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Dečić vs Petrovac Result & Analysis

Date: 23/11/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 1-0
Dečić
Dečić
Vs
38%
32%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dečić win✓ Hit
37.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petrovac win✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DečićDečić

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L10W02L00D00D12L11D00D11D40WH·ARS18/09A·PET22/09H·BUD27/09H·SUT02/10A·ARS06/10H·BOK19/10A·MOR23/10H·OTR27/10A·JEZ02/11H·JED10/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.801.270.731.130.87
vs Stronger (2)0.502.001.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (25)1.040.761.080.771.000.75
vs Weaker (3)3.000.334.000.002.500.50
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W01L20W10W10W10W00D23L10WH·JED31/08A·BOK14/09H·DEČ22/09A·MOR29/09A·OTR06/10H·SUT19/10A·JEZ23/10H·ARS27/10A·JED02/11H·BOK10/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.931.500.931.060.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.320.931.540.921.130.93
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dečić) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
64.1%
Under 1.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.8%
Under 2.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.7%
Under 3.5
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.0%
No
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.3%
1-0 ✓
12.2%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
Dečić goals ↓
Petrovac goals →
01234
013%10%5.9%1.9%0.5%
112%15%6.7%2.2%0.5%
27.7%7.6%3.8%1.2%0.3%
32.9%2.9%1.4%0.5%0.1%
40.8%0.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dečić goals (down), columns = Petrovac goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.36
Petrovac
1.67
Sutjeska
1.42
Dečić
1.33
Bokelj
1.22
Mornar
1.22
Arsenal Tivat
1.21
Jedinstvo
1.19
Jezero
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
0.97
Lovćen
0.50
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Dečić is 0.33 points worse than Petrovac in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.50
Petrovac
1.39
Jedinstvo
1.25
Otrant-Olympic
1.19
Sutjeska
1.11
Mornar
1.11
Jezero
0.97
Arsenal Tivat
0.95
Dečić
0.94
Bokelj
0.86
Lovćen
0.00
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Dečić is 0.44 goals worse than Petrovac in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Buducnost Podgorica
0.81
Dečić
0.86
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.00
Petrovac
1.03
Sutjeska
1.06
Jezero
1.16
Arsenal Tivat
1.24
Bokelj
1.39
Otrant-Olympic
1.47
Mornar
1.47
Jedinstvo
1.61
Lovćen
2.00
Dečić is 0.17 goals better than Petrovac in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DečićDečić

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D01L00D00D01L10W00D00D10WH·ARS18/09A·PET22/09H·BUD27/09H·SUT02/10A·ARS06/10H·BOK19/10A·MOR23/10H·OTR27/10A·JEZ02/11H·JED10/11
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.400.600.400.400.40
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (25)0.440.320.620.380.250.25
vs Weaker (3)1.330.001.000.001.500.00
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W00D10W00D00D00D00D11D10WH·JED31/08A·BOK14/09H·DEČ22/09A·MOR29/09A·OTR06/10H·SUT19/10A·JEZ23/10H·ARS27/10A·JED02/11H·BOK10/11
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.370.570.210.560.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.570.360.540.230.600.47
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Dečić) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dečić over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DečićDečić

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W01L00D00D11D01L00D11D30WH·ARS18/09A·PET22/09H·BUD27/09H·SUT02/10A·ARS06/10H·BOK19/10A·MOR23/10H·OTR27/10A·JEZ02/11H·JED10/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.400.670.330.730.47
vs Stronger (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.600.440.460.380.750.50
vs Weaker (3)1.670.333.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L10W10W10W10W00D12L00DH·JED31/08A·BOK14/09H·DEČ22/09A·MOR29/09A·OTR06/10H·SUT19/10A·JEZ23/10H·ARS27/10A·JED02/11H·BOK10/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.570.930.710.500.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.750.571.000.690.530.47
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Dečić) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dečić over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
Dečić and Petrovac have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Dečić and Petrovac have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Dečić and Petrovac have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
JED (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Dečić and Petrovac have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
DEČ wins
2
Draws
3
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dečić vs Petrovac · H/A from DEČ
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/24APetrovac Vs DEČ0-1
13/04/24APetrovac Vs DEČ2-1
25/02/24HDEČ Vs Petrovac1-1
07/10/23APetrovac Vs DEČ2-3
06/08/23HDEČ Vs Petrovac1-2
23/04/23HDEČ Vs Petrovac3-0
28/02/23APetrovac Vs DEČ2-1
22/10/22HDEČ Vs Petrovac1-1

DečićDečić

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/11/24HDEČ Vs Jedinstvo4-0
02/11/24AJezero Vs DEČ1-1
27/10/24HDEČ Vs Otrant-Olympic0-0
23/10/24AMornar Vs DEČ1-1
19/10/24HDEČ Vs Bokelj1-2
06/10/24AArsenal Tivat Vs DEČ0-0
02/10/24HDEČ Vs Sutjeska0-0
27/09/24HDEČ Vs Buducnost Podgorica0-2
22/09/24APetrovac Vs DEČ0-1
18/09/24HDEČ Vs Arsenal Tivat1-3

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/11/24HPET Vs Bokelj1-0
02/11/24AJedinstvo Vs PET3-2
27/10/24HPET Vs Arsenal Tivat0-0
23/10/24AJezero Vs PET0-1
19/10/24HPET Vs Sutjeska1-0
06/10/24AOtrant-Olympic Vs PET0-1
29/09/24AMornar Vs PET0-2
22/09/24HPET Vs Dečić0-1
14/09/24ABokelj Vs PET0-1
31/08/24HPET Vs Jedinstvo3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dečić
Dečić
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDW1.80
HomeLDLDW1.71
AwayDWDDD1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%46%50%
AVG goals2.062.042.08
Over 1.5 %64%62%65%
Over 2.5 %30%33%27%
Over 3.5 %20%25%15%
Scored1.341.331.35
Conceded0.720.710.73
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet48%46%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.54
HomeWLWDW1.79
AwayWWWWL1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%46%35%
AVG goals2.262.382.15
Over 1.5 %66%67%65%
Over 2.5 %34%42%27%
Over 3.5 %22%29%15%
Scored1.241.421.08
Conceded1.020.961.08
BTTS52%62%42%
Clean Sheet36%33%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3685
72%
2.4
9029+61
3.3
89%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.50.8
-
2PetrovacPetrovac3660
47%
1.7
5037+13
2.4
67%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.0
-
3SutjeskaSutjeska3651
39%
1.4
4038+2
2.2
75%
33%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
4DečićDečić3648
28%
1.3
3431+3
1.8
58%
22%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.90.9
-
5Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3846
29%
1.2
3647-11
2.2
66%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.2
-
6JezeroJezero3845
29%
1.2
3744-7
2.1
63%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.2
-
7MornarMornar3644
33%
1.2
4053-13
2.6
83%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.5
-
8BokeljBokelj3644
36%
1.2
3150-19
2.2
64%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.4
-
9JedinstvoJedinstvo3643
31%
1.2
4558-13
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
10Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3635
25%
1.0
4353-10
2.7
67%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11LovćenLovćen21
0%
0.5
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
12Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)20
0%
0.0
02-2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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