The contest between CSA Steaua București and CSM Reșița is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win at 37%. Draws sit at 28% and an away victory at 35%. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderately high scoring affair, yet the most probable total is two goals, a 25% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13% probability, even though the final outcome was a 2-1 home win. Steaua, playing at home against a similarly strong opponent, averages 1.57 goals scored and 0.86 conceded, while Reșița, on the road, averages 1.55 scored and 0.91 conceded. The model’s only selection is Over 1.5, with a 78.4% probability. In recent form, Steaua is coming off a defeat, whereas Reșița has won their last match. All figures are presented as percentages, with no additional commentary.
The match saw CSA Steaua București return to form, extending their recent run with a win after a defeat, while CSM Reșița came off a victory. The final score was 2-1, confirming a home win. The model’s favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 37% probability and proved correct. The suggested pick, Over 1.5, carried a 78.4% chance and hit. The most likely scoreline was 2-1, and the predicted total of 2.8 goals aligned with the 2-goal outcome. The model’s predictions largely materialised, delivering a satisfying forecast for this Liga II encounter.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.53 | 0.73 | 1.57 | 0.86 | 1.50 | 0.62 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (25) | 1.44 | 0.88 | 1.57 | 0.86 | 1.27 | 0.91 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 2.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
CSM Reşiţa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.50 | 0.93 | 1.31 | 1.06 | 1.71 | 0.79 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.17 | 1.08 | 0.85 | 1.23 | 1.55 | 0.91 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 3.20 | 0.40 | 4.50 | 0.50 | 2.33 | 0.33 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
| CSM Reşiţa goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 13% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
CSA Steaua Bucureşti| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.37 | 0.64 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (25) | 0.52 | 0.44 | 0.64 | 0.50 | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 0.80 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 70% (+38pp vs league) | |||||
CSM Reşiţa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.53 | 0.69 | 0.50 | 0.93 | 0.57 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.38 | 0.54 | 0.82 | 0.64 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 1.80 | 0.40 | 2.50 | 0.50 | 1.33 | 0.33 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+28pp vs league) | |||||
CSA Steaua Bucureşti| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.97 | 0.37 | 0.93 | 0.36 | 1.00 | 0.38 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (25) | 0.92 | 0.44 | 0.93 | 0.36 | 0.91 | 0.55 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 1.20 | 0.00 | - | - | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 70% (+38pp vs league) | |||||
CSM Reşiţa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.62 | 0.56 | 0.79 | 0.21 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.58 | 0.50 | 0.46 | 0.69 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 1.40 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+32pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/25 | H | 0-2 | |
| 17/04/25 | A | 0-2 | |
| 20/08/24 | H | 2-2 | |
| 24/02/24 | A | 3-1 |
CSA Steaua Bucureşti| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/25 | A | 0-0 | |
| 08/08/25 | H | 4-1 | |
| 02/08/25 | A | 1-3 | |
| 18/05/25 | H | 0-2 | |
| 11/05/25 | A | 0-3 | |
| 04/05/25 | A | 3-0 | |
| 30/04/25 | H | 0-0 | |
| 24/04/25 | A | 4-2 | |
| 17/04/25 | A | 0-2 | |
| 12/04/25 | H | 3-1 |
CSM Reşiţa| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/25 | H | 7-0 | |
| 13/08/25 | A | 1-0 | |
| 09/08/25 | A | 1-3 | |
| 02/08/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 18/05/25 | A | 0-2 | |
| 10/05/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 06/05/25 | A | 3-0 | |
| 30/04/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 25/04/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 17/04/25 | H | 0-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 31 | 69 | 68% | 2.2 | 50 | 21 | +29 | 2.3 | 58% | 39% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | - |
| 2 | FC Voluntari | 31 | 64 | 61% | 2.1 | 51 | 24 | +27 | 2.4 | 68% | 39% | 19% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 30 | 64 | 63% | 2.1 | 49 | 23 | +26 | 2.4 | 77% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | - |
| 4 | ASA Targu Mures | 28 | 51 | 54% | 1.8 | 53 | 29 | +24 | 2.9 | 79% | 64% | 36% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | - |
| 5 | Metalul Buzău | 28 | 50 | 57% | 1.8 | 49 | 32 | +17 | 2.9 | 71% | 54% | 32% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | - |
| 6 | Bihor Oradea | 31 | 50 | 48% | 1.6 | 56 | 45 | +11 | 3.3 | 87% | 71% | 42% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | - |
| 7 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 31 | 49 | 48% | 1.6 | 49 | 46 | +3 | 3.1 | 81% | 58% | 35% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | - |
| 8 | Slatina | 28 | 43 | 43% | 1.5 | 40 | 32 | +8 | 2.6 | 79% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | - |
| 9 | FC Bacau | 28 | 42 | 43% | 1.5 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 2.6 | 71% | 43% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | - |
| 10 | Concordia | 28 | 41 | 43% | 1.5 | 39 | 29 | +10 | 2.4 | 68% | 36% | 18% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - |
| 11 | Politehnica Iasi | 28 | 41 | 43% | 1.5 | 32 | 28 | +4 | 2.1 | 61% | 36% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | - |
| 12 | CSM Reşiţa | 28 | 40 | 43% | 1.4 | 41 | 39 | +2 | 2.9 | 82% | 46% | 32% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | - |
| 13 | Chindia Targoviste | 30 | 40 | 40% | 1.3 | 42 | 41 | +1 | 2.8 | 77% | 47% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 14 | CS Afumati | 28 | 37 | 39% | 1.3 | 38 | 35 | +3 | 2.6 | 71% | 50% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | - |
| 15 | Gloria Bistriţa | 28 | 34 | 32% | 1.2 | 39 | 37 | +2 | 2.7 | 82% | 57% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | - |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 30 | 34 | 30% | 1.1 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 2.7 | 73% | 43% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | - |
| 17 | Dumbrăviţa | 28 | 32 | 32% | 1.1 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 2.5 | 64% | 46% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | - |
| 18 | CSM Satu Mare | 28 | 28 | 29% | 1.0 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 3.2 | 79% | 57% | 46% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.9 | - |
| 19 | Tunari | 28 | 27 | 21% | 1.0 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 2.6 | 86% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | - |
| 20 | CS Dinamo București | 30 | 26 | 20% | 0.9 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 2.6 | 83% | 43% | 23% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | - |
| 21 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 28 | 20 | 18% | 0.7 | 24 | 62 | -38 | 3.1 | 86% | 61% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | - |
| 22 | Muscelul Câmpulung Elite | 28 | 11 | 7% | 0.4 | 14 | 72 | -58 | 3.1 | 71% | 57% | 36% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 2.6 | - |