The highly anticipated match between CS Afumati and CS Dinamo București in the Romania: Liga II is shaping up to be a closely contested affair. Recent form suggests that CS Afumati is still reeling from a 1-3 defeat to Metalul Buzău, while CS Dinamo București is coming off three consecutive losses, including a 1-5 drubbing at the hands of Slatina.
The Pythia prediction model gives CS Afumati a 38% chance of winning at home, with a 29% chance of a draw and a 32% chance of CS Dinamo București emerging victorious. The model's selection is a home win. On average, 2.5 goals are expected to be scored throughout the match. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 14.1%.
CS Afumati's home form is a concern, with the team averaging 1 goal scored and 3 conceded against weaker opponents. In contrast, CS Dinamo București has been conceding an average of 2.08 goals while scoring 0.92 away from home against stronger opponents. The model suggests taking the Under 3.5 (75.7%) and Over 1.5 (72.6%) options. Home win percentage stands at 38%, draw percentage at 29%, and away win percentage at 32%.
The win for CS Afumati extends their recent struggles, coming off a defeat, with a last five record of LWLWL. However, they managed to secure a 2-1 victory against CS Dinamo București, the actual result matching the model's call. The model correctly picked home win, which had a pre-match probability of 38%. The suggested picks largely came in, with Under 3.5 hitting at 75.7% and Over 1.5 also hitting at 72.6%. The model's selection of home win proved correct, as the final score of 2-1 reflected the home team's dominance.
CS Afumati| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.37 | 1.27 | 1.07 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.20 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 1.00 | 1.80 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.42 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
CS Dinamo București| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.97 | 1.77 | 0.88 | 1.69 | 1.07 | 1.86 |
| vs Stronger (20) | 0.85 | 2.10 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.38 | 2.25 |
| vs Similar (10) | 1.20 | 1.10 | 2.00 | 0.75 | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 17% (-15pp vs league) | |||||
| CS Dinamo București goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 14% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
CS Afumati| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.57 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 0.80 | 0.67 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.54 | 0.50 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
CS Dinamo București| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.20 | 0.73 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.14 | 0.71 |
| vs Stronger (20) | 0.20 | 0.90 | 0.25 | 0.92 | 0.12 | 0.88 |
| vs Similar (10) | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.17 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
CS Afumati| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.88 | 0.67 | 0.75 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 0.42 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
CS Dinamo București| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 1.03 | 0.62 | 0.94 | 0.93 | 1.14 |
| vs Stronger (20) | 0.65 | 1.20 | 0.25 | 1.08 | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| vs Similar (10) | 1.00 | 0.70 | 1.75 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.83 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-8pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 75.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 72.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 | A | 0-0 |
CS Afumati| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 10/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 0-4 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 14/03/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 07/03/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 28/02/26 | A | 0-3 |
CS Dinamo București| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 10/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 21/03/26 | A | 4-2 | |
| 14/03/26 | A | 2-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Slatina | 4 | 12 | 100% | 3.0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 3.0 | 75% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | - |
| 2 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 2.5 | 50% | 25% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | - |
| 3 | CSM Reşiţa | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 4 | Concordia | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 3.8 | 100% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 5 | Popești-Leordeni | 4 | 8 | 50% | 2.0 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 3.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 6 | FC Bacau | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.8 | 100% | 100% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Metalul Buzău | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.8 | 50% | 25% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | Chindia Targoviste | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 2.8 | 75% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | Gloria Bistriţa | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 2.5 | 75% | 75% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | - |
| 11 | Ştefăneşti | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.5 | 75% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | - |
| 12 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 2.5 | 75% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 13 | Metaloglobus | 3 | 4 | 33% | 1.3 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 2.7 | 67% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | - |
| 14 | ASA Targu Mures | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2.0 | 75% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 15 | CS Afumati | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3.0 | 100% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - |
| 16 | Dumbrăviţa | 4 | 3 | 0% | 0.8 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2.2 | 75% | 25% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 17 | Bihor Oradea | 4 | 3 | 0% | 0.8 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1.5 | 75% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - |
| 18 | CS Dinamo București | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3.2 | 75% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 19 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2.8 | 100% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1.5 | 75% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 21 | Unirea Slobozia | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2.0 | 67% | 33% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | - |
| 22 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3.2 | 100% | 100% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 23 | AFC Hermannstadt | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |