Cove Rangers, fresh from a 0-1 loss to Hamilton Academical, look to rebound while Alloa Athletic, having drawn 1-1 with Peterhead, aim to steady their form. The model sees a 36% chance of a home win, 33% for a draw and 31% for an away victory, making a Cove Rangers win the favoured result. With an expected 2.1 goals, the most likely total is two, and the single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 14.8% probability. Cove Rangers average 1.25 goals scored and 1.17 conceded at home against similar opposition, whereas Alloa average 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on the road. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.4%, edge 6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%, edge 7%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.1%, edge 8%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.1%, edge 7%), Under 5.5 (98.0%, edge 8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6%, edge 5%), and Home under 3.5 goals (97.4%, edge 7%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cove Rangers win
36.3%
Avg Implied 34.8% · @ 2.62
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.70
Dafabet
2.70
Betano
2.67
William Hil
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Draw
32.6%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.24
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.25
Marathonbet
3.22
Alloa Athletic win
31.1%
Avg Implied 37.2% · @ 2.45
Edge
-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.55
Betano
2.47
Dafabet
2.45
Betfair
2.45
1xBet
2.44
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cove Rangers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.40
1.21
1.00
1.19
1.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.38
1.54
1.25
1.17
1.50
1.92
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.83
1.00
0.00
0.25
1.25
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alloa Athletic
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.46
1.38
0.92
1.47
1.93
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
4.00
-
-
2.00
4.00
vs Similar (13)
1.38
1.00
1.33
0.56
1.50
2.00
vs Weaker (14)
1.43
1.71
1.50
1.75
1.40
1.70
Clean sheet %
32% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
63.4%
@ 1.27-8.7%
Under 1.5
36.6%
@ 3.29+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Unibet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
Betano
3.25
Unibet
3.15
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
35.0%
@ 1.91-13.7%
Under 2.5
65.0%
@ 1.82+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.95
Betfair
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Under
Betfair
1.87
Bet365
1.85
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
16.1%
@ 3.20-12.6%
Under 3.5
83.9%
@ 1.29+12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Unibet
3.15
Under
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Both teams to score
Yes
43.5%
@ 1.72-10.3%
No
56.5%
@ 2.01+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.75
Betfair
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.70
No
Betfair
2.05
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Unibet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%@ 6.24+7.5%
0-0
13.6%@ 9.60+8.9%
1-0
12.1%@ 8.52+6.8%
0-1
10.9%@ 8.13+5.3%
2-0
7.4%@ 12.96+3.9%
2-1
7.4%@ 9.99+2.9%
1-2
6.7%@ 9.32+1.9%
0-2
6.1%@ 12.00+2.3%
Cove Rangers goals ↓
Alloa Athletic goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
11%
6.1%
2.0%
0.5%
1
12%
15%
6.7%
2.2%
0.6%
2
7.4%
7.4%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
3
2.7%
2.7%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cove Rangers goals (down), columns = Alloa Athletic goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Alloa Athletic
1.28
Queen of the South
1.28
Ross County
1.25
Peterhead
1.19
Montrose
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.06
East Fife
1.00
Cove Rangers is 0.22 points worse than Alloa Athletic in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.28).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.36
East Kilbride
1.36
Alloa Athletic
1.36
Queen of the South
1.36
Montrose
1.33
Peterhead
1.33
Ross County
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.14
East Fife
0.94
Cove Rangers is 0.22 goals worse than Alloa Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
1.22
Airdrie United
1.44
East Kilbride
1.44
Alloa Athletic
1.44
Queen of the South
1.44
Ross County
1.47
Hamilton Academical
1.50
East Fife
1.69
Peterhead
1.78
Montrose
1.86
Cove Rangers is 0.22 goals better than Alloa Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cove Rangers
For 4.3 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 10.2 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Alloa Athletic
For 5.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 0.0 · Total 1.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cove Rangers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.7
10.1
2.5
3.3
1.9
22.2
22.4
21.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
9.4
9.1
9.7
2.3
2.8
1.9
22.0
21.9
22.0
vs Weaker (11)
9.2
7.0
11.0
3.3
5.5
2.0
22.8
24.0
21.8
% over line
46%
33%
58%
34%
52%
19%
51%
44%
58%
% under line
54%
67%
42%
66%
48%
81%
49%
56%
42%
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alloa Athletic
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
10.0
-
10.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
22.0
-
22.0
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
10.0
-
10.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
22.0
-
22.0
vs Weaker (14)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
100%
-
100%
0%
0%
0%
100%
-
100%
% under line
0%
-
0%
100%
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ross County
10.9
Hamilton Academical
10.5
East Kilbride
10.4
Airdrie United
10.1
Alloa Athletic
10.0
East Fife
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.4
Peterhead
8.9
Montrose
8.5
Queen of the South
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Peterhead
5.0
Montrose
3.7
East Fife
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.2
Queen of the South
3.0
Hamilton Academical
2.7
Alloa Athletic
1.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
East Kilbride
26.4
East Fife
22.9
Montrose
22.2
Alloa Athletic
22.0
Cove Rangers
21.0
Ross County
21.0
Queen of the South
20.0
Airdrie United
20.0
Hamilton Academical
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.1%
@ 2.10+0.9%
Under 9.5
54.9%
@ 1.66-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
46.9%
Under 3.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.9%
Under 21.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cove Rangers or Draw
68.9%
Avg Implied 62.9% · @ 1.46
Edge
+6.0%
36%
33%
31%
covers Cove Rangers + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.53
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Cove Rangers or Alloa Athletic
67.4%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.28
Edge
-4.4%
36%
33%
31%
covers Cove Rangers + Alloa Athletic
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.32
Betfair
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
Draw or Alloa Athletic
63.7%
Avg Implied 65.3% · @ 1.41
Edge
-1.7%
36%
33%
31%
covers Draw + Alloa Athletic
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.39
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5
Over
66.8%
@ 1.31-4.3%
Under
33.2%
@ 3.22+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5
Over
30.2%
@ 2.44-7.6%
Under
69.8%
@ 1.48+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.47
1xBet
2.46
Marathonbet
2.46
Unibet
2.32
Under
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Unibet
1.46
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5
Over
10.0%
@ 5.75-6.0%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.09+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Cove Rangers over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
@ 10.50-6.3%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.02+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.50
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Alloa Athletic over/under 0.5
Over
63.2%
@ 1.28-8.8%
Under
36.8%
@ 3.29+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Under
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.34
Betano
3.30
Unibet
3.00
Alloa Athletic over/under 1.5
Over
26.4%
@ 2.37-12.7%
Under
73.6%
@ 1.52+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Alloa Athletic over/under 2.5
Over
8.0%
@ 5.33-9.3%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.11+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.65
Betano
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Alloa Athletic over/under 3.5
Over
1.9%
@ 9.75-7.7%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.03+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Cove Rangers, so a minus line means Cove Rangers give that many goals of a start and Alloa Athletic receive them. At -1, Cove Rangers must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cove Rangers win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cove Rangers)
Cove Rangers -2
4.7%
@ 11.00-3.4%
Draw -2
10.6%
@ 7.50-1.4%
Alloa Athletic +2
84.7%
@ 1.12+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Away
Bet365
1.12
Handicap -1 (Cove Rangers)
Cove Rangers -1
15.3%
@ 4.93-2.0%
Draw -1
21.0%
@ 4.02-0.2%
Alloa Athletic +1
63.7%
@ 1.39+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.55
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.25
Draw
Marathonbet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
3.40
Away
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Handicap +1 (Cove Rangers)
Cove Rangers +1
68.9%
@ 1.42+8.3%
Draw +1
19.0%
@ 4.02-2.5%
Alloa Athletic -1
12.1%
@ 4.79-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Unibet
1.37
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.55
Away
Marathonbet
5.15
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
4.75
Unibet
4.25
Handicap +2 (Cove Rangers)
Cove Rangers +2
87.9%
@ 1.12+12.3%
Draw +2
8.7%
@ 5.90-5.7%
Alloa Athletic -2
3.4%
@ 8.38-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
6.75
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cove Rangers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.57
0.29
0.50
0.50
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.46
0.54
0.25
0.58
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
0.17
0.67
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alloa Athletic
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.54
0.86
0.46
0.38
0.60
1.27
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.38
0.56
0.11
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
0.50
1.21
0.25
1.00
0.60
1.30
Clean sheet %
54% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
65.2%
@ 1.37-1.8%
Under 0.5
34.8%
@ 2.79+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.36
1xBet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Under
William Hil
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.78
1xBet
2.78
Bet365
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
28.6%
@ 2.81-4.3%
Under 1.5
71.4%
@ 1.38+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.90
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.80
Marathonbet
2.78
1xBet
2.78
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
William Hil
1.40
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
8.7%
@ 6.92-4.8%
Under 2.5
91.3%
@ 1.07+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
7.00
1xBet
6.70
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.2%
@ 2.13-4.9%
Under
61.8%
@ 1.62+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Under
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.3%
@ 7.17-6.5%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.06+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
@ 12.50-6.6%
Under
99.2%
@ 1.01+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Alloa Athletic over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.2%
@ 2.07+4.8%
Under
50.8%
@ 1.66-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Under
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Alloa Athletic over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.9%
@ 6.80+0.3%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.07-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.20
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Alloa Athletic over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.5%
@ 12.00-5.4%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cove Rangers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.83
0.93
0.50
0.69
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.92
1.00
1.00
0.58
0.83
1.42
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.17
0.50
0.00
0.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alloa Athletic
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.89
0.61
0.92
0.54
0.87
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (13)
0.85
0.62
0.78
0.44
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.50
1.25
0.75
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.5%
@ 1.24-2.1%
Under 0.5
26.5%
@ 3.83+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.21
Under
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.85
Bet365
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.5%
@ 2.10-6.7%
Under 1.5
62.5%
@ 1.67+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
Betano
1.72
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.2%
@ 4.37-6.1%
Under 2.5
84.8%
@ 1.18+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 2H
Over
42.1%
@ 1.78-9.8%
Under
57.9%
@ 1.92+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Under
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.88
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.5%
@ 4.88-8.3%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.14+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
4.80
Betano
4.65
Under
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.8%
@ 10.50-7.1%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.03+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Alloa Athletic over/under 0.5 2H
Over
55.8%
@ 1.74+2.8%
Under
44.2%
@ 1.97-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Under
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.93
Alloa Athletic over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.9%
@ 4.67+2.1%
Under
78.1%
@ 1.15-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.40
Under
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Alloa Athletic over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.7%
@ 9.75-4.9%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.03+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+6.1%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.6%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.2%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+7.1%
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+7.7%
Under 5.5
98.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+6.7%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.4%
Home under 3.5 goals
97.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+6.3%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.9%
Under 4.5
93.8%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
+8.7%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
93.7%
1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
+6.5%
Away under 2.5 goals
92.0%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+9.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.3%
1.07
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+4.8%
Home under 2.5 goals
90.0%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+6.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
89.5%
1.14
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
+8.3%
Home +2 handicap
87.9%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
+12.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.1%
1.07
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
-0.3%
Under 5.5 cards
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.8%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.16
-
-
+6.1%
Away +2 handicap
84.7%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+4.8%
Under 3.5
83.9%
1.29
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+12.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
78.1%
1.15
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-2.1%
Under 11.5 corners
77.4%
1.20
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
+0.9%
Away under 1.5 goals
73.6%
1.52
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
-
+12.7%
Over 0.5 2H goals
73.5%
1.24
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.21
-
-
-2.1%
Under 4.5 cards
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.4%
1.38
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
William Hil
1.40
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
+4.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (11)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Cove Rangers and Alloa Athletic have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Cove Rangers and Alloa Athletic have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (3)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (7)
€1m
QOT (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Cove Rangers and Alloa Athletic have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hamilton Academical
Ross County
East Kilbride
Peterhead
East Fife
Montrose
Airdrie United
Queen of the South