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Dekani vs Beltinci Result & Analysis

Date: 20/11/2022
Time: 12:30
Final 2-0
Dekani
Dekani
Vs
32%
31%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Beltinci
Beltinci
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dekani win✓ Hit
32.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Beltinci win✗ Miss
36.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DekaniDekani

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W00D01L14L11D11D00D10W11DA·KRK09/09H·KRŠ17/09A·ILI24/09H·ROG02/10A·ALU07/10H·BRI15/10A·NAF22/10H·TRI29/10A·FUŽ05/11A·BIS12/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.811.060.620.881.001.25
vs Stronger (5)0.601.400.330.671.002.50
vs Similar (11)0.910.910.801.001.000.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %31% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BeltinciBeltinci

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L11D13L22D10W43W12L02L21W22DA·KRŠ10/09H·ILI17/09A·ROG25/09H·ALU02/10A·BRI08/10H·NAF16/10A·TRI23/10H·FUŽ29/10A·BIS05/11A·RUD13/11
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.621.621.751.621.501.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.571.361.711.291.431.43
vs Weaker (2)2.003.502.004.002.003.00
Clean sheet %19% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.1%
Under 1.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.1%
Under 2.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.1%
Under 3.5
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.9%
No
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.1%
2-0 ✓
6.2%
Dekani goals ↓
Beltinci goals →
01234
012%11%7.1%2.8%0.8%
110%15%7.8%3.0%0.9%
26.2%7.2%4.2%1.6%0.5%
32.3%2.6%1.5%0.6%0.2%
40.6%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dekani goals (down), columns = Beltinci goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rogaška
2.27
Aluminij
2.13
Ilirija
1.80
Krka
1.77
Beltinci
1.47
Primorje
1.37
Nafta
1.37
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.27
Bilje
1.23
Bistrica
1.23
Dekani
1.17
Triglav
1.17
Rudar
1.07
Fužinar
1.03
Krško
0.80
Dob
0.70
Dekani is 0.30 points worse than Beltinci in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
1.93
Ilirija
1.83
Rogaška
1.73
Nafta
1.67
Beltinci
1.57
Krka
1.53
Primorje
1.40
Rudar
1.37
Bilje
1.33
Fužinar
1.30
Bistrica
1.30
Dob
1.23
Krško
1.20
Triglav
1.10
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.00
Dekani
0.90
Dekani is 0.67 goals worse than Beltinci in terms of goals scored per game (0.90 vs 1.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Rogaška
0.77
Aluminij
0.77
Krka
0.93
Dekani
0.97
Ilirija
1.00
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.23
Primorje
1.33
Bistrica
1.33
Nafta
1.43
Beltinci
1.50
Rudar
1.70
Triglav
1.73
Bilje
1.77
Fužinar
1.87
Krško
1.97
Dob
2.10
Dekani is 0.53 goals better than Beltinci in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DekaniDekani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D01L12L11D01L00D00D10WA·KRK09/09H·KRŠ17/09A·ILI24/09H·ROG02/10A·ALU07/10H·BRI15/10A·NAF22/10H·TRI29/10A·FUŽ05/11A·BIS12/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.440.500.380.500.500.50
vs Stronger (5)0.401.000.330.670.501.50
vs Similar (11)0.450.270.400.400.500.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %56% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BeltinciBeltinci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D11D11D10W10W20W01L01L10W10WA·KRŠ10/09H·ILI17/09A·ROG25/09H·ALU02/10A·BRI08/10H·NAF16/10A·TRI23/10H·FUŽ29/10A·BIS05/11A·RUD13/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.810.440.620.381.000.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.790.290.710.290.860.29
vs Weaker (2)1.001.500.001.002.002.00
Clean sheet %62% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dekani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DekaniDekani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D00D02L00D10W00D10W01LA·KRK09/09H·KRŠ17/09A·ILI24/09H·ROG02/10A·ALU07/10H·BRI15/10A·NAF22/10H·TRI29/10A·FUŽ05/11A·BIS12/11
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.560.250.380.500.75
vs Stronger (5)0.200.400.000.000.501.00
vs Similar (11)0.450.640.400.600.500.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %62% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BeltinciBeltinci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D02L12L00D23L11D01L11D12LA·KRŠ10/09H·ILI17/09A·ROG25/09H·ALU02/10A·BRI08/10H·NAF16/10A·TRI23/10H·FUŽ29/10A·BIS05/11A·RUD13/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.811.191.121.250.501.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.791.071.001.000.571.14
vs Weaker (2)1.002.002.003.000.001.00
Clean sheet %25% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dekani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Dekani and Beltinci have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Dekani and Beltinci have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Dekani and Beltinci have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Dekani and Beltinci have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
DEK wins
0
Draws
1
BEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dekani vs Beltinci · H/A from DEK
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/22ABeltinci Vs DEK3-0

DekaniDekani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/22ABistrica Vs DEK1-1
05/11/22AFužinar Vs DEK0-1
29/10/22HDEK Vs Triglav0-0
22/10/22ANafta Vs DEK1-1
15/10/22HDEK Vs Brinje-Grosuplje1-1
07/10/22AAluminij Vs DEK4-1
02/10/22HDEK Vs Rogaška0-1
24/09/22AIlirija Vs DEK0-0
17/09/22HDEK Vs Krško1-0
09/09/22AKrka Vs DEK1-0

BeltinciBeltinci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/11/22ARudar Vs BEL2-2
05/11/22ABistrica Vs BEL1-2
29/10/22HBEL Vs Fužinar0-2
23/10/22ATriglav Vs BEL2-1
16/10/22HBEL Vs Nafta4-3
08/10/22ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs BEL0-1
02/10/22HBEL Vs Aluminij2-2
25/09/22ARogaška Vs BEL3-1
17/09/22HBEL Vs Ilirija1-1
10/09/22AKrško Vs BEL3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dekani
Dekani
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWD1.00
HomeLWLDD0.88
AwayDLDWD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%12%25%
AVG goals1.881.502.25
Over 1.5 %50%38%62%
Over 2.5 %25%12%38%
Over 3.5 %19%12%25%
Scored0.810.621.00
Conceded1.060.881.25
BTTS38%38%38%
Clean Sheet31%25%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Beltinci
Beltinci
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD1.38
HomeLDDWL1.38
AwayLWLWD1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals3.253.383.12
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %62%50%75%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.621.751.50
Conceded1.621.621.62
BTTS69%50%88%
Clean Sheet19%25%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RogaškaRogaška3068
70%
2.3
5223+29
2.5
67%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.8
-
2AluminijAluminij3064
63%
2.1
5823+35
2.7
70%
50%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.90.8
-
3IlirijaIlirija3054
53%
1.8
5530+25
2.8
77%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.0
-
4KrkaKrka3053
47%
1.8
4628+18
2.5
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.50.9
-
5BeltinciBeltinci3044
40%
1.5
4745+2
3.1
90%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.5
-
6NaftaNafta3041
37%
1.4
5043+7
3.1
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.4
-
7PrimorjePrimorje3041
33%
1.4
4240+2
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.3
-
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3038
37%
1.3
3037-7
2.2
73%
23%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.2
-
9BistricaBistrica3037
30%
1.2
3940-1
2.6
80%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.3
-
10BiljeBilje3037
33%
1.2
4053-13
3.1
77%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.8
-
11DekaniDekani3035
23%
1.2
2729-2
1.9
53%
27%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.0
-
12TriglavTriglav3035
33%
1.2
3352-19
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.7
-
13RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
4151-10
3.1
83%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.7
-
14FužinarFužinar3031
27%
1.0
3956-17
3.2
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
15KrškoKrško3024
20%
0.8
3659-23
3.2
80%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
16DobDob3021
13%
0.7
3763-26
3.3
87%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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