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Cosmos vs La Fiorita Result & Analysis

Date: 21/10/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
Cosmos
Cosmos
Vs
47%
30%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
La Fiorita
La Fiorita
San-Marino: Campionato
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cosmos win✗ Miss
47.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita win✗ Miss
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CosmosCosmos

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W10W21W01L11D41W00D00D33D30WH·LIB06/05A·LIB14/05H·LA 20/05A·SUT13/07H·SUT20/07H·DOM15/09A·FOL23/09H·SAN30/09A·FIO03/10A·CAI08/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.200.532.380.502.000.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.710.791.710.711.710.86
vs Weaker (16)2.620.312.890.332.290.29
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D21W12L11D01L31W41W10W10W21WA·VIR07/05H·VIR13/05A·COS20/05H·ZIM13/07A·ZIM20/07H·LIB17/09A·FAE24/09H·FOL01/10A·JUV04/10H·MUR08/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.670.701.930.731.400.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.800.901.000.750.671.00
vs Weaker (20)2.100.602.270.731.890.44
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosmos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.0%
Under 1.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.2%
Under 2.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.9%
Under 3.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.9%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
Cosmos goals ↓
La Fiorita goals →
01234
011%7.8%4.1%1.2%0.3%
113%14%5.7%1.7%0.4%
29.8%8.8%4.0%1.2%0.3%
34.6%4.1%1.8%0.6%0.1%
41.6%1.4%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cosmos goals (down), columns = La Fiorita goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Virtus
2.63
La Fiorita
2.49
Tre Penne
1.97
Murata
1.91
Cosmos
1.86
Tre Fiori
1.81
Juvenes / Dogana
1.55
San Giovanni
1.50
Folgore
1.30
Fiorentino
1.23
Domagnano
1.13
Faetano
0.87
Libertas
0.77
San Marino Academy
0.73
Cailungo
0.47
Pennarossa
0.27
Cosmos is 0.63 points worse than La Fiorita in terms of average points per game (1.86 vs 2.49).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cosmos
2.37
Tre Penne
2.37
La Fiorita
2.17
Virtus
2.03
Tre Fiori
1.78
San Giovanni
1.78
Murata
1.77
Juvenes / Dogana
1.55
Faetano
1.47
Folgore
1.39
Fiorentino
1.29
San Marino Academy
1.07
Libertas
1.07
Domagnano
1.06
Pennarossa
0.60
Cailungo
0.50
Cosmos is 0.20 goals better than La Fiorita in terms of goals scored per game (2.37 vs 2.17).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
La Fiorita
0.60
Virtus
0.67
Murata
0.74
Cosmos
0.94
Tre Fiori
1.00
Tre Penne
1.03
Folgore
1.15
San Giovanni
1.44
Domagnano
1.45
Juvenes / Dogana
1.64
Fiorentino
1.84
Libertas
1.87
San Marino Academy
2.47
Cailungo
2.57
Faetano
2.63
Pennarossa
3.20
Cosmos is 0.34 goals worse than La Fiorita in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 0.60).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CosmosCosmos

For 3.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

16041222164H·SUTA·SUT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60331263H·SUTA·SUT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

For 2.5 · Against 5.5 · Total 8.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

80263588A·ZIMH·ZIM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50143154A·ZIMH·ZIM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

CosmosCosmos

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (40)10.016.04.00.20.30.1---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)10.016.04.00.50.80.3---
vs Weaker (23)---0.00.00.0---
% over line50%100%0%2%5%0%---
% under line50%0%100%98%95%100%---
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (43)7.88.07.50.20.20.2---
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (15)7.88.07.50.60.60.6---
vs Weaker (27)---0.00.00.0---
% over line0%0%0%5%5%5%---
% under line100%100%100%95%95%95%---
This opponent (Cosmos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Cosmos
10.0
Tre Fiori
9.0
La Fiorita
7.8
Tre Penne
7.2

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tre Fiori
7.2
La Fiorita
4.5
Cosmos
4.5
Tre Penne
3.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tre Penne
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.4%
Under 9.5
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.0%
Under 3.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CosmosCosmos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D00D10W20W00D00D21W10WH·LIB06/05A·LIB14/05H·LA 20/05A·SUT13/07H·SUT20/07H·DOM15/09A·FOL23/09H·SAN30/09A·FIO03/10A·CAI08/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.171.440.190.930.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.070.291.290.290.860.29
vs Weaker (16)1.310.061.560.111.000.00
Clean sheet %83% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D11D10W01L10W20W10W00D01LA·VIR07/05H·VIR13/05A·COS20/05H·ZIM13/07A·ZIM20/07H·LIB17/09A·FAE24/09H·FOL01/10A·JUV04/10H·MUR08/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.330.930.270.600.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.500.500.750.250.330.67
vs Weaker (20)0.900.251.000.270.780.22
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosmos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cosmos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CosmosCosmos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W10W01L01L21W00D00D12L20WH·LIB06/05A·LIB14/05H·LA 20/05A·SUT13/07H·SUT20/07H·DOM15/09A·FOL23/09H·SAN30/09A·FIO03/10A·CAI08/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.370.940.311.070.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.640.500.430.430.860.57
vs Weaker (16)1.310.251.330.221.290.29
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L01L00D21W21W00D10W20WA·VIR07/05H·VIR13/05A·COS20/05H·ZIM13/07A·ZIM20/07H·LIB17/09A·FAE24/09H·FOL01/10A·JUV04/10H·MUR08/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.371.000.470.800.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.300.400.250.500.330.33
vs Weaker (20)1.200.351.270.451.110.22
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosmos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cosmos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards82.1%--------
Under 3.580.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.1%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (20)
€1m
LF (19)
€1m
FOL (19)
€1m
VIR (15)
€1m
DOM (19)
€1m
TP (14)
€1m
J/D (20)
€1m
COS (12)
€0m
CAI (18)
€0m
PEN (11)
€0m
SG (11)
€0m
FIO (9)
€0m
SMA (13)
€0m
LIB (9)
€0m
FAE (10)
€0m
MUR (7)
€0m
Cosmos and La Fiorita have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (5)
€1m
LF (5)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
VIR (5)
€0m
J/D (7)
€0m
DOM (6)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (3)
€0m
TP (5)
€0m
CAI (5)
€0m
COS (2)
€0m
FIO (2)
€0m
SMA (5)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
MUR (1)
€0m
LIB (0)
€0m
Cosmos and La Fiorita have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LF (7)
€0m
TP (6)
€0m
TF (6)
€0m
VIR (4)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
DOM (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
J/D (5)
€0m
FIO (3)
€0m
LIB (4)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
COS (4)
€0m
CAI (4)
€0m
MUR (6)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
Cosmos and La Fiorita have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (9)
€1m
FOL (9)
€0m
LF (7)
€0m
DOM (8)
€0m
J/D (8)
€0m
VIR (6)
€0m
COS (6)
€0m
CAI (9)
€0m
FAE (6)
€0m
LIB (5)
€0m
FIO (4)
€0m
TP (3)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
MUR (0)
€0m
Cosmos and La Fiorita have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
COS wins
1
Draws
1
LF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cosmos vs La Fiorita · H/A from COS
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/23HCOS Vs La Fiorita2-1
11/02/23HCOS Vs La Fiorita1-1
01/10/22ALa Fiorita Vs COS2-0

CosmosCosmos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/23ACailungo Vs COS0-3
03/10/23AFiorentino Vs COS3-3
30/09/23HCOS Vs San Giovanni0-0
23/09/23AFolgore Vs COS0-0
15/09/23HCOS Vs Domagnano4-1
20/07/23HCOS Vs Sutjeska1-1
13/07/23ASutjeska Vs COS1-0
20/05/23HCOS Vs La Fiorita2-1
14/05/23ALibertas Vs COS0-1
06/05/23HCOS Vs Libertas2-0

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/23HLF Vs Murata2-1
04/10/23AJuvenes / Dogana Vs LF0-1
01/10/23HLF Vs Folgore1-0
24/09/23AFaetano Vs LF1-4
17/09/23HLF Vs Libertas3-1
20/07/23AZimbru Vs LF1-0
13/07/23HLF Vs Zimbru1-1
20/05/23ACosmos Vs LF2-1
13/05/23HLF Vs Virtus2-1
07/05/23AVirtus Vs LF0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cosmos
Cosmos
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDW2.30
HomeWWDWD2.50
AwayWLDDW2.10
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%75%60%
AVG goals2.703.002.40
Over 1.5 %75%80%70%
Over 2.5 %48%50%45%
Over 3.5 %35%45%25%
Scored2.172.551.80
Conceded0.530.450.60
BTTS35%45%25%
Clean Sheet60%55%65%
Corners10.0016.004.00
Cards4.506.003.00
La Fiorita
La Fiorita
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.00
HomeWDWWW2.14
AwayDLLWW1.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%68%52%
AVG goals2.302.452.14
Over 1.5 %67%73%62%
Over 2.5 %37%41%33%
Over 3.5 %19%27%10%
Scored1.441.641.24
Conceded0.860.820.90
BTTS40%36%43%
Clean Sheet47%50%43%
Corners7.758.007.50
Cards4.504.005.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1La FioritaLa Fiorita3587
80%
2.5
7621+55
2.8
74%
57%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.20.6
-
2VirtusVirtus3079
87%
2.6
6120+41
2.7
70%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.7
-
3Tre PenneTre Penne3569
60%
2.0
8336+47
3.4
89%
69%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.41.0
-
4MurataMurata3567
60%
1.9
6226+36
2.5
63%
49%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.7
-
5CosmosCosmos3565
54%
1.9
8333+50
3.3
77%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.40.9
-
6Tre FioriTre Fiori3258
53%
1.8
5732+25
2.8
72%
62%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.81.0
-
7Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana3351
48%
1.5
5154-3
3.2
76%
70%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
8San GiovanniSan Giovanni3248
47%
1.5
5746+11
3.2
88%
72%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
9FolgoreFolgore3343
36%
1.3
4638+8
2.5
70%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.2
-
10FiorentinoFiorentino3138
35%
1.2
4057-17
3.1
81%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
11DomagnanoDomagnano3135
29%
1.1
3345-12
2.5
68%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
12FaetanoFaetano3026
27%
0.9
4479-35
4.1
90%
77%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.6
-
13LibertasLibertas3023
20%
0.8
3256-24
2.9
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
14San Marino AcademySan Marino Academy3022
20%
0.7
3274-42
3.5
93%
73%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
15CailungoCailungo3014
13%
0.5
1577-62
3.1
80%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.6
-
16PennarossaPennarossa308
7%
0.3
1896-78
3.8
83%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
San-Marino: Campionato 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full San-Marino: Campionato stats & trends →

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