Debreceni VSC’s defensive record at home is modest, conceding 1.14 goals on average against similar opposition, while Vasas has a stronger away attack, scoring 2.0 goals per game and conceding 1.29. The model favours an away win with a 38% chance, a draw at 32% and a home win at 30%. The expected total goals is 2.2, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.6% chance. The recent form narrative is clear: Debrecen is coming off a draw, whereas Vasas is after two straight defeats. The model’s selections lean heavily toward low scoring: Under 7.5 goals (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.9%), Under 5.5 (97.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.7%), Under 4.5 (92.5%), Home under 2.5 goals (91.4%) and an Over 19.5 fouls (90.9%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Debreceni VSC win
31.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
31.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vasas win
37.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Debreceni VSC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.47
1.12
1.31
1.57
1.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
2.50
0.00
2.50
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (26)
1.46
1.31
1.29
1.14
1.67
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vasas
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
0.77
2.13
0.73
1.53
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
1.93
1.07
1.88
0.88
2.00
1.29
vs Weaker (13)
1.77
0.54
2.33
0.67
1.29
0.43
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Debreceni VSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
66.5%
Under 1.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
38.4%
Under 2.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
18.5%
Under 3.5
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
46.3%
No
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.2%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
6.0%
Debreceni VSC goals ↓
Vasas goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
11%
7.4%
2.9%
0.8%
1
10%
15%
7.8%
3.0%
0.9%
2
6.0%
7.0%
4.1%
1.6%
0.5%
3
2.1%
2.5%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Debreceni VSC goals (down), columns = Vasas goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.00
Puskas Academy
2.00
Ujpest
1.67
Gyori ETO FC
1.50
MTK Budapest
1.50
Paks
1.33
Vasas
1.33
Budapest Honved
1.20
Nyiregyhaza
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.00
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.50
Debreceni VSC is 0.33 points worse than Vasas in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paks
2.17
Ujpest
2.17
MTK Budapest
2.17
Gyori ETO FC
1.83
Vasas
1.67
Puskas Academy
1.67
Ferencvarosi TC
1.60
Budapest Honved
1.60
Kisvarda FC
1.17
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Nyiregyhaza
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.83
Debreceni VSC is 0.67 goals worse than Vasas in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.17
Vasas
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.33
Puskas Academy
1.33
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.60
Ujpest
1.67
MTK Budapest
1.67
Nyiregyhaza
1.67
Paks
2.17
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.50
Debreceni VSC is 0.33 goals worse than Vasas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
58%
Debreceni VSC
55%
Gyori ETO FC
53%
Budapest Honved
52%
Ujpest
51%
Nyiregyhaza
51%
Paks
50%
MTK Budapest
50%
Zalaegerszegi TE
49%
Puskas Academy
45%
Vasas
43%
Kisvarda FC
42%
Debreceni VSC is 11.8 percentage points better than Vasas in terms of average possession (55% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Debreceni VSC
For 7.5 · Against 5.0 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.9 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vasas
For 1.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 10.0 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Debreceni VSC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.7
9.2
3.4
3.5
3.3
27.3
27.3
27.2
vs Stronger (5)
9.4
9.0
10.0
2.6
2.3
3.0
29.6
31.3
27.0
vs Similar (45)
10.0
11.1
9.1
3.5
3.6
3.3
26.9
26.5
27.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
56%
37%
44%
50%
38%
84%
83%
84%
% under line
54%
44%
63%
56%
50%
62%
16%
17%
16%
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vasas
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
4.5
5.0
4.0
0.2
0.2
0.1
23.0
21.0
25.0
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
4.5
5.0
4.0
0.4
0.4
0.3
23.0
21.0
25.0
vs Weaker (26)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
0%
2%
4%
0%
50%
0%
100%
% under line
100%
100%
100%
98%
96%
100%
50%
100%
0%
This opponent (Debreceni VSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Nyiregyhaza
11.0
Paks
10.4
Gyori ETO FC
10.0
Debreceni VSC
9.9
Ujpest
9.9
Kisvarda FC
9.9
MTK Budapest
9.8
Puskas Academy
9.7
Ferencvarosi TC
9.7
Budapest Honved
9.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
8.9
Vasas
4.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nyiregyhaza
6.0
Paks
5.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.1
Debreceni VSC
5.1
Ujpest
5.0
Puskas Academy
4.8
Gyori ETO FC
4.8
Ferencvarosi TC
4.7
MTK Budapest
4.4
Budapest Honved
4.1
Kisvarda FC
4.1
Vasas
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Nyiregyhaza
32.0
Paks
28.6
Ferencvarosi TC
27.9
Debreceni VSC
27.8
Puskas Academy
27.7
Ujpest
26.2
Gyori ETO FC
24.9
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.8
MTK Budapest
24.6
Kisvarda FC
24.1
Vasas
23.0
Budapest Honved
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.7%
Under 9.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.8%
Under 3.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
82.7%
Under 21.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Debreceni VSC or Draw
63.0%
Avg Implied -
31%
32%
37%
covers Debreceni VSC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Debreceni VSC or Vasas
68.4%
Avg Implied -
31%
32%
37%
covers Debreceni VSC + Vasas
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Vasas
68.6%
Avg Implied -
31%
32%
37%
covers Draw + Vasas
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Debreceni VSC over/under 0.5
Over
65.2%
Under
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Debreceni VSC over/under 1.5
Over
28.5%
Under
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Debreceni VSC over/under 2.5
Over
9.1%
Under
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Debreceni VSC over/under 3.5
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 0.5
Over
68.9%
Under
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5
Over
32.6%
Under
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5
Over
11.4%
Under
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Debreceni VSC, so a minus line means Debreceni VSC give that many goals of a start and Vasas receive them. At -1, Debreceni VSC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Debreceni VSC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Debreceni VSC)
Debreceni VSC -2
3.7%
Draw -2
8.9%
Vasas +2
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Debreceni VSC)
Debreceni VSC -1
12.7%
Draw -1
18.7%
Vasas +1
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Debreceni VSC)
Debreceni VSC +1
63.0%
Draw +1
20.9%
Vasas -1
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Debreceni VSC)
Debreceni VSC +2
83.8%
Draw +2
10.9%
Vasas -2
5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Debreceni VSC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.38
0.69
0.71
0.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.69
0.43
0.64
0.83
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vasas
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.17
0.80
0.13
0.60
0.20
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.20
0.75
0.12
0.71
0.29
vs Weaker (13)
0.69
0.15
0.83
0.17
0.57
0.14
Clean sheet %
83% (+59pp vs league)
This opponent (Debreceni VSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Debreceni VSC over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Debreceni VSC over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Debreceni VSC over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Debreceni VSC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.77
0.75
0.62
0.86
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.75
0.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.62
0.86
0.50
0.83
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vasas
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.60
1.33
0.60
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
1.20
0.87
1.12
0.75
1.29
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
1.08
0.38
1.50
0.50
0.71
0.29
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Debreceni VSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Debreceni VSC over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Debreceni VSC over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Debreceni VSC over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Debreceni VSC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Balázs Dzsudzsák43%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes20%
Adrián Guerrero17%
Ákos Szendrei14%
Bence Batik0%
Ádám Lang0%
Josua Mejías0%
Rotem Keller0%
Plamen Andreev0%
Botond Vajda0%
Flórián Cibla0%
Gergő Tercza0%
Shedrach Kaye0%
Blaž Bošković0%
Sohan Baldoni0%
Leon Myrtaj0%
Balázs Sain0%
Dávid Patai0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josua Mejías57%
Blaž Bošković50%
Balázs Dzsudzsák43%
Leon Myrtaj33%
Dávid Patai33%
Sohan Baldoni25%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes20%
Shedrach Kaye20%
Flórián Cibla14%
Bence Batik0%
Ádám Lang0%
Adrián Guerrero0%
Ákos Szendrei0%
Rotem Keller0%
Plamen Andreev0%
Botond Vajda0%
Gergő Tercza0%
Balázs Sain0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ákos Szendrei29%
Bence Batik0%
Ádám Lang0%
Balázs Dzsudzsák0%
Josua Mejías0%
Adrián Guerrero0%
Rotem Keller0%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes0%
Plamen Andreev0%
Botond Vajda0%
Flórián Cibla0%
Gergő Tercza0%
Shedrach Kaye0%
Blaž Bošković0%
Sohan Baldoni0%
Leon Myrtaj0%
Balázs Sain0%
Dávid Patai0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Flórián Cibla29%
Balázs Dzsudzsák14%
Josua Mejías14%
Ákos Szendrei14%
Bence Batik0%
Ádám Lang0%
Adrián Guerrero0%
Rotem Keller0%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes0%
Plamen Andreev0%
Botond Vajda0%
Gergő Tercza0%
Shedrach Kaye0%
Blaž Bošković0%
Sohan Baldoni0%
Leon Myrtaj0%
Balázs Sain0%
Dávid Patai0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
Debreceni VSC's squad is €2m more valuable than Vasas's (€9m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
Debreceni VSC and Vasas have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
Debreceni VSC and Vasas have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
Debreceni VSC's defence is €3m more valuable than Vasas's (€4m vs €2m).
Hungary: NB I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →