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CSF Bălți vs Petrocub Result & Analysis

Date: 11/07/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 1-1
CSF Bălți
CSF Bălți
Vs
18%
27%
55%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petrocub
Petrocub
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

CSF Bălți face a difficult trip to Petrocub, yet the model favours an away win. The probability of Petrocub triumphing sits at 55%, with a 27% chance of a draw and 18% for a home victory. The expected total goals are 2.5, and the single most likely scoreline is 0-1, a 12.8% probability. CSF Bălți, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded, while Petrocub, on the road against a weaker side, nets 3.14 and concedes only 0.14. The model’s suggested picks include Under 3.5 with 76.7% and Over 1.5 with 71.5%. The overall shape of the match points to a modest, low-scoring affair dominated by Petrocub’s attacking potency and CSF Bălți’s defensive frailties.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Petrocub, failed to deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. The game was a surprise, with CSF Bălţi holding their own despite a poor run of two straight defeats, while Petrocub also came in from two losses. The model had assigned a 55% chance to an away win, but the result was a stalemate. The model’s selections were largely accurate: the Under 3.5 goal pick hit with a 76.7% probability, and the Over 1.5 goal pick also hit, scoring 71.5%. The most likely scoreline of 0-1 or 1-1 both had a 12.8% chance, and the 0-2 outcome was 11.3%. The expected total of 2.5 goals was exceeded, but the total remained below 3.5.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSF Bălți win✗ Miss
18.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petrocub win✗ Miss
55.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L02L21W02L10W14L03L00D03LA·MIL15/03H·ZIM21/03H·PET05/04A·DAC11/04A·SHE18/04H·MIL26/04A·ZIM02/05A·PET10/05H·DAC17/05A·ZIM05/07
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.531.211.430.811.62
vs Stronger (20)0.601.750.801.700.401.80
vs Similar (10)1.801.102.250.751.501.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrocubPetrocub

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L20W20W30W21W10W30W30W11D50WA·SHE14/03H·MIL21/03A·CSF05/04H·ZIM11/04A·DAC18/04H·SHE26/04A·MIL02/05H·CSF10/05A·ZIM17/05H·MIL04/07
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.170.672.430.571.940.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.621.002.430.711.001.22
vs Weaker (14)2.790.292.430.433.140.14
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.5%
Under 1.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.5%
Under 2.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.3%
Under 3.5
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.5%
No
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
12.8%
1-1 ✓
12.8%
0-2
11.3%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.1%
CSF Bălți goals ↓
Petrocub goals →
01234
09.7%13%11%6.1%2.5%
16.0%13%9.4%5.1%2.1%
23.0%4.8%3.9%2.1%0.9%
30.8%1.3%1.1%0.6%0.2%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = CSF Bălți goals (down), columns = Petrocub goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zimbru
2.11
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.62
Petrocub
1.38
Politehnica UTM
1.33
Milsami Orhei
1.12
Sireți
0.78
CSF Bălți
0.25
CSF Bălți is 1.12 points worse than Petrocub in terms of average points per game (0.25 vs 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zimbru
2.56
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.11
Petrocub
1.75
Politehnica UTM
1.67
Dacia-Buiucani
1.38
Milsami Orhei
1.00
Sireți
0.67
CSF Bălți
0.62
CSF Bălți is 1.12 goals worse than Petrocub in terms of goals scored per game (0.62 vs 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.89
Zimbru
1.11
Sireți
1.11
Petrocub
1.12
Politehnica UTM
1.33
Dacia-Buiucani
1.50
Milsami Orhei
1.75
CSF Bălți
3.25
CSF Bălți is 2.12 goals worse than Petrocub in terms of goals conceded per game (3.25 vs 1.12).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L00D02L00D12L01L00D01LA·MIL15/03H·ZIM21/03H·PET05/04A·DAC11/04A·SHE18/04H·MIL26/04A·ZIM02/05A·PET10/05H·DAC17/05A·ZIM05/07
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.630.430.430.250.81
vs Stronger (20)0.350.650.400.400.300.90
vs Similar (10)0.300.600.500.500.170.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrocubPetrocub

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W20W20W10W10W00D10W10W20WA·SHE14/03H·MIL21/03A·CSF05/04H·ZIM11/04A·DAC18/04H·SHE26/04A·MIL02/05H·CSF10/05A·ZIM17/05H·MIL04/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.371.210.211.190.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.750.621.140.290.440.89
vs Weaker (14)1.710.071.290.142.140.00
Clean sheet %80% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D21W00D10W02L02L00D02LA·MIL15/03H·ZIM21/03H·PET05/04A·DAC11/04A·SHE18/04H·MIL26/04A·ZIM02/05A·PET10/05H·DAC17/05A·ZIM05/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.791.000.560.81
vs Stronger (20)0.251.100.401.300.100.90
vs Similar (10)1.500.501.750.251.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrocubPetrocub

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D10W11D00D30W20W01L30WA·SHE14/03H·MIL21/03A·CSF05/04H·ZIM11/04A·DAC18/04H·SHE26/04A·MIL02/05H·CSF10/05A·ZIM17/05H·MIL04/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.301.210.360.750.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.880.381.290.430.560.33
vs Weaker (14)1.070.211.140.291.000.14
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Petrocub · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Mudrac20%
Teodor Lungu20%
Ion Borș20%
Sergiu Plătică17%
Ion Jardan0%
Vladimir Ambros0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dan Pușcaș0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Teodor Lungu60%
Ion Jardan50%
Dumitru Demian33%
Dan Pușcaș20%
Ion Borș20%
Vladimir Ambros17%
Sergiu Plătică0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dan Pușcaș20%
Vladimir Ambros17%
Ion Jardan0%
Sergiu Plătică0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Teodor Lungu0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Ion Borș0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergiu Plătică17%
Ion Jardan0%
Vladimir Ambros0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Teodor Lungu0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dan Pușcaș0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Ion Borș0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
PU (13)
€1m
SIR (7)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
CSF Bălți's squad is €5m less valuable than Petrocub's (€1m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
PU (2)
€0m
SIR (2)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
CSF Bălți's attack is €2m less valuable than Petrocub's (€0m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SIR (5)
€1m
DAC (6)
€0m
PU (4)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
CSF Bălți and Petrocub have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
PU (7)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
CSF Bălți's defence is €2m less valuable than Petrocub's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
CB wins
3
Draws
5
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

CSF Bălți vs Petrocub · H/A from CB
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26APetrocub Vs CB3-0
05/04/26HCB Vs Petrocub0-2
04/10/25APetrocub Vs CB0-0
09/08/25HCB Vs Petrocub0-1
22/06/25APetrocub Vs CB1-1
19/04/25HCB Vs Petrocub1-1
09/03/25APetrocub Vs CB3-0
10/11/24APetrocub Vs CB1-0

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/07/26AZimbru Vs CB3-0
17/05/26HCB Vs Dacia-Buiucani0-0
10/05/26APetrocub Vs CB3-0
02/05/26AZimbru Vs CB4-1
26/04/26HCB Vs Milsami Orhei1-0
18/04/26ASheriff Tiraspol Vs CB2-0
11/04/26ADacia-Buiucani Vs CB1-2
05/04/26HCB Vs Petrocub0-2
21/03/26HCB Vs Zimbru0-2
15/03/26AMilsami Orhei Vs CB0-0

PetrocubPetrocub

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/26HPET Vs Milsami Orhei5-0
17/05/26AZimbru Vs PET1-1
10/05/26HPET Vs CSF Bălți3-0
02/05/26AMilsami Orhei Vs PET0-3
26/04/26HPET Vs Sheriff Tiraspol1-0
18/04/26ADacia-Buiucani Vs PET1-2
11/04/26HPET Vs Zimbru3-0
05/04/26ACSF Bălți Vs PET0-2
21/03/26HPET Vs Milsami Orhei2-0
14/03/26ASheriff Tiraspol Vs PET1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

CSF Bălți
CSF Bălți
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.04
HomeLLLWD1.21
AwayWLLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%29%23%
AVG goals2.482.382.58
Over 1.5 %72%67%77%
Over 2.5 %42%33%50%
Over 3.5 %24%25%23%
Scored0.981.170.81
Conceded1.501.211.77
BTTS40%33%46%
Clean Sheet24%33%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Petrocub
Petrocub
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.90
HomeWWWWW2.32
AwayLWWWD1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%72%40%
AVG goals2.842.722.96
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %52%60%44%
Over 3.5 %26%20%32%
Scored1.922.041.80
Conceded0.920.681.16
BTTS44%40%48%
Clean Sheet42%48%36%
Corners9.678.0010.50
Cards4.333.005.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZimbruZimbru919
67%
2.1
2310+13
3.7
100%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.61.1
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol918
56%
2.0
198+11
3.0
67%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.9
-
3Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani813
50%
1.6
1112-1
2.9
62%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.5
-
4Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM912
33%
1.3
1512+3
3.0
78%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.3
-
5PetrocubPetrocub811
38%
1.4
149+5
2.9
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.81.1
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei89
25%
1.1
814-6
2.8
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.01.8
-
7SirețiSireți97
0%
0.8
610-4
1.8
67%
33%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.71.1
-
8CSF BălțiCSF Bălți82
0%
0.2
526-21
3.9
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.63.2
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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