This opponent (Heracles) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.67
2.12
1.35
1.23
2.08
vs Stronger (11)
1.00
2.27
1.60
2.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (18)
2.06
1.39
2.18
1.18
1.86
1.71
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.8%
Under 2.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.8%
No
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
Den Haag goals ↓
Heracles goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
6.2%
4.6%
1.9%
0.6%
1
8.2%
13%
7.2%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.4%
9.2%
5.7%
2.4%
0.7%
3
3.9%
4.9%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.6%
1.9%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Den Haag goals (down), columns = Heracles goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.44
Ajax
2.32
AZ Alkmaar
2.09
Feyenoord
1.94
Utrecht
1.59
Vitesse
1.44
Den Haag
1.38
Heerenveen
1.35
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Heracles
1.24
Excelsior
1.18
Groningen
1.12
Willem II
1.09
NAC Breda
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
Roda
0.88
Sparta Rotterdam
0.79
Twente
0.71
Den Haag is 0.15 points better than Heracles in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ajax
2.62
PSV Eindhoven
2.56
Feyenoord
2.24
AZ Alkmaar
2.12
Vitesse
1.85
Utrecht
1.71
Heracles
1.47
Groningen
1.47
Willem II
1.47
Heerenveen
1.41
Den Haag
1.32
Roda
1.24
PEC Zwolle
1.24
Excelsior
1.21
NAC Breda
1.21
Twente
1.09
VVV Venlo
1.03
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Den Haag is 0.15 goals worse than Heracles in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
0.97
AZ Alkmaar
1.12
Feyenoord
1.15
PSV Eindhoven
1.15
Vitesse
1.38
Groningen
1.47
Utrecht
1.56
Den Haag
1.56
Heerenveen
1.56
PEC Zwolle
1.59
VVV Venlo
1.59
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.68
Willem II
1.85
Twente
1.85
Heracles
1.88
Roda
2.03
Sparta Rotterdam
2.21
Den Haag is 0.32 goals better than Heracles in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
DH
Den Haag
For 5.4 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 13.3 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Heracles
For 5.0 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 14.9 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
DH
Den Haag
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.5
10.2
0.9
1.0
0.7
25.5
24.8
26.4
vs Stronger (36)
11.3
11.4
11.0
0.7
0.8
0.6
23.7
22.8
26.0
vs Similar (14)
10.2
12.0
9.7
1.3
1.8
1.0
28.8
35.0
26.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
73%
83%
60%
8%
8%
8%
82%
83%
80%
% under line
27%
17%
40%
92%
92%
92%
18%
17%
20%
This opponent (Heracles) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.4
11.5
0.8
0.8
0.8
28.2
26.9
30.5
vs Stronger (17)
10.2
10.0
10.5
0.9
0.8
1.0
29.5
28.0
31.0
vs Similar (30)
11.1
10.6
12.5
0.8
0.9
0.7
27.4
26.4
30.0
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
64%
57%
75%
8%
8%
8%
82%
71%
100%
% under line
36%
43%
25%
92%
92%
92%
18%
29%
0%
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AZ Alkmaar
13.2
Sparta Rotterdam
12.5
PSV Eindhoven
11.8
NAC Breda
11.8
Excelsior
11.5
Ajax
11.2
Feyenoord
11.2
Groningen
11.0
Den Haag
10.9
Heracles
10.8
Roda
10.7
Utrecht
10.6
VVV Venlo
10.2
Heerenveen
10.0
Vitesse
10.0
PEC Zwolle
9.8
Twente
9.4
Willem II
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
PSV Eindhoven
4.3
PEC Zwolle
4.1
Groningen
4.1
Twente
4.0
Ajax
4.0
Den Haag
4.0
Utrecht
3.8
Sparta Rotterdam
3.8
Excelsior
3.7
Heracles
3.6
NAC Breda
3.5
AZ Alkmaar
3.5
Feyenoord
3.4
Heerenveen
3.4
Vitesse
3.2
VVV Venlo
3.2
Willem II
3.1
Roda
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Heracles
28.2
Heerenveen
27.9
Vitesse
27.4
Feyenoord
27.0
Excelsior
26.8
Ajax
26.6
Utrecht
26.5
PSV Eindhoven
26.2
Sparta Rotterdam
25.9
Twente
25.8
Den Haag
25.5
AZ Alkmaar
25.5
NAC Breda
25.1
Willem II
24.2
Groningen
24.2
PEC Zwolle
23.6
Roda
23.5
VVV Venlo
21.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
67.3%
Under 9.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
63.1%
Under 3.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
86.0%
Under 21.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
DH
Den Haag
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.87
0.75
0.62
0.36
1.14
vs Stronger (22)
0.36
0.95
0.50
0.50
0.20
1.50
vs Similar (8)
1.12
0.62
1.50
1.00
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.71
0.71
0.54
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.09
1.00
0.00
0.80
0.17
1.17
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.78
0.91
0.73
0.86
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
DH
Den Haag
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.69
0.75
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (22)
0.41
0.86
0.67
0.83
0.10
0.90
vs Similar (8)
0.88
0.38
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.83
1.41
0.65
0.69
1.08
vs Stronger (11)
0.91
1.27
1.60
1.20
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (18)
1.17
0.61
1.27
0.45
1.00
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Heracles · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tristan van Gilst100%
Jean-Paul N'Djoli75%
Mario Borac33%
Damon Mirani25%
David Vicente25%
Djevencio van der Kust25%
Sem Scheperman25%
Chafik Abbas0%
Mike te Wierik0%
Thomas Bruns0%
David Tomić0%
Fabian De Keijzer0%
Maurice Wrusch0%
Manny Rodríguez0%
Max Hauswirth0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jean-Paul N'Djoli50%
Chafik Abbas25%
Mike te Wierik25%
Damon Mirani0%
Thomas Bruns0%
David Vicente0%
David Tomić0%
Fabian De Keijzer0%
Djevencio van der Kust0%
Sem Scheperman0%
Tristan van Gilst0%
Maurice Wrusch0%
Manny Rodríguez0%
Max Hauswirth0%
Mario Borac0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Chafik Abbas50%
Djevencio van der Kust50%
Thomas Bruns25%
David Vicente25%
Tristan van Gilst25%
Jean-Paul N'Djoli25%
Max Hauswirth25%
Damon Mirani0%
Mike te Wierik0%
David Tomić0%
Fabian De Keijzer0%
Sem Scheperman0%
Maurice Wrusch0%
Manny Rodríguez0%
Mario Borac0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tristan van Gilst100%
Jean-Paul N'Djoli75%
Mario Borac33%
Chafik Abbas25%
Max Hauswirth25%
Damon Mirani0%
Mike te Wierik0%
Thomas Bruns0%
David Vicente0%
David Tomić0%
Fabian De Keijzer0%
Djevencio van der Kust0%
Sem Scheperman0%
Maurice Wrusch0%
Manny Rodríguez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Heracles
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Vitesse
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior
Groningen
Willem II
NAC Breda
VVV Venlo
Roda
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente