The contest between CS Dinamo București and ASA Târgu Mureș is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 35% for a home victory, 29% for a draw and 36% for the visitors, making the away side the slight favourite. Expect about 2.6 goals in total, with the most probable total being two goals (26%). The single scoreline the model deems most likely is a 1-1 draw, occurring with a 13.8% chance.
Dinamo’s home form shows a modest 0.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded against stronger opposition, while Târgu Mureș, playing away against weaker teams, averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Both sides have recently suffered defeats, with Dinamo down 0-1 to Viitorul Șelimbăr and Târgu Mureș losing 0-3 to FC Politehnica Timișoara.
The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 74.7% and Under 3.5 goals at 73.4%. These are the only picks offered, each with its own probability. The match remains finely balanced, but the slight edge lies with ASA Târgu Mureș.
The match saw the away side extend a recent run of defeats into a convincing win, with a 0-2 scoreline confirming the model’s favourite. The model had picked an away victory with a 36% probability, and it proved correct. The suggested selections were also right: the over 1.5 goal market hit, as did the under 3.5, with probabilities of 74.7% and 73.4% respectively. The most likely total of two goals materialised, and the 0-2 result matched the model’s expectation that the away team would win. The final score of 0-2 delivered the predicted outcome, validating the model’s choices.
CS Dinamo București| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.90 | 1.60 | 0.70 | 1.30 | 1.10 | 1.90 |
| vs Stronger (16) | 0.69 | 1.69 | 0.75 | 1.38 | 0.62 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (4) | 1.75 | 1.25 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-12pp vs league) | |||||
ASA Targu Mures| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.20 | 1.07 | 2.50 | 0.25 | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 2.00 | 1.09 | 2.17 | 0.33 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 2.75 | 1.00 | 3.50 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+15pp vs league) | |||||
| ASA Targu Mures goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 14% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
CS Dinamo București| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.25 | 0.80 | 0.10 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| vs Stronger (16) | 0.12 | 0.88 | 0.12 | 0.75 | 0.12 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (4) | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 35% (+3pp vs league) | |||||
ASA Targu Mures| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.13 | 0.47 | 1.25 | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 1.09 | 0.45 | 1.17 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 1.25 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+28pp vs league) | |||||
CS Dinamo București| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.65 | 0.80 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (16) | 0.56 | 0.81 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (4) | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
ASA Targu Mures| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.07 | 0.60 | 1.25 | 0.12 | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 0.91 | 0.64 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 1.50 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 74.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 73.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| No games. | |||
CS Dinamo București| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/25 | H | 0-3 | |
| 29/11/25 | A | 5-0 | |
| 22/11/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 08/11/25 | H | 0-2 | |
| 02/11/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 28/10/25 | H | 1-3 | |
| 25/10/25 | H | 3-1 | |
| 17/10/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 04/10/25 | H | 0-0 | |
| 27/09/25 | A | 2-0 |
ASA Targu Mures| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/25 | H | 0-0 | |
| 22/11/25 | A | 1-2 | |
| 10/11/25 | H | 4-0 | |
| 01/11/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 25/10/25 | H | 3-2 | |
| 18/10/25 | A | 3-3 | |
| 07/10/25 | H | 3-0 | |
| 27/09/25 | A | 3-0 | |
| 21/09/25 | H | 3-0 | |
| 11/09/25 | A | 2-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 31 | 69 | 68% | 2.2 | 50 | 21 | +29 | 2.3 | 58% | 39% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | - |
| 2 | FC Voluntari | 31 | 64 | 61% | 2.1 | 51 | 24 | +27 | 2.4 | 68% | 39% | 19% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 30 | 64 | 63% | 2.1 | 49 | 23 | +26 | 2.4 | 77% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | - |
| 4 | ASA Targu Mures | 28 | 51 | 54% | 1.8 | 53 | 29 | +24 | 2.9 | 79% | 64% | 36% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | - |
| 5 | Metalul Buzău | 28 | 50 | 57% | 1.8 | 49 | 32 | +17 | 2.9 | 71% | 54% | 32% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | - |
| 6 | Bihor Oradea | 31 | 50 | 48% | 1.6 | 56 | 45 | +11 | 3.3 | 87% | 71% | 42% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | - |
| 7 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 31 | 49 | 48% | 1.6 | 49 | 46 | +3 | 3.1 | 81% | 58% | 35% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | - |
| 8 | Slatina | 28 | 43 | 43% | 1.5 | 40 | 32 | +8 | 2.6 | 79% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | - |
| 9 | FC Bacau | 28 | 42 | 43% | 1.5 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 2.6 | 71% | 43% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | - |
| 10 | Concordia | 28 | 41 | 43% | 1.5 | 39 | 29 | +10 | 2.4 | 68% | 36% | 18% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - |
| 11 | Politehnica Iasi | 28 | 41 | 43% | 1.5 | 32 | 28 | +4 | 2.1 | 61% | 36% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | - |
| 12 | CSM Reşiţa | 28 | 40 | 43% | 1.4 | 41 | 39 | +2 | 2.9 | 82% | 46% | 32% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | - |
| 13 | Chindia Targoviste | 30 | 40 | 40% | 1.3 | 42 | 41 | +1 | 2.8 | 77% | 47% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 14 | CS Afumati | 28 | 37 | 39% | 1.3 | 38 | 35 | +3 | 2.6 | 71% | 50% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | - |
| 15 | Gloria Bistriţa | 28 | 34 | 32% | 1.2 | 39 | 37 | +2 | 2.7 | 82% | 57% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | - |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 30 | 34 | 30% | 1.1 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 2.7 | 73% | 43% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | - |
| 17 | Dumbrăviţa | 28 | 32 | 32% | 1.1 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 2.5 | 64% | 46% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | - |
| 18 | CSM Satu Mare | 28 | 28 | 29% | 1.0 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 3.2 | 79% | 57% | 46% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.9 | - |
| 19 | Tunari | 28 | 27 | 21% | 1.0 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 2.6 | 86% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | - |
| 20 | CS Dinamo București | 30 | 26 | 20% | 0.9 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 2.6 | 83% | 43% | 23% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | - |
| 21 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 28 | 20 | 18% | 0.7 | 24 | 62 | -38 | 3.1 | 86% | 61% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | - |
| 22 | Muscelul Câmpulung Elite | 28 | 11 | 7% | 0.4 | 14 | 72 | -58 | 3.1 | 71% | 57% | 36% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 2.6 | - |