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Cove Rangers vs Alloa Result & Analysis

Date: 20/04/2024
Time: 17:30
Final 2-3
Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Vs
34%
22%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
A
Alloa
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cove Rangers win✗ Miss
34.5%
Avg Implied 35.1% · @ 2.62
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.8%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.68
Edge
-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Alloa win✓ Hit
43.7%
Avg Implied 39.9% · @ 2.31
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-514L21W20W01L14L10W13L42W15L24LA·ALL17/02H·ANN24/02A·EDI02/03H·FAL05/03H·MON09/03A·KEL16/03H·HAM23/03H·STI30/03A·FAL06/04A·ANN13/04
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.801.931.731.271.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.841.841.001.800.671.89
vs Weaker (11)2.911.733.801.602.171.83
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

A
Alloa

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W21W34L30W52W12L02L11D51W00DH·COV17/02A·HAM24/02A·MON02/03H·KEL09/03A·EDI16/03A·KEL19/03H·QUE23/03H·ANN30/03A·STI06/04H·MON13/04
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.471.441.191.931.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.371.631.361.361.382.00
vs Weaker (11)2.181.181.600.802.671.50
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%2%06%115%219%320%416%522%6+
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.0%
Under 1.5
8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
77.1%
@ 1.47+13.6%
Under 2.5
22.9%
@ 2.56-13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.9%
Under 3.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
76.0%
No
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-3 ✓
5.2%
3-2
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
Cove Rangers goals ↓
Alloa goals →
01234
02.4%3.0%4.0%2.9%1.5%
12.6%7.8%7.6%5.5%2.9%
23.1%6.8%7.3%5.2%2.8%
32.0%4.3%4.6%3.3%1.8%
41.0%2.1%2.2%1.6%0.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cove Rangers goals (down), columns = Alloa goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Falkirk
2.50
Hamilton
2.06
Alloa
1.56
Montrose
1.47
Cove Rangers
1.36
Kelty Hearts
1.22
Queen of Sth
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.08
Edinburgh City
0.39
Cove Rangers is 0.19 points worse than Alloa in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 1.56).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Falkirk
2.67
Hamilton
2.03
Alloa
1.67
Cove Rangers
1.61
Montrose
1.61
Annan Athletic
1.53
Kelty Hearts
1.33
Queen of Sth
1.28
Stirling
1.08
Edinburgh City
1.06
Cove Rangers is 0.06 goals worse than Alloa in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.67).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Falkirk
0.78
Hamilton
0.78
Queen of Sth
1.47
Alloa
1.53
Montrose
1.58
Stirling
1.61
Kelty Hearts
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.89
Edinburgh City
2.72
Cove Rangers is 0.22 goals worse than Alloa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 1.53).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Cove RangersCove Rangers

For 5.3 · Against 5.7 · Total 11.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

16084610717663421105439681216813961191214A·ANNA·FALH·STIH·HAMA·KELH·MONH·FALA·EDIH·ANNA·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

501312312111222112114151324332A·ANNA·FALH·STIH·HAMA·KELH·MONH·FALA·EDIH·ANNA·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.3 · Against 8.0 · Total 15.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

24061056874997111381011868521611151316241819147A·ANNA·FALH·STIH·HAMA·KELH·MONH·FALA·EDIH·ANNA·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

A
Alloa

For 6.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

1606626237784649252888612851412101171614H·MONA·STIH·ANNH·QUEA·KELA·EDIH·KELA·MONA·HAMH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 0.9 · Total 2.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

4011212212231112320322402H·MONA·STIH·ANNH·QUEA·KELA·EDIH·KELA·MONA·HAMH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.4 · Against 8.4 · Total 15.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

2303141151191010158613374895251716202023191012147H·MONA·STIH·ANNH·QUEA·KELA·EDIH·KELA·MONA·HAMH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Cove RangersCove Rangers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.99.82.22.52.118.520.017.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)10.210.110.22.32.72.118.520.417.2
vs Weaker (17)9.19.48.82.12.12.018.519.217.8
% over line54%62%48%28%33%24%27%38%19%
% under line46%38%52%72%67%76%73%62%81%
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

A
Alloa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.59.83.33.33.218.918.219.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (37)9.99.610.33.13.23.018.417.919.0
vs Weaker (13)8.89.38.23.83.93.820.319.121.7
% over line54%58%50%46%50%42%28%15%42%
% under line46%42%50%54%50%58%72%85%58%
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Kelty Hearts
11.3
Hamilton
10.6
Falkirk
10.5
Stirling
10.2
Montrose
10.1
Edinburgh City
10.0
Cove Rangers
9.9
Queen of Sth
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.8
Alloa
9.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Annan Athletic
4.6
Montrose
4.3
Falkirk
4.1
Stirling
4.0
Queen of Sth
3.7
Hamilton
3.6
Kelty Hearts
3.6
Edinburgh City
3.6
Alloa
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.2

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kelty Hearts
21.8
Falkirk
21.6
Montrose
21.5
Hamilton
20.6
Queen of Sth
20.6
Annan Athletic
20.5
Stirling
20.1
Edinburgh City
20.0
Alloa
18.9
Cove Rangers
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.5%
Under 9.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.7%
Under 3.5
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
32.3%
Under 21.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W10W00D03L00D01L21W12L22DA·ALL17/02H·ANN24/02A·EDI02/03H·FAL05/03H·MON09/03A·KEL16/03H·HAM23/03H·STI30/03A·FAL06/04A·ANN13/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.830.870.800.600.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.420.840.500.900.330.78
vs Weaker (11)1.270.821.600.601.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

A
Alloa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D22D10W12L00D01L11D30W00DH·COV17/02A·HAM24/02A·MON02/03H·KEL09/03A·EDI16/03A·KEL19/03H·QUE23/03H·ANN30/03A·STI06/04H·MON13/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.440.380.790.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.370.680.360.450.381.00
vs Weaker (11)1.000.550.600.201.330.83
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D10W01L11D10W12L21W03L02LA·ALL17/02H·ANN24/02A·EDI02/03H·FAL05/03H·MON09/03A·KEL16/03H·HAM23/03H·STI30/03A·FAL06/04A·ANN13/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.971.070.930.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.421.000.500.900.331.11
vs Weaker (11)1.640.912.201.001.170.83
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

A
Alloa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W21W12L20W40W12L01L00D21W00DH·COV17/02A·HAM24/02A·MON02/03H·KEL09/03A·EDI16/03A·KEL19/03H·QUE23/03H·ANN30/03A·STI06/04H·MON13/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.831.000.811.140.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.000.951.000.911.001.00
vs Weaker (11)1.180.641.000.601.330.67
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.592.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls90.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards89.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls81.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards77.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.577.1%1.47-----+13.6%✓ Hit
BTTS Yes76.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
KH (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
CR wins
1
Draws
3
ALL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cove Rangers vs Alloa · H/A from CR
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/24AAlloa Vs CR4-1
16/12/23HCR Vs Alloa1-2
02/09/23AAlloa Vs CR1-0
16/04/22HCR Vs Alloa3-0
26/02/22AAlloa Vs CR2-2
18/12/21HCR Vs Alloa3-0
02/10/21AAlloa Vs CR1-3

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/24AAnnan Athletic Vs CR4-2
06/04/24AFalkirk Vs CR5-1
30/03/24HCR Vs Stirling4-2
23/03/24HCR Vs Hamilton1-3
16/03/24AKelty Hearts Vs CR0-1
09/03/24HCR Vs Montrose1-4
05/03/24HCR Vs Falkirk0-1
02/03/24AEdinburgh City Vs CR0-2
24/02/24HCR Vs Annan Athletic2-1
17/02/24AAlloa Vs CR4-1

A
Alloa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/24HALL Vs Montrose0-0
06/04/24AStirling Vs ALL1-5
30/03/24HALL Vs Annan Athletic1-1
23/03/24HALL Vs Queen of Sth0-2
19/03/24AKelty Hearts Vs ALL2-1
16/03/24AEdinburgh City Vs ALL2-5
09/03/24HALL Vs Kelty Hearts3-0
02/03/24AMontrose Vs ALL4-3
24/02/24AHamilton Vs ALL1-2
17/02/24HALL Vs Cove Rangers4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.06
HomeWLLLW1.19
AwayLWWLL0.97
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%33%24%
AVG goals3.163.522.90
Over 1.5 %76%86%69%
Over 2.5 %60%71%52%
Over 3.5 %40%48%34%
Scored1.241.620.97
Conceded1.921.901.93
BTTS56%71%45%
Clean Sheet18%10%24%
Corners9.849.889.81
Cards3.033.252.86
A
Alloa
Scotland: League One
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWD1.60
HomeWWLDD1.62
AwayWLWLW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%46%50%
AVG goals2.922.503.38
Over 1.5 %78%65%92%
Over 2.5 %56%46%67%
Over 3.5 %30%31%29%
Scored1.521.271.79
Conceded1.401.231.58
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet26%31%21%
Corners9.649.549.75
Cards3.283.353.21

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FalkirkFalkirk3690
75%
2.5
9628+68
3.4
83%
72%
47%
11.4
78%
4.2
64%
21.9
42%
6
2132.70.8
-
2
H
Hamilton
3674
61%
2.1
7328+45
2.8
75%
56%
33%
10.1
64%
3.2
44%
19.9
33%
0
0002.00.8
-
3
A
Alloa
3656
44%
1.6
6055+5
3.2
81%
64%
36%
10.0
58%
3.7
56%
19.8
36%
0
0001.71.5
-
4MontroseMontrose3653
42%
1.5
5857+1
3.2
75%
56%
39%
10.0
53%
3.8
53%
20.6
36%
0
0001.61.6
-
5Cove RangersCove Rangers3649
39%
1.4
5863-5
3.4
78%
64%
53%
10.1
56%
2.9
33%
18.3
28%
0
0001.61.8
-
6Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3644
33%
1.2
4863-15
3.1
78%
61%
44%
10.8
56%
3.7
42%
21.7
53%
1
1001.31.8
-
7
QO
Queen of Sth
3641
31%
1.1
4653-7
2.8
75%
50%
33%
10.1
58%
3.7
50%
21.9
53%
0
0001.31.5
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3639
25%
1.1
5568-13
3.4
97%
72%
42%
9.8
50%
4.4
69%
21.3
44%
0
0001.51.9
-
9StirlingStirling3639
28%
1.1
3958-19
2.7
67%
53%
36%
10.7
72%
3.9
53%
20.9
44%
0
0001.11.6
-
10Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3614
8%
0.4
3898-60
3.8
92%
75%
53%
10.2
61%
3.9
47%
21.6
53%
0
0001.12.7
-
Scotland: League One 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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