The model projects a high-scoring affair with an average of 3.2 goals, favouring an away win. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.7 % chance, while the total-goals figure of 3 is expected 22 % of the time. CSA Steaua București, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.85 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Gloria Bistrița, on the road, averages 1.57 goals scored and 1.21 conceded against comparable teams. The model’s probabilities are 36 % for a home win, 26 % for a draw, and 38 % for an away win. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (98.4 %), Under 6.5 (95.8 %), Home under 3.5 goals (92.7 %), Away under 3.5 goals (92.1 %), Under 5.5 (90.0 %), Over 1.5 (83.4 %), Away +2 handicap (81.9 %), and Home +2 handicap (80.4 %). Recent form shows Steaua coming off a draw, while Gloria is recovering from a defeat.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
CSA Steaua Bucureşti win
36.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa win
38.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.53
1.67
1.67
1.20
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.42
1.67
1.83
1.67
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.67
2.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Gloria Bistriţa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gloria Bistriţa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.03
1.19
0.94
1.71
1.14
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.75
0.50
2.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (23)
1.65
0.91
1.55
0.73
1.75
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
0.33
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (CSA Steaua Bucureşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.4%
Under 1.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61.1%
Under 2.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.8%
Under 3.5
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
64.0%
No
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
0-2
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti goals ↓
Gloria Bistriţa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
5.8%
5.5%
2.9%
1.2%
1
5.6%
12%
8.5%
4.5%
1.8%
2
5.1%
8.2%
6.6%
3.5%
1.4%
3
2.7%
4.3%
3.4%
1.8%
0.7%
4
1.0%
1.7%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = CSA Steaua Bucureşti goals (down), columns = Gloria Bistriţa goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.60
Slatina
2.60
Concordia
2.40
CSM Reşiţa
2.40
Popești-Leordeni
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.80
FC Bacau
1.60
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.60
Metalul Buzău
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
CS Afumati
1.40
Ştefăneşti
1.20
Bihor Oradea
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
ASA Targu Mures
0.80
CS Dinamo București
0.60
Dumbrăviţa
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.40
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.20
Unirea Slobozia
0.20
CSA Steaua Bucureşti is 1.60 points worse than Gloria Bistriţa in terms of average points per game (0.20 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Concordia
2.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.20
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
FC Bacau
2.00
Slatina
2.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Bihor Oradea
1.20
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.20
CS Afumati
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.00
Metalul Buzău
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.80
Dumbrăviţa
0.80
Ştefăneşti
0.80
ASA Targu Mures
0.60
Unirea Slobozia
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.20
CSA Steaua Bucureşti is 0.40 goals worse than Gloria Bistriţa in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.40
Slatina
0.40
Gloria Bistriţa
0.80
Bihor Oradea
0.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.00
FC Bacau
1.00
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.00
Popești-Leordeni
1.20
Dumbrăviţa
1.20
CSM Reşiţa
1.20
Metalul Buzău
1.20
CSM Satu Mare
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Concordia
1.60
ASA Targu Mures
1.60
Metaloglobus
1.60
Unirea Slobozia
1.80
CS Afumati
1.80
CS Dinamo București
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.20
CSA Steaua Bucureşti is 1.40 goals worse than Gloria Bistriţa in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 0.80).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti or Draw
61.8%
Avg Implied -
36%
26%
38%
covers CSA Steaua Bucureşti + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti or Gloria Bistriţa
74.3%
Avg Implied -
36%
26%
38%
covers CSA Steaua Bucureşti + Gloria Bistriţa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Gloria Bistriţa
63.9%
Avg Implied -
36%
26%
38%
covers Draw + Gloria Bistriţa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 0.5
Over
78.9%
Under
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 1.5
Over
46.0%
Under
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 2.5
Over
20.5%
Under
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 3.5
Over
7.3%
Under
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 0.5
Over
79.9%
Under
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 1.5
Over
47.6%
Under
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 2.5
Over
21.7%
Under
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 3.5
Over
7.9%
Under
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to CSA Steaua Bucureşti, so a minus line means CSA Steaua Bucureşti give that many goals of a start and Gloria Bistriţa receive them. At -1, CSA Steaua Bucureşti must win by two or more to land; a one-goal CSA Steaua Bucureşti win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (CSA Steaua Bucureşti)
CSA Steaua Bucureşti -2
7.1%
Draw -2
11.0%
Gloria Bistriţa +2
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (CSA Steaua Bucureşti)
CSA Steaua Bucureşti -1
18.1%
Draw -1
18.0%
Gloria Bistriţa +1
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (CSA Steaua Bucureşti)
CSA Steaua Bucureşti +1
61.8%
Draw +1
18.6%
Gloria Bistriţa -1
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (CSA Steaua Bucureşti)
CSA Steaua Bucureşti +2
80.4%
Draw +2
11.7%
Gloria Bistriţa -2
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.90
0.80
1.00
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.62
1.00
0.92
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.50
0.33
1.00
1.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Gloria Bistriţa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gloria Bistriţa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.44
0.31
0.64
0.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.39
0.64
0.18
0.75
0.58
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (CSA Steaua Bucureşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.87
0.67
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.67
0.92
0.67
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.67
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Gloria Bistriţa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gloria Bistriţa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
0.75
0.62
1.07
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.96
0.52
0.91
0.55
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.67
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (CSA Steaua Bucureşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (37)
€11m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
CSA Steaua Bucureşti's squad is €1m more valuable than Gloria Bistriţa's (€3m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (13)
€5m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
CSA Steaua Bucureşti and Gloria Bistriţa have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
CSA Steaua Bucureşti and Gloria Bistriţa have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (15)
€5m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
CSA Steaua Bucureşti and Gloria Bistriţa have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Romania: Liga II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →