This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reggiana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.17
1.07
1.13
0.87
1.20
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
1.12
1.25
1.25
1.25
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.86
1.18
1.00
1.09
0.73
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
62.7%
Under 1.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.3%
@ 2.55-2.6%
Under 2.5
65.7%
@ 1.49+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.6%
Under 3.5
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.0%
No
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.9%
0-0
13.9%
0-1
12.1%
1-0 ✓
11.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
Cosenza goals ↓
Reggiana goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
12%
7.2%
2.6%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.2%
2.6%
0.7%
2
6.3%
6.8%
3.6%
1.3%
0.3%
3
2.1%
2.3%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cosenza goals (down), columns = Reggiana goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sassuolo
2.16
Pisa
1.95
Spezia
1.74
Cremonese
1.62
Juve Stabia
1.49
Catanzaro
1.37
Cesena
1.36
Palermo
1.33
Bari
1.26
Sudtirol
1.21
Modena
1.18
Carrarese
1.18
Reggiana
1.16
Mantova
1.16
Brescia
1.13
Frosinone
1.13
Sampdoria
1.13
Salernitana
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Cosenza
0.89
Cosenza is 0.26 points worse than Reggiana in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sassuolo
2.05
Cremonese
1.64
Pisa
1.63
Spezia
1.55
Palermo
1.33
Sudtirol
1.32
Catanzaro
1.29
Modena
1.26
Mantova
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Brescia
1.11
Reggiana
1.11
Juve Stabia
1.10
Bari
1.08
Carrarese
1.03
Sampdoria
1.03
Frosinone
0.97
Salernitana
0.95
Cosenza
0.84
Cittadella
0.82
Cosenza is 0.26 goals worse than Reggiana in terms of goals scored per game (0.84 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.88
Pisa
0.97
Sassuolo
1.00
Bari
1.05
Juve Stabia
1.10
Palermo
1.13
Cremonese
1.14
Catanzaro
1.20
Cesena
1.23
Salernitana
1.26
Sampdoria
1.26
Brescia
1.26
Carrarese
1.29
Frosinone
1.32
Modena
1.32
Reggiana
1.37
Cittadella
1.42
Cosenza
1.47
Mantova
1.47
Sudtirol
1.50
Cosenza is 0.11 goals worse than Reggiana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.37).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Mantova
62%
Cremonese
60%
Catanzaro
55%
Sassuolo
52%
Salernitana
52%
Juve Stabia
52%
Bari
51%
Spezia
50%
Palermo
49%
Carrarese
49%
Cosenza
49%
Cesena
49%
Modena
48%
Sampdoria
48%
Frosinone
47%
Brescia
46%
Pisa
46%
Cittadella
45%
Reggiana
44%
Sudtirol
44%
Cosenza is 4.5 percentage points better than Reggiana in terms of average possession (49% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cosenza
For 4.5 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.7 · Against 15.5 · Total 32.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Reggiana
For 3.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 16.5 · Total 32.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.3
10.7
6.4
6.1
6.6
29.4
29.8
29.0
vs Stronger (36)
10.4
10.4
10.3
6.2
6.2
6.1
29.5
29.0
30.1
vs Similar (14)
10.9
10.0
11.3
6.9
5.8
7.6
29.2
32.8
27.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
56%
60%
94%
96%
92%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
42%
44%
40%
6%
4%
8%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reggiana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.2
8.8
5.8
6.2
5.4
31.2
30.4
32.0
vs Stronger (14)
9.3
7.3
10.8
6.0
6.8
5.4
28.4
28.2
28.6
vs Similar (34)
8.1
8.3
8.0
5.7
6.0
5.4
32.3
31.3
33.4
vs Weaker (2)
9.5
13.0
6.0
6.5
7.0
6.0
32.0
29.0
35.0
% over line
44%
40%
48%
86%
92%
80%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
56%
60%
52%
14%
8%
20%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Palermo
10.8
Cosenza
10.5
Juve Stabia
10.3
Spezia
9.8
Frosinone
9.5
Brescia
9.4
Cremonese
9.4
Salernitana
9.3
Bari
9.3
Cittadella
9.2
Cesena
9.1
Modena
9.1
Catanzaro
9.1
Sassuolo
9.1
Carrarese
9.0
Sudtirol
8.9
Sampdoria
8.8
Mantova
8.7
Reggiana
8.5
Pisa
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.4
Spezia
6.1
Juve Stabia
6.1
Reggiana
5.8
Mantova
5.8
Sampdoria
5.5
Bari
5.4
Modena
5.4
Pisa
5.3
Cremonese
5.2
Cittadella
5.1
Catanzaro
5.1
Brescia
5.1
Carrarese
4.9
Sudtirol
4.9
Cesena
4.9
Frosinone
4.8
Salernitana
4.7
Palermo
4.7
Sassuolo
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mantova
34.6
Spezia
34.0
Juve Stabia
33.1
Cittadella
31.4
Reggiana
31.2
Sudtirol
30.6
Bari
30.4
Sampdoria
29.9
Cosenza
29.4
Cremonese
29.2
Cesena
29.2
Brescia
29.0
Palermo
28.9
Catanzaro
28.7
Modena
28.7
Frosinone
28.6
Carrarese
28.4
Pisa
28.4
Salernitana
27.4
Sassuolo
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.1%
Under 9.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.3%
Under 3.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.9%
Under 21.5
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.47
0.53
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (23)
0.43
0.70
0.50
0.58
0.36
0.82
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.14
0.33
0.33
0.75
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reggiana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.47
0.67
0.53
0.27
0.40
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
0.38
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (22)
0.32
0.50
0.55
0.55
0.09
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.77
0.33
0.60
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (23)
0.48
0.83
0.33
0.67
0.64
1.00
vs Similar (7)
0.29
0.57
0.33
0.33
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reggiana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.40
0.60
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.75
0.25
0.75
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.68
0.45
0.55
0.64
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cosenza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Manuel Ricciardi12%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Massimo Zilli12%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Michael Venturi4%
Charlys4%
Riccardo Ciervo3%
José Mauri0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Christian Kouan0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aldo Florenzi40%
Tommaso D'Orazio35%
Pietro Martino29%
Charlys29%
Christian Kouan26%
Luca Strizzolo25%
Mario Gargiulo24%
Gabriele Artistico24%
Giacomo Ricci23%
Christian Dalle Mura22%
Luca Garritano20%
Filippo Sgarbi20%
Christos Kourfalidis20%
Manuel Ricciardi19%
Michael Venturi18%
Alessandro Caporale18%
Juan Manuel Cruz17%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Simone Mazzocchi15%
José Mauri13%
Michele Camporese12%
Mohamed Sankoh11%
Alessandro Micai11%
Andrea Hristov10%
Massimo Zilli8%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Baldovino Cimino14%
Luca Strizzolo12%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Gabriele Artistico6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Christian Dalle Mura4%
Tommaso Fumagalli4%
Massimo Zilli4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Michael Venturi4%
Alessandro Caporale4%
Charlys4%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna3%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Simone Mazzocchi0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli20%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Tommaso D'Orazio12%
Aldo Florenzi10%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Charlys4%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Reggiana
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Manolo Portanova22%
Cedric Gondo21%
Luca Vido17%
Natan Girma17%
Antonio Vergara15%
Alessandro Sersanti11%
Matteo Maggio10%
Stefano Pettinari8%
Lorenzo Lucchesi7%
Tobías Reinhart3%
Luca Cigarini0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Leo Štulac0%
Francesco Bardi0%
Manuel Marras0%
Riccardo Fiamozzi0%
Elvis Kabashi0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Oliver Urso0%
Lorenzo Libutti0%
Paolo Rozzio0%
Joaquín Sosa0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Lorenzo Ignacchiti0%
Justin Kumi0%
Yannis Nahounou0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Giacomo Cavallini0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Orji Okwonkwo36%
Antonio Vergara33%
Manuel Marras29%
Lorenzo Ignacchiti27%
Cedric Gondo26%
Mario Sampirisi25%
Elvis Kabashi25%
Natan Girma25%
Paolo Rozzio24%
Tobías Reinhart22%
Luca Cigarini20%
Alessandro Fontanarosa20%
Matteo Maggio19%
Leo Štulac18%
Francesco Bardi17%
Luca Vido14%
Andrea Meroni14%
Alessandro Sersanti13%
Lorenzo Libutti13%
Joaquín Sosa12%
Justin Kumi12%
Riccardo Fiamozzi12%
Manolo Portanova11%
Lorenzo Lucchesi11%
Stefano Pettinari8%
Oliver Urso0%
Yannis Nahounou0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Giacomo Cavallini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Vergara15%
Elvis Kabashi12%
Leo Štulac9%
Natan Girma8%
Riccardo Fiamozzi8%
Tobías Reinhart6%
Manolo Portanova6%
Matteo Maggio5%
Manuel Marras4%
Luca Vido3%
Lorenzo Libutti3%
Lorenzo Ignacchiti3%
Cedric Gondo3%
Luca Cigarini0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Stefano Pettinari0%
Francesco Bardi0%
Alessandro Sersanti0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Oliver Urso0%
Paolo Rozzio0%
Joaquín Sosa0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Justin Kumi0%
Lorenzo Lucchesi0%
Yannis Nahounou0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Giacomo Cavallini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Manolo Portanova19%
Leo Štulac9%
Antonio Vergara9%
Cedric Gondo9%
Stefano Pettinari8%
Alessandro Sersanti5%
Natan Girma4%
Lorenzo Lucchesi4%
Manuel Marras4%
Luca Vido3%
Lorenzo Ignacchiti3%
Tobías Reinhart0%
Luca Cigarini0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Francesco Bardi0%
Riccardo Fiamozzi0%
Elvis Kabashi0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Oliver Urso0%
Lorenzo Libutti0%
Paolo Rozzio0%
Joaquín Sosa0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Justin Kumi0%
Yannis Nahounou0%
Matteo Maggio0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Giacomo Cavallini0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Sassuolo
Pisa
Spezia
Cremonese
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Cesena
Palermo
Bari
Sudtirol
Modena
Carrarese
Mantova
Sampdoria
Brescia
Frosinone
Salernitana
Cittadella