The match between CS Dinamo București and ASA Târgu Mureș is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win. Home win odds sit at 30%, a draw at 31%, and the away side’s 39% chance is the highest. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.5% probability. Dinamo’s home form shows they average 0.62 goals scored and concede 1.69 against stronger opposition, while Târgu Mureș, playing away, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.33 conceded against weaker opponents. The model’s selection list includes Under 3.5 with an 80.3% probability. The final score, 1-3, confirms the predicted away victory. This balanced contest leaves no clear favourite, but the statistical edge lies with ASA Târgu Mureș.
The match saw CS Dinamo Bucureşti struggle after a winless run, while ASA Targu Mures, still on a losing streak, managed a 1-3 away victory. The pre-match favourite was the model’s pick of an away win, with a 39% probability, and the prediction proved correct. The model’s other selection, Under 3.5 goals, at 80.3% probability, missed as the game produced four goals. The final score of 1-3 confirmed the away win and highlighted the model’s accurate assessment of the teams’ form and likelihood of a higher-scoring encounter.
CS Dinamo București| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 1.63 | 0.80 | 1.53 | 0.93 | 1.73 |
| vs Stronger (26) | 0.81 | 1.77 | 0.62 | 1.69 | 1.00 | 1.85 |
| vs Similar (4) | 1.25 | 0.75 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-8pp vs league) | |||||
ASA Targu Mures| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.85 | 1.04 | 2.20 | 0.80 | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (21) | 1.48 | 1.10 | 1.67 | 0.92 | 1.22 | 1.33 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 3.17 | 0.83 | 4.33 | 0.33 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheet % | 48% (+17pp vs league) | |||||
| ASA Targu Mures goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 12% | 11% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 15% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
CS Dinamo București| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.17 | 0.73 | 0.20 | 0.67 | 0.13 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (26) | 0.15 | 0.81 | 0.15 | 0.77 | 0.15 | 0.85 |
| vs Similar (4) | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
ASA Targu Mures| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.78 | 0.37 | 0.93 | 0.27 | 0.58 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (21) | 0.71 | 0.38 | 0.83 | 0.33 | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 1.00 | 0.33 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheet % | 70% (+39pp vs league) | |||||
CS Dinamo București| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.90 | 0.60 | 0.87 | 0.80 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (26) | 0.65 | 0.96 | 0.46 | 0.92 | 0.85 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (4) | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
ASA Targu Mures| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.07 | 0.67 | 1.27 | 0.53 | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (21) | 0.76 | 0.71 | 0.83 | 0.58 | 0.67 | 0.89 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 2.17 | 0.50 | 3.00 | 0.33 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheet % | 52% (+20pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 80.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 | H | 0-2 |
CS Dinamo București| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 10/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 21/03/26 | A | 4-2 | |
| 14/03/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 07/03/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 28/02/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 21/02/26 | H | 1-2 |
ASA Targu Mures| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 10/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 1-4 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 6-1 | |
| 14/03/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 09/03/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 28/02/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 22/02/26 | A | 2-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 31 | 69 | 68% | 2.2 | 50 | 21 | +29 | 2.3 | 58% | 39% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | - |
| 2 | FC Voluntari | 31 | 64 | 61% | 2.1 | 51 | 24 | +27 | 2.4 | 68% | 39% | 19% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 30 | 64 | 63% | 2.1 | 49 | 23 | +26 | 2.4 | 77% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | - |
| 4 | ASA Targu Mures | 28 | 51 | 54% | 1.8 | 53 | 29 | +24 | 2.9 | 79% | 64% | 36% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | - |
| 5 | Metalul Buzău | 28 | 50 | 57% | 1.8 | 49 | 32 | +17 | 2.9 | 71% | 54% | 32% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | - |
| 6 | Bihor Oradea | 31 | 50 | 48% | 1.6 | 56 | 45 | +11 | 3.3 | 87% | 71% | 42% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | - |
| 7 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 31 | 49 | 48% | 1.6 | 49 | 46 | +3 | 3.1 | 81% | 58% | 35% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | - |
| 8 | Slatina | 28 | 43 | 43% | 1.5 | 40 | 32 | +8 | 2.6 | 79% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | - |
| 9 | FC Bacau | 28 | 42 | 43% | 1.5 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 2.6 | 71% | 43% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | - |
| 10 | Concordia | 28 | 41 | 43% | 1.5 | 39 | 29 | +10 | 2.4 | 68% | 36% | 18% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - |
| 11 | Politehnica Iasi | 28 | 41 | 43% | 1.5 | 32 | 28 | +4 | 2.1 | 61% | 36% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | - |
| 12 | CSM Reşiţa | 28 | 40 | 43% | 1.4 | 41 | 39 | +2 | 2.9 | 82% | 46% | 32% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | - |
| 13 | Chindia Targoviste | 30 | 40 | 40% | 1.3 | 42 | 41 | +1 | 2.8 | 77% | 47% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 14 | CS Afumati | 28 | 37 | 39% | 1.3 | 38 | 35 | +3 | 2.6 | 71% | 50% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | - |
| 15 | Gloria Bistriţa | 28 | 34 | 32% | 1.2 | 39 | 37 | +2 | 2.7 | 82% | 57% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | - |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 30 | 34 | 30% | 1.1 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 2.7 | 73% | 43% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | - |
| 17 | Dumbrăviţa | 28 | 32 | 32% | 1.1 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 2.5 | 64% | 46% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | - |
| 18 | CSM Satu Mare | 28 | 28 | 29% | 1.0 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 3.2 | 79% | 57% | 46% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.9 | - |
| 19 | Tunari | 28 | 27 | 21% | 1.0 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 2.6 | 86% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | - |
| 20 | CS Dinamo București | 30 | 26 | 20% | 0.9 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 2.6 | 83% | 43% | 23% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | - |
| 21 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 28 | 20 | 18% | 0.7 | 24 | 62 | -38 | 3.1 | 86% | 61% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | - |
| 22 | Muscelul Câmpulung Elite | 28 | 11 | 7% | 0.4 | 14 | 72 | -58 | 3.1 | 71% | 57% | 36% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 2.6 | - |