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Dalvík / Reynir vs Leiknir R. Result & Analysis

Date: 17/02/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 0-5
Dalvík / Reynir
Dalvík / Reynir
Vs
32%
30%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Iceland: League Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dalvík / Reynir win✗ Miss
32.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. win✓ Hit
37.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dalvík / ReynirDalvík / Reynir

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413LA·KA 08/02
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
3.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W01L12L20W42W12L50W12L03L33DH·GRO11/08A·GRI16/08H·VES20/08A·AFT26/08A·NJA02/09H·FJO09/09A·ÆGI16/09H·AFT20/09A·AFT24/09A·VIK11/02
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.932.071.862.142.002.00
vs Stronger (21)1.862.291.702.502.002.09
vs Similar (7)1.571.712.001.001.252.25
vs Weaker (2)4.001.003.002.005.000.00
Clean sheet %13% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dalvík / Reynir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.4%
Under 1.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.9%
Under 2.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.0%
Under 3.5
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.0%
Dalvík / Reynir goals ↓
Leiknir R. goals →
01234
010%10%7.1%3.0%0.9%
19.1%14%8.2%3.4%1.1%
26.0%7.5%4.7%1.9%0.6%
32.3%2.9%1.8%0.7%0.2%
40.7%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dalvík / Reynir goals (down), columns = Leiknir R. goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Breidablik
2.29
Valur Reykjavik
2.17
Thor Akureyri
2.17
KA Akureyri
2.00
KR Reykjavik
2.00
Grindavik
2.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.80
FH hafnarfjordur
1.80
IR Reykjavik
1.80
Keflavik
1.60
Fjolnir
1.60
IA Akranes
1.57
Afturelding
1.40
Throttur Reykjavik
1.40
Fylkir
1.20
Fram Reykjavik
1.00
Leiknir R.
1.00
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.80
HK Kopavogur
0.80
Stjarnan
0.60
Grotta
0.60
Vestri
0.40
Njardvik
0.40
Dalvík / Reynir
0.00
Dalvík / Reynir is 1.00 points worse than Leiknir R. in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valur Reykjavik
3.33
Afturelding
3.20
Breidablik
2.86
Thor Akureyri
2.83
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.80
KR Reykjavik
2.60
IA Akranes
2.43
Keflavik
2.40
IR Reykjavik
2.40
Leiknir R.
2.40
KA Akureyri
2.20
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.80
Grindavik
1.80
Fylkir
1.80
Fjolnir
1.80
FH hafnarfjordur
1.60
Fram Reykjavik
1.60
Throttur Reykjavik
1.40
HK Kopavogur
1.40
Grotta
1.00
Njardvik
1.00
Stjarnan
0.80
Vestri
0.60
Dalvík / Reynir
0.20
Dalvík / Reynir is 2.20 goals worse than Leiknir R. in terms of goals scored per game (0.20 vs 2.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Thor Akureyri
0.67
Breidablik
0.71
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.20
KA Akureyri
1.20
Valur Reykjavik
1.33
IA Akranes
1.57
Vestri
1.60
FH hafnarfjordur
1.60
Fylkir
1.60
Fjolnir
1.60
KR Reykjavik
1.80
Fram Reykjavik
1.80
Throttur Reykjavik
1.80
Grindavik
2.00
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Keflavik
2.20
Stjarnan
2.20
Leiknir R.
2.20
Grotta
2.20
IR Reykjavik
2.80
Afturelding
2.80
Njardvik
2.80
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
3.40
Dalvík / Reynir
5.20
Dalvík / Reynir is 3.00 goals worse than Leiknir R. in terms of goals conceded per game (5.20 vs 2.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dalvík / Reynir or Draw✗ Miss
62.6%
Avg Implied -
32%
30%
37%
covers Dalvík / Reynir + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir or Leiknir R.✓ Hit
69.7%
Avg Implied -
32%
30%
37%
covers Dalvík / Reynir + Leiknir R.
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Leiknir R.✓ Hit
67.7%
Avg Implied -
32%
30%
37%
covers Draw + Leiknir R.
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.2%
Under
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.7%
Under
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.4%
Under
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.6%
Under
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
13.2%
Under
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Dalvík / Reynir, so a minus line means Dalvík / Reynir give that many goals of a start and Leiknir R. receive them. At -1, Dalvík / Reynir must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dalvík / Reynir win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dalvík / Reynir)Actual: Leiknir R.
Dalvík / Reynir -2
4.3%
Draw -2
9.4%
Leiknir R. +2
86.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dalvík / Reynir)Actual: Leiknir R.
Dalvík / Reynir -1
13.7%
Draw -1
18.6%
Leiknir R. +1
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dalvík / Reynir)Actual: Leiknir R.
Dalvík / Reynir +1
62.6%
Draw +1
20.4%
Leiknir R. -1
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dalvík / Reynir)Actual: Leiknir R.
Dalvík / Reynir +2
83.0%
Draw +2
11.2%
Leiknir R. -2
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dalvík / ReynirDalvík / Reynir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211DA·KA 08/02
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D10W21W12L20W01L03L21WH·GRO11/08A·GRI16/08H·VES20/08A·AFT26/08A·NJA02/09H·FJO09/09A·ÆGI16/09H·AFT20/09A·AFT24/09A·VIK11/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.000.641.000.881.00
vs Stronger (21)0.811.140.801.200.821.09
vs Similar (7)0.430.570.000.000.751.00
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.002.002.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dalvík / Reynir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dalvík / ReynirDalvík / Reynir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202LA·KA 08/02
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D12L10W21W00D30W11D00D12LH·GRO11/08A·GRI16/08H·VES20/08A·AFT26/08A·NJA02/09H·FJO09/09A·ÆGI16/09H·AFT20/09A·AFT24/09A·VIK11/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.071.211.141.121.00
vs Stronger (21)1.051.140.901.301.181.00
vs Similar (7)1.141.142.001.000.501.25
vs Weaker (2)2.500.002.000.003.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dalvík / Reynir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals97.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.596.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.590.5%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals89.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals86.8%-------✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap86.3%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap83.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.578.0%-------✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals71.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
D/R wins
0
Draws
0
LR wins

Head-to-head

Dalvík / Reynir vs Leiknir R. · H/A from D/R
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Dalvík / ReynirDalvík / Reynir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/02/24AKA Akureyri Vs D/R3-1

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/02/24AVikingur Reykjavik Vs LR3-3
24/09/23AAfturelding Vs LR3-0
20/09/23HLR Vs Afturelding1-2
16/09/23AÆgir Vs LR0-5
09/09/23HLR Vs Fjolnir1-2
02/09/23ANjardvik Vs LR2-4
26/08/23AAfturelding Vs LR0-2
20/08/23HLR Vs Vestri1-2
16/08/23AGrindavik Vs LR1-0
11/08/23HLR Vs Grotta2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dalvík / Reynir
Dalvík / Reynir
Iceland: League Cup
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallL0.00
Home--
AwayL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%-0%
AVG goals4.00-4.00
Over 1.5 %100%-100%
Over 2.5 %100%-100%
Over 3.5 %100%-100%
Scored1.00-1.00
Conceded3.00-3.00
BTTS100%-100%
Clean Sheet0%-0%
Corners---
Cards---
Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Iceland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLD1.14
HomeWWLLL1.21
AwayWWWLD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals3.723.503.92
Over 1.5 %82%79%85%
Over 2.5 %76%79%73%
Over 3.5 %50%46%54%
Scored1.581.501.65
Conceded2.142.002.27
BTTS64%71%58%
Clean Sheet18%25%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2543
52%
1.7
4337+6
3.2
80%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.71.5
-
2KeflavikKeflavik2541
44%
1.6
4329+14
2.9
72%
60%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.2
-
3IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2239
50%
1.8
5027+23
3.5
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.31.2
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2438
42%
1.6
3531+4
2.8
62%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
5IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik2438
42%
1.6
3434+0
2.8
83%
58%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.4
-
6NjardvikNjardvik2233
36%
1.5
3429+5
2.9
68%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
7Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2230
36%
1.4
3731+6
3.1
73%
55%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.4
-
8Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2228
36%
1.3
3334-1
3.0
64%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
9GrindavikGrindavik2226
27%
1.2
4046-6
3.9
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.1
-
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2226
27%
1.2
3238-6
3.2
91%
59%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.7
-
11GrottaGrotta2216
18%
0.7
3150-19
3.7
91%
82%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.3
-
12Dalvík / ReynirDalvík / Reynir2213
9%
0.6
2349-26
3.3
77%
59%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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