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Cowdenbeath vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 02/04/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Vs
25%
31%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cowdenbeath win✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 33.5% · @ 2.74
Edge
-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.9%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.21
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✗ Miss
43.6%
Avg Implied 37.8% · @ 2.43
Edge
+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W01L01L01L12L03L12L11D11DA·ALB29/01H·ELG19/02A·KEL22/02A·EDI25/02H·KEL05/03A·STI08/03A·STR12/03H·FOR15/03H·STE19/03A·FOR26/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.430.871.330.531.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.781.000.600.501.00
vs Weaker (21)0.671.710.801.700.551.73
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D13L01L21W10W03L01L10WA·ANN29/01A·EDI11/02H·FOR15/02A·ELG26/02H·STE05/03H·COW08/03A·FOR12/03H·ANN19/03H·ALB22/03H·STR26/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.401.061.501.141.29
vs Stronger (12)1.081.331.291.430.801.20
vs Similar (18)1.111.440.891.561.331.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.5%
Under 1.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.5%
@ 2.02-7.6%
Under 2.5
61.5%
@ 1.73+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.6%
Under 3.5
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.3%
No
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1
12.7%
0-0 ✓
12.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.7%
Cowdenbeath goals ↓
Stirling goals →
01234
012%13%9.1%3.9%1.3%
18.7%14%8.4%3.6%1.2%
24.7%6.1%3.9%1.7%0.6%
31.5%1.9%1.2%0.5%0.2%
40.3%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cowdenbeath goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kelty Hearts
2.25
Forfar
1.67
Annan Athletic
1.64
Edinburgh City
1.44
Stenhousemuir
1.36
Stranraer
1.31
Stirling
1.17
Albion Rvs
1.08
Elgin
1.03
Cowdenbeath
0.81
Cowdenbeath is 0.36 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (0.81 vs 1.17).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kelty Hearts
1.89
Annan Athletic
1.78
Forfar
1.58
Stranraer
1.39
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.19
Stirling
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.03
Elgin
0.92
Cowdenbeath
0.78
Cowdenbeath is 0.36 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (0.78 vs 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kelty Hearts
0.78
Forfar
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Cowdenbeath
1.36
Edinburgh City
1.36
Annan Athletic
1.42
Elgin
1.42
Stranraer
1.50
Albion Rvs
1.61
Cowdenbeath is 0.08 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.28).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

For 2.9 · Against 6.6 · Total 9.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

16047624621424542115351811810166931589A·FORH·STEH·FORA·STRA·STIH·KELA·EDIA·KELH·ELGA·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

802141312235334122353542286548A·FORH·STEH·FORA·STRA·STIH·KELA·EDIA·KELH·ELGA·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 11.0 · Total 22.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

30091411141498612131116109761812181123252314252719133029A·FORH·STEH·FORA·STRA·STIH·KELA·EDIA·KELH·ELGA·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

For 4.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

1202555754342643454663471012761079127H·STRH·ALBH·ANNA·FORH·COWH·STEA·ELGH·FORA·EDIA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8032322132225313502215481H·STRH·ALBH·ANNA·FORH·COWH·STEA·ELGH·FORA·EDIA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 9.6 · Total 19.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

25098101289811131212791161012812817221719251920162020H·STRH·ALBH·ANNA·FORH·COWH·STEA·ELGH·FORA·EDIA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.19.84.03.94.022.322.522.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (20)9.99.710.13.53.43.622.624.020.9
vs Weaker (30)9.28.59.64.34.34.322.021.322.6
% over line42%29%54%56%62%50%54%62%46%
% under line58%71%46%44%38%50%46%38%54%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.19.04.03.24.822.923.022.8
vs Stronger (23)8.48.97.83.83.04.723.123.223.0
vs Similar (27)9.69.29.94.13.44.822.722.822.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line38%44%32%60%44%76%56%64%48%
% under line62%56%68%40%56%24%44%36%52%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
9.6
Albion Rvs
9.5
Cowdenbeath
9.5
Annan Athletic
9.4
Forfar
9.3
Kelty Hearts
9.1
Stirling
9.0
Elgin
9.0
Stranraer
8.9
Edinburgh City
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Elgin
4.1
Stirling
4.0
Cowdenbeath
4.0
Annan Athletic
3.9
Stranraer
3.9
Stenhousemuir
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.4
Forfar
3.3
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Albion Rvs
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stirling
22.9
Elgin
22.6
Annan Athletic
22.3
Cowdenbeath
22.3
Stranraer
22.2
Forfar
22.2
Albion Rvs
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.8
Edinburgh City
20.2
Kelty Hearts
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.0%
Under 9.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
50.7%
Under 21.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D01L01L01L02L11D00D10WA·ALB29/01H·ELG19/02A·KEL22/02A·EDI25/02H·KEL05/03A·STI08/03A·STR12/03H·FOR15/03H·STE19/03A·FOR26/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.600.400.530.200.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.560.330.600.400.500.25
vs Weaker (21)0.190.710.300.600.090.82
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L02L00D10W10W01L00D00DA·ANN29/01A·EDI11/02H·FOR15/02A·ELG26/02H·STE05/03H·COW08/03A·FOR12/03H·ANN19/03H·ALB22/03H·STR26/03
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.630.310.690.430.57
vs Stronger (12)0.330.500.430.430.200.60
vs Similar (18)0.390.720.220.890.560.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W01L00D00D11D01L01L11D01LA·ALB29/01H·ELG19/02A·KEL22/02A·EDI25/02H·KEL05/03A·STI08/03A·STR12/03H·FOR15/03H·STE19/03A·FOR26/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.830.470.800.330.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.220.440.400.200.000.75
vs Weaker (21)0.481.000.501.100.450.91
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W11D01L11D00D02L01L10WA·ANN29/01A·EDI11/02H·FOR15/02A·ELG26/02H·STE05/03H·COW08/03A·FOR12/03H·ANN19/03H·ALB22/03H·STR26/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.770.750.810.710.71
vs Stronger (12)0.750.830.861.000.600.60
vs Similar (18)0.720.720.670.670.780.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners82.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls79.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners73.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
COW wins
1
Draws
5
STI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cowdenbeath vs Stirling · H/A from COW
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/22AStirling Vs COW2-1
04/12/21HCOW Vs Stirling1-0
25/09/21AStirling Vs COW4-0
17/04/21HCOW Vs Stirling1-5
12/12/20AStirling Vs COW1-0
15/02/20HCOW Vs Stirling1-4
29/10/19AStirling Vs COW0-0
10/08/19HCOW Vs Stirling1-0

