The model favours an away win for Concordia, with a 45 % chance of victory, a 30 % chance of a draw, and a 25 % chance of a Dinamo win. The expected total of goals is 2.3, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 14.1 % probability. Dinamo, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages only 0.45 goals scored and concedes 2.18, while Concordia, on the road against a weaker side, averages 3.0 goals scored and concedes none. Recent form shows Dinamo on a win-only streak after a 2-1 win over Chindia, whereas Concordia has returned from a 1-5 defeat to FC Politehnica. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7 %), Under 6.5 (99.0 %), Home under 3.5 goals (98.3 %), Under 5.5 (96.8 %), Away under 3.5 goals (95.0 %), Home under 2.5 goals (92.4 %), Under 4.5 (91.1 %) and Away +2 handicap (90.4 %). Each pick is presented with its exact percentage, and no other probabilities are attached to these selections.
CS Dinamo București| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 2.03 | 0.87 | 1.87 | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| vs Stronger (22) | 0.95 | 2.14 | 0.67 | 2.08 | 1.30 | 2.20 |
| vs Similar (8) | 0.88 | 1.75 | 1.67 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 10% (-22pp vs league) | |||||
Concordia| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.67 | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.73 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 2.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.46 | 1.17 | 1.45 | 1.27 | 1.46 | 1.08 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 2.75 | 1.25 | 2.67 | 1.67 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-8pp vs league) | |||||
| Concordia goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 11% | 13% | 10% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 14% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| 2 | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
CS Dinamo București| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.20 | 0.93 | 0.20 | 0.93 | 0.20 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (22) | 0.18 | 1.05 | 0.17 | 1.08 | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (8) | 0.25 | 0.62 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
Concordia| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.63 | 0.60 | 0.73 | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.54 | 0.62 | 0.45 | 0.73 | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 1.25 | 0.50 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+15pp vs league) | |||||
CS Dinamo București| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 1.10 | 0.67 | 0.93 | 0.80 | 1.27 |
| vs Stronger (22) | 0.77 | 1.09 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| vs Similar (8) | 0.62 | 1.12 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
Concordia| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.07 | 0.57 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.13 | 0.47 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 2.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.92 | 0.54 | 1.00 | 0.55 | 0.85 | 0.54 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 1.50 | 0.75 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 | 99.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 HT goals | 99.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 6.5 | 98.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 3.5 goals | 98.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 2H goals | 97.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 5.5 | 96.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 HT goals | 96.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 2H goals | 94.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 goals | 93.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 3.5 goals | 93.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 1.5 HT goals | 92.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away +2 handicap | 92.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 4.5 | 90.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 2.5 HT goals | 88.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 1.5 2H goals | 85.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 1.5 HT goals | 85.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 2.5 2H goals | 83.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 goals | 81.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 0.5 2H goals | 79.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Draw or Away | 78.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away +1 handicap | 78.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 3.5 | 78.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 1.5 goals | 77.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 1.5 2H goals | 77.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away over 0.5 goals | 77.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home +2 handicap | 74.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home or Away | 71.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 0.5 HT goals | 70.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/25 | H | 0-3 | |
| 02/11/25 | A | 2-1 |
CS Dinamo București| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 21/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 15/08/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 12/08/26 | A | 5-0 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 5-1 | |
| 01/08/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 23/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 0-1 |
Concordia| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/26 | A | 2-5 | |
| 29/08/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 22/08/26 | H | 1-5 | |
| 19/08/26 | H | 5-1 | |
| 15/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 12/08/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 08/08/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 01/08/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 2.6 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | - |
| 2 | Slatina | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | - |
| 3 | Concordia | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | - |
| 4 | CSM Reşiţa | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Chindia Targoviste | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Popești-Leordeni | 5 | 9 | 40% | 1.8 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 3.2 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Gloria Bistriţa | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 2.2 | 60% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | FC Bacau | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.8 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 11 | Metaloglobus | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | - |
| 12 | Metalul Buzău | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 13 | CS Afumati | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 14 | Bihor Oradea | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 2.0 | 80% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 15 | Ştefăneşti | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 17 | ASA Targu Mures | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2.2 | 80% | 40% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 18 | Dumbrăviţa | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.0 | 60% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 19 | CS Dinamo București | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1.4 | 60% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 21 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3.2 | 100% | 100% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 22 | Unirea Slobozia | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2.4 | 80% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 23 | AFC Hermannstadt | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |