The model sees FC Politehnica Timisoara as the clear favourite, rating an 71% chance of victory against CSM Ramnicu Valcea, whose home form is weak against stronger opponents: they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.83 conceded at home. Politehnica’s recent four-game winning streak, including a 3-0 win over ASA Targu Mures, fuels the 71% away-win probability. The predicted outcome is an away win, with an expected 3.2 goals in total. The most likely scoreline is 0-2 for Politehnica, with a 11.6% probability. Home win probability is 10%, draw 19%, away win71%. The model’s selections include Home under 3.5 goals at 99%, Under 7.5 at 98.4%, Away +2 handicap at 96.7%, Under 6.5 at 95.7%, Home under 2.5 goals at 95%, Away over 0.5 goals at 90.6%, Under 5.5 at 89.7%, and Draw or Away at 89.6%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
CSM Ramnicu Valcea win
10.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
18.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara win
71.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.67
1.29
1.71
1.88
1.62
vs Stronger (13)
1.69
1.85
1.33
1.83
2.00
1.86
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Politehnica Timisoara) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.27
1.06
1.24
1.31
1.31
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.22
1.26
1.13
1.20
1.33
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (CSM Ramnicu Valcea) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.4%
Under 1.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61.6%
Under 2.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
39.3%
Under 3.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
51.4%
No
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.1%
0-1
9.0%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
CSM Ramnicu Valcea goals ↓
FC Politehnica Timisoara goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
9.0%
12%
9.1%
5.4%
1
2.6%
8.8%
9.5%
7.5%
4.4%
2
1.4%
3.3%
3.9%
3.1%
1.8%
3
0.4%
0.9%
1.1%
0.8%
0.5%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = CSM Ramnicu Valcea goals (down), columns = FC Politehnica Timisoara goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.60
Slatina
2.60
Concordia
2.40
CSM Reşiţa
2.40
Popești-Leordeni
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.80
FC Bacau
1.60
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.60
Metalul Buzău
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
CS Afumati
1.40
Ştefăneşti
1.20
Bihor Oradea
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
ASA Targu Mures
0.80
CS Dinamo București
0.60
Dumbrăviţa
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.40
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.20
Unirea Slobozia
0.20
CSM Ramnicu Valcea is 1.00 points worse than FC Politehnica Timisoara in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 2.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Concordia
2.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.20
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
FC Bacau
2.00
Slatina
2.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Bihor Oradea
1.20
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.20
CS Afumati
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.00
Metalul Buzău
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.80
Dumbrăviţa
0.80
Ştefăneşti
0.80
ASA Targu Mures
0.60
Unirea Slobozia
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.20
CSM Ramnicu Valcea is 1.00 goals worse than FC Politehnica Timisoara in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 2.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.40
Slatina
0.40
Gloria Bistriţa
0.80
Bihor Oradea
0.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.00
FC Bacau
1.00
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.00
Popești-Leordeni
1.20
Dumbrăviţa
1.20
CSM Reşiţa
1.20
Metalul Buzău
1.20
CSM Satu Mare
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Concordia
1.60
ASA Targu Mures
1.60
Metaloglobus
1.60
Unirea Slobozia
1.80
CS Afumati
1.80
CS Dinamo București
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.20
CSM Ramnicu Valcea is 0.60 goals worse than FC Politehnica Timisoara in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea or Draw
29.0%
Avg Implied -
10%
19%
71%
covers CSM Ramnicu Valcea + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea or FC Politehnica Timisoara
81.4%
Avg Implied -
10%
19%
71%
covers CSM Ramnicu Valcea + FC Politehnica Timisoara
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Politehnica Timisoara
89.6%
Avg Implied -
10%
19%
71%
covers Draw + FC Politehnica Timisoara
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 0.5
Over
55.8%
Under
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 1.5
Over
19.7%
Under
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 2.5
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 3.5
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 0.5
Over
90.6%
Under
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 1.5
Over
68.3%
Under
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 2.5
Over
42.0%
Under
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 3.5
Over
21.3%
Under
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to CSM Ramnicu Valcea, so a minus line means CSM Ramnicu Valcea give that many goals of a start and FC Politehnica Timisoara receive them. At -1, CSM Ramnicu Valcea must win by two or more to land; a one-goal CSM Ramnicu Valcea win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (CSM Ramnicu Valcea)
CSM Ramnicu Valcea -2
0.7%
Draw -2
2.5%
FC Politehnica Timisoara +2
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (CSM Ramnicu Valcea)
CSM Ramnicu Valcea -1
3.3%
Draw -1
7.1%
FC Politehnica Timisoara +1
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (CSM Ramnicu Valcea)
CSM Ramnicu Valcea +1
29.0%
Draw +1
22.1%
FC Politehnica Timisoara -1
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (CSM Ramnicu Valcea)
CSM Ramnicu Valcea +2
51.1%
Draw +2
21.1%
FC Politehnica Timisoara -2
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.47
0.86
0.71
0.88
0.25
vs Stronger (13)
0.92
0.54
0.83
0.83
1.00
0.29
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Politehnica Timisoara) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.43
0.47
0.41
0.46
0.46
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.44
0.47
0.47
0.50
0.42
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (CSM Ramnicu Valcea) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.20
0.43
1.00
1.00
1.38
vs Stronger (13)
0.77
1.31
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.57
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Politehnica Timisoara) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.83
0.59
0.82
0.85
0.85
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.74
0.81
0.67
0.73
0.83
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (CSM Ramnicu Valcea) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 3.5 goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away win
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (37)
€11m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (13)
€5m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (15)
€5m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
CRV wins
0
Draws
0
FPT wins
Head-to-head
CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · H/A from CRV
Romania: Liga II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →