This opponent (Cittadella) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cittadella
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.20
1.50
1.19
0.79
1.21
vs Stronger (11)
1.27
1.64
1.50
1.33
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (17)
1.06
0.94
1.44
1.11
0.62
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.7%
Under 1.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.4%
@ 1.65-23.8%
Under 2.5
66.6%
@ 2.20+23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.0%
Under 3.5
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.6%
No
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.4%
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.9%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
4.8%
3-0 ✓
4.6%
Cremonese goals ↓
Cittadella goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
8.6%
3.7%
0.9%
0.2%
1
15%
14%
4.8%
1.2%
0.2%
2
11%
8.1%
3.1%
0.8%
0.1%
3
4.6%
3.5%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.5%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cremonese goals (down), columns = Cittadella goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
Cremonese is 0.50 points better than Cittadella in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
Cremonese is 0.28 goals better than Cittadella in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.05).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
Cremonese is 0.38 goals better than Cittadella in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
Cremonese is 9.1 percentage points better than Cittadella in terms of average possession (56% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cremonese
For 4.7 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 11.9 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cittadella
For 4.5 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.9 · Against 13.6 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cremonese
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.8
10.3
3.8
3.6
4.0
26.5
26.3
26.6
vs Stronger (7)
12.0
8.0
16.0
1.4
2.0
1.0
23.5
27.0
20.0
vs Similar (27)
9.2
9.1
9.3
3.8
3.3
4.4
26.6
26.1
27.0
vs Weaker (16)
10.9
11.1
10.8
4.7
4.6
4.8
26.8
26.6
27.0
% over line
51%
44%
58%
62%
56%
68%
81%
83%
79%
% under line
49%
56%
42%
38%
44%
32%
19%
17%
21%
This opponent (Cittadella) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cittadella
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
7.8
10.0
3.6
3.5
3.7
30.9
31.4
30.3
vs Stronger (19)
10.0
9.0
11.1
3.7
3.0
5.0
29.5
29.5
29.6
vs Similar (29)
8.2
6.8
9.5
3.3
3.7
3.0
31.9
32.4
31.4
vs Weaker (2)
8.0
9.0
7.0
6.5
8.0
5.0
31.0
37.0
25.0
% over line
41%
32%
50%
56%
58%
54%
97%
100%
94%
% under line
59%
68%
50%
44%
42%
46%
3%
0%
6%
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Venezia
10.4
Parma
10.2
Ternana
10.1
Palermo
10.0
Brescia
10.0
Spezia
9.8
Cremonese
9.7
FeralpiSalo
9.7
Cosenza
9.7
Modena
9.6
Bari
9.6
Lecco
9.5
Como
9.5
Ascoli
9.4
Reggiana
9.2
Catanzaro
9.2
Pisa
9.1
Cittadella
8.9
Sampdoria
8.6
Sudtirol
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.4
Pisa
6.2
Spezia
5.8
Sampdoria
5.7
Bari
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Modena
5.6
Lecco
5.5
Cittadella
5.5
Parma
5.5
Reggiana
5.4
Sudtirol
5.4
Catanzaro
5.3
Cremonese
5.2
Palermo
5.1
FeralpiSalo
5.1
Como
5.1
Brescia
5.0
Venezia
4.9
Ternana
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ascoli
32.4
Cittadella
31.9
Sampdoria
30.6
Spezia
30.1
Sudtirol
30.0
Reggiana
30.0
Bari
29.2
Como
29.1
Palermo
28.8
Catanzaro
28.8
Brescia
28.7
Pisa
28.6
Modena
28.5
Lecco
27.8
Cosenza
27.5
Cremonese
27.3
Ternana
27.3
Parma
26.7
FeralpiSalo
26.5
Venezia
25.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.4%
Under 9.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.7%
Under 3.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
90.1%
Under 21.5
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cremonese
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.23
0.79
0.21
0.62
0.25
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.29
1.00
0.29
0.60
0.30
vs Weaker (11)
0.45
0.18
0.50
0.17
0.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
80% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Cittadella) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cittadella
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.88
0.50
0.36
0.50
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
0.64
0.67
0.50
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.35
1.11
0.44
0.38
0.25
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cremonese over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cremonese
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.64
0.57
0.56
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.71
0.86
0.57
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (11)
0.55
0.36
0.33
0.50
0.80
0.20
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cittadella) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cittadella
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.62
0.69
0.43
0.71
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
1.00
0.83
0.83
0.80
1.20
vs Similar (17)
0.29
0.59
0.33
0.67
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cremonese over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cremonese
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Massimo Coda38%
Dennis Johnsen15%
Michele Collocolo13%
Daniel Ciofani12%
David Okereke12%
Franco Vázquez10%
Michele Castagnetti10%
Luca Ravanelli10%
Frank Tsadjout8%
Paolo Ghiglione8%
Charles Pickel6%
Matteo Bianchetti5%
César Falletti5%
Luca Zanimacchia5%
Leonardo Sernicola5%
Cristian Buonaiuto5%
Gonzalo Abrego4%
Valentin Antov3%
Andrea Bertolacci0%
Alessandro Tuia0%
Gianluca Saro0%
Žan Majer0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Felix Afena-Gyan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Žan Majer39%
Andrea Bertolacci33%
Charles Pickel32%
Franco Vázquez28%
Alessandro Tuia25%
Matteo Bianchetti24%
David Okereke24%
Michele Collocolo23%
Luka Lochoshvili21%
Valentin Antov20%
Michele Castagnetti18%
Luca Ravanelli16%
Giacomo Quagliata15%
Felix Afena-Gyan14%
César Falletti11%
Gonzalo Abrego9%
Frank Tsadjout8%
Dennis Johnsen8%
Luca Zanimacchia8%
Leonardo Sernicola8%
Daniel Ciofani6%
Massimo Coda5%
Paolo Ghiglione4%
Cristian Buonaiuto0%
Gianluca Saro0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Franco Vázquez15%
Dennis Johnsen15%
Leonardo Sernicola12%
Frank Tsadjout8%
Massimo Coda8%
Luca Zanimacchia8%
Charles Pickel6%
Giacomo Quagliata6%
David Okereke6%
Valentin Antov6%
Michele Castagnetti5%
Žan Majer4%
Paolo Ghiglione4%
Luca Ravanelli3%
Andrea Bertolacci0%
Alessandro Tuia0%
Cristian Buonaiuto0%
Matteo Bianchetti0%
Gianluca Saro0%
Daniel Ciofani0%
César Falletti0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Michele Collocolo0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Gonzalo Abrego0%
Felix Afena-Gyan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Massimo Coda41%
Cristian Buonaiuto24%
Franco Vázquez23%
César Falletti21%
Dennis Johnsen15%
Luca Zanimacchia15%
Leonardo Sernicola12%
Frank Tsadjout12%
Michele Collocolo10%
Gonzalo Abrego9%
David Okereke6%
Michele Castagnetti5%
Andrea Bertolacci0%
Valentin Antov0%
Alessandro Tuia0%
Matteo Bianchetti0%
Gianluca Saro0%
Paolo Ghiglione0%
Daniel Ciofani0%
Luca Ravanelli0%
Žan Majer0%
Charles Pickel0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Felix Afena-Gyan0%
Cittadella
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luca Pandolfi24%
Filippo Pittarello14%
Alessio Vita11%
Stefano Negro10%
Andrea Magrassi10%
Claudio Cassano10%
Tommy Maistrello9%
Enrico Baldini9%
Francesco Amatucci7%
Giuseppe Carriero6%
Simone Branca6%
Lorenzo Carissoni6%
Alessandro Salvi3%
Nicola Pavan3%
Luca Maniero0%
Domenico Frare0%
Andrea Danzi0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Elhan Kastrati0%
Andrea Tessiore0%
Valerio Mastrantonio0%
Emil Kornvig0%
Edoardo Sottini0%
Matteo Angeli0%
Alessio Rizza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Simone Branca47%
Federico Giraudo37%
Stefano Negro35%
Alessandro Salvi34%
Edoardo Sottini29%
Enrico Baldini27%
Lorenzo Carissoni27%
Matteo Angeli25%
Francesco Amatucci18%
Andrea Tessiore17%
Giuseppe Carriero13%
Valerio Mastrantonio12%
Filippo Pittarello11%
Alessio Rizza11%
Domenico Frare10%
Andrea Magrassi10%
Nicola Pavan10%
Claudio Cassano10%
Luca Pandolfi9%
Alessio Vita9%
Tommy Maistrello6%
Elhan Kastrati3%
Luca Maniero0%
Andrea Danzi0%
Emil Kornvig0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alessio Vita11%
Federico Giraudo11%
Alessandro Salvi10%
Claudio Cassano10%
Lorenzo Carissoni9%
Luca Pandolfi9%
Filippo Pittarello9%
Simone Branca6%
Stefano Negro5%
Andrea Tessiore4%
Valerio Mastrantonio4%
Nicola Pavan3%
Tommy Maistrello3%
Luca Maniero0%
Domenico Frare0%
Giuseppe Carriero0%
Andrea Danzi0%
Enrico Baldini0%
Elhan Kastrati0%
Andrea Magrassi0%
Emil Kornvig0%
Edoardo Sottini0%
Matteo Angeli0%
Alessio Rizza0%
Francesco Amatucci0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Filippo Pittarello23%
Luca Pandolfi15%
Stefano Negro10%
Alessio Vita9%
Giuseppe Carriero6%
Tommy Maistrello6%
Andrea Tessiore4%
Alessandro Salvi3%
Andrea Magrassi3%
Claudio Cassano3%
Luca Maniero0%
Domenico Frare0%
Simone Branca0%
Andrea Danzi0%
Enrico Baldini0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Elhan Kastrati0%
Nicola Pavan0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Valerio Mastrantonio0%
Emil Kornvig0%
Edoardo Sottini0%
Matteo Angeli0%
Alessio Rizza0%
Francesco Amatucci0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Venezia
Parma
Como
Catanzaro
Palermo
Sampdoria
Brescia
Cosenza
Sudtirol
Modena
Reggiana
Pisa
Bari
Ternana
Spezia
Ascoli
FeralpiSalo
Lecco