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CSF Bălți vs Sheriff Tiraspol Result & Analysis

Date: 02/08/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 1-5
CSF Bălți
CSF Bălți
Vs
20%
28%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The upcoming match between CSF Bălți and Sheriff Tiraspol in the Moldova: Super Liga is one to watch, especially considering Sheriff Tiraspol's recent form. They come off a win against Dacia-Buiucani, while CSF Bălți drew against Sireți.

The model predicts an away win with a 52% chance, and the favoured match result is indeed an away win. The expected total number of goals is 2.4, with 2 goals being the most likely total. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 13.3% chance.

CSF Bălți struggles at home, scoring 0.2 goals per game and conceding 1.6 goals against stronger opponents. Meanwhile, Sheriff Tiraspol averages 1.67 goals scored and 0.33 goals conceded when facing weaker opponents.

The model's selection is the Under 3.5 with a 78.2% chance, offering a significant edge of 32%. Other model selections include the away win (52%), the draw (28%), and the home win (20%). The probabilities for the home win, draw, and away win are 20%, 28%, and 52% respectively. The Under 2.5 is also selected with a 78.2% chance and an edge of 32%.

Results analysis

The win extends CSF Bălți's run, but the actual outcome was far from expected. The final score was 1-5 in favour of Sheriff Tiraspol, a result that defied the predicted total of 2.4 goals. The model's selection, an away win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 52%. The model's call was spot on, as Sheriff Tiraspol indeed secured the victory. The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals also missed, with a pre-match probability of 78.2%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSF Bălți win✗ Miss
19.8%
Avg Implied 3.6% · @ 26.10
Edge
+16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
46.00
William Hil
46.00
Marathonbet
30.00
1xBet
30.00
10Bet
26.00
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied 10.1% · @ 9.29
Edge
+18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
14.00
Pinnacle
11.95
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.70
Bet365
10.00
Sheriff Tiraspol win✓ Hit
51.9%
Avg Implied 86.2% · @ 1.09
Edge
-34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.38
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.05

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W02L10W14L03L00D03L11D12L14LA·DAC11/04A·SHE18/04H·MIL26/04A·ZIM02/05A·PET10/05H·DAC17/05A·ZIM05/07H·PET11/07A·MIL19/07H·DAC25/07
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.701.201.600.801.80
vs Stronger (20)0.651.800.801.700.501.90
vs Similar (10)1.701.502.001.401.401.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff Tiraspol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L21W10W00D00D42W32W05L00D01LA·PET26/04A·DAC03/05H·ZIM10/05A·MIL17/05A·POL04/07H·ZIM12/07A·PET19/07H·MAC23/07H·MIL26/07A·MAC30/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.931.600.871.471.00
vs Stronger (3)0.332.330.503.000.001.00
vs Similar (10)1.501.401.600.601.402.20
vs Weaker (17)1.760.411.880.501.670.33
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%020%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.0%
@ 1.10-16.1%
Under 1.5
30.0%
@ 6.83+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.05
Under
1xBet
9.50
Superbet
4.15
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.6%
@ 1.34-28.1%
Under 2.5
57.4%
@ 3.24+28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Under
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
1xBet
3.94
Superbet
2.20
Betano
2.12
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.8%
@ 1.75-32.2%
Under 3.5
78.2%
@ 2.04+32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.40
Betano
2.00
10Bet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Under
Marathonbet
2.34
1xBet
2.34
Pinnacle
2.32
10Bet
2.15
Betano
1.65
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.2%
@ 2.32+6.7%
No
53.8%
@ 1.52-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.36
Superbet
2.25
No
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%@ 21.50+11.3%
0-1
12.9%@ 10.50+9.0%
0-2
10.8%@ 6.44+4.3%
0-0
10.4%@ 28.75+9.0%
1-2
9.2%@ 13.00+6.0%
1-0
6.7%@ 65.75+6.1%
0-3
5.5%@ 5.62-1.9%
2-1
5.2%@ 69.75+4.6%
CSF Bălți goals ↓
Sheriff Tiraspol goals →
01234
010%13%11%5.5%2.1%
16.7%13%9.2%4.7%1.8%
23.4%5.2%3.9%2.0%0.8%
31.0%1.5%1.1%0.6%0.2%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = CSF Bălți goals (down), columns = Sheriff Tiraspol goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.25
Zimbru
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.62
Petrocub
1.38
Politehnica UTM
1.38
Milsami Orhei
1.12
Sireți
0.75
CSF Bălți
0.25
CSF Bălți is 2.00 points worse than Sheriff Tiraspol in terms of average points per game (0.25 vs 2.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zimbru
2.62
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.25
Politehnica UTM
1.88
Petrocub
1.75
Dacia-Buiucani
1.38
Milsami Orhei
1.00
Sireți
0.75
CSF Bălți
0.62
CSF Bălți is 1.62 goals worse than Sheriff Tiraspol in terms of goals scored per game (0.62 vs 2.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.75
Petrocub
1.12
Zimbru
1.12
Sireți
1.25
Politehnica UTM
1.50
Dacia-Buiucani
1.50
Milsami Orhei
1.75
CSF Bălți
3.25
CSF Bălți is 2.50 goals worse than Sheriff Tiraspol in terms of goals conceded per game (3.25 vs 0.75).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D12L01L00D01L01L00D01LA·DAC11/04A·SHE18/04H·MIL26/04A·ZIM02/05A·PET10/05H·DAC17/05A·ZIM05/07H·PET11/07A·MIL19/07H·DAC25/07
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.670.400.530.200.80
vs Stronger (20)0.350.650.400.500.300.80
vs Similar (10)0.200.700.400.600.000.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff Tiraspol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D00D00D00D21W10W02L00D01LA·PET26/04A·DAC03/05H·ZIM10/05A·MIL17/05A·POL04/07H·ZIM12/07A·PET19/07H·MAC23/07H·MIL26/07A·MAC30/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.500.930.470.530.53
vs Stronger (3)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (10)0.900.501.000.200.800.80
vs Weaker (17)0.760.411.120.500.440.33
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D10W02L02L00D02L10W12L13LA·DAC11/04A·SHE18/04H·MIL26/04A·ZIM02/05A·PET10/05H·DAC17/05A·ZIM05/07H·PET11/07A·MIL19/07H·DAC25/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.030.801.070.601.00
vs Stronger (20)0.301.150.401.200.201.10
vs Similar (10)1.500.801.600.801.400.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff Tiraspol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W00D00D21W22D03L00D00DA·PET26/04A·DAC03/05H·ZIM10/05A·MIL17/05A·POL04/07H·ZIM12/07A·PET19/07H·MAC23/07H·MIL26/07A·MAC30/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.430.670.400.930.47
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.502.000.000.00
vs Similar (10)0.600.900.600.400.601.40
vs Weaker (17)1.000.000.750.001.220.00
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

No selections above 70% probability for this match.

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
CB wins
1
Draws
6
ST wins

Head-to-head

CSF Bălți vs Sheriff Tiraspol · H/A from CB
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26ASheriff Tiraspol Vs CB2-0
08/03/26HCB Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-1
02/11/25ASheriff Tiraspol Vs CB1-2
31/08/25HCB Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-3
13/07/25ASheriff Tiraspol Vs CB1-0
10/05/25HCB Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-1
05/04/25ASheriff Tiraspol Vs CB2-1
23/11/24HCB Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-0

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/26HCB Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-4
19/07/26AMilsami Orhei Vs CB2-1
11/07/26HCB Vs Petrocub1-1
05/07/26AZimbru Vs CB3-0
17/05/26HCB Vs Dacia-Buiucani0-0
10/05/26APetrocub Vs CB3-0
02/05/26AZimbru Vs CB4-1
26/04/26HCB Vs Milsami Orhei1-0
18/04/26ASheriff Tiraspol Vs CB2-0
11/04/26ADacia-Buiucani Vs CB1-2

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/07/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv Vs ST1-0
26/07/26HST Vs Milsami Orhei0-0
23/07/26HST Vs Maccabi Tel Aviv0-5
19/07/26APetrocub Vs ST2-3
12/07/26HST Vs Zimbru4-2
04/07/26APolitehnica UTM Vs ST0-0
17/05/26AMilsami Orhei Vs ST0-0
10/05/26HST Vs Zimbru1-0
03/05/26ADacia-Buiucani Vs ST1-2
26/04/26APetrocub Vs ST1-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

CSF Bălți
CSF Bălți
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL0.98
HomeLWDDL1.08
AwayLLLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%24%24%
AVG goals2.582.482.68
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %46%36%56%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored0.981.120.84
Conceded1.601.361.84
BTTS44%40%48%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.82
HomeWWWLD2.04
AwayWDDWL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%62%46%
AVG goals2.702.882.50
Over 1.5 %70%73%67%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %34%42%25%
Scored1.701.961.42
Conceded1.000.921.08
BTTS40%42%38%
Clean Sheet46%50%42%
Corners11.00-11.00
Cards2.864.002.00

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol818
62%
2.2
186+12
3.0
62%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.20.8
-
2ZimbruZimbru816
62%
2.0
219+12
3.8
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.61.1
-
3Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani813
50%
1.6
1112-1
2.9
62%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
4PetrocubPetrocub811
38%
1.4
149+5
2.9
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.81.1
-
5Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM811
38%
1.4
1512+3
3.4
88%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei89
25%
1.1
814-6
2.8
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.01.8
-
7SirețiSireți86
0%
0.8
610-4
2.0
75%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
8CSF BălțiCSF Bălți82
0%
0.2
526-21
3.9
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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