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Dacia-Buiucani vs Milsami Orhei Result & Analysis

Date: 09/05/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 1-2
Dacia-Buiucani
Dacia-Buiucani
Vs
27%
25%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dacia-Buiucani win✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei win✓ Hit
48.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L04L03L23L02L01L12L12L03L12LA·PET22/11H·SHE30/11A·PET08/03A·ZIM14/03A·SHE20/03A·MIL04/04H·CSF11/04H·PET18/04H·ZIM25/04H·SHE03/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.931.132.131.131.73
vs Stronger (20)0.852.200.502.401.202.00
vs Similar (10)1.701.402.401.601.001.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L00D00D02L10W13L13L01L03LH·SPA23/11A·CSF30/11H·ZIM07/03H·CSF15/03A·PET21/03H·DAC04/04A·SHE11/04A·ZIM18/04A·CSF26/04H·PET02/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.371.401.131.471.60
vs Stronger (3)1.001.331.000.001.002.00
vs Similar (13)0.771.851.001.710.502.00
vs Weaker (14)2.140.931.860.712.431.14
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dacia-Buiucani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.7%
Under 2.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 3.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.4%
No
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
1-2 ✓
9.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
0-0
5.4%
Dacia-Buiucani goals ↓
Milsami Orhei goals →
01234
05.4%6.8%7.2%4.4%2.0%
14.7%11%9.5%5.7%2.6%
23.8%6.9%6.2%3.8%1.7%
31.7%3.0%2.7%1.7%0.8%
40.5%1.0%0.9%0.5%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dacia-Buiucani goals (down), columns = Milsami Orhei goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Petrocub
2.35
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.06
Zimbru
2.00
Sireți
1.85
Oguzsport
1.50
Milsami Orhei
1.48
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.19
Politehnica UTM
1.13
Iskra
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.88
Dacia-Buiucani
0.52
FCM Ungheni
0.50
FC Stăuceni
0.45
Făleşti
0.00
Univer Comrat
0.00
Dacia-Buiucani is 0.97 points worse than Milsami Orhei in terms of average points per game (0.52 vs 1.48).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FCM Ungheni
2.50
Oguzsport
2.50
Zimbru
2.26
Petrocub
2.06
Univer Comrat
2.00
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.84
Sireți
1.69
Milsami Orhei
1.52
Politehnica UTM
1.42
Floreşti
1.38
Iskra
1.00
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.97
Dacia-Buiucani
0.97
FC Stăuceni
0.91
Făleşti
0.00
Dacia-Buiucani is 0.55 goals worse than Milsami Orhei in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.52).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petrocub
0.55
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.71
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Zimbru
1.03
Sireți
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.23
Iskra
1.25
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.42
Dacia-Buiucani
1.90
FC Stăuceni
2.09
Politehnica UTM
2.19
Spartanii Selemet
2.45
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Făleşti
3.00
Univer Comrat
3.00
Oguzsport
3.50
Dacia-Buiucani is 0.68 goals worse than Milsami Orhei in terms of goals conceded per game (1.90 vs 1.23).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L12L01L00D00D01L01L11DA·PET22/11H·SHE30/11A·PET08/03A·ZIM14/03A·SHE20/03A·MIL04/04H·CSF11/04H·PET18/04H·ZIM25/04H·SHE03/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.630.270.470.530.80
vs Stronger (20)0.400.750.100.700.700.80
vs Similar (10)0.400.400.600.000.200.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D11D00D00D01L00D11D01L00D00DH·SPA23/11A·CSF30/11H·ZIM07/03H·CSF15/03A·PET21/03H·DAC04/04A·SHE11/04A·ZIM18/04A·CSF26/04H·PET02/05
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.730.400.730.73
vs Stronger (3)1.000.671.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.230.620.290.570.170.67
vs Weaker (14)1.140.501.140.291.140.71
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Dacia-Buiucani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L04L01L11D01L01L12L11D02L01LA·PET22/11H·SHE30/11A·PET08/03A·ZIM14/03A·SHE20/03A·MIL04/04H·CSF11/04H·PET18/04H·ZIM25/04H·SHE03/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.300.871.670.600.93
vs Stronger (20)0.451.450.401.700.501.20
vs Similar (10)1.301.001.801.600.800.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D00D01L10W02L12L01L03LH·SPA23/11A·CSF30/11H·ZIM07/03H·CSF15/03A·PET21/03H·DAC04/04A·SHE11/04A·ZIM18/04A·CSF26/04H·PET02/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.670.730.730.87
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.541.230.711.140.331.33
vs Weaker (14)1.000.430.710.431.290.43
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dacia-Buiucani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
PU (13)
€1m
SIR (7)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
Dacia-Buiucani's squad is €2m less valuable than Milsami Orhei's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
PU (2)
€0m
SIR (2)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Dacia-Buiucani and Milsami Orhei have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SIR (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
PU (4)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Dacia-Buiucani and Milsami Orhei have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
PU (7)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
Dacia-Buiucani's defence is €1m less valuable than Milsami Orhei's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
DAC wins
2
Draws
6
MO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dacia-Buiucani vs Milsami Orhei · H/A from DAC
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26AMilsami Orhei Vs DAC1-0
08/11/25HDAC Vs Milsami Orhei0-2
13/09/25AMilsami Orhei Vs DAC3-2
19/07/25HDAC Vs Milsami Orhei1-2
09/11/24HDAC Vs Milsami Orhei1-1
14/09/24AMilsami Orhei Vs DAC7-0
18/05/24AMilsami Orhei Vs DAC1-1
13/04/24HDAC Vs Milsami Orhei1-4

Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/26HDAC Vs Sheriff Tiraspol1-2
25/04/26HDAC Vs Zimbru0-3
18/04/26HDAC Vs Petrocub1-2
11/04/26HDAC Vs CSF Bălți1-2
04/04/26AMilsami Orhei Vs DAC1-0
20/03/26ASheriff Tiraspol Vs DAC2-0
14/03/26AZimbru Vs DAC3-2
08/03/26APetrocub Vs DAC3-0
30/11/25HDAC Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-4
22/11/25APetrocub Vs DAC3-1

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26HMO Vs Petrocub0-3
26/04/26ACSF Bălți Vs MO1-0
18/04/26AZimbru Vs MO3-1
11/04/26ASheriff Tiraspol Vs MO3-1
04/04/26HMO Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-0
21/03/26APetrocub Vs MO2-0
15/03/26HMO Vs CSF Bălți0-0
07/03/26HMO Vs Zimbru0-0
30/11/25ACSF Bălți Vs MO2-1
23/11/25HMO Vs Spartanii Selemet0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dacia-Buiucani
Dacia-Buiucani
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Draws / 10 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.06
HomeLLLLL1.08
AwayLLLLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%31%29%
AVG goals3.023.003.04
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %36%35%38%
Scored1.501.541.46
Conceded1.521.461.58
BTTS40%42%38%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.56
HomeDDDWL1.80
AwayLLLLL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals2.862.723.00
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.681.641.72
Conceded1.181.081.28
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetrocubPetrocub3173
71%
2.4
6417+47
2.6
81%
48%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.10.5
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol3164
65%
2.1
5722+35
2.5
68%
48%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.80.7
-
3ZimbruZimbru3162
58%
2.0
7032+38
3.3
87%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.31.0
-
4Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei3146
42%
1.5
4738+9
2.7
77%
65%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.51.2
-
5CSF BălțiCSF Bălți3137
32%
1.2
3144-13
2.4
71%
42%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.4
-
6Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM3135
32%
1.1
4468-24
3.6
94%
71%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
7Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet3329
24%
0.9
3281-49
3.4
85%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.5
-
8SirețiSireți1324
54%
1.8
2214+8
2.8
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.71.1
-
9FloreştiFloreşti1317
31%
1.3
1817+1
2.7
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
10Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani3116
13%
0.5
3059-29
2.9
81%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.9
-
11IskraIskra1213
25%
1.1
1215-3
2.2
75%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
12FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni115
0%
0.5
1023-13
3.0
64%
45%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
13OguzsportOguzsport23
50%
1.5
57-2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.5
-
14Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni21
0%
0.5
56-1
5.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.0
-
16Univer ComratUniver Comrat10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
17FăleştiFăleşti10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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