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Crusaders FC vs Portadown Result & Analysis

Date: 11/04/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 4-0
Crusaders FC
Crusaders FC
Vs
35%
26%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Portadown
Portadown
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Crusaders FC win✓ Hit
35.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Portadown win✗ Miss
38.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Crusaders FCCrusaders FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-624L22D02L25L15L01L03L00D16L11DH·LAR31/01H·BAN14/02A·BAL17/02A·CLI21/02A·GLE28/02H·CLI10/03H·GLE14/03A·POR21/03A·CAR28/03H·BAN07/04
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.102.201.141.861.062.50
vs Stronger (6)0.332.500.672.000.003.00
vs Similar (24)1.292.121.271.821.312.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PortadownPortadown

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L21W10W03L02L11D13L00D11D11DA·COL10/02H·LAR14/02H·DUN21/02A·GLE28/02H·CLI04/03A·BAL07/03A·LIN10/03H·CRU21/03A·GLE04/04H·CAR07/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.671.071.471.071.87
vs Stronger (7)1.002.002.000.500.602.60
vs Similar (23)1.091.570.921.621.301.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Crusaders FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.8%
Under 2.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.4%
Under 3.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.3%
No
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.3%
1-0
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
0-2
5.8%
Crusaders FC goals ↓
Portadown goals →
01234
05.8%6.3%5.8%3.0%1.2%
15.9%12%8.6%4.5%1.8%
25.2%8.2%6.4%3.3%1.3%
32.6%4.0%3.2%1.7%0.6%
41.0%1.5%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Crusaders FC goals (down), columns = Portadown goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larne
2.18
Coleraine FC
2.11
Glentoran
2.03
Linfield
1.77
Annagh United
1.50
Carrick Rangers
1.36
Cliftonville FC
1.36
Dungannon Swifts
1.27
Portadown
1.16
Ballymena United
1.03
Bangor
1.03
Crusaders FC
0.97
Glenavon FC
0.74
Crusaders FC is 0.18 points worse than Portadown in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.16).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coleraine FC
2.18
Annagh United
2.00
Glentoran
1.92
Larne
1.92
Carrick Rangers
1.67
Linfield
1.64
Cliftonville FC
1.44
Crusaders FC
1.30
Ballymena United
1.21
Dungannon Swifts
1.17
Portadown
1.16
Bangor
1.08
Glenavon FC
0.97
Crusaders FC is 0.14 goals better than Portadown in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.16).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Larne
0.68
Linfield
0.87
Coleraine FC
0.97
Glentoran
1.00
Ballymena United
1.53
Carrick Rangers
1.56
Cliftonville FC
1.56
Bangor
1.71
Portadown
1.74
Glenavon FC
1.82
Dungannon Swifts
2.00
Annagh United
2.00
Crusaders FC
2.12
Crusaders FC is 0.39 goals worse than Portadown in terms of goals conceded per game (2.12 vs 1.74).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Crusaders FCCrusaders FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L00D12L01L00D00D00D12L01LH·LAR31/01H·BAN14/02A·BAL17/02A·CLI21/02A·GLE28/02H·CLI10/03H·GLE14/03A·POR21/03A·CAR28/03H·BAN07/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.730.360.790.620.69
vs Stronger (6)0.171.330.331.330.001.33
vs Similar (24)0.580.580.360.640.770.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PortadownPortadown

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W00D02L01L00D11D00D10W10WA·COL10/02H·LAR14/02H·DUN21/02A·GLE28/02H·CLI04/03A·BAL07/03A·LIN10/03H·CRU21/03A·GLE04/04H·CAR07/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.470.600.330.60
vs Stronger (7)0.570.571.000.500.400.60
vs Similar (23)0.350.610.380.620.300.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Crusaders FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Crusaders FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crusaders FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crusaders FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Crusaders FCCrusaders FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L21W02L13L14L01L03L00D04L10WH·LAR31/01H·BAN14/02A·BAL17/02A·CLI21/02A·GLE28/02H·CLI10/03H·GLE14/03A·POR21/03A·CAR28/03H·BAN07/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.470.791.070.441.81
vs Stronger (6)0.171.170.330.670.001.67
vs Similar (24)0.711.540.911.180.541.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PortadownPortadown

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W01L01L11D02L00D01L01LA·COL10/02H·LAR14/02H·DUN21/02A·GLE28/02H·CLI04/03A·BAL07/03A·LIN10/03H·CRU21/03A·GLE04/04H·CAR07/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.070.600.870.731.27
vs Stronger (7)0.431.431.000.000.202.00
vs Similar (23)0.740.960.541.001.000.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Crusaders FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Crusaders FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crusaders FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crusaders FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
BAN (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
GF (13)
€1m
Crusaders FC and Portadown have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
BAN (4)
€0m
GF (3)
€0m
Crusaders FC and Portadown have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
BAN (5)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
GF (1)
€0m
Crusaders FC and Portadown have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
BAN (11)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
GF (9)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
Crusaders FC and Portadown have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
CF wins
2
Draws
4
POR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Crusaders FC vs Portadown · H/A from CF
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26APortadown Vs CF0-0
06/12/25HCF Vs Portadown0-4
29/08/25APortadown Vs CF2-1
25/01/25HCF Vs Portadown3-2
21/12/24APortadown Vs CF1-0
21/09/24HCF Vs Portadown0-3
18/03/23APortadown Vs CF2-2
22/10/22HCF Vs Portadown4-0

Crusaders FCCrusaders FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/26HCF Vs Bangor1-1
28/03/26ACarrick Rangers Vs CF6-1
21/03/26APortadown Vs CF0-0
14/03/26HCF Vs Glenavon FC0-3
10/03/26HCF Vs Cliftonville FC0-1
28/02/26AGlentoran Vs CF5-1
21/02/26ACliftonville FC Vs CF5-2
17/02/26ABallymena United Vs CF2-0
14/02/26HCF Vs Bangor2-2
31/01/26HCF Vs Larne2-4

PortadownPortadown

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/26HPOR Vs Carrick Rangers1-1
04/04/26AGlenavon FC Vs POR1-1
21/03/26HPOR Vs Crusaders FC0-0
10/03/26ALinfield Vs POR3-1
07/03/26ABallymena United Vs POR1-1
04/03/26HPOR Vs Cliftonville FC0-2
28/02/26AGlenavon FC Vs POR3-0
21/02/26HPOR Vs Dungannon Swifts1-0
14/02/26HPOR Vs Larne2-1
10/02/26AColeraine FC Vs POR2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Crusaders FC
Crusaders FC
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLD1.00
HomeLDLLD0.88
AwayLLLDL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%21%35%
AVG goals3.143.293.00
Over 1.5 %80%88%73%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %42%50%35%
Scored1.181.291.08
Conceded1.962.001.92
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet18%8%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Portadown
Portadown
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDD1.14
HomeWWLDD1.58
AwayLLDLD0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%46%17%
AVG goals2.762.463.08
Over 1.5 %82%77%88%
Over 2.5 %52%38%67%
Over 3.5 %28%23%33%
Scored1.141.191.08
Conceded1.621.272.00
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet18%31%4%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LarneLarne3883
66%
2.2
7326+47
2.6
79%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.90.7
-
2Coleraine FCColeraine FC3880
66%
2.1
8337+46
3.2
87%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.21.0
-
3GlentoranGlentoran3877
61%
2.0
7338+35
2.9
79%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.0
-
4LinfieldLinfield3969
51%
1.8
6434+30
2.5
72%
49%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.60.9
-
5Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers3953
38%
1.4
6561+4
3.2
82%
62%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.71.6
-
6Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC3953
38%
1.4
5661-5
3.0
77%
59%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.6
-
7Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts4152
41%
1.3
4882-34
3.2
83%
59%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0111.22.0
-
8PortadownPortadown3844
34%
1.2
4466-22
2.9
82%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.7
-
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena United3839
26%
1.0
4658-12
2.7
89%
47%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.5
-
10BangorBangor3839
26%
1.0
4165-24
2.8
79%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.7
-
11Crusaders FCCrusaders FC4039
28%
1.0
5285-33
3.4
85%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.32.1
-
12Glenavon FCGlenavon FC3828
21%
0.7
3769-32
2.8
79%
58%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.8
-
13Annagh UnitedAnnagh United23
50%
1.5
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

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