This match is expected to be a closely contested affair, with Metalul Buzău's recent form catching the eye. Coming off a win, they will look to build on that momentum against CS Dinamo București, who have struggled in recent times, having suffered three straight defeats. Metalul Buzău's away form is impressive, scoring an average of 2 goals per game against weaker opponents, while Dinamo București's home form is concerning, conceding 1.23 goals per game against stronger opponents.
The model predicts an away win, with a 52% probability, making it the favourite result. Dinamo București's chances of winning are 21%, while a draw is 27%. The expected total number of goals is 2.6, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring with a 12.9% probability. Dinamo București's home scoring average is 0.77 goals per game, while they concede 1.23 goals per game at home. Metalul Buzău's away scoring average is 2 goals per game against weaker opponents, while they concede 0.67 goals per game away to weaker opponents.
The model's selection is an away win, with a 52% probability. The model also suggests Over 1.5 goals, which has a 74.6% probability, and Under 3.5 goals, which has a 73.5% probability.
The away team, Metalul Buzău, secured a 0-1 victory over CS Dinamo București, extending their winning run to three games. This result was in line with the model's call, which correctly predicted an away win. The model's selection, an away win, had a pre-match probability of 52%. The model's call was correct.
The model's selection of an away win was the favourite, which had the highest pre-match probability. The model's selection of an away win HIT. The model's selection of an away win had the highest pre-match probability. The model's selection of an Over 1.5 goals missed, with a probability of 74.6%. The model's selection of an Under 3.5 goals hit, with a probability of 73.5%.
CS Dinamo București| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 2.00 | 0.87 | 1.73 | 0.87 | 2.27 |
| vs Stronger (22) | 0.86 | 2.14 | 0.67 | 2.00 | 1.10 | 2.30 |
| vs Similar (8) | 0.88 | 1.62 | 1.67 | 0.67 | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 17% (-15pp vs league) | |||||
Metalul Buzău| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.97 | 1.23 | 1.80 | 1.13 | 2.13 | 1.33 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.74 | 1.39 | 1.11 | 1.33 | 2.14 | 1.43 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 2.71 | 0.71 | 2.83 | 0.83 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
| Metalul Buzău goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 8.6% | 11% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 13% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| 2 | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
CS Dinamo București| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.20 | 0.87 | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (22) | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (8) | 0.25 | 0.50 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
Metalul Buzău| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 0.63 | 0.67 | 0.53 | 1.20 | 0.73 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.96 | 0.78 | 0.56 | 0.78 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 0.86 | 0.14 | 0.83 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
CS Dinamo București| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 1.13 | 0.67 | 0.93 | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| vs Stronger (22) | 0.68 | 1.14 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| vs Similar (8) | 0.62 | 1.12 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-8pp vs league) | |||||
Metalul Buzău| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.03 | 0.60 | 1.13 | 0.60 | 0.93 | 0.60 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.78 | 0.61 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.93 | 0.64 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 1.86 | 0.57 | 2.00 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 74.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 73.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 | A | 4-2 | |
| 08/11/25 | H | 0-2 |
CS Dinamo București| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/26 | A | 5-0 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 5-1 | |
| 01/08/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 23/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 10/04/26 | A | 0-2 |
Metalul Buzău| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/26 | A | 2-4 | |
| 08/08/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 01/08/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 10/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 4-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 2.6 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | - |
| 2 | Slatina | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | - |
| 3 | Concordia | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | - |
| 4 | CSM Reşiţa | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Chindia Targoviste | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Popești-Leordeni | 5 | 9 | 40% | 1.8 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 3.2 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Gloria Bistriţa | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 2.2 | 60% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | FC Bacau | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.8 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 11 | Metaloglobus | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | - |
| 12 | Metalul Buzău | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 13 | CS Afumati | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 14 | Bihor Oradea | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 2.0 | 80% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 15 | Ştefăneşti | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 17 | ASA Targu Mures | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2.2 | 80% | 40% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 18 | Dumbrăviţa | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.0 | 60% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 19 | CS Dinamo București | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1.4 | 60% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 21 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3.2 | 100% | 100% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 22 | Unirea Slobozia | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2.4 | 80% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 23 | AFC Hermannstadt | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |