CSA Steaua București's recent form has been a concern, with three straight defeats, including a 1-2 loss to CSM Ramnicu Valcea. In contrast, Slatina is on a 4-game winning run, most recently defeating CS Dinamo București 5-1. The model predicts an away win, with a 43% probability, making it the favourite match result. The expected total goals is 3.6, with the most likely outcome being 3 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 9.8%.
CSA Steaua București has scored an average of 2.2 goals at home, conceding 1.4. Slatina, meanwhile, has scored 1.6 goals away, conceding 1.6, against similar opponents. The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5, with a 88% probability and a 14% edge. This selection is the model's most confident pick, with a 88% probability.
The home win percentage is 33%, the draw percentage is 24%, and the away win percentage is 43%. The model's selection for a home win is 33%. The model's selection for a draw is 24%. The model's selection for an away win is 43%. The model's selection for Over 1.5 is 88% with a 14% edge.
The win extends CSA Steaua București's recent struggles, following three consecutive defeats. In contrast, Slatina's away form has been impressive, with a four-game winning streak. The final score was 1-2, confirming the actual result of an away win. The model's selection, an away win, was correct, given its pre-match probability of 43%. The model's call was also vindicated by the suggested picks, with 'Over 1.5' hitting, having a pre-match probability of 88%.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.40 | 1.53 | 1.73 | 1.53 | 1.07 | 1.53 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.33 | 1.71 | 1.69 | 1.46 | 0.91 | 2.00 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 1.67 | 0.83 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 0.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-12pp vs league) | |||||
Slatina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.53 | 1.30 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.93 | 1.47 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 2.50 | - | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 1.45 | 1.45 | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.67 | 1.75 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 2.33 | 0.33 | 1.67 | 0.33 | 3.00 | 0.33 |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-8pp vs league) | |||||
| Slatina goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
CSA Steaua Bucureşti| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.87 | 0.73 | 0.87 | 0.60 | 0.87 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.54 | 0.96 | 0.69 | 0.77 | 0.36 | 1.18 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 1.17 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.25 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+12pp vs league) | |||||
Slatina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.53 | 0.60 | 0.87 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.50 | - | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.59 | 0.73 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 0.83 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
CSA Steaua Bucureşti| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.47 | 0.67 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.79 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.69 | 0.55 | 0.82 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 0.50 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
Slatina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 0.60 | 0.53 | 0.60 | 1.33 | 0.60 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.86 | 0.73 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 1.17 | 0.75 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 88.0% | 1.25 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | +14.2% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 05/10/24 | A | 1-1 | |
| 27/04/24 | H | 2-0 | |
| 25/09/23 | H | 1-1 | |
| 15/08/22 | A | 1-2 |
CSA Steaua Bucureşti| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 | H | 2-4 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 3-3 | |
| 07/05/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 01/05/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 19/04/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 15/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 02/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 21/03/26 | A | 1-0 |
Slatina| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 10/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 0-4 | |
| 21/03/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 14/03/26 | A | 3-2 | |
| 07/03/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 26/02/26 | A | 2-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Slatina | 4 | 12 | 100% | 3.0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 3.0 | 75% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | - |
| 2 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 2.5 | 50% | 25% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | - |
| 3 | CSM Reşiţa | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 4 | Concordia | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 3.8 | 100% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 5 | Popești-Leordeni | 4 | 8 | 50% | 2.0 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 3.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 6 | FC Bacau | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.8 | 100% | 100% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Metalul Buzău | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.8 | 50% | 25% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | Chindia Targoviste | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 2.8 | 75% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | Gloria Bistriţa | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 2.5 | 75% | 75% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | - |
| 11 | Ştefăneşti | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.5 | 75% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | - |
| 12 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 2.5 | 75% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 13 | Metaloglobus | 3 | 4 | 33% | 1.3 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 2.7 | 67% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | - |
| 14 | ASA Targu Mures | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2.0 | 75% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 15 | CS Afumati | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3.0 | 100% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - |
| 16 | Dumbrăviţa | 4 | 3 | 0% | 0.8 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2.2 | 75% | 25% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 17 | Bihor Oradea | 4 | 3 | 0% | 0.8 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1.5 | 75% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - |
| 18 | CS Dinamo București | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3.2 | 75% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 19 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2.8 | 100% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1.5 | 75% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 21 | Unirea Slobozia | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2.0 | 67% | 33% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | - |
| 22 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3.2 | 100% | 100% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 23 | AFC Hermannstadt | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |