PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Cosmos vs La Fiorita Result & Analysis

Date: 11/02/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Cosmos
Cosmos
Vs
48%
31%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
La Fiorita
La Fiorita
San-Marino: Campionato
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cosmos win✗ Miss
47.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita win✗ Miss
21.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CosmosCosmos

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W40W00D10W00D40W11D32W40W20WA·DOM11/11H·FIO26/11A·VIR03/12H·TRE10/12A·CAI18/12A·FOL07/01H·TRE15/01A·MUR20/01H·SAN28/01A·FAE05/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.120.472.710.291.700.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.670.502.000.331.330.67
vs Weaker (11)2.360.453.250.251.860.57
Clean sheet %65% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W21W40W21W22D11D20W10W10WA·FIO05/11H·LIB13/11A·PEN26/11H·FAE03/12A·MUR11/12H·SAN18/12A·TRE07/01H·FOL29/01A·JUV05/02A·CAI08/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.251.001.500.901.001.10
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (6)0.502.330.671.670.333.00
vs Weaker (13)1.620.312.000.331.290.29
Clean sheet %55% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosmos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.0%
Under 1.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.8%
Under 2.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.7%
Under 3.5
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.9%
No
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.5%
1-1 ✓
14.0%
0-0
13.2%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
Cosmos goals ↓
La Fiorita goals →
01234
013%8.3%3.9%1.0%0.2%
114%14%5.1%1.4%0.3%
210%8.4%3.4%0.9%0.2%
34.6%3.7%1.5%0.4%0.1%
41.5%1.2%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cosmos goals (down), columns = La Fiorita goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cosmos
2.48
Tre Penne
2.43
La Fiorita
2.12
Virtus
1.91
Tre Fiori
1.90
Libertas
1.55
Folgore
1.10
Murata
1.03
Juvenes / Dogana
1.03
Faetano
0.90
Domagnano
0.90
Pennarossa
0.89
San Giovanni
0.82
Fiorentino
0.82
Cailungo
0.64
Cosmos is 0.36 points better than La Fiorita in terms of average points per game (2.48 vs 2.12).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cosmos
2.30
Tre Penne
2.14
Virtus
1.76
Libertas
1.61
Tre Fiori
1.57
La Fiorita
1.48
Murata
1.41
Pennarossa
1.39
Juvenes / Dogana
1.39
Fiorentino
1.32
Domagnano
1.31
Faetano
1.19
Folgore
1.13
Cailungo
1.04
San Giovanni
1.00
Cosmos is 0.82 goals better than La Fiorita in terms of goals scored per game (2.30 vs 1.48).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cosmos
0.45
La Fiorita
0.61
Tre Penne
0.68
Tre Fiori
0.80
Virtus
0.91
Libertas
1.21
Folgore
1.70
Juvenes / Dogana
1.71
Domagnano
1.76
San Giovanni
1.93
Murata
2.00
Pennarossa
2.04
Fiorentino
2.07
Faetano
2.26
Cailungo
2.46
Cosmos is 0.15 goals better than La Fiorita in terms of goals conceded per game (0.45 vs 0.61).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CosmosCosmos

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

For 2.5 · Against 5.0 · Total 7.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

80164478A·BALH·BAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

CosmosCosmos

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (17)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (11)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (20)7.58.07.00.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (6)7.58.07.00.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (13)---0.00.00.0---
% over line0%0%0%0%0%0%---
% under line100%100%100%100%100%100%---
This opponent (Cosmos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tre Penne
11.0
Tre Fiori
9.0
La Fiorita
7.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tre Fiori
7.2
Tre Penne
5.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CosmosCosmos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W00D10W00D20W10W20W20W10WA·DOM11/11H·FIO26/11A·VIR03/12H·TRE10/12A·CAI18/12A·FOL07/01H·TRE15/01A·MUR20/01H·SAN28/01A·FAE05/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.180.181.430.141.000.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.000.001.330.000.670.00
vs Weaker (11)1.270.271.500.251.140.29
Clean sheet %82% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D20W11D12L01L00D10W00DA·FIO05/11H·LIB13/11A·PEN26/11H·FAE03/12A·MUR11/12H·SAN18/12A·TRE07/01H·FOL29/01A·JUV05/02A·CAI08/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.450.400.600.400.300.40
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (6)0.000.830.000.670.001.00
vs Weaker (13)0.620.230.830.330.430.14
Clean sheet %75% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosmos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cosmos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CosmosCosmos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D00D00D20W01L12L20W10WA·DOM11/11H·FIO26/11A·VIR03/12H·TRE10/12A·CAI18/12A·FOL07/01H·TRE15/01A·MUR20/01H·SAN28/01A·FAE05/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.940.291.290.140.700.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.670.500.670.330.670.67
vs Weaker (11)1.090.181.750.000.710.29
Clean sheet %82% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W21W20W10W10W10W20W00D10WA·FIO05/11H·LIB13/11A·PEN26/11H·FAE03/12A·MUR11/12H·SAN18/12A·TRE07/01H·FOL29/01A·JUV05/02A·CAI08/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.600.900.500.700.70
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (6)0.501.500.671.000.332.00
vs Weaker (13)1.000.081.170.000.860.14
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosmos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cosmos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (20)
€1m
LF (19)
€1m
FOL (19)
€1m
VIR (15)
€1m
DOM (19)
€1m
TP (14)
€1m
J/D (20)
€1m
COS (12)
€0m
CAI (18)
€0m
PEN (11)
€0m
SG (11)
€0m
FIO (9)
€0m
LIB (9)
€0m
FAE (10)
€0m
MUR (7)
€0m
Cosmos and La Fiorita have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (5)
€1m
LF (5)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
VIR (5)
€0m
J/D (7)
€0m
DOM (6)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (3)
€0m
TP (5)
€0m
CAI (5)
€0m
COS (2)
€0m
FIO (2)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
MUR (1)
€0m
LIB (0)
€0m
Cosmos and La Fiorita have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LF (7)
€0m
TP (6)
€0m
TF (6)
€0m
VIR (4)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
DOM (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
J/D (5)
€0m
FIO (3)
€0m
LIB (4)
€0m
COS (4)
€0m
CAI (4)
€0m
MUR (6)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
Cosmos and La Fiorita have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (9)
€1m
FOL (9)
€0m
LF (7)
€0m
DOM (8)
€0m
J/D (8)
€0m
VIR (6)
€0m
COS (6)
€0m
CAI (9)
€0m
FAE (6)
€0m
LIB (5)
€0m
FIO (4)
€0m
TP (3)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
MUR (0)
€0m
Cosmos and La Fiorita have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
COS wins
0
Draws
1
LF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cosmos vs La Fiorita · H/A from COS
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/22ALa Fiorita Vs COS2-0

CosmosCosmos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/02/23AFaetano Vs COS0-2
28/01/23HCOS Vs San Giovanni4-0
20/01/23AMurata Vs COS2-3
15/01/23HCOS Vs Tre Fiori1-1
07/01/23AFolgore Vs COS0-4
18/12/22ACailungo Vs COS0-0
10/12/22HCOS Vs Tre Penne1-0
03/12/22AVirtus Vs COS0-0
26/11/22HCOS Vs Fiorentino4-0
11/11/22ADomagnano Vs COS1-2

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/02/23ACailungo Vs LF0-1
05/02/23AJuvenes / Dogana Vs LF0-1
29/01/23HLF Vs Folgore2-0
07/01/23ATre Fiori Vs LF1-1
18/12/22HLF Vs San Giovanni2-2
11/12/22AMurata Vs LF1-2
03/12/22HLF Vs Faetano4-0
26/11/22APennarossa Vs LF1-2
13/11/22HLF Vs Libertas1-0
05/11/22AFiorentino Vs LF0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cosmos
Cosmos
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW2.35
HomeWWWDW2.71
AwayDDWWW2.10
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %71%86%60%
AVG goals2.593.002.30
Over 1.5 %76%71%80%
Over 2.5 %47%57%40%
Over 3.5 %35%57%20%
Scored2.122.711.70
Conceded0.470.290.60
BTTS29%29%30%
Clean Sheet65%71%60%
Corners---
Cards---
La Fiorita
La Fiorita
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW2.05
HomeLWWDW1.90
AwayWWDWW2.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %65%60%70%
AVG goals2.252.402.10
Over 1.5 %60%70%50%
Over 2.5 %35%40%30%
Over 3.5 %20%30%10%
Scored1.251.501.00
Conceded1.000.901.10
BTTS25%20%30%
Clean Sheet55%60%50%
Corners7.508.007.00
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CosmosCosmos3382
76%
2.5
7615+61
2.8
79%
48%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.5
-
2La FioritaLa Fiorita3370
64%
2.1
4920+29
2.1
67%
30%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.50.6
-
3Tre PenneTre Penne2868
75%
2.4
6019+41
2.8
82%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.10.7
-
4VirtusVirtus3363
52%
1.9
5830+28
2.7
82%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.80.9
-
5Tre FioriTre Fiori3057
57%
1.9
4724+23
2.4
77%
47%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.60.8
-
6LibertasLibertas3351
39%
1.5
5340+13
2.8
76%
55%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
7FolgoreFolgore3033
30%
1.1
3451-17
2.8
87%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
8Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana3132
29%
1.0
4353-10
3.1
81%
61%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
9MurataMurata2930
31%
1.0
4158-17
3.4
83%
62%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.0
-
10FaetanoFaetano3128
26%
0.9
3770-33
3.5
90%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.3
-
11DomagnanoDomagnano2926
21%
0.9
3851-13
3.1
86%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.8
-
12PennarossaPennarossa2825
25%
0.9
3957-18
3.4
86%
64%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.0
-
13FiorentinoFiorentino2823
18%
0.8
3758-21
3.4
82%
61%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
14San GiovanniSan Giovanni2823
21%
0.8
2854-26
2.9
86%
54%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.9
-
15CailungoCailungo2818
14%
0.6
2969-40
3.5
89%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
San-Marino: Campionato 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full San-Marino: Campionato stats & trends →

← all matches