The contest between Cukaricki and Vojvodina is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win. Home advantage is modest: Cukaricki averages 1.56 goals scored and 1.11 conceded at home against similarly ranked teams, while Vojvodina, on the road, scores 1.14 and concedes 1.0 against comparable opposition. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a modestly open game, yet the most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.4% chance. Probabilities for the match result are 38% home win, 28% draw, and 33% away win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.2%), Under 6.5 (97.9% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.2% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.5% with a 4% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.7% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.4% with a 6% edge), and Over 19.5 fouls (94.6%). Both sides are coming off contrasting recent results: Cukaricki after a 0-4 loss to FK Crvena Zvezda and Vojvodina after a 1-0 win over Železničar Pančevo, adding further intrigue to this tightly contested fixture.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Cukaricki, fell short as Vojvodina stormed to a 5-0 away win, extending their two-game winning run. The model had predicted a home win with a 38% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 0-5 confirmed the away triumph. Among the model’s selections, Under 7.5 goals hit with a 99.3% probability, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.9%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.9%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.7%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.5%, and Over 19.5 fouls hit at 94.6%. The only misses were Away under 3.5 goals at 95.7% and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.4%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cukaricki win✗ Miss
38.5%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.55
Edge
+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Dafabet
3.75
Pinnacle
3.74
1xBet
3.68
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.47
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.70
Superbet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.60
1xBet
3.60
Vojvodina win✓ Hit
33.4%
Avg Implied 48.6% · @ 1.86
Edge
-15.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.06
Betfair
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Unibet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cukaricki
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.30
1.46
1.23
0.94
1.35
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
2.00
0.67
1.67
0.00
2.33
vs Similar (20)
1.20
1.10
1.56
1.11
0.91
1.09
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
1.25
3.00
1.00
2.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Vojvodina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vojvodina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.00
2.00
0.47
1.33
1.53
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.75
-
-
1.00
2.75
vs Similar (15)
1.27
0.67
1.33
0.33
1.17
1.17
vs Weaker (11)
2.45
0.82
3.00
0.67
1.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.5%
@ 1.20+0.5%
Under 1.5
23.5%
@ 3.79-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.92
1xBet
3.92
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.8%
@ 1.70-3.3%
Under 2.5
49.2%
@ 2.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Betfair
1.73
1xBet
1.70
Under
Betfair
2.10
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.07
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
2.05
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.7%
@ 2.73-4.8%
Under 3.5
71.3%
@ 1.38+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.00
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.85
Bet365
2.75
1xBet
2.74
Under
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.1%
@ 1.61-0.6%
No
43.9%
@ 2.11+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Superbet
1.63
William Hil
1.62
Betfair
1.62
No
Betfair
2.25
William Hil
2.15
Unibet
2.15
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 6.63+6.7%
2-1
8.6%@ 11.39+4.7%
1-0
8.2%@ 11.62+4.3%
1-2
7.9%@ 7.77+2.1%
0-0
7.9%@ 11.47+4.0%
0-1
7.5%@ 7.91+1.8%
2-0
6.6%@ 19.43+4.3%
0-2
5.6%@ 9.35+0.8%
Cukaricki goals ↓
Vojvodina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
7.5%
5.6%
2.4%
0.8%
1
8.2%
13%
7.9%
3.4%
1.1%
2
6.6%
8.6%
5.6%
2.4%
0.8%
3
3.1%
4.0%
2.6%
1.1%
0.4%
4
1.1%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cukaricki goals (down), columns = Vojvodina goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
Vojvodina
2.14
IMT Novi Beograd
1.86
Radnicki 1923
1.67
Železničar Pančevo
1.60
Cukaricki
1.43
Mladost Lucani
1.43
Radnik Surdulica
1.33
FK Partizan
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Novi Pazar
1.14
Macva
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.83
Zemun
0.14
Cukaricki is 0.71 points worse than Vojvodina in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 2.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.20
Vojvodina
2.14
Železničar Pančevo
1.80
FK Partizan
1.67
IMT Novi Beograd
1.43
Cukaricki
1.29
Radnicki 1923
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Macva
0.71
Novi Pazar
0.71
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Zemun
0.29
Cukaricki is 0.86 goals worse than Vojvodina in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 2.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.20
IMT Novi Beograd
0.57
Vojvodina
0.86
Mladost Lucani
0.86
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Radnicki NIS
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.50
FK Partizan
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.71
Cukaricki
1.71
Macva
1.86
Zemun
2.00
Cukaricki is 0.86 goals worse than Vojvodina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 0.86).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Partizan
63%
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
Železničar Pančevo
61%
Radnicki 1923
58%
Radnicki NIS
55%
OFK Beograd
54%
IMT Novi Beograd
53%
Vojvodina
52%
Novi Pazar
49%
Radnik Surdulica
48%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
38%
Macva
38%
Zemun
37%
Cukaricki is 11.1 percentage points worse than Vojvodina in terms of average possession (41% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cukaricki
For 2.9 · Against 5.5 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 11.2 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vojvodina
For 4.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 12.9 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cukaricki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.8
8.9
4.6
4.8
4.4
28.7
29.5
27.8
vs Stronger (7)
9.3
8.8
10.0
5.0
6.0
3.7
25.7
28.5
22.0
vs Similar (32)
8.5
8.6
8.3
4.7
4.9
4.5
28.5
29.5
27.3
vs Weaker (11)
9.6
9.2
9.8
4.2
3.2
4.7
31.3
30.5
31.8
% over line
43%
36%
50%
72%
68%
76%
88%
96%
79%
% under line
57%
64%
50%
28%
32%
24%
12%
4%
21%
This opponent (Vojvodina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vojvodina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.0
9.3
4.8
3.9
5.6
27.0
26.8
27.1
vs Stronger (6)
8.0
11.0
7.4
3.5
5.0
3.2
23.5
18.0
24.6
vs Similar (26)
9.0
8.7
9.4
5.3
3.6
7.3
28.2
27.9
28.5
vs Weaker (18)
9.7
9.2
10.2
4.3
4.1
4.6
26.4
26.2
26.6
% over line
42%
36%
48%
64%
48%
80%
80%
72%
88%
% under line
58%
64%
52%
36%
52%
20%
20%
28%
12%
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
9.8
Mladost Lucani
9.5
FK Partizan
9.2
Vojvodina
9.1
Radnicki 1923
9.1
Novi Pazar
9.1
Radnik Surdulica
8.9
Cukaricki
8.9
OFK Beograd
8.8
IMT Novi Beograd
8.5
Zemun
8.5
Radnicki NIS
8.4
Železničar Pančevo
8.4
Macva
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Macva
6.2
Zemun
5.8
Radnicki 1923
5.5
Radnik Surdulica
5.3
Radnicki NIS
5.1
Vojvodina
5.0
OFK Beograd
4.9
Cukaricki
4.8
FK Partizan
4.7
Novi Pazar
4.7
IMT Novi Beograd
4.5
Železničar Pančevo
4.5
Mladost Lucani
4.2
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radnik Surdulica
30.4
Macva
30.3
Radnicki 1923
30.2
IMT Novi Beograd
29.8
Radnicki NIS
29.3
OFK Beograd
29.1
Cukaricki
28.7
Železničar Pančevo
27.8
Vojvodina
27.0
Novi Pazar
26.9
Zemun
26.5
FK Partizan
25.9
Mladost Lucani
25.6
FK Crvena Zvezda
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
37.7%
@ 2.01-8.3%
Under 9.5
62.3%
@ 1.71+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Bet365
2.00
Betano
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
1.95
Under
Superbet
1.76
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.65
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.1%
Under 3.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.3%
Under 21.5
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cukaricki or Draw✗ Miss
66.6%
Avg Implied 50.5% · @ 1.82
Edge
+16.1%
38%
28%
33%
covers Cukaricki + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.95
Betano
1.91
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Cukaricki or Vojvodina✓ Hit
71.8%
Avg Implied 75.4% · @ 1.22
Edge
-3.6%
38%
28%
33%
covers Cukaricki + Vojvodina
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Draw or Vojvodina✓ Hit
61.5%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.24
Edge
-12.6%
38%
28%
33%
covers Draw + Vojvodina
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.28
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cukaricki over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
75.5%
@ 1.37+8.8%
Under
24.5%
@ 2.75-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Under
10Bet
2.95
Betano
2.87
Marathonbet
2.84
Superbet
2.82
Pinnacle
2.81
Cukaricki over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.1%
@ 2.69+7.2%
Under
58.9%
@ 1.38-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.84
Superbet
2.80
Betano
2.77
Bet365
2.75
1xBet
2.75
Under
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Cukaricki over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.8%
@ 6.27+2.3%
Under
83.2%
@ 1.07-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
Superbet
6.70
1xBet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
Cukaricki over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 13.75-1.4%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.01+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Bet365
12.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Vojvodina over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.7%
@ 1.16-6.1%
Under
27.3%
@ 4.31+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Under
Superbet
4.80
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.20
Vojvodina over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
37.2%
@ 1.80-13.8%
Under
62.8%
@ 1.87+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Betano
1.80
Under
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathonbet
1.89
Vojvodina over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
14.2%
@ 3.44-12.4%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.25+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
3.55
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Under
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.22
Vojvodina over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
4.3%
@ 6.85-9.3%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.07+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Cukaricki, so a minus line means Cukaricki give that many goals of a start and Vojvodina receive them. At -1, Cukaricki must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cukaricki win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cukaricki)Actual: Vojvodina
Cukaricki -2
6.9%
@ 21.00+2.4%
Draw -2
11.7%
@ 12.00+3.9%
Vojvodina +2
81.4%
@ 1.07-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
1.07
Handicap -1 (Cukaricki)Actual: Vojvodina
Cukaricki -1
18.6%
@ 7.63+6.9%
Draw -1
19.8%
@ 5.27+2.9%
Vojvodina +1
61.5%
@ 1.25-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
8.40
Bet365
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.55
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
4.75
Away
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.20
Handicap +1 (Cukaricki)Actual: Vojvodina
Cukaricki +1
66.6%
@ 1.78+17.7%
Draw +1
18.2%
@ 3.62-6.0%
Vojvodina -1
15.2%
@ 3.26-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.90
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
Betfair
1.80
10Bet
1.70
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.65
Away
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Handicap +2 (Cukaricki)Actual: Vojvodina
Cukaricki +2
84.8%
@ 1.29+15.7%
Draw +2
9.9%
@ 5.40-6.6%
Vojvodina -2
5.2%
@ 6.27-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw
Marathonbet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.10
Away
Marathonbet
6.80
Superbet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cukaricki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.77
0.54
0.65
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.00
0.67
1.33
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.55
0.78
0.22
0.55
0.82
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Vojvodina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vojvodina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.47
0.67
0.13
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
-
-
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.33
0.44
0.22
0.33
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
0.64
0.36
1.00
0.00
0.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.0%
@ 1.31-4.0%
Under 0.5
34.0%
@ 3.06+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Under
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.12
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
33.4%
@ 2.45-4.0%
Under 1.5
66.6%
@ 1.46+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.51
Bet365
2.50
Under
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Betano
1.47
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.8%
@ 5.67-5.3%
Under 2.5
89.2%
@ 1.09+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.15
Marathonbet
6.15
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
5.80
Under
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cukaricki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
43.9%
@ 2.28+3.3%
Under
56.1%
@ 1.56-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
1xBet
2.23
Under
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Superbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Betano
1.55
Cukaricki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 7.58-0.8%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.05+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.80
1xBet
7.70
Superbet
7.60
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Cukaricki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 29.00-97.9%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Vojvodina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
44.2%
@ 1.74-8.9%
Under
55.8%
@ 1.97+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
1xBet
2.03
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Vojvodina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
11.8%
@ 4.64-8.0%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.15+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.40
Superbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Vojvodina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 12.42-5.3%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cukaricki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.69
0.69
0.29
0.65
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.55
0.78
0.89
0.36
0.27
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
2.00
0.00
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Vojvodina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vojvodina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.53
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.50
-
-
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.33
0.89
0.11
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (11)
1.82
0.45
2.00
0.67
1.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.4%
@ 1.18-3.5%
Under 0.5
25.6%
@ 4.17+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.20
Betano
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.2%
@ 1.92-5.9%
Under 1.5
57.8%
@ 1.78+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.00
William Hil
1.95
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Under
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
17.7%
@ 3.86-6.2%
Under 2.5
82.3%
@ 1.21+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.92
1xBet
3.92
Superbet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cukaricki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.3%
@ 1.89+1.6%
Under
49.7%
@ 1.80-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Under
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
Cukaricki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.3%
@ 5.58-2.3%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.11+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.15
Superbet
5.65
1xBet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
Cukaricki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 15.67-2.6%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Vojvodina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.6%
@ 1.53-7.8%
Under
47.4%
@ 2.34+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.57
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.45
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.42
10Bet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Vojvodina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
21.3%
@ 3.46-5.4%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.26+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.48
Superbet
3.35
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.24
10Bet
1.20
Vojvodina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
4.6%
@ 8.62-6.2%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.04+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
1xBet
8.90
Superbet
8.60
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.7%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
+9.3%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.4%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
+6.2%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.3%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.2%
1.09
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
+8.0%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
86.2%
1.13
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
+5.2%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
85.8%
1.25
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.22
+12.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.7%
1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.8%
1.29
Superbet
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
-
-
+15.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
83.2%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
-2.3%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.9%
1.24
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
+8.8%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.3%
1.21
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
+6.2%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
81.4%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-6.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
78.7%
1.26
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.24
10Bet
1.20
+5.4%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.5%
1.20
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
75.5%
1.37
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
+8.8%
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.4%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
-3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.8%
1.42
Superbet
1.49
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.36
-
-
+9.0%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
72.7%
1.16
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
-6.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.8%
1.22
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.24
-3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.3%
1.38
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.38
+4.8%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cukaricki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fiorin Durmishaj33%
Uroš Miladinović33%
Milan Đoković33%
Aboubacar Cisse20%
Milan Pavkov0%
Nemanja Miletić0%
Marko Docić0%
Zlatan Šehović0%
Đorđe Nikolić0%
Srđan Mijailović0%
Lazar Mijović0%
Sambou Sissoko0%
Andrej Bajović0%
Ismael Maiga0%
Lazar Stojanović0%
Veljko Radosavljević0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Milan Pavkov50%
Sambou Sissoko50%
Uroš Miladinović33%
Lazar Stojanović25%
Andrej Bajović20%
Aboubacar Cisse20%
Veljko Radosavljević20%
Nemanja Miletić17%
Marko Docić17%
Ismael Maiga17%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Zlatan Šehović0%
Đorđe Nikolić0%
Srđan Mijailović0%
Lazar Mijović0%
Milan Đoković0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zlatan Šehović33%
Đorđe Nikolić25%
Lazar Stojanović25%
Nemanja Miletić17%
Uroš Miladinović17%
Milan Pavkov0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Marko Docić0%
Srđan Mijailović0%
Lazar Mijović0%
Sambou Sissoko0%
Andrej Bajović0%
Milan Đoković0%
Aboubacar Cisse0%
Ismael Maiga0%
Veljko Radosavljević0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Uroš Miladinović33%
Aboubacar Cisse20%
Zlatan Šehović17%
Milan Pavkov0%
Nemanja Miletić0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Marko Docić0%
Đorđe Nikolić0%
Srđan Mijailović0%
Lazar Mijović0%
Sambou Sissoko0%
Andrej Bajović0%
Milan Đoković0%
Ismael Maiga0%
Lazar Stojanović0%
Veljko Radosavljević0%
Vojvodina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dejan Zukić50%
Stefan Mitrović33%
Lazar Ranđelović25%
Nardin Mulahusejnović25%
Petar Sukačev25%
Dragan Kokanović20%
Đorđe Crnomarković17%
Aleksa Vukanović0%
Lucas Barros0%
Kornél Szűcs0%
Lazar Nikolić0%
Marko Poletanović0%
Milutin Vidosavljević0%
Dragan Rosić0%
Njegoš Petrović0%
Erhan Mašović0%
Ifet Đakovac0%
Marko Veličković0%
Milan Kolarević0%
Vuk Boškan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dejan Zukić38%
Milutin Vidosavljević33%
Stefan Mitrović33%
Aleksa Vukanović25%
Milan Kolarević25%
Petar Sukačev25%
Lucas Barros17%
Đorđe Crnomarković17%
Lazar Nikolić14%
Lazar Ranđelović12%
Njegoš Petrović12%
Nardin Mulahusejnović12%
Kornél Szűcs0%
Marko Poletanović0%
Dragan Rosić0%
Erhan Mašović0%
Ifet Đakovac0%
Dragan Kokanović0%
Marko Veličković0%
Vuk Boškan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lazar Ranđelović50%
Njegoš Petrović38%
Marko Poletanović17%
Lazar Nikolić14%
Nardin Mulahusejnović12%
Milan Kolarević12%
Petar Sukačev12%
Aleksa Vukanović0%
Lucas Barros0%
Kornél Szűcs0%
Đorđe Crnomarković0%
Milutin Vidosavljević0%
Dragan Rosić0%
Dejan Zukić0%
Erhan Mašović0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Ifet Đakovac0%
Dragan Kokanović0%
Marko Veličković0%
Vuk Boškan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksa Vukanović25%
Lazar Ranđelović25%
Nardin Mulahusejnović25%
Dragan Kokanović20%
Milutin Vidosavljević17%
Dejan Zukić12%
Njegoš Petrović12%
Milan Kolarević12%
Petar Sukačev12%
Lucas Barros0%
Kornél Szűcs0%
Lazar Nikolić0%
Marko Poletanović0%
Đorđe Crnomarković0%
Dragan Rosić0%
Erhan Mašović0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Ifet Đakovac0%
Marko Veličković0%
Vuk Boškan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
OB (28)
€18m
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
RN (26)
€11m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
Cukaricki's squad is €20m less valuable than Vojvodina's (€10m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
ŽP (9)
€7m
OB (10)
€6m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
INB (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
Cukaricki's attack is €10m less valuable than Vojvodina's (€4m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
OB (8)
€4m
INB (3)
€4m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
ŽP (4)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
Cukaricki's midfield is €5m less valuable than Vojvodina's (€2m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
OB (10)
€8m
ŽP (11)
€6m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
INB (12)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
Cukaricki's defence is €6m less valuable than Vojvodina's (€3m vs €9m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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FK Crvena Zvezda
IMT Novi Beograd
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
Železničar Pančevo
Radnik Surdulica
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
FK Partizan
Macva
Radnicki NIS
Zemun