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De Graafschap vs FC OSS Result & Analysis

Date: 29/10/2024
Time: 20:00
Final 4-1
De Graafschap
De Graafschap
Vs
64%
24%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC OSS
FC OSS
Netherlands: KNVB Beker
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

De Graafschap win✓ Hit
63.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC OSS win✗ Miss
12.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

De GraafschapDe Graafschap

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D41W20W23L22D31W22D22D31W21WH·JON23/08A·ROD01/09H·FC 06/09H·HEL13/09A·JON23/09H·VIT29/09A·DEN04/10A·TEL12/10H·JON18/10A·ADO25/10
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.602.311.381.641.86
vs Stronger (1)3.001.003.001.00--
vs Similar (29)1.971.622.271.401.641.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC OSS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC OSSFC OSS

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W04L03L01L04L22D15L11D02L21WH·CAM23/08A·FC 31/08H·JON13/09A·HEL16/09H·FC 22/09A·MVV27/09H·ADO04/10H·TEL18/10A·EMM22/10H·JON25/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.901.121.940.851.85
vs Stronger (15)1.002.401.182.000.503.50
vs Similar (15)1.001.401.001.831.001.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (De Graafschap) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.9%
Under 1.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.4%
Under 2.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.9%
Under 3.5
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.0%
No
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.6%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.0%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.5%
De Graafschap goals ↓
FC OSS goals →
01234
09.0%4.5%1.9%0.4%0.1%
114%11%3.5%0.8%0.1%
213%9.3%3.2%0.7%0.1%
38.3%5.7%2.0%0.5%0.1%
43.8%2.6%0.9%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = De Graafschap goals (down), columns = FC OSS goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barendrecht
2.50
Heerenveen
2.33
Excelsior
2.33
SC Genemuiden
2.33
Utrecht
2.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
ASWH
2.25
Heracles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
Noordwijk
2.17
Feyenoord
2.00
Waalwijk
2.00
De Graafschap
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Winterswijk
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
Quick '20
2.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.75
Quick Boys
1.75
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Hercules
1.67
Blauw Geel
1.67
Ajax
1.50
Groningen
1.50
Twente
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
TEC
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
ADO '20
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
RKAVV
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
HV & CV Quick
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
Kolping Boys
1.33
Dovo
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Capelle
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Spakenburg
1.00
RKAV Volendam
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
EVV
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
HBC
1.00
De Bilt
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Geldrop
1.00
Willem II
0.50
Katwijk
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Juliana '31
0.50
Roda
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
GOES
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
HHC
0.00
URK
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Heerjansdam
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
ACV
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Huizen
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Laar
0.00
SVBO
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
UNA
0.00
ONS Sneek
0.00
DEM
0.00
De Graafschap is 2.00 points better than FC OSS in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Eindhoven
4.00
PSV Eindhoven
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
3.25
Utrecht
3.00
Groningen
3.00
Barendrecht
3.00
Excelsior
2.67
Waalwijk
2.67
De Graafschap
2.67
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
FC Volendam
2.50
Hercules
2.33
Blauw Geel
2.33
Quick Boys
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Feyenoord
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Twente
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Katwijk
2.00
GOES
2.00
TEC
2.00
URK
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
ACV
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
HBC
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
Noordwijk
1.83
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Kolping Boys
1.67
Capelle
1.67
Willem II
1.50
Telstar
1.50
MVV
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
Heracles
1.40
SC Genemuiden
1.33
Winterswijk
1.33
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
Roda
1.00
Ajax
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
De Treffers
1.00
Dovo
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Heerjansdam
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Huizen
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
SVBO
1.00
RKAVV
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
UNA
1.00
ONS Sneek
1.00
DEM
1.00
Hoek
0.50
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Emmen
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
HHC
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
EVV
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Laar
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
De Graafschap is 1.67 goals better than FC OSS in terms of goals scored per game (2.67 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
EVV
0.00
Winterswijk
0.33
Heracles
0.40
Barendrecht
0.50
ASWH
0.50
Sportlust '46
0.50
ADO '20
0.50
RKAVV
0.50
SC Genemuiden
0.67
Noordwijk
0.83
Utrecht
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Ajax
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Telstar
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Emmen
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
HHC
1.00
Gemert
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
Feyenoord
1.33
Heerenveen
1.33
Waalwijk
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Blauw Geel
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
MVV
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Achilles Veen
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Excelsior
1.67
Hercules
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Willem II
2.00
Groningen
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Capelle
2.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
2.00
Forum Sport
2.00
Huizen
2.00
HBC
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
Zwaluw VFC
2.00
DAW Schaijk
2.00
Blauw Wit '34
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
DEM
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Twente
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Katwijk
2.50
Eemdijk
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Kolping Boys
2.67
Roda
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
Almere City FC
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
TEC
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
SVBO
3.00
ONS Sneek
3.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
De Treffers
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
GOES
4.00
URK
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
Heerjansdam
4.00
TOGB
4.00
UNA
4.00
ACV
5.00
Laar
6.00
De Graafschap is 3.00 goals better than FC OSS in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 4.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

De GraafschapDe Graafschap

For 4.9 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

16010573615962412423244315107148166547A·ADOH·JONA·TELA·DENH·VITA·JONH·HELH·FC A·RODH·JON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

602222231512222141114423634352A·ADOH·JONA·TELA·DENH·VITA·JONH·HELH·FC A·RODH·JON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 10.5 · Total 20.7

⚠️ Fouls

2509131291112131113128891210971110822212324251621191818A·ADOH·JONA·TELA·DENH·VITA·JONH·HELH·FC A·RODH·JON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC OSSFC OSS

For 5.5 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.6

🚩 Corners

170848274558527101153101021289913717161312H·JONA·EMMH·TELH·ADOA·MVVH·FC A·HELH·JONA·FC H·CAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

7036123236132311113723575412H·JONA·EMMH·TELH·ADOA·MVVH·FC A·HELH·JONA·FC H·CAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 11.5 · Total 26.1

⚠️ Fouls

3101310121213172011141419813171010191013623243031282730202919H·JONA·EMMH·TELH·ADOA·MVVH·FC A·HELH·JONA·FC H·CAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

De GraafschapDe Graafschap

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.411.03.03.12.819.018.719.3
vs Stronger (3)9.311.06.04.04.04.020.017.525.0
vs Similar (47)10.810.411.22.93.02.818.918.819.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line59%58%60%42%40%44%31%21%40%
% under line41%42%40%58%60%56%69%79%60%
This opponent (FC OSS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC OSSFC OSS

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.49.910.93.33.53.122.422.222.6
vs Stronger (24)10.110.69.42.93.22.523.223.123.3
vs Similar (26)10.69.012.03.73.83.621.721.222.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line66%62%71%40%38%42%58%54%62%
% under line34%38%29%60%62%58%42%46%38%
This opponent (De Graafschap) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Heracles
11.4
Cambuur
11.3
Vitesse
11.2
FC Volendam
11.1
Sparta Rotterdam
11.0
Dordrecht
10.9
NEC Nijmegen
10.8
Telstar
10.6
Utrecht
10.6
De Graafschap
10.6
Feyenoord
10.5
Waalwijk
10.5
FC Eindhoven
10.5
Den Bosch
10.5
Heerenveen
10.4
Helmond Sport
10.4
FC OSS
10.4
ADO Den Haag
10.3
GO Ahead Eagles
10.3
Willem II
10.3
Emmen
10.3
VVV Venlo
10.2
Groningen
10.2
PSV Eindhoven
10.1
PEC Zwolle
10.1
Almere City FC
10.0
Roda
10.0
Excelsior
9.9
Fortuna Sittard
9.9
Twente
9.8
MVV
9.8
AZ Alkmaar
9.5
NAC Breda
9.3
Ajax
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cambuur
4.4
Feyenoord
4.1
Excelsior
4.0
Telstar
4.0
Roda
4.0
Den Bosch
4.0
ADO Den Haag
4.0
Ajax
4.0
Dordrecht
3.9
Almere City FC
3.9
Groningen
3.9
NAC Breda
3.9
Heracles
3.8
VVV Venlo
3.8
Vitesse
3.8
Twente
3.8
Willem II
3.7
NEC Nijmegen
3.7
Emmen
3.7
AZ Alkmaar
3.6
Helmond Sport
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.6
Fortuna Sittard
3.5
FC OSS
3.5
Utrecht
3.4
FC Volendam
3.4
MVV
3.4
De Graafschap
3.3
PSV Eindhoven
3.3
Waalwijk
3.2
GO Ahead Eagles
3.2
Sparta Rotterdam
3.1
FC Eindhoven
3.1
Heerenveen
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Telstar
24.7
Dordrecht
23.8
Emmen
23.5
ADO Den Haag
23.4
Almere City FC
23.1
Cambuur
22.7
Vitesse
22.7
VVV Venlo
22.6
FC OSS
22.4
Roda
22.2
Heracles
22.1
Helmond Sport
21.8
NAC Breda
21.7
Den Bosch
21.7
Groningen
21.7
Twente
21.3
Fortuna Sittard
21.1
NEC Nijmegen
20.8
Utrecht
20.6
MVV
20.5
FC Eindhoven
20.5
AZ Alkmaar
20.4
Feyenoord
20.3
PEC Zwolle
20.3
Willem II
20.3
Ajax
19.7
Waalwijk
19.5
Heerenveen
19.5
GO Ahead Eagles
19.4
FC Volendam
19.2
De Graafschap
19.0
Sparta Rotterdam
18.2
PSV Eindhoven
18.2
Excelsior
18.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.1%
Under 9.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.8%
Under 3.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.1%
Under 21.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
De Graafschap or Draw✓ Hit
87.6%
Avg Implied -
64%
24%
12%
covers De Graafschap + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap or FC OSS✓ Hit
76.2%
Avg Implied -
64%
24%
12%
covers De Graafschap + FC OSS
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC OSS✗ Miss
36.2%
Avg Implied -
64%
24%
12%
covers Draw + FC OSS
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
De Graafschap over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.1%
Under
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
54.9%
Under
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
28.0%
Under
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
11.5%
Under
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC OSS over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
49.9%
Under
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC OSS over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC OSS over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC OSS over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to De Graafschap, so a minus line means De Graafschap give that many goals of a start and FC OSS receive them. At -1, De Graafschap must win by two or more to land; a one-goal De Graafschap win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (De Graafschap)Actual: De Graafschap
De Graafschap -2
18.5%
Draw -2
20.2%
FC OSS +2
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (De Graafschap)Actual: De Graafschap
De Graafschap -1
38.7%
Draw -1
25.1%
FC OSS +1
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (De Graafschap)Actual: De Graafschap
De Graafschap +1
87.6%
Draw +1
8.8%
FC OSS -1
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (De Graafschap)Actual: De Graafschap
De Graafschap +2
96.4%
Draw +2
2.8%
FC OSS -2
0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

De GraafschapDe Graafschap

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D10W02L10W10W10W21W21W11DH·JON23/08A·ROD01/09H·FC 06/09H·HEL13/09A·JON23/09H·VIT29/09A·DEN04/10A·TEL12/10H·JON18/10A·ADO25/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.771.000.500.861.07
vs Stronger (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Similar (29)0.900.760.930.470.861.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC OSS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC OSSFC OSS

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L02L00D01L10W03L01L01L01LH·CAM23/08A·FC 31/08H·JON13/09A·HEL16/09H·FC 22/09A·MVV27/09H·ADO04/10H·TEL18/10A·EMM22/10H·JON25/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.170.930.181.180.150.62
vs Stronger (15)0.201.400.271.360.001.50
vs Similar (15)0.130.470.000.830.220.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (De Graafschap) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
De Graafschap over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC OSS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC OSS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC OSS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

De GraafschapDe Graafschap

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L30W10W21W12L21W12L01L10W10WH·JON23/08A·ROD01/09H·FC 06/09H·HEL13/09A·JON23/09H·VIT29/09A·DEN04/10A·TEL12/10H·JON18/10A·ADO25/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.831.310.880.790.79
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (29)1.070.861.330.930.790.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FC OSS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC OSSFC OSS

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L01L01L03L12L12L10W01L20WH·CAM23/08A·FC 31/08H·JON13/09A·HEL16/09H·FC 22/09A·MVV27/09H·ADO04/10H·TEL18/10A·EMM22/10H·JON25/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.970.940.760.691.23
vs Stronger (15)0.801.000.910.640.502.00
vs Similar (15)0.870.931.001.000.780.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (De Graafschap) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
De Graafschap over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC OSS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC OSS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC OSS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals99.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals96.7%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap96.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.595.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.588.7%-------✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals88.5%-------✗ Miss
Home or Draw87.6%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap87.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals84.7%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals84.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls80.9%--------
Over 2.5 cards79.2%--------
Home or Away76.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards75.0%--------
Over 1.572.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals72.0%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

De Graafschap
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Blind Azad Umer40%
Jack Cooper-Love33%
Stan Wevers33%
Tristan van Gilst26%
Anis Yadir25%
Sam Bisselink25%
Jesse van de Haar25%
Ibrahim El Kadiri21%
Mimoun Mahi21%
Reuven Niemeijer20%
Philip Brittijn15%
Donny Warmerdam12%
Joran Hardeman10%
Arjen Van Der Heide9%
Yannick Eduardo8%
Ralf Seuntjens8%
Wanya Marcal Madivadua7%
Youssef El Jebli6%
Jeffrey Fortes5%
Rio Hillen5%
Maas Willemsen3%
Levi Schoppema3%
Giovanni Büttner0%
Joshua Smits0%
Lion Kaak0%
Anass Najah0%
Simon Colyn0%
Seth Saarinen0%
Ties Wieggers0%
Kaya Symons0%
Rowan Besselink0%
Tygo Grotenhuis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rowan Besselink33%
Stan Wevers33%
Donny Warmerdam22%
Kaya Symons19%
Jeffrey Fortes16%
Reuven Niemeijer13%
Wanya Marcal Madivadua13%
Ralf Seuntjens13%
Anass Najah12%
Youssef El Jebli11%
Ibrahim El Kadiri11%
Joran Hardeman10%
Arjen Van Der Heide9%
Lion Kaak8%
Levi Schoppema8%
Yannick Eduardo8%
Philip Brittijn8%
Rio Hillen7%
Maas Willemsen7%
Tristan van Gilst6%
Jesse van de Haar6%
Giovanni Büttner0%
Joshua Smits0%
Mimoun Mahi0%
Simon Colyn0%
Seth Saarinen0%
Jack Cooper-Love0%
Ties Wieggers0%
Anis Yadir0%
Sam Bisselink0%
Blind Azad Umer0%
Tygo Grotenhuis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simon Colyn33%
Sam Bisselink25%
Jeffrey Fortes21%
Mimoun Mahi21%
Seth Saarinen20%
Jesse van de Haar14%
Ibrahim El Kadiri11%
Donny Warmerdam10%
Arjen Van Der Heide9%
Tristan van Gilst9%
Yannick Eduardo8%
Wanya Marcal Madivadua7%
Maas Willemsen7%
Kaya Symons6%
Youssef El Jebli6%
Levi Schoppema6%
Ralf Seuntjens5%
Rowan Besselink4%
Philip Brittijn3%
Rio Hillen0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Giovanni Büttner0%
Joshua Smits0%
Lion Kaak0%
Anass Najah0%
Jack Cooper-Love0%
Ties Wieggers0%
Joran Hardeman0%
Anis Yadir0%
Stan Wevers0%
Blind Azad Umer0%
Tygo Grotenhuis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahim El Kadiri29%
Sam Bisselink25%
Reuven Niemeijer20%
Tristan van Gilst20%
Blind Azad Umer20%
Jesse van de Haar19%
Joran Hardeman10%
Arjen Van Der Heide9%
Lion Kaak8%
Jack Cooper-Love8%
Donny Warmerdam7%
Ralf Seuntjens5%
Rio Hillen5%
Jeffrey Fortes3%
Philip Brittijn3%
Youssef El Jebli0%
Giovanni Büttner0%
Joshua Smits0%
Mimoun Mahi0%
Anass Najah0%
Simon Colyn0%
Seth Saarinen0%
Wanya Marcal Madivadua0%
Maas Willemsen0%
Ties Wieggers0%
Kaya Symons0%
Levi Schoppema0%
Anis Yadir0%
Rowan Besselink0%
Yannick Eduardo0%
Stan Wevers0%
Tygo Grotenhuis0%
FC OSS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Abel Stensrud22%
Giovanni Korte18%
Joshua Zimmerman14%
Tijmen Wildeboer12%
Arthur Allemeersch11%
Giovanni Troupee6%
Mauresmo Hinoke6%
Marcelencio Esajas3%
Julian Kuijpers3%
Calvin Mac-Intosh0%
Mart Remans0%
Luciano Slagveer0%
Mike Havekotte0%
Mitchell van Rooijen0%
Delano Vianello0%
Karim Loukili0%
Xander Lambrix0%
Jules Van Bost0%
Leonel Miguel0%
Jonathan Mulder0%
Sven Zitman0%
Thomas Cox0%
Tom van der Werff0%
Tymen Niekel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Xander Lambrix24%
Joshua Zimmerman23%
Mauresmo Hinoke21%
Sven Zitman17%
Mitchell van Rooijen16%
Luciano Slagveer15%
Delano Vianello15%
Karim Loukili15%
Julian Kuijpers14%
Jonathan Mulder12%
Leonel Miguel12%
Marcelencio Esajas11%
Arthur Allemeersch11%
Thomas Cox11%
Mike Havekotte10%
Tom van der Werff10%
Giovanni Troupee10%
Jules Van Bost10%
Giovanni Korte9%
Abel Stensrud4%
Mart Remans4%
Calvin Mac-Intosh0%
Tijmen Wildeboer0%
Tymen Niekel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luciano Slagveer38%
Karim Loukili10%
Giovanni Korte9%
Tom van der Werff7%
Sven Zitman6%
Thomas Cox5%
Tijmen Wildeboer4%
Mart Remans4%
Mitchell van Rooijen3%
Mauresmo Hinoke3%
Arthur Allemeersch3%
Calvin Mac-Intosh0%
Mike Havekotte0%
Giovanni Troupee0%
Delano Vianello0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Xander Lambrix0%
Abel Stensrud0%
Jules Van Bost0%
Leonel Miguel0%
Jonathan Mulder0%
Marcelencio Esajas0%
Julian Kuijpers0%
Tymen Niekel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Karim Loukili15%
Giovanni Korte9%
Arthur Allemeersch6%
Abel Stensrud4%
Tijmen Wildeboer4%
Mart Remans4%
Julian Kuijpers3%
Calvin Mac-Intosh0%
Luciano Slagveer0%
Mike Havekotte0%
Giovanni Troupee0%
Mitchell van Rooijen0%
Delano Vianello0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Xander Lambrix0%
Jules Van Bost0%
Leonel Miguel0%
Jonathan Mulder0%
Sven Zitman0%
Marcelencio Esajas0%
Thomas Cox0%
Tom van der Werff0%
Mauresmo Hinoke0%
Tymen Niekel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
De Graafschap's squad is €2m more valuable than FC OSS's (€6m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
De Graafschap and FC OSS have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
De Graafschap and FC OSS have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
De Graafschap and FC OSS have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
DG wins
1
Draws
0
FO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

De Graafschap vs FC OSS · H/A from DG
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/24HDG Vs FC OSS2-1
01/12/23AFC OSS Vs DG0-1
14/04/23AFC OSS Vs DG3-3
28/10/22HDG Vs FC OSS2-0

De GraafschapDe Graafschap

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/24AADO Den Haag Vs DG1-2
18/10/24HDG Vs Jong PSV U213-1
12/10/24ATelstar Vs DG2-2
04/10/24ADen Bosch Vs DG2-2
29/09/24HDG Vs Vitesse3-1
23/09/24AJong AZ Vs DG2-2
13/09/24HDG Vs Helmond Sport2-3
06/09/24HDG Vs FC Eindhoven2-0
01/09/24ARoda Vs DG1-4
23/08/24HDG Vs Jong Utrecht2-2

FC OSSFC OSS

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/24HFO Vs Jong AZ2-1
22/10/24AEmmen Vs FO2-0
18/10/24HFO Vs Telstar1-1
04/10/24HFO Vs ADO Den Haag1-5
27/09/24AMVV Vs FO2-2
22/09/24HFO Vs FC Eindhoven0-4
16/09/24AHelmond Sport Vs FO1-0
13/09/24HFO Vs Jong PSV U210-3
31/08/24AFC Volendam Vs FO4-0
23/08/24HFO Vs Cambuur1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

De Graafschap
De Graafschap
Netherlands: KNVB Beker
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWW1.64
HomeDWLWW1.96
AwayWDDDW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%60%36%
AVG goals3.383.323.44
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %72%68%76%
Over 3.5 %44%40%48%
Scored1.842.041.64
Conceded1.541.281.80
BTTS68%64%72%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners10.7310.4211.04
Cards3.293.353.23
FC OSS
FC OSS
Netherlands: KNVB Beker
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLW0.92
HomeLLLDW1.27
AwayDLLDL0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%38%12%
AVG goals2.642.962.29
Over 1.5 %72%73%71%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %24%31%17%
Scored0.841.080.58
Conceded1.801.881.71
BTTS44%54%33%
Clean Sheet16%15%17%
Corners10.389.8810.92
Cards3.513.753.26

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC VolendamFC Volendam3882
68%
2.2
8748+39
3.6
92%
76%
53%
10.3
55%
3.5
47%
24.5
74%
6
2132.31.3
51%
2ExcelsiorExcelsior3874
58%
1.9
7438+36
2.9
82%
58%
39%
9.9
53%
3.7
53%
22.5
55%
16
7361.91.0
55%
3CambuurCambuur3871
58%
1.9
6342+21
2.8
68%
47%
32%
9.7
53%
4.1
55%
25.7
79%
12
3181.71.1
55%
4ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag3870
53%
1.8
6947+22
3.1
84%
58%
26%
8.9
42%
4.4
64%
26.7
76%
13
7151.81.2
50%
5DordrechtDordrecht3868
53%
1.8
6946+23
3.0
82%
63%
39%
10.8
66%
3.8
50%
26.0
71%
6
2221.81.2
49%
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap3865
50%
1.7
7350+23
3.2
89%
66%
47%
9.5
53%
3.5
49%
22.3
53%
6
2221.91.3
53%
7TelstarTelstar3861
45%
1.6
6947+22
3.1
79%
66%
42%
10.1
58%
3.4
50%
26.2
79%
8
3231.81.2
50%
8EmmenEmmen3856
45%
1.5
5653+3
2.9
84%
61%
24%
10.5
61%
4.0
54%
25.8
74%
5
1211.51.4
54%
9Den BoschDen Bosch3855
39%
1.4
5348+5
2.7
71%
53%
32%
10.5
63%
3.3
46%
22.1
61%
5
3111.41.3
45%
10Jong AZJong AZ3852
37%
1.4
6963+6
3.5
82%
68%
45%
10.8
55%
3.8
44%
25.4
71%
5
2121.81.7
57%
11FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven3851
37%
1.3
5864-6
3.2
87%
63%
42%
9.0
29%
3.2
33%
21.8
58%
3
2011.51.7
45%
12RodaRoda3849
34%
1.3
4957-8
2.8
74%
55%
32%
10.0
55%
3.9
53%
23.4
66%
8
4221.31.5
50%
13Helmond SportHelmond Sport3846
32%
1.2
5361-8
3.0
79%
63%
39%
10.1
58%
3.9
57%
27.6
84%
4
2121.41.6
49%
14VitesseVitesse3844
29%
1.2
5473-19
3.3
84%
66%
45%
11.3
63%
3.6
46%
26.3
82%
7
4121.41.9
54%
15VVV VenloVVV Venlo3841
29%
1.1
4469-25
3.0
74%
58%
42%
11.3
74%
3.5
50%
23.6
61%
4
1021.21.8
46%
16MVVMVV3840
26%
1.1
5259-7
2.9
71%
55%
42%
10.5
55%
3.4
39%
24.4
74%
4
1121.41.6
46%
17FC OSSFC OSS3838
21%
1.0
3161-30
2.4
74%
42%
29%
10.9
61%
3.8
54%
27.1
87%
4
1120.81.6
42%
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax3836
24%
0.9
3752-15
2.3
71%
47%
18%
11.3
71%
4.1
53%
26.0
82%
19
43121.01.4
50%
19Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U213830
21%
0.8
5586-31
3.7
92%
74%
58%
10.6
66%
3.1
35%
24.2
63%
7
1331.42.3
56%
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht3823
11%
0.6
3182-51
3.0
87%
55%
37%
10.6
63%
3.3
43%
25.8
79%
2
1110.82.2
45%
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

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