This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leiknir R.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
2.07
1.86
2.14
2.00
2.00
vs Stronger (21)
1.86
2.29
1.70
2.50
2.00
2.09
vs Similar (7)
1.57
1.71
2.00
1.00
1.25
2.25
vs Weaker (2)
4.00
1.00
3.00
2.00
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dalvík / Reynir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.4%
Under 1.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.9%
Under 2.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.0%
Under 3.5
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.0%
Dalvík / Reynir goals ↓
Leiknir R. goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
10%
7.1%
3.0%
0.9%
1
9.1%
14%
8.2%
3.4%
1.1%
2
6.0%
7.5%
4.7%
1.9%
0.6%
3
2.3%
2.9%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.7%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dalvík / Reynir goals (down), columns = Leiknir R. goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Breidablik
2.29
Valur Reykjavik
2.17
Thor Akureyri
2.17
KA Akureyri
2.00
KR Reykjavik
2.00
Grindavik
2.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.80
FH hafnarfjordur
1.80
IR Reykjavik
1.80
Keflavik
1.60
Fjolnir
1.60
IA Akranes
1.57
Afturelding
1.40
Throttur Reykjavik
1.40
Fylkir
1.20
Fram Reykjavik
1.00
Leiknir R.
1.00
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.80
HK Kopavogur
0.80
Stjarnan
0.60
Grotta
0.60
Vestri
0.40
Njardvik
0.40
Dalvík / Reynir
0.00
Dalvík / Reynir is 1.00 points worse than Leiknir R. in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valur Reykjavik
3.33
Afturelding
3.20
Breidablik
2.86
Thor Akureyri
2.83
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.80
KR Reykjavik
2.60
IA Akranes
2.43
Keflavik
2.40
IR Reykjavik
2.40
Leiknir R.
2.40
KA Akureyri
2.20
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.80
Grindavik
1.80
Fylkir
1.80
Fjolnir
1.80
FH hafnarfjordur
1.60
Fram Reykjavik
1.60
Throttur Reykjavik
1.40
HK Kopavogur
1.40
Grotta
1.00
Njardvik
1.00
Stjarnan
0.80
Vestri
0.60
Dalvík / Reynir
0.20
Dalvík / Reynir is 2.20 goals worse than Leiknir R. in terms of goals scored per game (0.20 vs 2.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Thor Akureyri
0.67
Breidablik
0.71
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.20
KA Akureyri
1.20
Valur Reykjavik
1.33
IA Akranes
1.57
Vestri
1.60
FH hafnarfjordur
1.60
Fylkir
1.60
Fjolnir
1.60
KR Reykjavik
1.80
Fram Reykjavik
1.80
Throttur Reykjavik
1.80
Grindavik
2.00
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Keflavik
2.20
Stjarnan
2.20
Leiknir R.
2.20
Grotta
2.20
IR Reykjavik
2.80
Afturelding
2.80
Njardvik
2.80
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
3.40
Dalvík / Reynir
5.20
Dalvík / Reynir is 3.00 goals worse than Leiknir R. in terms of goals conceded per game (5.20 vs 2.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dalvík / Reynir or Draw✗ Miss
62.6%
Avg Implied -
32%
30%
37%
covers Dalvík / Reynir + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir or Leiknir R.✓ Hit
69.7%
Avg Implied -
32%
30%
37%
covers Dalvík / Reynir + Leiknir R.
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Leiknir R.✓ Hit
67.7%
Avg Implied -
32%
30%
37%
covers Draw + Leiknir R.
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.2%
Under
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.7%
Under
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.4%
Under
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.6%
Under
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
13.2%
Under
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dalvík / Reynir, so a minus line means Dalvík / Reynir give that many goals of a start and Leiknir R. receive them. At -1, Dalvík / Reynir must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dalvík / Reynir win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dalvík / Reynir)Actual: Leiknir R.
Dalvík / Reynir -2
4.3%
Draw -2
9.4%
Leiknir R. +2
86.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dalvík / Reynir)Actual: Leiknir R.
Dalvík / Reynir -1
13.7%
Draw -1
18.6%
Leiknir R. +1
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dalvík / Reynir)Actual: Leiknir R.
Dalvík / Reynir +1
62.6%
Draw +1
20.4%
Leiknir R. -1
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dalvík / Reynir)Actual: Leiknir R.
Dalvík / Reynir +2
83.0%
Draw +2
11.2%
Leiknir R. -2
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dalvík / Reynir
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leiknir R.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.00
0.64
1.00
0.88
1.00
vs Stronger (21)
0.81
1.14
0.80
1.20
0.82
1.09
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.57
0.00
0.00
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dalvík / Reynir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dalvík / Reynir
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leiknir R.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.07
1.21
1.14
1.12
1.00
vs Stronger (21)
1.05
1.14
0.90
1.30
1.18
1.00
vs Similar (7)
1.14
1.14
2.00
1.00
0.50
1.25
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dalvík / Reynir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Iceland: 1. Deild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →