 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.5 % chance. At home, Çorum averages 2.08 goals scored and 0.67 conceded against weaker opposition, while Keçiörengücü, playing away against stronger teams, averages no goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 86.3 %, Under 11.5 corners at 81.0 %, Over 1.5 at 78.9 %, Under 25.5 fouls at 77.1 %, Over 3.5 cards at 71.5 %, Under 10.5 corners at 71.4 % and Over 19.5 fouls at 70.0 %. The home side’s recent form shows a loss, win, win, loss, loss, and the away side a draw, win, loss, loss, win. The predicted result is a home win.
The match finished 1-0 to Çorum FK, extending their recent run after a defeat. The model’s favourite was a home win at 48 percent, and it proved right. The most likely total was two goals, but the game produced just one. The suggested selections were mixed: Over 2.5 cards (86.3 %) missed, Under 11.5 corners (81.0 %) hit, Over 1.5 (78.9 %) missed, Under 25.5 fouls (77.1 %) hit, Over 3.5 cards (71.5 %) missed, Under 10.5 corners (71.4 %) hit, and Over 19.5 fouls (70.0 %) hit. Overall the model’s call on the winner was accurate, while most of the ancillary picks fell short.
Çorum FK| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.57 | 1.17 | 1.81 | 1.00 | 1.29 | 1.36 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 0.62 | 2.12 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.25 | 2.25 |
| vs Weaker (22) | 1.91 | 0.82 | 2.08 | 0.67 | 1.70 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+0pp vs league) | |||||
Keçiörengücü| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.03 | 1.37 | 2.50 | 1.12 | 1.50 | 1.64 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.67 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 2.00 | 1.35 | 2.21 | 1.14 | 1.75 | 1.58 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 7.00 | 0.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-3pp vs league) | |||||
| Keçiörengücü goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 12% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Çorum FKKeçiörengücüÇorum FK| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.0 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 22.6 | 21.4 | 23.8 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 10.0 | 8.8 | 10.9 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 21.4 | 19.2 | 23.0 |
| vs Weaker (37) | 8.7 | 9.6 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 23.1 | 22.1 | 24.1 |
| % over line | 46% | 57% | 36% | 72% | 64% | 80% | 60% | 52% | 68% |
| % under line | 54% | 43% | 64% | 28% | 36% | 20% | 40% | 48% | 32% |
Keçiörengücü| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.2 | 8.5 | 7.8 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 23.7 | 23.6 | 23.8 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 6.2 | 5.5 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 21.0 | 24.0 | 19.0 |
| vs Similar (42) | 8.5 | 8.8 | 8.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 24.2 | 23.8 | 24.7 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 7.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 |
| % over line | 32% | 32% | 32% | 62% | 68% | 56% | 77% | 73% | 82% |
| % under line | 68% | 68% | 68% | 38% | 32% | 44% | 23% | 27% | 18% |
Çorum FK| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.63 | 0.69 | 0.62 | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 0.50 | 1.12 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (22) | 0.68 | 0.45 | 0.67 | 0.42 | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+24pp vs league) | |||||
Keçiörengücü| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.30 | 0.60 | 1.38 | 0.50 | 1.21 | 0.71 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.33 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.35 | 0.58 | 1.29 | 0.43 | 1.42 | 0.75 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 3.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
Çorum FK| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 0.53 | 1.12 | 0.38 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 1.25 |
| vs Weaker (22) | 1.23 | 0.36 | 1.42 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
Keçiörengücü| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.77 | 1.12 | 0.62 | 0.29 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.33 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.65 | 0.77 | 0.93 | 0.71 | 0.33 | 0.83 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 4.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+14pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 86.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Under 11.5 corners | 81.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 78.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Under 25.5 fouls | 77.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 3.5 cards | 71.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Under 10.5 corners | 71.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 70.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 31/08/25 | A | 1-2 | |
| 16/03/25 | H | 3-2 | |
| 02/11/24 | A | 2-3 | |
| 02/04/24 | A | 1-2 | |
| 04/11/23 | H | 2-3 |
Çorum FK| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 0-4 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 07/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 03/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 22/03/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 16/03/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 12/03/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 07/03/26 | H | 3-1 |
Keçiörengücü| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 08/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 7-0 | |
| 15/03/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 11/03/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 07/03/26 | A | 0-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Erzurumspor FK | 38 | 81 | 61% | 2.1 | 82 | 27 | +55 | 2.9 | 92% | 45% | 24% | 8.4 | 37% | 4.5 | 67% | 22.6 | 50% | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 56% |
| 2 | Çorum FK | 42 | 80 | 57% | 1.9 | 67 | 40 | +27 | 2.5 | 74% | 45% | 31% | 9.5 | 55% | 5.0 | 78% | 23.0 | 60% | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 59% |
| 3 |  Esenler Erokspor | 39 | 74 | 54% | 1.9 | 81 | 37 | +44 | 3.0 | 82% | 54% | 38% | 8.6 | 33% | 5.0 | 79% | 23.2 | 64% | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 58% |
| 4 |  Amed | 38 | 74 | 55% | 1.9 | 81 | 42 | +39 | 3.2 | 87% | 58% | 32% | 9.2 | 34% | 4.8 | 67% | 22.1 | 50% | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 53% |
| 5 |  Bodrum FK | 41 | 70 | 49% | 1.7 | 74 | 40 | +34 | 2.8 | 76% | 46% | 34% | 8.7 | 37% | 4.1 | 59% | 24.3 | 71% | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 49% |
| 6 |  Pendikspor | 39 | 63 | 41% | 1.6 | 58 | 35 | +23 | 2.4 | 79% | 33% | 18% | 8.3 | 36% | 5.4 | 76% | 27.2 | 90% | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 52% |
| 7 | Keçiörengücü | 39 | 60 | 41% | 1.5 | 73 | 44 | +29 | 3.0 | 72% | 59% | 38% | 8.1 | 31% | 4.6 | 68% | 23.5 | 74% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 48% |
| 8 |  Bandırmaspor | 38 | 60 | 42% | 1.6 | 47 | 34 | +13 | 2.1 | 68% | 34% | 16% | 9.3 | 47% | 4.5 | 61% | 22.1 | 55% | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 45% |
| 9 |  Manisa F.K. | 38 | 55 | 42% | 1.4 | 57 | 56 | +1 | 3.0 | 76% | 55% | 34% | 8.8 | 39% | 5.1 | 76% | 23.4 | 61% | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 46% |
| 10 |  İstanbulspor | 38 | 52 | 34% | 1.4 | 57 | 55 | +2 | 2.9 | 71% | 58% | 45% | 8.4 | 42% | 4.6 | 62% | 22.7 | 58% | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 48% |
| 11 |  Sarıyer | 38 | 52 | 39% | 1.4 | 44 | 44 | +0 | 2.3 | 71% | 53% | 16% | 8.0 | 32% | 5.1 | 68% | 23.3 | 58% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 48% |
| 12 |  Sivasspor | 37 | 50 | 35% | 1.4 | 44 | 43 | +1 | 2.4 | 65% | 41% | 22% | 9.4 | 46% | 4.8 | 69% | 23.8 | 59% | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 50% |
| 13 |  Iğdır FK | 38 | 50 | 34% | 1.3 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 2.8 | 82% | 53% | 24% | 8.9 | 45% | 5.2 | 75% | 22.8 | 58% | 14 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 56% |
| 14 |  Vanspor FK | 38 | 49 | 34% | 1.3 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 2.6 | 68% | 53% | 29% | 8.4 | 34% | 5.2 | 74% | 28.3 | 92% | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 55% |
| 15 |  Boluspor | 38 | 48 | 37% | 1.3 | 61 | 57 | +4 | 3.1 | 82% | 53% | 37% | 8.4 | 39% | 5.1 | 69% | 26.3 | 71% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 57% |
| 16 |  Ümraniyespor | 38 | 46 | 34% | 1.2 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 2.6 | 68% | 45% | 29% | 8.6 | 29% | 4.4 | 57% | 22.9 | 61% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 47% |
| 17 |  Serik Spor | 38 | 39 | 29% | 1.0 | 44 | 75 | -31 | 3.1 | 74% | 63% | 42% | 8.9 | 39% | 4.4 | 68% | 23.4 | 55% | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 41% |
| 18 |  Sakaryaspor | 37 | 34 | 22% | 0.9 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 3.1 | 89% | 51% | 38% | 8.7 | 32% | 5.5 | 75% | 25.2 | 70% | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 47% |
| 19 |  Hatayspor | 38 | 14 | 5% | 0.4 | 33 | 102 | -69 | 3.6 | 95% | 76% | 53% | 8.2 | 32% | 5.1 | 68% | 24.7 | 68% | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 46% |
| 20 |  Adana Demirspor | 38 | 6 | 3% | 0.2 | 22 | 169 | -147 | 5.0 | 97% | 95% | 79% | 8.7 | 34% | 3.2 | 38% | 20.1 | 34% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 38% |