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Cowdenbeath vs Annan Athletic Result & Analysis

Date: 08/01/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 1-3
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Vs
24%
31%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cowdenbeath win✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.29
Edge
-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.42
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic win✓ Hit
44.8%
Avg Implied 45.2% · @ 2.03
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L01L01L01L03L10W02L00D12LA·EDI01/10H·STE16/10A·ANN30/10H·KEL06/11A·ELG13/11A·FOR20/11H·STI04/12A·STR11/12H·ALB18/12H·EDI22/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.500.871.530.401.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.541.000.860.710.171.33
vs Weaker (17)0.711.880.882.250.561.56
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L10W22D02L11D10W41W32W51W11DA·FOR16/10H·COW30/10H·STR06/11A·STE13/11H·ALB20/11A·EDI03/12H·ELG11/12A·STI18/12H·KEL26/12A·STR02/01
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.171.931.401.330.93
vs Stronger (15)1.730.872.141.001.380.75
vs Similar (12)1.421.581.711.711.001.40
vs Weaker (3)2.001.002.002.002.000.50
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.3%
Under 1.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.2%
@ 1.82-13.0%
Under 2.5
61.8%
@ 1.91+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.4%
Under 3.5
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.8%
No
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1
13.0%
0-0
12.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.4%
Cowdenbeath goals ↓
Annan Athletic goals →
01234
012%13%9.4%4.1%1.4%
18.6%14%8.5%3.7%1.2%
24.4%5.8%3.8%1.7%0.6%
31.3%1.8%1.2%0.5%0.2%
40.3%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cowdenbeath goals (down), columns = Annan Athletic goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kelty Hearts
2.25
Forfar
1.67
Annan Athletic
1.64
Edinburgh City
1.44
Stenhousemuir
1.36
Stranraer
1.31
Stirling
1.17
Albion Rvs
1.08
Elgin
1.03
Cowdenbeath
0.81
Cowdenbeath is 0.83 points worse than Annan Athletic in terms of average points per game (0.81 vs 1.64).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kelty Hearts
1.89
Annan Athletic
1.78
Forfar
1.58
Stranraer
1.39
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.19
Stirling
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.03
Elgin
0.92
Cowdenbeath
0.78
Cowdenbeath is 1.00 goals worse than Annan Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (0.78 vs 1.78).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kelty Hearts
0.78
Forfar
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Cowdenbeath
1.36
Edinburgh City
1.36
Annan Athletic
1.42
Elgin
1.42
Stranraer
1.50
Albion Rvs
1.61
Cowdenbeath is 0.06 goals better than Annan Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

For 4.1 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1108362353232517564352118385781177H·EDIH·ALBA·STRH·STIA·FORA·ELGH·KELA·ANNH·STEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8011623422111114241187232246H·EDIH·ALBA·STRH·STIA·FORA·ELGH·KELA·ANNH·STEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 10.9 · Total 19.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

270104111113881181151391847131181514222119191827112423H·EDIH·ALBA·STRH·STIA·FORA·ELGH·KELA·ANNH·STEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 4.0 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

13082112633518376563658101398910119118A·STRH·KELA·STIH·ELGA·EDIH·ALBA·STEH·STRH·COWA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

100731253122423143112110174464723A·STRH·KELA·STIH·ELGA·EDIH·ALBA·STEH·STRH·COWA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 9.9 · Total 20.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

2501510712109137131213711141377481725191920252025201125A·STRH·KELA·STIH·ELGA·EDIH·ALBA·STEH·STRH·COWA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.89.54.03.44.522.522.122.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (21)9.710.09.43.42.84.122.023.320.5
vs Weaker (29)9.69.69.54.33.94.822.921.124.5
% over line46%40%52%56%52%60%50%52%48%
% under line54%60%48%44%48%40%50%48%52%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.89.24.03.64.322.923.922.0
vs Stronger (27)9.610.28.93.93.74.122.324.220.5
vs Similar (18)8.99.08.93.73.24.223.123.322.9
vs Weaker (5)11.411.511.35.45.55.325.824.526.7
% over line46%56%36%60%56%64%58%56%60%
% under line54%44%64%40%44%36%42%44%40%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
9.9
Cowdenbeath
9.6
Stirling
9.6
Annan Athletic
9.5
Elgin
9.5
Stenhousemuir
9.5
Kelty Hearts
9.1
Stranraer
8.9
Edinburgh City
8.8
Forfar
8.4

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Stirling
4.1
Elgin
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stranraer
4.0
Cowdenbeath
4.0
Stenhousemuir
3.8
Edinburgh City
3.5
Forfar
3.2
Albion Rvs
3.0
Kelty Hearts
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stirling
23.9
Annan Athletic
22.9
Stranraer
22.9
Cowdenbeath
22.5
Stenhousemuir
22.5
Forfar
22.1
Elgin
21.9
Albion Rvs
21.6
Edinburgh City
21.6
Kelty Hearts
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.0%
Under 9.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.0%
Under 3.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
49.1%
Under 21.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D00D00D00D00D02L00D00DA·EDI01/10H·STE16/10A·ANN30/10H·KEL06/11A·ELG13/11A·FOR20/11H·STI04/12A·STR11/12H·ALB18/12H·EDI22/12
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.630.470.730.070.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.380.460.570.430.170.50
vs Weaker (17)0.180.760.381.000.000.56
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D01L11D10W11D21W11D01LA·FOR16/10H·COW30/10H·STR06/11A·STE13/11H·ALB20/11A·EDI03/12H·ELG11/12A·STI18/12H·KEL26/12A·STR02/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.800.800.530.47
vs Stronger (15)0.670.530.860.710.500.38
vs Similar (12)0.670.750.710.860.600.60
vs Weaker (3)0.670.671.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L01L01L03L10W00D00D12LA·EDI01/10H·STE16/10A·ANN30/10H·KEL06/11A·ELG13/11A·FOR20/11H·STI04/12A·STR11/12H·ALB18/12H·EDI22/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.870.400.800.330.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.150.540.290.290.000.83
vs Weaker (17)0.531.120.501.250.561.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W11D01L00D00D30W11D40W10WA·FOR16/10H·COW30/10H·STR06/11A·STE13/11H·ALB20/11A·EDI03/12H·ELG11/12A·STI18/12H·KEL26/12A·STR02/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.531.130.600.800.47
vs Stronger (15)1.070.331.290.290.880.38
vs Similar (12)0.750.831.000.860.400.80
vs Weaker (3)1.330.331.001.001.500.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners81.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls80.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards75.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners72.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
COW wins
3
Draws
4
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cowdenbeath vs Annan Athletic · H/A from COW
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/21AAnnan Athletic Vs COW1-0
28/08/21HCOW Vs Annan Athletic1-3
01/05/21AAnnan Athletic Vs COW1-1
20/03/21AAnnan Athletic Vs COW0-0
17/10/20HCOW Vs Annan Athletic0-3
07/03/20AAnnan Athletic Vs COW0-0
04/01/20HCOW Vs Annan Athletic3-1
09/11/19AAnnan Athletic Vs COW1-0

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/12/21HCOW Vs Edinburgh City1-2
18/12/21HCOW Vs Albion Rvs0-0
11/12/21AStranraer Vs COW2-0
04/12/21HCOW Vs Stirling1-0
20/11/21AForfar Vs COW3-0
13/11/21AElgin Vs COW1-0
06/11/21HCOW Vs Kelty Hearts0-1
30/10/21AAnnan Athletic Vs COW1-0
16/10/21HCOW Vs Stenhousemuir0-2
01/10/21AEdinburgh City Vs COW1-1

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/01/22AStranraer Vs AA1-1
26/12/21HAA Vs Kelty Hearts5-1
18/12/21AStirling Vs AA2-3
11/12/21HAA Vs Elgin4-1
03/12/21AEdinburgh City Vs AA0-1
20/11/21HAA Vs Albion Rvs1-1
13/11/21AStenhousemuir Vs AA2-0
06/11/21HAA Vs Stranraer2-2
30/10/21HAA Vs Cowdenbeath1-0
16/10/21AForfar Vs AA2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL0.86
HomeLLWDL1.16
AwayDLLLL0.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%32%8%
AVG goals2.402.682.12
Over 1.5 %70%80%60%
Over 2.5 %40%48%32%
Over 3.5 %24%28%20%
Scored0.821.080.56
Conceded1.581.601.56
BTTS44%56%32%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners9.629.769.48
Cards3.963.404.52
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.18
HomeWDDWW1.12
AwayLLWWD1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%28%36%
AVG goals2.683.162.20
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %52%68%36%
Over 3.5 %26%40%12%
Scored1.261.481.04
Conceded1.421.681.16
BTTS48%64%32%
Clean Sheet22%16%28%
Corners9.529.849.20
Cards3.963.644.28

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3681
67%
2.2
6828+40
2.7
69%
47%
33%
9.0
39%
3.2
36%
20.0
33%
1
1001.90.8
-
2ForfarForfar3660
44%
1.7
5736+21
2.6
78%
36%
28%
9.3
47%
3.1
44%
22.2
47%
0
0001.61.0
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3659
50%
1.6
6451+13
3.2
86%
64%
42%
9.5
47%
3.8
53%
21.7
46%
0
0001.81.4
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3652
39%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.9
50%
3.1
36%
19.6
31%
0
0001.21.4
-
5StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3649
36%
1.4
4746+1
2.6
78%
42%
28%
9.8
53%
3.7
61%
21.2
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StranraerStranraer3647
36%
1.3
5054-4
2.9
81%
53%
33%
8.8
39%
4.3
58%
22.1
53%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StirlingStirling3642
31%
1.2
4146-5
2.4
67%
44%
25%
8.4
25%
3.8
56%
21.7
47%
0
0001.11.3
-
8
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
28%
1.1
3758-21
2.6
67%
50%
33%
8.8
33%
3.0
33%
20.1
42%
0
0001.01.6
-
9ElginElgin3637
25%
1.0
3351-18
2.3
81%
36%
19%
8.1
22%
3.9
53%
22.9
60%
0
0000.91.4
-
10CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3629
19%
0.8
2849-21
2.1
64%
36%
17%
9.1
33%
3.9
53%
21.5
53%
0
0000.81.4
-
Scotland: League Two 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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