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Cowdenbeath vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 30/04/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Vs
34%
31%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cowdenbeath win✗ Miss
34.3%
Avg Implied 34.8% · @ 2.65
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.32
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✓ Hit
34.7%
Avg Implied 37.5% · @ 2.46
Edge
-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L12L03L12L11D11D00D32W00D41WH·KEL05/03A·STI08/03A·STR12/03H·FOR15/03H·STE19/03A·FOR26/03H·STI02/04A·ANN09/04H·EDI16/04A·ELG23/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.300.571.000.881.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.890.780.500.501.201.00
vs Weaker (21)0.671.520.601.200.731.82
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L13L00D00D10W42W00D05L14L11DH·EDI05/03A·KEL12/03H·KEL16/03H·FOR19/03A·STI22/03A·ANN26/03H·ELG02/04H·STR09/04A·STE16/04H·STI23/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.670.871.531.201.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.701.500.670.830.752.50
vs Weaker (20)1.201.751.002.001.361.55
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.3%
Under 1.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.5%
@ 1.96-7.1%
Under 2.5
59.5%
@ 1.78+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.1%
Under 3.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.3%
0-1 ✓
10.2%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
Cowdenbeath goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
011%10%6.7%2.6%0.7%
110%15%7.7%3.0%0.9%
26.6%7.6%4.4%1.7%0.5%
32.5%2.9%1.7%0.6%0.2%
40.7%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cowdenbeath goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kelty Hearts
2.25
Forfar
1.67
Annan Athletic
1.64
Edinburgh City
1.44
Stenhousemuir
1.36
Stranraer
1.31
Stirling
1.17
Albion Rvs
1.08
Elgin
1.03
Cowdenbeath
0.81
Cowdenbeath is 0.28 points worse than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (0.81 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kelty Hearts
1.89
Annan Athletic
1.78
Forfar
1.58
Stranraer
1.39
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.19
Stirling
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.03
Elgin
0.92
Cowdenbeath
0.78
Cowdenbeath is 0.25 goals worse than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (0.78 vs 1.03).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kelty Hearts
0.78
Forfar
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Cowdenbeath
1.36
Edinburgh City
1.36
Annan Athletic
1.42
Elgin
1.42
Stranraer
1.50
Albion Rvs
1.61
Cowdenbeath is 0.25 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.61).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

For 4.3 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

160665455454762462142454129109118101669A·ELGH·EDIA·ANNH·STIA·FORH·STEH·FORA·STRA·STIH·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80132321221413122351553354228A·ELGH·EDIA·ANNH·STIA·FORH·STEH·FORA·STRA·STIH·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

27061215912148129141114149861213111618242620232523142527A·ELGH·EDIA·ANNH·STIA·FORH·STEH·FORA·STRA·STIH·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.1 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

15053174354455873552668875810158712H·STIA·STEH·STRH·ELGA·ANNA·STIH·FORH·KELA·KELH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

110134192123221212145113053231H·STIA·STEH·STRH·ELGA·ANNA·STIH·FORH·KELA·KELH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 9.7 · Total 19.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

22069814121013710111210912119789715222220212221201516H·STIA·STEH·STRH·ELGA·ANNA·STIH·FORH·KELA·KELH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.010.03.93.83.922.022.221.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)9.99.610.23.33.23.422.423.321.3
vs Weaker (31)9.38.69.94.24.34.121.821.422.1
% over line40%24%56%56%60%52%52%60%44%
% under line60%76%44%44%40%48%48%40%56%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.08.89.23.03.42.620.920.221.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)9.59.39.72.62.82.321.721.921.6
vs Weaker (32)8.88.59.03.23.72.820.519.321.6
% over line35%29%40%34%36%32%51%38%64%
% under line65%71%60%66%64%68%49%62%36%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
9.7
Cowdenbeath
9.5
Annan Athletic
9.5
Forfar
9.2
Albion Rvs
9.0
Kelty Hearts
9.0
Edinburgh City
8.9
Stranraer
8.7
Stirling
8.7
Elgin
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Stranraer
4.0
Elgin
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Annan Athletic
3.9
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Stenhousemuir
3.8
Forfar
3.3
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Edinburgh City
3.2
Albion Rvs
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stirling
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Forfar
22.3
Stranraer
22.1
Annan Athletic
22.0
Cowdenbeath
22.0
Stenhousemuir
21.6
Albion Rvs
20.9
Kelty Hearts
20.0
Edinburgh City
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
38.9%
Under 9.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.0%
Under 3.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
47.3%
Under 21.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L02L11D00D10W00D21W00D00DH·KEL05/03A·STI08/03A·STR12/03H·FOR15/03H·STE19/03A·FOR26/03H·STI02/04A·ANN09/04H·EDI16/04A·ELG23/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.600.210.500.310.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.330.220.250.250.400.20
vs Weaker (21)0.240.760.200.600.270.91
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L00D00D00D21W00D01L14L01LH·EDI05/03A·KEL12/03H·KEL16/03H·FOR19/03A·STI22/03A·ANN26/03H·ELG02/04H·STR09/04A·STE16/04H·STI23/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.870.270.730.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.300.900.170.670.501.25
vs Weaker (20)0.550.850.330.780.730.91
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D01L01L11D01L00D11D00D41WH·KEL05/03A·STI08/03A·STR12/03H·FOR15/03H·STE19/03A·FOR26/03H·STI02/04A·ANN09/04H·EDI16/04A·ELG23/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.360.500.560.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.560.560.250.250.800.80
vs Weaker (21)0.430.760.400.600.450.91
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D00D00D10W21W00D04L00D10WH·EDI05/03A·KEL12/03H·KEL16/03H·FOR19/03A·STI22/03A·ANN26/03H·ELG02/04H·STR09/04A·STE16/04H·STI23/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.600.800.530.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.400.600.500.170.251.25
vs Weaker (20)0.650.900.671.220.640.64
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards87.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners82.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls81.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards74.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners72.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
COW wins
2
Draws
2
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cowdenbeath vs Albion Rvs · H/A from COW
DateH/AGameScore
29/01/22AAlbion Rvs Vs COW0-1
18/12/21HCOW Vs Albion Rvs0-0
11/09/21AAlbion Rvs Vs COW2-1
04/05/21HCOW Vs Albion Rvs2-0
13/04/21AAlbion Rvs Vs COW0-0
03/04/21HCOW Vs Albion Rvs0-1
03/03/20HCOW Vs Albion Rvs2-1
28/09/19HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-0

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/22AElgin Vs COW1-4
16/04/22HCOW Vs Edinburgh City0-0
09/04/22AAnnan Athletic Vs COW2-3
02/04/22HCOW Vs Stirling0-0
26/03/22AForfar Vs COW1-1
19/03/22HCOW Vs Stenhousemuir1-1
15/03/22HCOW Vs Forfar1-2
12/03/22AStranraer Vs COW3-0
08/03/22AStirling Vs COW2-1
05/03/22HCOW Vs Kelty Hearts0-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/22HAR Vs Stirling1-1
16/04/22AStenhousemuir Vs AR4-1
09/04/22HAR Vs Stranraer0-5
02/04/22HAR Vs Elgin0-0
26/03/22AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-4
22/03/22AStirling Vs AR0-1
19/03/22HAR Vs Forfar0-0
16/03/22HAR Vs Kelty Hearts0-0
12/03/22AKelty Hearts Vs AR3-1
05/03/22HAR Vs Edinburgh City0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDW0.92
HomeLLDDD0.96
AwayLLDWW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%24%20%
AVG goals2.082.122.04
Over 1.5 %64%64%64%
Over 2.5 %32%32%32%
Over 3.5 %16%20%12%
Scored0.780.840.72
Conceded1.301.281.32
BTTS38%44%32%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners9.509.0010.00
Cards3.863.843.88
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLD1.10
HomeDDDLD1.04
AwayDLWWL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%24%32%
AVG goals2.642.243.04
Over 1.5 %70%64%76%
Over 2.5 %46%40%52%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.040.841.24
Conceded1.601.401.80
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners9.048.839.24
Cards3.003.362.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3681
67%
2.2
6828+40
2.7
69%
47%
33%
9.0
39%
3.2
36%
20.0
33%
1
1001.90.8
-
2ForfarForfar3660
44%
1.7
5736+21
2.6
78%
36%
28%
9.3
47%
3.1
44%
22.2
47%
0
0001.61.0
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3659
50%
1.6
6451+13
3.2
86%
64%
42%
9.5
47%
3.8
53%
21.7
46%
0
0001.81.4
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3652
39%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.9
50%
3.1
36%
19.6
31%
0
0001.21.4
-
5StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3649
36%
1.4
4746+1
2.6
78%
42%
28%
9.8
53%
3.7
61%
21.2
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StranraerStranraer3647
36%
1.3
5054-4
2.9
81%
53%
33%
8.8
39%
4.3
58%
22.1
53%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StirlingStirling3642
31%
1.2
4146-5
2.4
67%
44%
25%
8.4
25%
3.8
56%
21.7
47%
0
0001.11.3
-
8
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
28%
1.1
3758-21
2.6
67%
50%
33%
8.8
33%
3.0
33%
20.1
42%
0
0001.01.6
-
9ElginElgin3637
25%
1.0
3351-18
2.3
81%
36%
19%
8.1
22%
3.9
53%
22.9
60%
0
0000.91.4
-
10CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3629
19%
0.8
2849-21
2.1
64%
36%
17%
9.1
33%
3.9
53%
21.5
53%
0
0000.81.4
-
Scotland: League Two 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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