This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feyenoord
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.27
1.23
2.38
0.81
2.14
1.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.20
1.80
1.67
1.67
0.50
2.00
vs Weaker (25)
2.48
1.12
2.54
0.62
2.42
1.67
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.0%
Under 1.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.9%
Under 2.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.0%
Under 3.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
7.7%
0-1
7.2%
2-2 ✓
4.8%
0-4
4.6%
Den Haag goals ↓
Feyenoord goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.2%
7.2%
9.6%
7.7%
4.6%
1
2.6%
8.9%
9.6%
7.7%
4.6%
2
1.7%
4.0%
4.8%
3.8%
2.3%
3
0.6%
1.3%
1.6%
1.3%
0.8%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Den Haag goals (down), columns = Feyenoord goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ajax
2.53
PSV Eindhoven
2.44
Feyenoord
1.91
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Vitesse
1.56
Utrecht
1.56
Heracles
1.41
Groningen
1.32
Den Haag
1.32
Willem II
1.29
VVV Venlo
1.21
Heerenveen
1.21
PEC Zwolle
1.15
Emmen
1.12
Fortuna Sittard
1.00
Excelsior
0.97
De Graafschap
0.85
NAC Breda
0.68
Den Haag is 0.59 points worse than Feyenoord in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.91).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ajax
3.50
PSV Eindhoven
2.88
Feyenoord
2.21
Vitesse
2.06
AZ Alkmaar
1.88
Heerenveen
1.88
Heracles
1.79
Utrecht
1.76
Den Haag
1.71
Willem II
1.71
Fortuna Sittard
1.47
VVV Venlo
1.38
Excelsior
1.35
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Emmen
1.21
Groningen
1.15
De Graafschap
1.12
NAC Breda
0.85
Den Haag is 0.50 goals worse than Feyenoord in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 2.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
PSV Eindhoven
0.76
Ajax
0.94
Groningen
1.21
Feyenoord
1.21
AZ Alkmaar
1.26
Vitesse
1.50
Utrecht
1.50
PEC Zwolle
1.68
Den Haag
1.85
VVV Venlo
1.85
Heracles
2.00
Willem II
2.12
Emmen
2.12
Heerenveen
2.15
NAC Breda
2.18
De Graafschap
2.21
Excelsior
2.32
Fortuna Sittard
2.35
Den Haag is 0.65 goals worse than Feyenoord in terms of goals conceded per game (1.85 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
DH
Den Haag
For 4.4 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Feyenoord
For 8.6 · Against 3.8 · Total 12.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 9.9 · Total 20.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
DH
Den Haag
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
11.3
10.8
3.5
3.5
3.5
23.5
23.6
23.4
vs Stronger (30)
11.6
11.1
12.1
3.2
2.9
3.4
22.2
21.4
22.8
vs Similar (20)
10.2
11.6
8.8
4.0
4.3
3.6
25.6
26.7
24.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
68%
71%
65%
40%
25%
54%
62%
71%
54%
% under line
32%
29%
35%
60%
75%
46%
38%
29%
46%
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feyenoord
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.0
11.0
2.8
2.3
3.5
23.0
23.0
22.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
10.1
8.5
11.4
4.2
4.5
4.0
28.9
32.8
25.8
vs Weaker (41)
11.2
11.5
10.9
2.5
1.9
3.3
21.7
21.2
22.2
% over line
70%
81%
58%
38%
27%
50%
54%
54%
54%
% under line
30%
19%
42%
62%
73%
50%
46%
46%
46%
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Excelsior
12.3
AZ Alkmaar
11.3
Ajax
11.3
Fortuna Sittard
11.2
Den Haag
11.1
Feyenoord
11.0
Heracles
11.0
PSV Eindhoven
10.8
NAC Breda
10.7
Emmen
10.6
Utrecht
10.6
VVV Venlo
10.5
PEC Zwolle
10.3
Vitesse
10.2
Willem II
9.7
Groningen
9.7
De Graafschap
9.4
Heerenveen
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
PEC Zwolle
4.0
PSV Eindhoven
4.0
Fortuna Sittard
3.8
De Graafschap
3.8
Ajax
3.7
Groningen
3.7
Emmen
3.6
NAC Breda
3.6
AZ Alkmaar
3.5
Den Haag
3.5
Excelsior
3.3
Utrecht
3.3
Willem II
3.3
Vitesse
3.3
VVV Venlo
3.3
Heerenveen
3.1
Heracles
3.1
Feyenoord
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Heerenveen
25.2
Fortuna Sittard
24.5
Vitesse
24.4
De Graafschap
24.2
Heracles
23.9
Utrecht
23.9
PEC Zwolle
23.9
Emmen
23.9
Den Haag
23.5
Ajax
23.4
PSV Eindhoven
23.3
NAC Breda
23.3
Willem II
23.2
AZ Alkmaar
23.2
Feyenoord
23.0
Excelsior
22.9
Groningen
22.8
VVV Venlo
22.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
65.6%
Under 9.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.8%
Under 3.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
55.2%
Under 21.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
DH
Den Haag
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.90
0.54
1.00
0.82
0.82
vs Stronger (17)
0.71
1.06
0.67
1.17
0.73
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.69
0.43
0.86
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feyenoord
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.43
1.00
0.38
0.86
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.80
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (25)
0.96
0.32
1.00
0.31
0.92
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
DH
Den Haag
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.87
0.54
0.69
0.65
1.00
vs Stronger (17)
0.35
1.18
0.33
1.33
0.36
1.09
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.46
0.71
0.14
1.17
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feyenoord
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.80
1.38
0.44
1.29
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.80
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (25)
1.52
0.80
1.54
0.31
1.50
1.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Feyenoord · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayase Ueda75%
Luciano Valente50%
Gjivai Zechiël50%
Anis Hadj Moussa25%
Charles Vanhoutte0%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Jeremiah St Juste0%
Mika Mármol0%
Tjark Ernst0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Nacho Ferri0%
Givairo Read0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Gaoussou Diarra0%
Shaqueel van Persie0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Charles Vanhoutte25%
Anis Hadj Moussa25%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Jeremiah St Juste0%
Ayase Ueda0%
Mika Mármol0%
Tjark Ernst0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Luciano Valente0%
Nacho Ferri0%
Givairo Read0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Gjivai Zechiël0%
Gaoussou Diarra0%
Shaqueel van Persie0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oussama Targhalline33%
Ayase Ueda25%
Anis Hadj Moussa25%
Gjivai Zechiël25%
Gaoussou Diarra25%
Charles Vanhoutte0%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Jeremiah St Juste0%
Mika Mármol0%
Tjark Ernst0%
Luciano Valente0%
Nacho Ferri0%
Givairo Read0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Shaqueel van Persie0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayase Ueda75%
Anis Hadj Moussa50%
Gaoussou Diarra50%
Luciano Valente25%
Gjivai Zechiël25%
Charles Vanhoutte0%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Jeremiah St Juste0%
Mika Mármol0%
Tjark Ernst0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Nacho Ferri0%
Givairo Read0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Shaqueel van Persie0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Feyenoord
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse
Utrecht
Heracles
Groningen
Willem II
Heerenveen
VVV Venlo
PEC Zwolle
Emmen
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
De Graafschap
NAC Breda