This opponent (Benevento) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Benevento
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.87
1.27
1.93
1.00
1.80
vs Stronger (21)
0.95
2.00
1.00
2.22
0.92
1.83
vs Similar (8)
1.25
1.38
1.20
1.20
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
3.00
4.00
3.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.7%
Under 1.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.0%
@ 2.04-5.3%
Under 2.5
59.0%
@ 1.76+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.5%
Under 3.5
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.4%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.4%
Cremonese goals ↓
Benevento goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.0%
5.4%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.9%
2.4%
0.6%
2
7.9%
8.3%
4.4%
1.5%
0.4%
3
3.3%
3.5%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.1%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cremonese goals (down), columns = Benevento goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lecce
1.87
Cremonese
1.82
Pisa
1.76
Monza
1.76
Brescia
1.74
Ascoli
1.71
Benevento
1.66
Frosinone
1.53
Perugia
1.53
Ternana
1.42
Cittadella
1.37
Parma
1.29
Reggina
1.26
Como
1.24
Spal
1.11
Cosenza
0.92
Alessandria
0.89
Vicenza Virtus
0.89
Crotone
0.68
Pordenone
0.47
Cremonese is 0.16 points better than Benevento in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 1.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.63
Monza
1.58
Lecce
1.55
Frosinone
1.53
Ternana
1.53
Cremonese
1.50
Brescia
1.45
Ascoli
1.37
Como
1.29
Pisa
1.26
Parma
1.26
Spal
1.21
Crotone
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Cittadella
1.00
Vicenza Virtus
1.00
Alessandria
0.97
Cosenza
0.95
Reggina
0.82
Pordenone
0.76
Cremonese is 0.13 goals worse than Benevento in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.63).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lecce
0.82
Perugia
0.84
Pisa
0.92
Brescia
0.92
Cittadella
0.95
Monza
1.00
Cremonese
1.03
Benevento
1.03
Ascoli
1.11
Parma
1.13
Frosinone
1.18
Reggina
1.29
Spal
1.42
Como
1.42
Alessandria
1.55
Cosenza
1.55
Vicenza Virtus
1.55
Ternana
1.61
Crotone
1.61
Pordenone
1.87
Cremonese and Benevento are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cremonese
For 4.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 13.9 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Benevento
For 4.3 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 18.8 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cremonese
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.8
10.5
4.8
4.9
4.8
29.0
27.5
30.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
9.9
8.4
11.3
5.1
5.2
4.9
30.1
30.2
30.0
vs Weaker (33)
10.2
10.4
10.0
4.7
4.7
4.7
28.5
26.3
31.1
% over line
56%
54%
58%
68%
73%
62%
96%
92%
100%
% under line
44%
46%
42%
32%
27%
38%
4%
8%
0%
This opponent (Benevento) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Benevento
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.9
9.5
4.8
4.4
5.2
29.7
30.5
28.9
vs Stronger (34)
10.5
11.6
9.6
4.6
4.2
5.0
29.1
30.6
27.7
vs Similar (14)
9.4
9.3
9.4
5.1
4.4
5.9
31.4
30.7
32.1
vs Weaker (2)
11.0
11.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
28.5
28.5
-
% over line
60%
68%
52%
74%
72%
76%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
40%
32%
48%
26%
28%
24%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Spal
10.5
Alessandria
10.5
Frosinone
10.4
Brescia
10.4
Cosenza
10.3
Reggina
10.3
Lecce
10.3
Benevento
10.2
Ternana
10.2
Cremonese
10.1
Pisa
10.1
Cittadella
10.0
Monza
10.0
Pordenone
9.8
Perugia
9.8
Ascoli
9.7
Crotone
9.7
Como
9.6
Vicenza Virtus
9.5
Parma
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Reggina
6.0
Ascoli
5.9
Pordenone
5.7
Vicenza Virtus
5.5
Pisa
5.4
Como
5.4
Perugia
5.3
Cittadella
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.1
Frosinone
5.0
Crotone
5.0
Monza
4.9
Cremonese
4.8
Benevento
4.8
Brescia
4.8
Lecce
4.7
Alessandria
4.4
Parma
4.3
Ternana
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
34.5
Cittadella
33.2
Frosinone
32.8
Pisa
32.6
Ascoli
32.4
Vicenza Virtus
32.3
Pordenone
31.9
Perugia
31.9
Monza
31.9
Spal
30.5
Benevento
29.7
Ternana
29.5
Cremonese
29.0
Alessandria
28.9
Como
28.8
Crotone
28.2
Cosenza
27.9
Brescia
27.6
Parma
26.7
Lecce
26.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.5%
Under 9.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
78.8%
Under 3.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
94.3%
Under 21.5
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cremonese
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.80
0.53
0.33
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.67
1.20
0.60
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (21)
0.43
0.48
0.60
0.50
0.27
0.45
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Benevento) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Benevento
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.93
0.53
0.87
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (21)
0.48
1.00
0.44
0.89
0.50
1.08
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.62
0.40
0.60
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cremonese over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cremonese
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.43
0.93
0.40
0.67
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.67
1.20
0.40
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.76
0.33
0.80
0.40
0.73
0.27
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Benevento) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Benevento
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.93
0.73
1.07
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (21)
0.48
1.00
0.56
1.33
0.42
0.75
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.75
0.80
0.60
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cremonese over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cremonese · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tommaso Berti33%
Simone Lottici Tessadri33%
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
M. Nasti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
F. Gerli67%
J. Vandeputte50%
Giuseppe Pezzella33%
S. Pontisso33%
M. Bianchetti25%
S. Luperto0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
M. De Luca0%
Tommaso Berti0%
M. Nasti0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tommaso Berti33%
M. Nasti33%
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
Tommaso Berti0%
M. Nasti0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Benevento · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Francesco Salvemini67%
Davide Lamesta33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Mattia Maita0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pietro Beruatto33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Mattia Maita0%
Davide Lamesta0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pietro Beruatto33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Mattia Maita0%
Davide Lamesta0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Davide Lamesta33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Mattia Maita0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (34)
€488m
PAR (28)
€142m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
MON (29)
€70m
CRE (30)
€49m
BEN (30)
€12m
VV (26)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
Cremonese's squad is €37m more valuable than Benevento's (€49m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
PAR (8)
€35m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
CRE (7)
€12m
ASC (11)
€5m
BEN (8)
€4m
VV (6)
€2m
Cremonese's attack is €9m more valuable than Benevento's (€12m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
VV (12)
€5m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
Cremonese's midfield is €12m more valuable than Benevento's (€15m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (14)
€144m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
FRO (14)
€24m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
MON (11)
€20m
BEN (13)
€5m
VV (8)
€4m
ASC (12)
€3m
Cremonese's defence is €17m more valuable than Benevento's (€22m vs €5m).
Italy: Serie B 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lecce
Monza
Pisa
Brescia
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