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Dacia-Buiucani vs Zimbru Result & Analysis

Date: 06/07/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 0-3
Dacia-Buiucani
Dacia-Buiucani
Vs
57%
24%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zimbru
Zimbru
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dacia-Buiucani win✗ Miss
57.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zimbru win✓ Hit
18.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W22D40W40W30W60W30W51W51W00DH·FC 28/03A·SAX05/04H·VIC11/04A·FĂL19/04A·FLO25/04A·FC 03/05H·SAX06/05A·VIC10/05H·SPA21/06A·CSF28/06
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
3.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.172.150.621.531.59
vs Stronger (17)1.411.761.430.711.402.50
vs Similar (9)2.000.563.000.751.200.40
vs Weaker (4)3.000.003.000.003.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-631W32W20W02L11D60W30W31W03L12LH·SPA30/03H·PET06/04A·CSF12/04A·MIL19/04H·SHE26/04H·SPA04/05A·PET10/05H·CSF18/05A·MIL21/06A·PET29/06
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.332.401.071.531.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.221.781.621.380.902.10
vs Weaker (12)3.080.673.290.712.800.60
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dacia-Buiucani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.3%
Under 2.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
Dacia-Buiucani goals ↓
Zimbru goals →
01234
06.8%4.6%2.8%0.9%0.2%
19.7%12%5.2%1.7%0.4%
210%9.9%4.9%1.6%0.4%
36.3%6.2%3.0%1.0%0.2%
42.9%2.9%1.4%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dacia-Buiucani goals (down), columns = Zimbru goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Petrocub
2.35
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.06
Zimbru
2.00
Sireți
1.85
Oguzsport
1.50
Milsami Orhei
1.48
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.19
Politehnica UTM
1.13
Iskra
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.88
Dacia-Buiucani
0.52
FCM Ungheni
0.50
FC Stăuceni
0.45
Făleşti
0.00
Univer Comrat
0.00
Dacia-Buiucani is 1.48 points worse than Zimbru in terms of average points per game (0.52 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FCM Ungheni
2.50
Oguzsport
2.50
Zimbru
2.26
Petrocub
2.06
Univer Comrat
2.00
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.84
Sireți
1.69
Milsami Orhei
1.52
Politehnica UTM
1.42
Floreşti
1.38
Iskra
1.00
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.97
Dacia-Buiucani
0.97
FC Stăuceni
0.91
Făleşti
0.00
Dacia-Buiucani is 1.29 goals worse than Zimbru in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 2.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petrocub
0.55
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.71
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Zimbru
1.03
Sireți
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.23
Iskra
1.25
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.42
Dacia-Buiucani
1.90
FC Stăuceni
2.09
Politehnica UTM
2.19
Spartanii Selemet
2.45
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Făleşti
3.00
Univer Comrat
3.00
Oguzsport
3.50
Dacia-Buiucani is 0.87 goals worse than Zimbru in terms of goals conceded per game (1.90 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D10W10W30W10W30W00D00DH·FC 28/03A·SAX05/04H·VIC11/04A·FĂL19/04A·FLO25/04A·FC 03/05H·SAX06/05A·VIC10/05H·SPA21/06A·CSF28/06
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.470.330.170.560.67
vs Stronger (19)0.420.630.250.250.550.91
vs Similar (8)0.250.250.330.000.200.40
vs Weaker (3)1.330.001.000.001.500.00
Clean sheet %77% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZimbruZimbru

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W10W01L11D10W10W11D02L01LH·SPA30/03H·PET06/04A·CSF12/04A·MIL19/04H·SHE26/04H·SPA04/05A·PET10/05H·CSF18/05A·MIL21/06A·PET29/06
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.600.930.400.730.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.500.780.880.500.201.00
vs Weaker (12)1.330.331.000.291.800.40
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dacia-Buiucani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W22D40W30W20W30W20W21W51W00DH·FC 28/03A·SAX05/04H·VIC11/04A·FĂL19/04A·FLO25/04A·FC 03/05H·SAX06/05A·VIC10/05H·SPA21/06A·CSF28/06
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.931.250.830.891.00
vs Stronger (19)0.891.321.120.880.731.64
vs Similar (8)1.250.381.671.001.000.00
vs Weaker (3)1.330.001.000.001.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZimbruZimbru

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W12L10W01L00D50W20W20W01L11DH·SPA30/03H·PET06/04A·CSF12/04A·MIL19/04H·SHE26/04H·SPA04/05A·PET10/05H·CSF18/05A·MIL21/06A·PET29/06
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.731.470.670.800.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.721.000.750.880.701.10
vs Weaker (12)1.750.332.290.431.000.20
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dacia-Buiucani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
PU (13)
€1m
SIR (7)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
Dacia-Buiucani's squad is €2m less valuable than Zimbru's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
PU (2)
€0m
SIR (2)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Dacia-Buiucani's attack is €1m less valuable than Zimbru's (€0m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SIR (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
PU (4)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Dacia-Buiucani and Zimbru have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
PU (7)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
Dacia-Buiucani and Zimbru have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
DAC wins
1
Draws
5
ZIM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dacia-Buiucani vs Zimbru · H/A from DAC
DateH/AGameScore
03/11/24AZimbru Vs DAC1-0
31/08/24HDAC Vs Zimbru0-1
27/04/24AZimbru Vs DAC2-0
16/03/24HDAC Vs Zimbru0-2
03/12/23AZimbru Vs DAC1-2
01/10/23HDAC Vs Zimbru1-3
22/10/22HDAC Vs Zimbru0-0
27/08/22AZimbru Vs DAC3-4

Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/06/25ACSF Bălți Vs DAC0-0
21/06/25HDAC Vs Spartanii Selemet5-1
10/05/25AVictoria Bardar Vs DAC1-5
06/05/25HDAC Vs Saxan3-0
03/05/25AFC Stăuceni Vs DAC0-6
25/04/25AFloreşti Vs DAC0-3
19/04/25AFăleşti Vs DAC0-4
11/04/25HDAC Vs Victoria Bardar4-0
05/04/25ASaxan Vs DAC2-2
28/03/25HDAC Vs FC Stăuceni1-0

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/06/25APetrocub Vs ZIM2-1
21/06/25AMilsami Orhei Vs ZIM3-0
18/05/25HZIM Vs CSF Bălți3-1
10/05/25APetrocub Vs ZIM0-3
04/05/25HZIM Vs Spartanii Selemet6-0
26/04/25HZIM Vs Sheriff Tiraspol1-1
19/04/25AMilsami Orhei Vs ZIM2-0
12/04/25ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM0-2
06/04/25HZIM Vs Petrocub3-2
30/03/25HZIM Vs Spartanii Selemet3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dacia-Buiucani
Dacia-Buiucani
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.18
HomeWWWWW1.26
AwayWWWWD1.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%26%
AVG goals3.042.963.11
Over 1.5 %80%78%81%
Over 2.5 %58%52%63%
Over 3.5 %38%39%37%
Scored1.421.571.30
Conceded1.621.391.81
BTTS38%48%30%
Clean Sheet30%30%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Zimbru
Zimbru
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.68
HomeWWDWW2.04
AwayWLWLL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%64%40%
AVG goals2.883.042.72
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %54%60%48%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.742.121.36
Conceded1.140.921.36
BTTS44%52%36%
Clean Sheet42%40%44%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetrocubPetrocub3173
71%
2.4
6417+47
2.6
81%
48%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.10.5
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol3164
65%
2.1
5722+35
2.5
68%
48%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.80.7
-
3ZimbruZimbru3162
58%
2.0
7032+38
3.3
87%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.31.0
-
4Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei3146
42%
1.5
4738+9
2.7
77%
65%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.51.2
-
5CSF BălțiCSF Bălți3137
32%
1.2
3144-13
2.4
71%
42%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.4
-
6Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM3135
32%
1.1
4468-24
3.6
94%
71%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
7Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet3329
24%
0.9
3281-49
3.4
85%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.5
-
8SirețiSireți1324
54%
1.8
2214+8
2.8
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.71.1
-
9FloreştiFloreşti1317
31%
1.3
1817+1
2.7
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
10Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani3116
13%
0.5
3059-29
2.9
81%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.9
-
11IskraIskra1213
25%
1.1
1215-3
2.2
75%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
12FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni115
0%
0.5
1023-13
3.0
64%
45%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
13OguzsportOguzsport23
50%
1.5
57-2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.5
-
14Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni21
0%
0.5
56-1
5.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.0
-
16Univer ComratUniver Comrat10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
17FăleştiFăleşti10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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