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Dečić vs Petrovac Result & Analysis

Date: 06/08/2023
Time: 18:00
Final 1-2
Dečić
Dečić
Vs
48%
25%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dečić win✗ Miss
47.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petrovac win✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DečićDečić

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D31W43W30W00D03L00D20W12L21WH·MOR05/04A·ISK09/04H·BUD15/04H·PET23/04A·RUD29/04H·SUT07/05A·ARS14/05H·JED21/05A·JEZ25/05H·JED22/07
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.931.251.060.790.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.051.091.251.250.800.90
vs Weaker (8)1.000.501.250.500.750.50
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-444D23L03L10W24L01L12L41W00D10WA·BUD09/04H·JED15/04A·DEČ23/04H·JEZ29/04A·RUD07/05H·MOR14/05A·SUT21/05H·ISK25/05H·MOR22/07H·MLA29/07
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.531.251.251.431.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.301.441.201.131.421.83
vs Weaker (3)1.672.332.003.001.502.00
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dečić) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.5%
Under 1.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.7%
Under 2.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.3%
Under 3.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.7%
No
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
1-2 ✓
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.6%
Dečić goals ↓
Petrovac goals →
01234
05.6%4.9%3.9%1.7%0.5%
17.1%12%6.9%3.0%1.0%
27.3%9.5%6.2%2.7%0.9%
34.3%5.6%3.7%1.6%0.5%
41.9%2.5%1.6%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dečić goals (down), columns = Petrovac goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.00
Dečić
1.94
Mornar
1.78
Buducnost Podgorica
1.69
Sutjeska
1.47
Jezero
1.42
Petrovac
1.33
Arsenal Tivat
1.17
Jedinstvo
1.03
Mladost DG
0.92
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.75
Mladost Lješkopolje
0.50
Dečić is 0.61 points better than Petrovac in terms of average points per game (1.94 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Buducnost Podgorica
1.83
Dečić
1.53
Otrant-Olympic
1.50
Sutjeska
1.28
Mornar
1.25
Jedinstvo
1.21
Arsenal Tivat
1.19
Petrovac
1.17
Jezero
1.14
Mladost DG
1.03
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.69
Mladost Lješkopolje
0.50
Dečić is 0.36 goals better than Petrovac in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dečić
0.75
Mornar
0.89
Sutjeska
1.00
Otrant-Olympic
1.00
Jezero
1.06
Petrovac
1.11
Buducnost Podgorica
1.19
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.50
Jedinstvo
1.50
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.50
Arsenal Tivat
1.61
Mladost DG
1.63
Dečić is 0.36 goals better than Petrovac in terms of goals conceded per game (0.75 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DečićDečić

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W11D20W00D02L00D20W01L11DH·MOR05/04A·ISK09/04H·BUD15/04H·PET23/04A·RUD29/04H·SUT07/05A·ARS14/05H·JED21/05A·JEZ25/05H·JED22/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.370.620.440.290.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.450.410.580.500.300.30
vs Weaker (8)0.500.250.750.250.250.25
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D02L00D12L01L00D30W00D00DA·BUD09/04H·JED15/04A·DEČ23/04H·JEZ29/04A·RUD07/05H·MOR14/05A·SUT21/05H·ISK25/05H·MOR22/07H·MLA29/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.530.750.440.570.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.630.480.670.400.580.58
vs Weaker (3)1.001.002.001.000.501.00
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Dečić) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dečić over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DečićDečić

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D32W10W00D01L00D00D11D10WH·MOR05/04A·ISK09/04H·BUD15/04H·PET23/04A·RUD29/04H·SUT07/05A·ARS14/05H·JED21/05A·JEZ25/05H·JED22/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.620.620.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.590.680.670.750.500.60
vs Weaker (8)0.500.250.500.250.500.25
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W12L01L10W12L00D12L11D00D10WA·BUD09/04H·JED15/04A·DEČ23/04H·JEZ29/04A·RUD07/05H·MOR14/05A·SUT21/05H·ISK25/05H·MOR22/07H·MLA29/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.000.500.810.861.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.670.960.530.730.831.25
vs Weaker (3)0.671.330.002.001.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dečić) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dečić over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
Dečić and Petrovac have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Dečić and Petrovac have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
Dečić and Petrovac have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
JED (10)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
Dečić and Petrovac have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
DEČ wins
2
Draws
1
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dečić vs Petrovac · H/A from DEČ
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/23HDEČ Vs Petrovac3-0
28/02/23APetrovac Vs DEČ2-1
22/10/22HDEČ Vs Petrovac1-1
16/08/22APetrovac Vs DEČ2-2

DečićDečić

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/07/23HDEČ Vs Jedinstvo2-1
25/05/23AJezero Vs DEČ2-1
21/05/23HDEČ Vs Jedinstvo2-0
14/05/23AArsenal Tivat Vs DEČ0-0
07/05/23HDEČ Vs Sutjeska0-3
29/04/23ARudar (Montenegro) Vs DEČ0-0
23/04/23HDEČ Vs Petrovac3-0
15/04/23HDEČ Vs Buducnost Podgorica4-3
09/04/23AIskra (Montenegro) Vs DEČ1-3
05/04/23HDEČ Vs Mornar1-1

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/07/23HPET Vs Mladost DG1-0
22/07/23HPET Vs Mornar0-0
25/05/23HPET Vs Iskra (Montenegro)4-1
21/05/23ASutjeska Vs PET2-1
14/05/23HPET Vs Mornar0-1
07/05/23ARudar (Montenegro) Vs PET4-2
29/04/23HPET Vs Jezero1-0
23/04/23ADečić Vs PET3-0
15/04/23HPET Vs Jedinstvo2-3
09/04/23ABuducnost Podgorica Vs PET4-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dečić
Dečić
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW1.38
HomeWWLWW1.50
AwayDWDDL1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%40%26%
AVG goals2.282.751.79
Over 1.5 %69%80%58%
Over 2.5 %44%50%37%
Over 3.5 %15%20%11%
Scored1.231.550.89
Conceded1.051.200.89
BTTS51%55%47%
Clean Sheet33%30%37%
Corners10.0011.009.00
Cards4.003.005.00
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW1.29
HomeWLWDW1.35
AwayDDLLL1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%35%28%
AVG goals2.842.703.00
Over 1.5 %74%70%78%
Over 2.5 %53%55%50%
Over 3.5 %29%30%28%
Scored1.341.301.39
Conceded1.501.401.61
BTTS61%60%61%
Clean Sheet24%25%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DečićDečić3670
56%
1.9
5527+28
2.3
69%
36%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.50.8
-
2MornarMornar3664
47%
1.8
4532+13
2.1
50%
36%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.20.9
-
3Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3661
47%
1.7
6643+23
3.0
86%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.81.2
-
4SutjeskaSutjeska3653
36%
1.5
4636+10
2.3
67%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.0
-
5JezeroJezero3651
39%
1.4
4138+3
2.2
64%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.1
-
6PetrovacPetrovac3648
31%
1.3
4240+2
2.3
69%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.1
-
7Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3642
25%
1.2
4358-15
2.8
83%
47%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.6
-
8JedinstvoJedinstvo3839
24%
1.0
4657-11
2.7
74%
45%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.5
-
9Mladost DGMladost DG3835
24%
0.9
3962-23
2.7
76%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.6
-
10Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3627
19%
0.8
2554-29
2.2
58%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.5
-
11Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
12Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje21
0%
0.5
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
Montenegro: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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