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Cosmos vs Murata Result & Analysis

Date: 16/12/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Cosmos
Cosmos
Vs
70%
20%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Murata
Murata
San-Marino: Campionato
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cosmos win✓ Hit
69.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Murata win✗ Miss
10.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CosmosCosmos

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D33D30W11D05L11D40W40W51W30WH·SAN30/09A·FIO03/10A·CAI08/10H·LA 21/10A·TRE29/10H·TRE04/11A·JUV12/11H·SAN25/11A·PEN02/12H·VIR09/12
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.300.702.410.532.150.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.461.081.880.750.801.60
vs Weaker (17)2.940.412.890.333.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Murata) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MurataMurata

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W12L30W03L50W20W41W02L00DH·DOM01/10A·SAN04/10A·LA 08/10H·CAI20/10A·TRE29/10H·PEN05/11A·FOL11/11H·JUV25/11A·VIR02/12H·TRE10/12
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.332.401.071.271.60
vs Stronger (11)0.551.910.671.670.502.00
vs Similar (19)2.581.002.830.922.141.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosmos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.5%
Under 2.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.1%
Under 3.5
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.7%
No
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.7%
1-0
10.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-1 ✓
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
5.1%
Cosmos goals ↓
Murata goals →
01234
06.1%3.1%1.5%0.4%0.1%
111%9.5%3.2%0.8%0.2%
213%9.5%3.6%0.9%0.2%
39.3%7.0%2.6%0.7%0.1%
45.1%3.8%1.4%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cosmos goals (down), columns = Murata goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Virtus
2.63
La Fiorita
2.49
Tre Penne
1.97
Murata
1.91
Cosmos
1.86
Tre Fiori
1.81
Juvenes / Dogana
1.55
San Giovanni
1.50
Folgore
1.30
Fiorentino
1.23
Domagnano
1.13
Faetano
0.87
Libertas
0.77
San Marino Academy
0.73
Cailungo
0.47
Pennarossa
0.27
Cosmos is 0.06 points worse than Murata in terms of average points per game (1.86 vs 1.91).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cosmos
2.37
Tre Penne
2.37
La Fiorita
2.17
Virtus
2.03
Tre Fiori
1.78
San Giovanni
1.78
Murata
1.77
Juvenes / Dogana
1.55
Faetano
1.47
Folgore
1.39
Fiorentino
1.29
San Marino Academy
1.07
Libertas
1.07
Domagnano
1.06
Pennarossa
0.60
Cailungo
0.50
Cosmos is 0.60 goals better than Murata in terms of goals scored per game (2.37 vs 1.77).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
La Fiorita
0.60
Virtus
0.67
Murata
0.74
Cosmos
0.94
Tre Fiori
1.00
Tre Penne
1.03
Folgore
1.15
San Giovanni
1.44
Domagnano
1.45
Juvenes / Dogana
1.64
Fiorentino
1.84
Libertas
1.87
San Marino Academy
2.47
Cailungo
2.57
Faetano
2.63
Pennarossa
3.20
Cosmos is 0.20 goals worse than Murata in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 0.74).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CosmosCosmos

For 3.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

16041222164H·SUTA·SUT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60331263H·SUTA·SUT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MurataMurata

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

CosmosCosmos

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (47)10.016.04.00.20.20.1---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)10.016.04.00.50.60.4---
vs Weaker (29)---0.00.00.0---
% over line50%100%0%2%4%0%---
% under line50%0%100%98%96%100%---
This opponent (Murata) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MurataMurata

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (41)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (17)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (24)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Cosmos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Cosmos
10.0
Tre Fiori
9.0
La Fiorita
7.8
Tre Penne
7.2

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tre Fiori
7.2
La Fiorita
4.5
Cosmos
4.5
Tre Penne
3.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tre Penne
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CosmosCosmos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D21W10W00D04L11D20W20W41W10WH·SAN30/09A·FIO03/10A·CAI08/10H·LA 21/10A·TRE29/10H·TRE04/11A·JUV12/11H·SAN25/11A·PEN02/12H·VIR09/12
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.371.350.241.080.54
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.850.621.120.380.401.00
vs Weaker (17)1.530.181.560.111.500.25
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Murata) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MurataMurata

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W30W02L30W20W30W01L00DH·DOM01/10A·SAN04/10A·LA 08/10H·CAI20/10A·TRE29/10H·PEN05/11A·FOL11/11H·JUV25/11A·VIR02/12H·TRE10/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.531.200.470.600.60
vs Stronger (11)0.270.730.001.000.380.62
vs Similar (19)1.260.421.500.330.860.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosmos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cosmos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Murata over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Murata over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Murata over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CosmosCosmos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L20W11D01L00D20W20W10W20WH·SAN30/09A·FIO03/10A·CAI08/10H·LA 21/10A·TRE29/10H·TRE04/11A·JUV12/11H·SAN25/11A·PEN02/12H·VIR09/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.331.060.291.080.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.460.750.380.400.60
vs Weaker (17)1.410.241.330.221.500.25
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Murata) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MurataMurata

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W02L00D01L20W00D11D01L00DH·DOM01/10A·SAN04/10A·LA 08/10H·CAI20/10A·TRE29/10H·PEN05/11A·FOL11/11H·JUV25/11A·VIR02/12H·TRE10/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.801.200.600.671.00
vs Stronger (11)0.271.180.670.670.121.38
vs Similar (19)1.320.581.330.581.290.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosmos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cosmos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Murata over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Murata over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Murata over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (20)
€1m
LF (19)
€1m
FOL (19)
€1m
VIR (15)
€1m
DOM (19)
€1m
TP (14)
€1m
J/D (20)
€1m
COS (12)
€0m
CAI (18)
€0m
PEN (11)
€0m
SG (11)
€0m
FIO (9)
€0m
SMA (13)
€0m
LIB (9)
€0m
FAE (10)
€0m
MUR (7)
€0m
Cosmos and Murata have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (5)
€1m
LF (5)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
VIR (5)
€0m
J/D (7)
€0m
DOM (6)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (3)
€0m
TP (5)
€0m
CAI (5)
€0m
COS (2)
€0m
FIO (2)
€0m
SMA (5)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
MUR (1)
€0m
LIB (0)
€0m
Cosmos and Murata have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LF (7)
€0m
TP (6)
€0m
TF (6)
€0m
VIR (4)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
DOM (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
J/D (5)
€0m
FIO (3)
€0m
LIB (4)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
COS (4)
€0m
CAI (4)
€0m
MUR (6)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
Cosmos and Murata have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (9)
€1m
FOL (9)
€0m
LF (7)
€0m
DOM (8)
€0m
J/D (8)
€0m
VIR (6)
€0m
COS (6)
€0m
CAI (9)
€0m
FAE (6)
€0m
LIB (5)
€0m
FIO (4)
€0m
TP (3)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
MUR (0)
€0m
Cosmos and Murata have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
COS wins
0
Draws
0
MUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cosmos vs Murata · H/A from COS
DateH/AGameScore
20/01/23AMurata Vs COS2-3
03/09/22HCOS Vs Murata4-1

CosmosCosmos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/12/23HCOS Vs Virtus3-0
02/12/23APennarossa Vs COS1-5
25/11/23HCOS Vs San Marino Academy4-0
12/11/23AJuvenes / Dogana Vs COS0-4
04/11/23HCOS Vs Tre Penne1-1
29/10/23ATre Fiori Vs COS5-0
21/10/23HCOS Vs La Fiorita1-1
08/10/23ACailungo Vs COS0-3
03/10/23AFiorentino Vs COS3-3
30/09/23HCOS Vs San Giovanni0-0

MurataMurata

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/23HMUR Vs Tre Fiori0-0
02/12/23AVirtus Vs MUR2-0
25/11/23HMUR Vs Juvenes / Dogana4-1
11/11/23AFolgore Vs MUR0-2
05/11/23HMUR Vs Pennarossa5-0
29/10/23ATre Penne Vs MUR3-0
20/10/23HMUR Vs Cailungo3-0
08/10/23ALa Fiorita Vs MUR2-1
04/10/23ASan Giovanni Vs MUR0-1
01/10/23HMUR Vs Domagnano1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cosmos
Cosmos
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW2.26
HomeDDDWW2.42
AwayDWLWW2.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%71%61%
AVG goals2.852.962.74
Over 1.5 %79%83%74%
Over 2.5 %51%50%52%
Over 3.5 %38%42%35%
Scored2.232.501.96
Conceded0.620.460.78
BTTS36%46%26%
Clean Sheet57%54%61%
Corners10.0016.004.00
Cards4.506.003.00
Murata
Murata
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD1.34
HomeWWWWD1.38
AwayWLLWL1.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%43%40%
AVG goals3.273.433.10
Over 1.5 %80%81%80%
Over 2.5 %61%71%50%
Over 3.5 %44%48%40%
Scored1.631.951.30
Conceded1.631.481.80
BTTS49%57%40%
Clean Sheet27%24%30%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1La FioritaLa Fiorita3587
80%
2.5
7621+55
2.8
74%
57%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.20.6
-
2VirtusVirtus3079
87%
2.6
6120+41
2.7
70%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.7
-
3Tre PenneTre Penne3569
60%
2.0
8336+47
3.4
89%
69%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.41.0
-
4MurataMurata3567
60%
1.9
6226+36
2.5
63%
49%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.7
-
5CosmosCosmos3565
54%
1.9
8333+50
3.3
77%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.40.9
-
6Tre FioriTre Fiori3258
53%
1.8
5732+25
2.8
72%
62%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.81.0
-
7Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana3351
48%
1.5
5154-3
3.2
76%
70%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
8San GiovanniSan Giovanni3248
47%
1.5
5746+11
3.2
88%
72%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
9FolgoreFolgore3343
36%
1.3
4638+8
2.5
70%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.2
-
10FiorentinoFiorentino3138
35%
1.2
4057-17
3.1
81%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
11DomagnanoDomagnano3135
29%
1.1
3345-12
2.5
68%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
12FaetanoFaetano3026
27%
0.9
4479-35
4.1
90%
77%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.6
-
13LibertasLibertas3023
20%
0.8
3256-24
2.9
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
14San Marino AcademySan Marino Academy3022
20%
0.7
3274-42
3.5
93%
73%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
15CailungoCailungo3014
13%
0.5
1577-62
3.1
80%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.6
-
16PennarossaPennarossa308
7%
0.3
1896-78
3.8
83%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
San-Marino: Campionato 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full San-Marino: Campionato stats & trends →

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