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/03/22AForfar Vs COW1-1
19/03/22HCOW Vs Stenhousemuir1-1
15/03/22HCOW Vs Forfar1-2
12/03/22AStranraer Vs COW3-0
08/03/22AStirling Vs COW2-1
05/03/22HCOW Vs Kelty Hearts0-1
25/02/22AEdinburgh City Vs COW1-0
22/02/22AKelty Hearts Vs COW1-0
19/02/22HCOW Vs Elgin2-0
29/01/22AAlbion Rvs Vs COW0-1

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/03/22HSTI Vs Stranraer1-0
22/03/22HSTI Vs Albion Rvs0-1
19/03/22HSTI Vs Annan Athletic0-3
12/03/22AForfar Vs STI0-1
08/03/22HSTI Vs Cowdenbeath2-1
05/03/22HSTI Vs Stenhousemuir0-1
26/02/22AElgin Vs STI3-1
15/02/22HSTI Vs Forfar1-1
11/02/22AEdinburgh City Vs STI1-0
29/01/22AAnnan Athletic Vs STI0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDD0.76
HomeLWLLD0.92
AwayLLLLD0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%25%12%
AVG goals2.142.331.96
Over 1.5 %66%71%62%
Over 2.5 %32%38%27%
Over 3.5 %14%21%8%
Scored0.680.880.50
Conceded1.461.461.46
BTTS36%46%27%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners9.469.089.81
Cards3.963.884.04
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.34
HomeLWLLW1.12
AwayDDLLW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%32%44%
AVG goals2.502.322.68
Over 1.5 %62%60%64%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %28%20%36%
Scored1.261.001.52
Conceded1.241.321.16
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners9.029.088.96
Cards3.983.204.76

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3681
67%
2.2
6828+40
2.7
69%
47%
33%
9.0
39%
3.2
36%
20.0
33%
1
1001.90.8
-
2ForfarForfar3660
44%
1.7
5736+21
2.6
78%
36%
28%
9.3
47%
3.1
44%
22.2
47%
0
0001.61.0
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3659
50%
1.6
6451+13
3.2
86%
64%
42%
9.5
47%
3.8
53%
21.7
46%
0
0001.81.4
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3652
39%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.9
50%
3.1
36%
19.6
31%
0
0001.21.4
-
5StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3649
36%
1.4
4746+1
2.6
78%
42%
28%
9.8
53%
3.7
61%
21.2
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StranraerStranraer3647
36%
1.3
5054-4
2.9
81%
53%
33%
8.8
39%
4.3
58%
22.1
53%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StirlingStirling3642
31%
1.2
4146-5
2.4
67%
44%
25%
8.4
25%
3.8
56%
21.7
47%
0
0001.11.3
-
8
AR
Albion Rvs		3639
28%
1.1
3758-21
2.6
67%
50%
33%
8.8
33%
3.0
33%
20.1
42%
0
0001.01.6
-
9ElginElgin3637
25%
1.0
3351-18
2.3
81%
36%
19%
8.1
22%
3.9
53%
22.9
60%
0
0000.91.4
-
10CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3629
19%
0.8
2849-21
2.1
64%
36%
17%
9.1
33%
3.9
53%
21.5
53%
0
0000.81.4
-
Scotland: League Two 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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